$MSTR Continues on last weeks path!NASDAQ:MSTR continues to breakout above the channel after a retest as support.
High Volume Node at $440 may proof tough but if price breaks through we could see a strong FOMO induced breakout into price discovery.
Analysis is invalidated below the channel at $358.
Safe Trading
Support and Resistance
$SUI Big Breakout Happening?CRYPTOCAP:SUI is smashing above triple resistance: a major High Volume Node , daily 200EMA and the daily pivot. The signal I posted in my trading signals Substack is now live, and the HBAR one is about to hit take profit 1.
Target for this rally remains $4.2 High Volume Node near the swing high.
Analysis is invalidated below the daily pivot at $2.8
Safe trading
$XRP Bias Change: Bullish Elliot Wave CountCRYPTOCAP:XRP is breaking out the descending resistance causing me to take another look at my WXYXZ corrective Eliot Wave count expecting lower. I have adjusted the count to WXY and a 1-2 new motif wave with a target of $3.8
Price is well above the daily 200EMA and daily pivot after testing both as support including the High Volume Node. Closing above the descending resistance today will be a bullish signal but a retest of that resistance as support before continuing onwards its what to look out for.
Analysis is invalidated below $1.8
Safe Trading
AUDUSD: Bullish Accumulation?!Quick update for ⚠️AUDUSD:
The price formed a classic bullish pattern on a 4-hour chart known as the ascending triangle, indicating bullish accumulation and a likely upward movement.
To confirm this, we will adhere to the previously discussed plan, waiting for a breakout above 0.6560 and a 4-hour candle close above that level, which could lead to a potential rise to 0.6586.
Conversely, a bearish breakout below the triangle's trend line would signal a strong downward movement.
USDT DOMINANCE New Update (4H)By analyzing the chart, it becomes clear that the USDT dominance structure is bearish.
After the structural shift to a downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows forming, it is expected that the price will drop to the main support zone in order to collect major orders from lower levels.
The price could drop from the current level or from the upper supply zone, which would signal a bullish move in the overall market.
The target is the green box.
A daily candle closing above the supply zone would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Ethereum Analysis – Vitalik’s Gas Cap Proposal Adds PressureToday, I want to show you the possible moves for Ethereum ( BINANCE:ETHUSDT ) this week.
Please stay with me .
Let’s first take a look at the important news that has come for Ethereum in the last 24 hours :
Ethereum’s Gas Cap Proposal Sparks Concerns
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin recently proposed EIP-7983 , introducing a gas limit cap to prevent potential DoS (Denial of Service) attacks on the network.
Bearish Takeaways:
This proposal reveals a current vulnerability in Ethereum’s infrastructure. If gas limits grow unchecked, nodes may fail to sync, leading to possible network instability.
Imposing a gas cap could temporarily reduce transaction throughput, affecting DeFi protocols and NFT platforms that rely on Ethereum’s scalability.
The market tends to react cautiously to core protocol changes, and this uncertainty could trigger short-term selling pressure.
Bullish Counterpoints:
The cap aims to strengthen the network’s long-term stability against spam and DoS attacks.
It’s still in the proposal stage, with no immediate impact on users or network performance.
Conclusion:
While the long-term impact may be positive, the short-term uncertainty and exposed risks provide a bearish narrative for Ethereum, especially amid growing competition from alternative chains.
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Now let's take a look at the Ethereum chart on the 4-hour time frame .
Ethereum is currently trading near the Heavy Resistance zone($2,929-$2,652) and Resistance lines , and is also trying to break the Support line .
In terms of the Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Ethereum has completed the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) , so we can expect the next bearish wave .
I expect Ethereum to fall to at least $2,433 AFTER breaking the Support line, and if the Support zone($2,491-$2,323) is broken, we should expect further declines.
Second Target: $2,374
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $2,689= Worst Stop Loss(SL)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Ethereum Analyze (ETHUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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USDJPY – Can the Dollar Squeeze Last?In FX markets, the USDJPY currency pair has moved more than most this week. Initially trading higher, rocked by President Trump’s unveiling of the tariff letter sent to Japan on Tuesday in a social media show outlining new tariffs on Japanese imports of 25%, supported by rising US 10 year treasury yields (+10 bps on week), which often can influence USDJPY prices, and a general squeeze on weak short US dollar positions across all G7/10 currency pairs. This all helped USDJPY to move from Monday’s opening level around 144.40 up to a 3-week high of 147.18 on Wednesday.
Then it was all change as USDJPY ran into a wave of fresh selling as traders took advantage of the squeeze to reopen short positions at higher levels, especially with various Bank of Japan board members discussing the potential for the Japanese central bank to raise interest rates again at some stage later in the year, and then President Trump unveiling more aggressive tariffs on countries such as Brazil (50% tariff), which renewed trader concerns that the US economy may be more negatively impacted by his trade policies. This sent USDJPY to a low of 145.75 this morning before recovering to slightly higher levels (146.25 0700 BST).
Looking forward, trade deals and Trump tariff headlines/social media posts may continue to influence where USDJPY moves into the Friday close, as could the technical outlook ahead of a busy week for scheduled events started on Monday July 14th.
Technical Update: USDJPY Back to Important Resistance?
Since posting the 142.68 July 1st low, USDJPY has rallied strongly, seeing a more than 3% recovery in 6 sessions. This may mean some traders are looking for a more sustained price advance, but as the chart below shows, the latest price strength might only now be back to a resistance focus between the 147.09/147.64 levels.
These levels are equal to a combination of the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the January 10th to April 22nd decline at 147.09, and the downtrend that connects the highs seen on April 3rd, May 12th and June 23rd, which currently stands at 147.64. So far at least, this resistance area has capped the latest price strength.
Much will depend on future market sentiment and price trends, but it's possible closing breaks above the 147.09/64 resistance range may be required to suggest potential for a further phase of price strength towards 149.33, the higher 50%, even 151.57 the 61.8% retracements.
What if Resistance at 147.09/64 Continues to Hold?
Of course, the 147.09/64 resistance is currently holding price strength and could even prompt fresh weakness. As such, it could be suggested a more balanced sideways trading range is currently in place, with the latest price strength now back to the upper limit resistance at 147.09/64 .
If this is the case, it is possible price weakness might now emerge, with closing breaks under support at 145.10, the Bollinger mid-average, potentially suggesting further declines are possible towards 143.20, which is the uptrend connecting the recent lows, which also possibly marks the lower limits of the current sideways price range.
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POSSIBLE BEARISH MOVE SCENERIO Currently we're monitoring 30M time frame chart. I’m expecting a sell move from the P.O.I zone marked on the chart. Since today is the first day of the week, the market volume is a bit low. Now let's see when the price reaches our P.O.I zone, and once it does, how the price behaves. We'll be watching for any bearish signs or confirmations. We’ll only enter the trade after getting a proper bearish confirmation. We'll also wait for the NY session to open before making any decisions. Let's see how this trade setup plays out.
Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
#GOLD 30M Technical Analysis Expected Move.
SMCI - Bull Flag Breakout SetupSMCI formed a strong bullish impulse followed by a bull flag pattern.
A breakout above the flag structure may signal continuation if confirmed with strong price action.
Trade Plan:
• Entry: On breakout or retest
• Stop Loss: Below flag support
• TP1: Recent high
• TP2: Measured flagpole extension
This setup is worth monitoring for potential bullish continuation.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
DeGRAM | GOLD forming head and shoulders📊 Technical Analysis
● A double rejection at 3 358—confluence of the May-July descending trend-line and the long-term channel roof—has carved successive lower highs; the break of the inner up-trend (circled) shifts structure bearish.
● Price is now slipping out of a contracting pennant; sustained trade beneath 3 246 (pattern base / April pivot) exposes the mid-channel magnet at 3 202, with the outer rail projecting 3 121.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Surprise rise in NY Fed 1-yr inflation expectations and Daly’s “no urgency to cut” remarks lifted 2-yr real yields and the DXY, while ETFs saw a fifth straight day of outflows, signalling fading bullion demand.
✨ Summary
Sell 3 300–3 320; break below 3 246 targets 3 202 → 3 121. Short view void on a 4 h close above 3 358.
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DeGRAM | USDJPY fixed above the descending channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Dollar-yen has punched through the 16-month descending channel top and twice retested it as support (false-break tags), carving a rising trend line that now guides price away from 144.90.
● Inside the break zone a smaller pennant is forming; a 4 h close above 147.18 completes the pattern and activates the channel-height target at 150.80 near the November swing cap.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US 2-yr yields pushed to a three-month high after hotter CPI core-services and Barkin’s “inflation progress has stalled”, while the BoJ July minutes flagged only “gradual” QT—widening the policy gap and reviving carry demand for yen shorts.
✨ Summary
Long 145.2-146.2; pennant break >147.18 targets 150.80. Bias void on a 4 h close below 142.80.
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DeGRAM | XRPUSD seeks to retest of the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● A third rebound from the rising purple support (green dots) printed a bullish engulfing that has already forced price back above the short-term grey down-trend, signalling a momentum shift.
● XRP is now coiling inside a contracting triangle capped by the purple resistance line near 2.40; the 18 ¢ consolidation width implies 2.45 on a break, while the April pivot at 2.65 lines up with the upper channel for the next objective.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Ahead of the 23 July SEC – Ripple status hearing, HSBC’s digital-asset unit announced a pilot using XRP for cross-border settlement, lifting social volume and spot bids.
✨ Summary
Buy 2.10-2.20; confirmed close above 2.40/2.45 targets 2.60-2.65. Thesis void on a 16 h close below 1.98.
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DeGRAM | ETHUSD rebound from the support line📊 Technical Analysis
● Bounce off the purple up-trend and 2 320 support printed a bullish engulfing, maintaining the sequence of higher-lows that has guided price since April.
● Price is squeezing into an ascending triangle under 2 700-2 730, where the former wedge cap meets horizontal supply; a break projects to the 3 040 macro fib / channel roof.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Net-staking deposits keep rising while, per FXStreet (25 Jun), whales add ETH ahead of the SEC’s spot-ETF S-1 verdict, underpinning demand.
✨ Summary
Long >2 320; triangle breakout above 2 730 targets 3 040. Thesis void on a 16 h close below 2 200.
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DeGRAM | BTCUSD once again trading above $105k📊 Technical Analysis
● Fresh bounce off the confluence of the 8-month up-sloping purple trend-line and 102-103 k green demand box prints a higher-low inside the rising wedge, keeping bulls in control despite June’s pull-back.
● Price is reclaiming the minor down-trend line from the 12 Jun high; a daily close above 106 k confirms a bear-trap and unlocks the 111.8-112.5 k supply at the wedge cap.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Spot-ETF desks absorbed >5 400 BTC in the last three sessions while exchange reserves fell to a four-year low, signalling supply drain.
● Cooling US PCE expectations trimmed real yields, and Mt Gox repayment delays ease overhang fears—both supportive for risk assets.
✨ Summary
Long 102–104 k; hold above 106 k targets 111.8 k → 115 k. Bull thesis void on a 16 h close below 99 k.
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Short gold, the bears will still counterattack after the reboundGold rebounded to the 3305-3315 area as expected, and our gold long position successfully won 360pips profit. So after standing above 3,300 again, will gold resume its bullish trend?
I think that although gold has stood above 3300 again, it cannot be confirmed that the decline has been completely reversed for the time being. Relatively speaking, gold bears still have the upper hand. In the short term, gold is under pressure in the 3325-3335 area, so before recovering this area, gold bears still have repeated fluctuations, and may even test the 3305-3295 area again. So we can't blindly chase gold in trading.
Before gold recovers the 3325-3335 area, gold can only be regarded as a rebound, not a reversal. So gold bears may counterattack at any time, so in short-term trading, we can consider shorting gold with the 3325-3335 area as resistance after gold rebounds. The first entry area that must be paid attention to is 3320-3330.
GBPUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers!
Please feel free to share your personal thoughts in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the boost button and subscribe!
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump revealed letters sent via Truth Social to the leaders of seven countries, including the Philippines and Algeria. Notably, he warned of a 50% tariff on imports from Brazil.
- The June FOMC minutes confirmed that key Fed members are divided on the outlook for rate cuts within the year.
- The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield reversed course and fell for the first time in six sessions, following strong demand in the latest bond auction.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ July 10: Germany – June Consumer Price Index (CPI)
+ July 11: United Kingdom – May Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
GBPUSD Chart Analysis
While the pair recently faced resistance near the 1.38000 level and experienced a pullback, it appears to be regaining momentum, supported by the trendline near 1.36000.
If this support holds and the price moves as expected, a rally toward the 1.40000 level could be anticipated.
However, if the current support fails, the pair could retreat toward the 1.34000 level. Therefore, it is important to closely monitor the price action in the current zone.
AMSC eyes on $40.18: Golden Genesis fib holding up new ATHAMSC has been bobbing into a Golden Genesis fib at $40.18
Look for a Break-n-Retest to start next leg of uptrend.
Beware of a possible rejection for a high velocity dip.
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Previous Analysis that gave a PERFECT SWING trade:
Hit the BOOST and FOLLOW for more such a PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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