Caterpillar Wave Analysis – 17 July 2025
- Caterpillar broke long-term resistance level 410.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 440.00
Caterpillar recently broke above the major long-term resistance level 410.00, which has been reversing the price from the end of 2024, as can be seen from the weekly Caterpillar chart below.
The breakout of the resistance level 410.00 accelerated the active intermediate impulse wave (C) from the middle of 2025.
Given the overriding weekly uptrend and the accelerating weekly Momentum, Caterpillar can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 440.00 (target for the completion of the active intermediate impulse wave (C)).
Support and Resistance
Coca-Cola Wave Analysis – 17 July 2025- Coca-Cola reversed from the support area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 72.00
Coca-Cola recently reversed from the support area between the key support level 68.55 (which has been reversing the price from May), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse (1) from January.
The upward reversal from this support area stopped the previous minor ABC correction (ii).
Coca-Cola can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 72.00 (which stopped the earlier waves B, 1 and i).
3340-3300: Lock in the buy high and sell low in this area!Under the influence of unemployment benefits and zero monthly sales data, gold fell sharply in the short term, but it did not effectively fall below 3310 during multiple tests, effectively curbing the further downward space of the shorts. Multiple structural supports are also concentrated in the 3310-3300 area, so as long as gold does not fall below this area, gold bulls still have the potential to rebound.
However, for the current gold market, it may be difficult to see a unilateral trend in the short term. After experiencing discontinuous surges and plunges, gold may focus on consolidation and repair, and the consolidation range may be limited to the 3340-3300 area.
So for short-term trading, first of all, I advocate going long on gold in the 3320-3310 area, and expect gold to rebound and reach the 3330-3340 area;
If gold reaches the 3335-3345 area as expected, we can start to consider shorting gold, and expect gold to step back to the 3320-3310 area during the shock and rectification process.
GBPCAD bearish take in place, prepare for sell CAPITALCOM:GBPCAD
4hr mind map
1. bearish momentum destroy the previous strong bullish momentum
2. considering over retest for a bullish
next action:
1. expecting a consolidation around 1.84950
2. need to have a strong bearish momentum in 15/30m TF
3. in 15/30m retest to sell, TP 1.83097
COPPER TECHNICAL ANALYSISCopper spiked into 5.8750 but is now consolidating just below short-term resistance at 5.6448, showing signs of a bullish continuation pattern. Price remains supported at the 5.4864 zone.
Currently trading at 5.4864, with
Support at: 5.4864 / 5.3157 / 4.9929 🔽
Resistance at: 5.6448 / 5.8750 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Break above 5.6448 could push price toward 5.8750 and beyond.
🔽 Bearish: Loss of 5.4864 may trigger downside toward 5.3157.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
$NQ Supply and Demand Zones - All Time High! 7/17/25This chart is for SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ only.
We recently hit ATH this AM session and now price is accumulating and we are waiting to see what it wants to do next. Continue to hold support at ATH before we breakout higher, or break below and close below ATH support for a retest lower?
Re-attempt to buy?Trade Journal Entry – XAUUSD (Gold Spot)
Date: July 17, 2025
Platform: TradingView (Demo Account)
Timeframe: 1H/4H
Direction: Long Bias
Status: Stopped Out – Awaiting New Setup
Result of Last Trade: +£33
New Plan: Wait for buy opportunity in Asian or London session
Previous Trade Outcome
Entry was valid at POI based on bullish setup logic.
Trade failed to break structure to the upside convincingly.
Stop-out occurred after price pushed below mitigation zone (~3,316).
However, due to early partials and trade management, the result was a net profit of £33.
Updated Outlook
Price has rebounded aggressively from just below Daily Low.
Current price near 3,339.305 — strong push back into prior structure.
Buyside liquidity and POI overhead acting as short-term magnet.
Ideal pathing (marked with black arrows):
→ Sweep POI
→ Retest structure (likely near 3,327–3,330)
→ Continuation toward 3,365+, targeting liquidity void above.
Entry Plan
Await price to revisit POI, potentially after liquidity run.
Ideal confirmation setup:
- SFP or bullish engulfing on M15–H1
- Volume divergence or re-accumulation pattern
Target entry during Asian or early London session when liquidity is typically engineered.
Management Approach
- Keep risk tight on re-entry (0.5% max risk)
- SL below new HL formed during retest
- TP: 3,365 / extended 3,380–3,390 depending on session follow-through
- If no clean retest, skip trade — don’t chase
Emotional Reflection
Felt more in control than previous attempts. Took the stop like a professional.
No revenge trades — staying focused on structure and quality.
Grateful that proper risk management led to a small win despite being stopped out.
Reflection Questions
- Did I adjust my expectations quickly once structure failed?
- Am I giving the market enough space and time to form clean entries?
- Will I stay patient for session-specific setups?
GBPCAD – Key Level, Buy Setup & Dual StrategyRight now, price is sitting on a major level.
📌 If a valid buy signal shows up, I’ll enter a long position.
But that’s not all…
🔁 If price reaches the next resistance level, I’ll:
Hold my long position
Open a short position there
This way: ✅ If price reverses → my long trade is closed by trailing stop
✅ And my short trade runs into profit
→ I profit both from below and above
⚠️ If my short trade’s SL hits, no worries —
My long is still open and growing in profit.
📈 But if the resistance breaks and we get a pullback,
➡️ I’ll activate pyramiding and build more position with zero added risk.
AUDCAD - Possible Buy Setup AheadThe market is approaching a significant zone.
We’re standing by — no rush, no guessing.
If a clean bullish signal appears, we go long.
If it breaks through, we wait for a pullback and adapt.
Our job isn’t prediction — it’s reaction.
Follow the plan. Let the profits take care of themselves
THAT WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT BTC IN 2025Professional Technical Analysis & Trading Plan for BTC/USD (Hypothetical 2025 Data)
---
1. Technical Structure & Key Observations
A. Price Context:
- **Current Price:** ~84,197 (below SMA 81,998).
- **SMA (Simple Moving Average):** 81,998 (likely 200-day SMA, acting as dynamic resistance).
- **Volume:** 52K (low volume suggests consolidation; watch for spikes to confirm breaks).
C. Key Levels (From Data):
- **Resistance:**
- Immediate: 81,998 (SMA).
- Major: 90,000, 100,000, 130,000 (swing highs).
- **Support:**
- Near-term: 74,000 (psychological),
---
2. Advanced Indicator Analysis
A. Momentum (RSI & MACD):**
- **RSI (14):** Likely near 40–45 (neutral-bearish zone). A break below 30 signals oversold; above 55 confirms bullish momentum.
- **MACD:** Bearish crossover possible (signal line above MACD line). Watch for reversal above SMA.
B. Volume Profile:
- **Low Volume (52K):** Indicates weak participation. A surge above 100K on a breakout/breakdown would validate direction.
- **Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP):** If price trades above VWAP, bullish bias strengthens.
---
3. Trading Strategies
Scenario : Bullish Reversal (30% Probability)
- **Trigger:** Daily close above SMA (81,998) with volume >100K.
- **Entry:** Long at 74,500 (confirmation of strength).
- **Targets:**
- TP1: 90,000 (8.5% move).
- TP2: 100,000 (19% move).
- **Stop Loss:** 71,500
---
5. Sentiment & Catalyst Watch
- **Bullish Catalysts:** Institutional ETF inflows, Fed rate cuts, Bitcoin halving momentum.
- **Bearish Risks:** Regulatory crackdowns, exchange hacks, macro recession.
-Conclusion
BTC/USD is at a critical juncture. *Trade the SMA break/breakdown with volume confirmation*, and prioritize risk-reward ratios. Always cross-verify with real-time data and news.
Disclaimer: Hypothetical analysis for educational purposes. Not financial advice.* 🚀
Treat it as a long-short wash-out shock, and go long on pullback📰 News information:
1. Initial jobless claims data
2. June retail data
3. Beware of Trump's remarks about firing Powell
📈 Technical Analysis:
Last night, the daily line closed at around 3347. The current short-term daily line range is 3355-3300. The short-term support below is still 3320. Once it falls below 3320, it will look to 3310-3300. Short-term trading is still volatile. If the intraday retracement reaches 3320-3310, consider going long, and the defense is 3300, with the target at 3340-3350. Under the current rhythm of long and short wash, don't chase the rise and sell the fall, look at it rationally, and brothers who trade independently must bring SL.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3320-3310
TP 3340-3350
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Oolong news stirs up gold market trend analysisWe decisively prompted support and arranged long orders near 3320. While the bottom stabilized, Trump suddenly released a smoke bomb, saying that he was considering whether to fire Fed Chairman Powell. The risk aversion sentiment exploded instantly, and gold soared in the short term, hitting the target of 3340-3345 in a few minutes, and the highest rose to 3377! But then Trump denied the relevant plan, and the risk aversion sentiment quickly cooled down. The gold price immediately fell from a high level, and the market returned to a volatile pattern. At present, the risk aversion drive has been falsified. In the short term, we need to focus on the trend opportunities after the high and fall. Considering that the news is still uncertain, it is recommended to wait and see first, and wait for the situation to become clearer before entering the market.
🔍Technical observation: The 1-hour chart of gold shows an obvious high and fall pattern, accompanied by a long upper shadow line closing. If there is no new risk aversion stimulus, the short-term momentum for another attack is limited.
📉Operational suggestions: Maintain the main idea of rebound short selling, pay attention to the short-term pressure in the 3365-3370 range, and choose to arrange short orders. ⚠️It should be noted that news has a great impact on the market. Transactions need to be executed decisively, but be careful not to be led by short-term fluctuations. Strict implementation of trading plans is the key.
BTCUSD Bullish Continuation Patterns on LTFThe trend is still bullish and the daily bull flag I posted is still at play. This is just a lower TF perspective within the bigger overacharching view.
Inverse head and shoulders and a bullish flag all indicate continuation to the upside. You can use market structure to confirm your entries and your target profit zones if you do not plan on holding until $150k
Gold Setup. Midas losing his touch.TVC:GOLD has reached an all time high of $3500. It further created a LH @ $3435 in the daily TF. This signals the beginning of a possible down trend of the commodity with the current fundamentals as confluence.
Furthermore, TVC:GOLD is likely to reach level $3160 and possibly test levels as low as $2960, below the much acclaimed $3000 support structure.
GOLD | Testing Key Support at 3320 — Breakdown or Rebound Ahead?GOLD: Futures Dip as Dollar Strengthens, Eyes on 3320 Support
Gold futures declined as the U.S. dollar gained strength following President Trump’s denial of plans to fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell. While concerns over central bank independence persist, gold remains up over 26% YTD, supported by strong central bank demand and ongoing macro uncertainty.
Technical Outlook:
The price is now approaching the 3320–3312 zone.
A break below 3312 would trigger a bearish move from 3315 toward 3297 and 3281.
However, if the price stabilizes above 3320 on a 4H close, a bullish rebound may follow toward 3333 and 3342.
Key Levels:
Support: 3312, 3297, 3281
Resistance: 3333, 3342, 3363
ALUMINIUM: Selling opportunity following trendline breakALUMINIUM climbed a steep uptrend but it might meets its end with this recent break through this rising trendline. When price respects a trendline repeatedly, it becomes significant, its break indicating either a potential reversal or major pause in the trend. The candlestick that broke the trendline signals the first hint of structural change.
After breaking, price traced backward to retest the trendline. The retest manifested as a cluster of candles with wicks testing the former trendline but failing to reclaim it. That failure to reclaim, might signal seller conviction and transformation of market structure. But it would need additional confirmation to confirm the signal.
Ideally, what I look for in retests is to be met with a confirming candle, typically a bearish engulfing or marubozu closing below the trendline. This would confirm the sellers have taken over and validate the change from uptrend to potential downtrend or consolidation phase.
If I were to take a side here, I would choose more downside, but again only price action should determine next move.
However, if price breaks back above the trendline with conviction, especially engulfing the retest, it would invalidate the bearish scenario, suggesting that the uptrend may resume with fresh momentum.
Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
US30 | Bearish Pressure Builds Below 44,170 — Breakout or BounceUS30: Eyes on Earnings and News
US stocks edged higher pre-market after Trump denied plans to fire Fed Chair Powell, easing market concerns. With corporate earnings in focus, sentiment remains cautiously optimistic.
Technical View:
The price holds bullish momentum above 44170, targeting 44280 and 44500.
A 1H close below 44170 may lead to a drop toward 44075, and breaking below that would open the path to 43960 and 43630.
A 1H close above 44280 strengthens the bullish case toward 44500.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 44280, 44410, 44500
Support: 44075, 43960, 43630
previous idea:
$CAKE is coiling up nicely - Aiming for $7
It hasn’t done much over the past few months, but it’s now above the yearly open and on its 6th attempt to break through the monthly supply zone.
Could this finally be the breakout that leads us toward $7?
Taking bids here and exercising patience.
With CRYPTOCAP:XRP , CRYPTOCAP:ETH , CRYPTOCAP:HBAR , and EURONEXT:ALGO already moving — and possibly CRYPTOCAP:BNB next — this could be a perfect setup for a delayed BINANCE:CAKEUSDT catch-up play.