XLM Explodes +132% — Is the Party Over or Just Starting?XLM has been one of the top movers, sweeping the January 2025 swing high at $0.515 before stalling and moving sideways for the past 4 days.
Is XLM gearing up for another push toward the highs, or is a correction imminent?
Let’s dive into the details.
🧩 Market Structure & Fractal Pattern
XLM skyrocketed +132% in just 13 days, mirroring the explosive move seen back in November 2024.
If we apply the November fractal, the current price action suggests we could be setting up for an ABC corrective move.
📉 Key Levels & Confluences
FVG Zone: ~$0.49–$0.50 — likely to be swept before any major move down.
Monthly Support: $0.4142
Key Level / Liquidity Pool: $0.4056 — likely cluster of stop-losses.
Anchored VWAP (from $0.2228 start of trend): currently near $0.4056, adding strong confluence.
1.0 Trend-Based Fib Extension (ABC projection): If price pushes to ~$0.49 to complete wave B, the projected 1.0 TBFE for wave C lands right on the $0.4056 key level + VWAP, creating a perfect confluence zone.
➡️ Conclusion: The $0.4142–$0.4056 zone is a critical support and liquidity area with multiple confluences lining up.
Trade Setups
🔴 Short Setup:
Entry zone: $0.48–$0.50 (ladder in)
Stop-loss: Above $0.5166 (prior high)
Take-profit: $0.4142–$0.4056 zone
R:R ≈ 1:3
🟢 Long Setup:
Entry zone: $0.4142–$0.4056 (preferably near VWAP)
Stop-loss: Below $0.395
Take-profit: $0.44
⚡ Final Thoughts
Watch for a potential final push toward $0.49–$0.50 before a corrective wave unfolds.
The confluence at the $0.4142–$0.4056 zone — including monthly/weekly levels, VWAP, liquidity pool, and the 1.0 TBFE target — makes it a key area for decision-making.
Stay patient and wait for confirmation at these levels. Will post an update as things unfold!
_________________________________
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Swingtrading
XRP Hits $3.10 — Rising Wedge or Ready to Fly?XRP has been on a strong run over the past 24 days, rallying from $1.90 → $3.10 — a +62% price increase. But after hitting key resistance, is XRP about to correct, or will it break out further? Let’s dive into the technicals.
🧩 Market Structure
Rising Wedge Pattern:
The current market structure resembles a rising wedge, with XRP likely completing wave 5.
Rejection Zone Hit:
Price tapped the nPOC at $3.10 and rejected — providing a clean short opportunity.
📉 Key Support Levels & Confluences
Taking the full 24-day bullish move:
0.382 Fib Retracement: $2.6326 — aligns with liquidity pool below the $2.6596 swing low.
226-day Trading Range VAH: ~$2.62 (red dashed line) — adds confluence.
Daily Level: $2.60 — further support.
Anchored VWAP from $1.90 Low: ~$2.54 (rising over time).
✅ Conclusion: The $2.66–$2.60 zone is a critical support area and offers a solid long opportunity.
Trade Setups
🔴 Short Setup (After Breakdown Confirmation):
Wait for a sell-off & breakdown of the wedge.
Ideal entry: retest of the lower wedge edge, ideal short entry would be between 0.618–0.786 fib retracement.
🟢 Long Setup:
Entry Zone: $2.66–$2.60
SL: below VWAP line
Target: Fib 0.618 as TP
🧠 Educational Insight: Rising Wedges Explained
A rising wedge is a bearish pattern, often signalling weakening momentum as price climbs within narrowing highs and lows.
Key points:
➡️ Volume typically declines as the wedge matures.
➡️ Breakdown below the lower wedge edge often triggers stronger sell-offs.
➡️ Retests of the broken wedge support turn into ideal short entries.
Pro tip: Combine wedge patterns with fib retracement zones and VWAP levels for higher-confidence setups.
Watch for wedge breakdown confirmation before shorting.
_________________________________
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SOUTHBANK - BUY SOUTHBANK - BUY NOW
Key points :
South Indian Bank strong Fundamentals .
Stock PE - 5.47
Industry PE - 10.8
Stock Price Trade at Below Book Value ..
Company Price - Possible to Double
Technical :
Monthly - Take Support
Day - Symmetrical Triangle Pattern Breakout
Entry - 25.45 Rs
Target - 35.55 Rs
Stoploss - 21 Rs
Expected - 39 %
This is Only for My Trade Setup . Dont follow Blindly . Take Educational Purpose Only .
We not any responsiblities for Profit and loss ..
Thank You . Happy Trading ..
MarketBreakdown | EURAUD, GBPJPY, WTI CRUDE OIL, SILVER
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #EURAUD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇦🇺
The market is trading in a bullish trend.
The price is steadily growing within a rising parallel channel.
A recent test of its support triggered a strong bullish reaction.
I think that a rise may continue at least to a current high - 1.8035
2️⃣ #GBPJPY daily time frame 🇬🇧🇯🇵
The market is consolidating within a narrow horizontal
parallel channel.
Consider consolidation, trading within its boundaries.
The next bullish wave will be confirmed with a breakout and a
daily candle close above its resistance.
3️⃣ CRUDE OIL #WTI daily time frame 🛢️
The market remains weak and consolidation continues.
I see a wide horizontal range where the price is now stuck.
I think that we may see a pullback from its support.
4️⃣ #SILVER #XAGUSD daily time frame 🪙
The market is retracing after a formation of a new higher high.
I see a strong demand zone ahead: it is based on a rising trend line
and a recently broken horizontal resistance.
The next trend following movement will most likely initiate from there.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
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Bullish momentum holding, accumulation zones in focus__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
➤ Strong bullish momentum across all timeframes.
➤ Key supports: 104–110k$ and 110–115k$; pivot resistance: 124k$.
➤ Normal volumes, no panic or exhaustion phases detected.
➤ The Risk On / Risk Off Indicator consistently supports the bullish trend, with minor short-term slowing.
➤ No behavioral alerts (ISPD DIV), multi-timeframe structure fully aligned.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
➤ Structurally bullish bias as long as supports above 104–110k$ hold.
➤ Tactically seek long entries on retracements to 110–115k$ (preferred swing bias).
➤ Fast profit-taking zone above 124k$ or on loss of key support clusters.
➤ Macro environment neutral to slightly positive, no urgent negative catalysts.
➤ Action: prioritize long trades on pullback, strict stops below 104k$, reduce sizing before major news releases.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
1D:
- Strong 124k$ resistance, major supports at 104.5k$ & 108–110k$ (technical and on-chain clusters).
- Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: strong buy, balanced volumes.
- Buy zone = pullback to 108–110k$; rapid profit-taking on break of 124k$ without macro confirmation.
12H:
- Distribution below 124k$ resistance, optimal support at 110–115k$.
- Risk On / Risk Off Indicator bullish, clear bullish confluence.
- Wait for confirmed break to extend; buy dips.
6H / 4H:
- Failed breakout at 124k$, solid supports at 110–115k$.
- Momentum intact, stable volumes, healthy structure.
- Dip accumulation recommended as long as supports hold.
2H / 1H:
- Active defense of 110–115k$ support and pivots at 115–118k$.
- Risk On / Risk Off Indicator very favorable (swing pullback entries).
- Stable volumes, no exuberance.
30min / 15min:
- Moderated momentum, micro-range below 120k$.
- Treat every dip as an opportunity to join the main trend.
Cross-summary: As long as >110k$ holds, each pullback is an accumulation opportunity. Only a persistent break below 104k$ invalidates the bias.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Fundamental & On-chain Analysis
Macro: US CPI above expectations, no Fed rate cut expected, neutral to risk-on environment. No immediate negative news, volatility under control.
Calendar: increase caution before key macro releases, reduce swing exposure ahead of FOMC/high-vol days.
On-chain: major accumulation supports 104–110k$; watch for loss of STH in profit momentum.
Strong coherence between technical and on-chain clusters, but remain watchful for euphoric tops >124–130k$.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic conclusion and action plan
Trend: Bullish unless crash below 104k$.
Action: Prioritize buying pullbacks at 110–115k$, strict stops under key pivots.
Swing window possible up to 130k$ if no on-chain/macro overheating.
Increase prudence if break >124k$ occurs without macro/sector momentum.
As long as the multi-timeframe structure holds and on-chain support clusters are respected, every pullback to 110–115k$ should be seen as a buy opportunity. Key watch: breakouts above 124k$ without macro confirmation and on-chain STH/profit stress signals.
__________________________________________________________________________________
#DOGEUSDT: Swing Trade Targeting $0.50| Swing Trade| Setupsfx_|Hey there! Everyone
DOGEUSDT is at a turning point right now, and it looks like it might just reverse course and head towards its target price of $0.50. This is a swing trade, which means it could take a few weeks, or even months, to complete.
We’d really appreciate your support.
Thanks
Team Setupsfx_
Western Carriers (WCIL) : Breakout Candidate#WCIL #patterntrading #breakout #breakoutstock #inverseheadandshoulder #swingtrading
WCIL : Swing Trade
>> Low PE Stock
>> Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern visible
>> Breakout & Retest Done
>> Ready for New Highs
>> Low Risk High Reward Trade
Swing Traders can lock profits at 10% & Keep Trailing
Pls Comment , Boost and Follow for more such Analysis
Disc : Charts shared are for Learning Purpose and not a Trade recommendation, Consult your Financial afvisor or a SEBI Registered Advisor before taking postion in it.
SWING IDEA - NEULAND LABNeuland Lab , a niche API manufacturer with strong export presence and leadership in complex molecules, is offering a technically strong swing trade opportunity from key support levels.
Reasons are listed below :
11,500 zone acting as a crucial support area
Formation of a hammer candle on the weekly timeframe, signaling potential reversal
Reversing from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone – the golden pocket
Taking support at the 50-week EMA , holding long-term trend structure
Target - 14900 // 17600
Stoploss - weekly close below 10215
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
Bitcoin Full analysis: Buy the dip confirmed, 123240 key__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
__________________________________________________________________________________
Momentum: Very bullish across all timeframes; healthy compression above previous range.
Key Supports: 115731–110481 USDT (structural, 1D to 1H).
Major Resistances: 123240 USDT (multi-frame pivot).
Volume: Normal, no climax or distribution — flows support the dominant bias.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong bullish HLTF signal; short-term neutral intraday.
ISPD DIV: Neutral on all timeframes.
Multi-TF Behavior: Bull rally, no excess, no euphoria or capitulation; market holds above key levels.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
Global Bias: Strong bullish – MT/LT “buy on dips” confirmed.
Opportunities: Progressive buying (117800, 115731 USDT), continuation on breakout >123240.
Risk Zones: Possible pullback if clear rejection below 123240, swing invalidation if close <115731-111949.
Macro Catalysts: Awaiting FOMC late July, short-term volatility limited. Watch geopolitics, extreme compression.
Action Plan: Swing entry: 118300–119000. Stop: 115500. Target: 123200 then 126000+. R/R ≥2.5. Adjust risk management before FOMC.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
__________________________________________________________________________________
1D: Bullish momentum, supports at 105054/107939–110483. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator strong buy, healthy volume, ISPD neutral.
12H: Consolidation below 123240, aligned supports 110481/115731, healthy structure.
6H: Confirmed momentum, continuous compression, no major sell signals.
4H: Rally structure robust, corrections limited and on support.
2H: Key support band 115731–110481, volume supports rebound, possible rotation below 123240.
1H: Rally confirmed, no panic selling detected.
30min/15min: Intraday consolidation, micro-range below resistance, stable volume, Risk On / Risk Off Indicator short-term neutral.
Cross-TF summary: CLEAR momentum across all frames, no significant divergence, high-quality HTF supports. Next >123240 breakout likely fast and dynamic.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical & Fundamental Synthesis
__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Synthesis: Broad bullish confirmation; buy-the-dip valid on 117800/115731, no aggressive downside signal. Swing positions above 118200 to be favored, expect acceleration after clear break of 123240.
Stops & Invalidation: Swing stops below 115731/111949. Closing below = increased risk, “off” bias.
Fundamentals: Optimal pre-FOMC swing window, US market in wait-and-see mode short term. Neutral/volatile geopolitics, no immediate shocks.
On-chain: Heavy accumulation, historic compression, ETF flows strong (but on short pause). Imminent volatility squeeze possible either way.
Recommendation: Actively monitor 123240 (breakout above), 115731 (below = increased caution). Adjust stops and sizing, remain highly responsive, especially as FOMC approaches.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Bitcoin: New All-Time High — What’s Next?Bitcoin had an incredible run, breaking the old all-time high ($111,980) with strong bullish momentum and setting a fresh ATH at $123,218 (Binance). We just witnessed the first major corrective move of ~6% and a decent bounce so far — but the big question is:
What’s next? Will Bitcoin break higher over the summer or form a trading range here?
Let’s dive into the technicals.
🧩 Higher Timeframe Structure
May–June Range:
BTC was stuck between $110K–$100K, forming an ABC corrective pattern. Using trend-based Fib extension (TBFE) from A–B–C:
✅ C wave completed at $98,922 (1.0 TBFE)
✅ Upside target hit at $122,137 (-1 TBFE)
Full Bull Market TBFE:
➡️ 1.0 → $107,301 → previously rejected
➡️ 1.272 → $123,158 → recent rejection zone
Pitchfork (log scale):
➡️ Tapped the upper resistance edge before rejecting.
Previous Bear Market Fib Extension:
➡️ 2.0 extension at $122,524 hit.
2018–2022 Cycle TBFE:
➡️ 1.618 at $122,011 tapped.
Macro Fibonacci Channel:
➡️ Connecting 2018 low ($3,782), 2021 ATH ($69K), 2022 low ($15,476) →
1.618–1.666 resistance band: $121K–$123.5K.
✅ Conclusion: Multiple fib confluences mark the $122K–$123K zone as critical resistance.
Daily Timeframe
➡️ FVG / Imbalance:
Big daily Fair Value Gap between the prior ATH and $115,222 swing low.
BTC broke the prior ATH (pATH) without retest → a pullback to this zone is likely.
Lower Timeframe / Short-Term Outlook
We likely saw a completed 5-wave impulse up → now correcting.
The -6% move was probably wave A, current bounce = wave B, next leg = wave C.
➡ Wave B short zone: $120K–$121K
➡ Wave C target (1.0 TBFE projection): ~$113,326
➡ Confluence at mid-FVG + nPOC
Trade Setups
🔴 Short Setup:
Entry: $120,300–$121,000
Stop: Above current ATH (~$123,300)
Target: $113,500
R:R ≈ 1:2.3
🟢 Long Setup:
Entry: Between Prior ATH and $113,000
Stop: Below anchored VWAP (~$110,500)
Target: Higher, depending on bounce confirmation.
🧠 Educational Insight: Why Fibs Matter at Market Extremes
When markets push into new all-time highs, most classic support/resistance levels disappear — there’s simply no historical price action to lean on. That’s where Fibonacci extensions, channels, and projections become powerful tools.
Here’s why:
➡ Fibonacci extensions (like the 1.272, 1.618, 2.0) help estimate where trend exhaustion or profit-taking zones may appear. They are based on the psychology of crowd behavior, as traders anchor expectations to proportional moves from previous swings.
➡ Trend-Based Fib Extensions (TBFE) project potential reversal or continuation zones using not just price levels, but also the symmetry of prior wave moves.
➡ Fibonacci channels align trend angles across multiple market cycles, giving macro context — like how the 2018 low, 2021 ATH, and 2022 low project the current 1.618–1.666 resistance zone.
In short:
When you don’t have left-hand price history, you lean on right-hand geometry.
That’s why the $122K–123K zone wasn’t just random — it’s a convergence of multiple fib levels, cycle projections, and technical structures across timeframes.
⚡ Final Thoughts
Bitcoin faces major resistance around $122K–$123K backed by multiple fib and structural levels. A retest of the prior ATH zone (~$112K–$113K) looks probable before the next big directional move. Watch lower timeframe structure for signs of completion in this corrective phase.
_________________________________
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US30 Bearish IdeaAs we can see this is a anticipation of us being in a quarterly shift in the markets and having an assumption that we had a retracement up to collect more orders for smart money to go short. We have relative strength with US30 against both NASDAQ and the SP500. We have seen resistance in our premium arrays of our weekly FVG and daily order block
* Fundamental analysis:
We are are having a shift in our bond yields which could potentially effect the dollar giving it strength and you add the fact that dollar is under valued when we have a stronger dollar rate than the rest of the basket currencies we could see it negatively effect the Dow this quarter. The Dow is very over valued and we have had consistent quantitative easing from the Fed and the Fed balance sheet has been still consistently decreasing. The commercial interest have also seen a great rise of buying dollar and if dollar is being bought up then something would need to be sold.
MarketBreakdown | GBPAUD, WTI CRUDE OIL, US30, US100
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #GBPAUD daily time frame 🇬🇧🇦🇺
The market is trading within a wide horizontal parallel channel.
The price is stuck on its support.
Probabilities will be high that the market will start growing from that.
Alternatively, its bearish breakout will provide a strong bearish signal.
2️⃣ #WTI CRUDE OIL daily time frame 🛢️
The price is now testing a significant rising trend line.
It is a critical decision moment for the market.
A bearish breakout of that may trigger a strong bearish continuation.
Monitor intraday price action today. If you see a strong bullish pattern,
it will provide a reliable confirmation to buy,
3️⃣ DOW JONES INDEX #US30 daily time frame
The market started a correction movement in
a bullish flag pattern.
Your next signal to buy will be a breakout of its resistance
and a daily candle close above that.
4️⃣ NASDAQ INDEX #US100 daily time frame
The market is now breaking a resistance of a horizontal parallel channel.
IF a today's daily candle closes above that, it will confirm a start of
another bullish wave.
The market will continue growing then.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
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HYUNDAI - Swing Trade#HYUNDAI #swingtrade #trendingstock #momentumtrading #breakoutstock
HYUNDAI : Swing Trade
>> Breakout soon
>> Trending Stock
>> Volume Dried up
>> Good strength
>> Low Risk Trade ( RR - 1:2 or 1:3 )
Swing Traders can lock profit at 10% and keep trailing
Pls Boost, like and comment if u like the analysis
Disc: Charts shared are for Learning purpose, Take position only after consulting ur Financial Advisor or a SEBI Registered Advisor
EUR/CAD: Quant-Verified ReversalThe fundamental catalyst has been triggered. The anticipated strong Canadian CPI data was released as expected, confirming the primary driver for this trade thesis. Now, the focus shifts to the technical structure, where price is showing clear exhaustion at a generational resistance wall. 🧱
Our core thesis is that the confirmed fundamental strength of the CAD will now fuel the technically-indicated bearish reversal from this critical price ceiling.
The Data-Driven Case 📊
This trade is supported by a confluence of technical, fundamental, and quantitative data points.
Primary Technical Structure: The pair is being aggressively rejected from a multi-year resistance zone (1.6000 - 1.6100). This price action is supported by a clear bearish divergence on the 4H chart's Relative Strength Index (RSI), a classic signal that indicates buying momentum is fading despite higher prices.
Internal Momentum Models: Our internal trend and momentum models have flagged a definitive bearish shift. Specifically, the MACD indicator has crossed below its signal line into negative territory, confirming that short-term momentum is now bearish. This is layered with a crossover in our moving average module, where the short-term SMA has fallen below the long-term SMA, indicating the prevailing trend structure is now downward.
Quantitative Probability & Volatility Analysis: To quantify the potential outcome of this setup, we ran a Monte Carlo simulation projecting several thousand potential price paths. The simulation returned a 79.13% probability of the trade reaching our Take Profit target before hitting the Stop Loss. Furthermore, our GARCH volatility model forecasts that the expected price fluctuations are well-contained within our defined risk parameters, reinforcing the asymmetric risk-reward profile of this trade.
The Execution Plan ✅
Based on the synthesis of all data, here is the actionable trade plan:
📉 Trade: Sell (Short) EUR/CAD
👉 Entry: 1.6030
⛔️ Stop Loss: 1.6125
🎯 Take Profit: 1.5850
The data has spoken, and the setup is active. Trade with discipline.
NZDJPY: Another Bullish Wave Ahead?! 🇳🇿🇯🇵
NZDJPY violated a significant daily resistance cluster last week.
The broken structure and a rising trend line compose a
contracting demand zone now.
That will be the area from where I will anticipate a bullish movement.
Next resistance - 89.0
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AUDUSD 4Hour TF - July 13th,2025AUDUSD 7/13/2025
AUDUSD 4hour Bullish idea
Monthly - Bearish
Weekly - Bearish
Dailly - Bullish
4hour - Bullish
We’re looking like we’re back to bullish after last week. The 4Hour timeframe has been moving up nicely and as of last week we’re sitting just below 0.65800. Going into this week we’re looking mainly bullish but we are still going to mark up two potential scenarios:
Bullish Continuation - This is looking like the most likely scenario. Ideally, price action pushes above 0.65800 then retests as support and confirms the next higher low. I’d be interested in positions as the higher low is forming and as I can spot bullish conviction to enter long on.
Bearish Reversal - Even though it’s likely we will continue bullish, a reversal is still possible as nothing is definite. For us to consider bearish setups we would need to see a break below 0.65500 with a retest of that zone as new resistance. Look for a lower high to short on below 0.65500.
DXY 4Hour TF - July 13th, 2025DXY 7/13/2025
DXY 4hour Neutral Idea
Monthly - Bearish
Weekly - Bearish
Dailly - Bearish
4hour - Ranging
Keep in mind, we analyze and follow DXY more so as an indicator. The USD makes up for a large portion of trade so it makes sense to analyze it.
Going into this week we can see DXY made an attempt to push higher. Where it closed on Friday is a major zone around 98.000. We’re still majorly bearish on higher time frames so we will keep that in mind throughout this week.
As always, we will mark up two potential paths for this week, they are as follows:
Bullish Breakout - The two main zones we want to bring out attention to are 98.000 resistance and 97.500 support. We will have to wait until price action leaves this area to spot a high quality setup. Look for a convincing push above 98.000 resistance followed by a retest of 98.000 but as support. Look for a higher low to form with bullish confirmation to long on.
Bearish Continuation- Going bearish is still very possible we just need to clear 97.500 support first. Look for a break below 97.500 with a confirmed lower high and convincing bearish setups to short on.
USDJPY Analysis : Major Move Loading Towards Target Zone🕵️♂️ Overview
The USDJPY pair is approaching a critical turning point within a well-established descending channel structure. After several months of corrective movement and internal structure shifts, the market is now displaying multiple layers of confluence pointing toward an impending major reaction or reversal. Let’s break down this chart step by step.
🧱 Market Structure Analysis
🔹 Descending Channel:
The entire chart is governed by a broad descending channel, with price making lower highs and lower lows since early March.
Each touch of the channel support has led to a bounce, and the price is now once again near channel resistance, creating a possible reaction zone.
🔹 Volume Contraction Phase:
In the mid-section of the chart, we observe volume contraction, indicating liquidity drying up and buyers/sellers entering a phase of uncertainty.
This contraction is typical in accumulation or re-accumulation phases, which often precede strong impulsive moves — exactly what followed here.
🧩 Structural Breaks and Trendline Clarity
🔸 Minor Break of Structure:
A recent high was taken out in early July, marking a minor break of structure (BOS), showing the first signs of bulls taking short-term control.
🔸 Major Break of Structure:
A more significant high (marked on the chart) has also been broken, confirming a major BOS — this implies institutional positioning or a shift in market sentiment.
🔸 Trendline Break – Extra Confirmation:
The bullish push came after breaking a clean internal trendline, which acted as diagonal resistance.
Once this trendline broke, price aggressively accelerated upward — this is a classic market maker cycle (MMC) Phase 2 (expansion) move.
📍 Confluence at Next Reversal Zone (149.00 – 150.00)
The green highlighted zone is the next potential area for bearish pressure to return, based on:
Key Supply Zone: Historical area where sellers previously dominated.
Channel Resistance Confluence: Top of the descending channel aligns with this zone.
Psychological Level: 150.00 is a major psychological round number — often attracts profit-taking and institutional activity.
Fibonacci (if plotted): Likely 78.6% – 88.6% retracement from last swing high.
Overextended Rally: Price has rallied strongly since early July with very little correction — it’s approaching exhaustion.
🔄 Market Maker Cycle (MMC) Alignment
This move perfectly reflects the Market Maker Cycle:
Accumulation: During volume contraction phase.
Manipulation: Fakeouts near channel support to trap shorts.
Expansion: Break of structure + trendline, aggressive rally.
Distribution (Next): Likely to occur at the 149–150 zone with a sharp rejection.
🧠 Trader’s Plan – What to Look For
📈 If Bullish:
Targets: 148.80 to 149.80 zone
Hold until rejection signs (bearish candles, volume spikes, divergences)
SL: Below recent swing low/trendline (~146.00)
📉 If Bearish (After Rejection):
Watch for:
Strong bearish engulfing candle or shooting star
RSI/MACD divergence (not shown but suggested)
Break of short-term ascending trendline
Targets: Back toward 145.50 or mid-channel (dynamic)
🔖 Summary
USDJPY is showing clear signs of bullish exhaustion near the upper channel resistance and major structure levels. If price respects this zone (149–150), expect a healthy corrective leg or full reversal. Multiple layers of technical evidence, including structure breaks, trendline breach, and MMC phases, are aligning for a high-probability play.
This is a textbook setup for experienced traders watching key zones with proper confirmations.
SYRMA Weekly Breakout | High Volume + 1.5-Year Base Structure🚨 Breakout Alert on SYRMA (Weekly)
After 1.5 years of sideways consolidation, SYRMA has finally broken out with strong conviction. The breakout is supported by the highest weekly volume seen in months — signaling smart money accumulation.
📊 Technical Setup:
🔹 1.5-year base formation now broken
🔹 Breakout candle closed above resistance with strength
🔹 Volume spike confirms breakout validity (HVE)
🔹 Structure resembles classic Stage 2 breakout
🟢 Ideal retest zone: ₹670–₹680
🛑 Support zone: ₹635–₹645
Fundamental Snapshot:
✅ Revenue: ₹2,000 Cr → ₹3,800 Cr in 2 years
✅ Net Profit up 50% YoY
✅ EPS (TTM): ₹9.57
✅ Promoter holding: ~46%
✅ Dominant player in EMS & IoT hardware
⚡Macro trend supports domestic electronics manufacturing — still early in the cycle.