Downloading...
Download

TACO

Is it too late for a TACO trade on USD/CAD? USD/CAD jumped nearly 900 pips on Monday after President Donald Trump announced he is “terminating” trade negotiations with Canada. But the surge didn’t stick. Within hours, the pair gave up most of its gains, slipping back below the 1.3700 breakout level. There’s been no reversal from Trump — not yet. But price action suggests the market might be front-running one. Traders have seen this before: the “TACO” setup — Trump Always Chickens Out. In that context, traders may be cautious about chasing the spike without confirmation that the trade breakdown will be long-lasting. The USD/CAD trade now hinges on updates from Trump for more TACO setups. If USD/CAD stays below 1.3700, the focus shifts back to 1.3628 and possibly lower. Below that, the long-term structure suggests a broader range between 1.3500 and 1.3770.
by BlackBull_Markets
What is the TACO trade in forex trading? The “TACO trade” – short for “Trump Always Chickens Out” – originated in equity markets but is equally relevant in forex. The pattern is simple: Trump signals aggressive tariffs, markets react and then reverse when the threat is walked back. One example: In May 2025, the U.S. dollar weakened sharply after Trump announced a 50% tariff on EU imports. EUR/USD rallied to 1.1440 as traders priced in slower U.S. growth. But just days later, the Trump delayed the tariffs to July, and the dollar quickly regained ground. For forex traders, the TACO trade strategy is about timing: entering on initial panic and exiting on the rollback. That said, it’s not without risk. If tariffs are actually enforced, the dollar’s decline may be more prolonged. And with markets increasingly aware of this pattern, reactions may become less predictable.
by BlackBull_Markets
The TACO Trade Is Back!🌮 AMEX:SPY 📊 The Setup: The TACO trade ("Trump Always Chickens Out") continues to prove its resilience in the face of trade war headlines. The market dips sharply when tariffs are announced, and then surges back up as the news cycle turns, with Trump pausing or reversing his decisions. We’ve seen multiple examples of this year-to-date on the AMEX:SPY chart: 🔹 Trump Pauses Tariffs for Canada & Mexico – market bounces. 🔹 Trump Pauses Most Liberation Day Tariffs – another bounce. 🔹 Trump Floats Lowering Tariffs on China – bounce continues. 🔹 Trump Pushes Back EU Tariffs to July – market rips higher. It’s as if every tariff tantrum is followed by an inevitable rebound. Could this be the pattern to trade around for the next few months? At this point, it almost feels like we’re watching a predictable movie. Every new threat to impose tariffs or spark a trade war is just a scene in the “TACO” storyline, and the markets are starting to get used to the plot twist. Are we playing into an endless loop of fear and relief? Is this time different, or just the same old TACO? How much longer can we trust that the market will “chicken out” and bounce back every time tariffs are floated?
AMEX:SPY
by SmartSignalss
MCD is topped out the long fast food trend may be SHORTMCD lives on people liking what they eat and eating a lot of it. The Happy Meal is famous. into the business model comes the new wave biologics for obesity and diabetes. the shots that cut down the weight and the food addiction. Insurance companies are jumping on the bandwagon. 1/3 of the people eat half the food. Increasingly, those people are seeking treatment. The fastfood executives know this. Same for the sugar beverages. Anyway, enough said. MC on the monthly chart is stuck at a double top even more obvious on a weekly or daily chart. At present it is stuck in a symmetrical triangle compressing price. The mathematical predictive algorithm forecasts price will move down the remainder of this year. I respect the mathematics and understand the medical trend. LLY makes money supplying insulin and now it makes money actually reversing diabetes and obesity. One way or another it makes money and MCD is supplying the patient flow. In the meanwhile if those patients are detoxified and lower their caloric intake, MCD is the one that suffers a regression of the growth story. I am short MCD and add to my position whenever there is a little upward price movement. Yeah, comarketing donuts with Krispy is an act of desperation.
NYSE:MCDShort
by AwesomeAvani
CMG to split price SHORTCMG has announced a split. Makes sense to make shares more affordable but fractionals are widely available. CMG may be fundamentally challenged by the underpinnings of the fast food markets. that is overeating and rising prices. In the meanwhile the anti-obesity and anti- diabetes trends are pushing hard led by the bological injectable meds from LLY, NVO and others. One third of the people eat one half of the food and now an effective treatment for that addiction is becoming increasingly available. The writing is on the wall and food biz executives can read that writing. Enough said. I am going short on CMG. It's best days of growth may behind it. The company announced plans for 4000 more stores nationwide. Really? Time will tell. I vote with my wallet. My position will not be small. The predictive algo has its forecast. My education included both medicine and engineering. I understand the power of biology and mathematics. I deeply respect both.
NYSE:CMGShort
by AwesomeAvani
$TACO A Buy Near Multi-Year Lows$TACO looks to have sold off too hard to the downside and now trades near all-time lows. In the current environment, $TACO should do alright. Historically, prior to the introduction of delivery, drive-thru and takeout represented more than 85% of Del Taco’s company-operated restaurant sales. On the recent fiscal fourth quarter 2019 earnings call the Company reported that delivery had grown to approximately 3% of company-operated restaurant sales following the late 2019 launch of its third delivery service provider. Last week, Del Taco entered into an agreement with its fourth delivery service provider, Uber Eats, which is expected to go live during the fiscal second quarter 2020. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the Company has closed substantially all system-wide dining rooms and continues to operate through limited contact or contactless channels such as drive-thru, takeout and delivery. The Company has increased its cash position by drawing down $50.0 million under its revolving credit facility. With the draw down and existing cash, the Company currently has over $56.0 million in cash on hand. Its current market cap is just $143 million. Del Taco (NASDAQ: TACO) offers a unique variety of both Mexican and American favorites such as burritos and fries, prepared fresh in every restaurant's working kitchen with the value and convenience of a drive-thru. Del Taco's menu items taste better because they are made with quality ingredients like fresh grilled chicken and carne asada steak, hand-sliced avocado, hand-grated cheddar cheese, slow-cooked beans made from scratch, and creamy Queso Blanco. The brand's campaign further communicates Del Taco's commitment to providing guests with the best quality and value for their money through cooking, chopping, shredding and grilling menu items from scratch. Founded in 1964, today Del Taco serves more than three million guests each week at its approximately 600 restaurants across 15 states. Good luck to all!
NASDAQ:TACOLong
by OptionsGains