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Tactical

Chinese tech stocks in the process of capitulationIt has been a rough year here for Chinese stocks but after this recent weeks acceleration lower it feels like we're entering at least some type of short-term capitulation washout. Volume acceleration Extension outside multiple time frame Bollinger Bands Speed of sell off Definitely a fierce counter-trend trade for more experienced traders that can manage risk and position size appropriately but I'd pay attention to it in this 42 to 46 zone for a reaction.
AMEX:KWEBLong
by EvanMedeiros
Time to fade the dollar move and long the South African rand Risk markets were a bloodbath this week. Explosive moves in the RV yield curve space caused ripple effects across a variety of asset classes. The US equity market was significantly affected, albeit only 2.5% from SPY ATHs. That said, there were some vicious sector rotations with momentum (TSLA,AAPL) really underperforming. EM took the brunt of this hit too, with the rand down over 4% on the 25th Feb. Today we come into a setup where the rand fell further and is now starting to rebound, in line with broad equity risk and a potential short-term top in yields. I'm entering long zar against the USD, targeting the 10day EMA at around 14.77. I will take 4/5 of the trade-off there and let the rest run.
Short
by MT-Macro
Tactical Funnel Trading (EURUSD)As euro is capitulating we are positioning for another short term rally contrary to the overall trend. Here using a funnel between 1.11250 and 1.12400 range. If the funnel is broken from the downside we are looking into further capitulation and trade being cancelled. Otherwise we are positioning for a breakout trade around 1.11620 mark. Please note that if the projections don't pan out as illustrated the trade should be discarded regardless. Trade safe, trade well
Long
by fromzerotospyro
1
Descending Triangle On BTCUSD (Long Bias)Hello Traders Another Tactical Trading Tuesday at your discretion. Here with a Descending triangle that has been in play for the past two months. The trend held up very nicely thus far. Forming a solid resistance. On the other hand support was also found on and around 9300. So we are geared towards long direction with a breakout and continuation. If the price projections (yellow arrows) don't play out as shown then the trade would be invalidated. Trade safe Trade well
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by fromzerotospyro
EURUSD BEARISH BIASHello Traders My first Tactical Trading Tuesday for the year on my favorite pair. As we see EURUSD price action complying within a converging triangle I'm pointing you towards two tactical entries. The first entry is following the main trendline on the bearish daily momentum and expecting strong resistance @1.15 level And the second entry featuring a breakout from the triangle as price is projected to break support around @1.1350 Please bear in mind that this is a daily chart so these trades are primarily geared toward the medium to long term traders. Any deviation from highlighted yellow projections will deem these trades invalidated. Trade safe, Trade well.
Short
by fromzerotospyro
Funnel Trading: A case for funnel break out on EURJPYHello Traders Looking further into a choppy market indeed I present to you my tactical entry on EURJPY. The price has been fluctuating within a funnel here on the 4h chart. We are looking to position in a potential continuation.(looking at 128.000 round number as potential level) Also note that this is the third time that price tested the funnel and broke it with some forceful downward momentum. Please bear in mind that you should always place stop loss orders in every setup. Trade safe, trade well.
Short
by fromzerotospyro
Simple RSI-MA Algo Beats DOW By Huge Margin Over Past 100 Years!This simple RSI-MA long/short algorithm beats the Dow by a FREAKING HUGE margin over the past century (excluding dividends and trading costs). The algorithm uses a fast SMA of the RSI as a buy/cover signal and a slow SMA of the RSI as a sell/short signal. Backtest period = 09/17/1916 - 11/02/2015 DJIA = 98 --> 17,830 = +18,094% = 5.38% CAGR Algorithm = net profit + open P/L = +43,349% = 6.31% CAGR Notice how the algorithm dodged both the 30s' Great Depression and the 2008 Crisis. Pretty cool huh? :) ALGORITHM'S FORMULA (use weekly chart): Buy/Cover = MA10(RSI10) cross> 50 Sell/Short = MA50(RSI10) cross< 50 STRATEGY TESTER'S SETTINGS: - Initial cash = $10,000 - Pyramiding disabled - Re-investment enabled (order size = 100% of equity) - Trade re-calculations disabled DISCLAIMER: None of my ideas and posts are investment advice. Past performance is not an indication of future results. This strategy was constructed with the benefit of hindsight and its future performance cannot be guaranteed.
DJ:DJI
by Stable_Camel
4
SPX Long/Short Momentum Algorithm Beats S&P500 By A Huge Margin!This simple algorithm uses Exponential Moving Averages of the S&P 500's Relative Strength Index to trigger buy/sell and short/cover signals on a daily chart. I've backtested the algorithm for SPY (1994-present), SPX (1981-present), SPX500 (1971-present), and it beats the S&P 500 in every occasion. The algorithm cannot correctly time every single crash or correction but for the most part, it can avoid and even profit from most major market downturns. Backtest results show that it would have timed both the 2000 and 2008 crashes beautifully. By the way, a new sell/short signal was generated just a few days ago. The last time this happened was in 2008. Hmm... :) Algorithm Rules: Long Entry/Short Exit = EMA100(RSI50) cross> 50 Long Exit/Short Entry = EMA200(RSI50) cross< 50 Enjoy! ~Kory
AMEX:SPY
by Stable_Camel
2
S&P 500 Long-Term Momentum Tactical ModelThis S&P 500 timing model is comprised of 2 components: 1) A 10-period (50 days) Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and 40-period (200 days) EMA are plotted on the weekly chart of the S&P 500. When EMA10 crosses from above to below EMA40, a sell signal is generated. When EMA10 crosses from below to above EMA40, a buy signal is generated. 2) A 10-period (50 days) Relative Strength Index (RSI) is plotted on the weekly chart of the S&P 500. Then, a 40-period (200 days) moving average (MA) of the RSI is plotted. When the MA crosses from below to above 50, a buy signal is generated, indicating that the market has entered the accumulation phase (bull market). When the MA crosses from above to below 50, a sell signal is generated, indicating that the market has entered the distribution phase (bear market). For simplicity, I've hidden the RSI and only the MA is shown. IMPORTANT: The model requires 2 sell signals from both components to exit an existing long position but it only requires 1 buy signal from either component to initiate an existing long position. When an existing long position is exited, the model goes to cash until it re-initiates a new long position. As you can see, the model right now is super close to exiting its current long position that was initiated back in December 2011; I'm expecting this to happen next week. My model is extremely accurate in predicting major crashes and bear markets, such as the 2000 Tech Bubble and 2008 Financial Crisis. However, minor market corrections like the one 2011 could generate fake-out signals and fool the model into thinking that a major crash/bear market is coming when in reality, the market quickly rebounded following the short correction. The strength of the model lies in its ability to predict and avoid major crashes/bear markets, not small corrections. Additionally, the model cannot predict flash crashes (i.e., 1987). Backtest results from 1970 to present day shows that this model would have outperformed the S&P 500: 8.06% vs. 7.14% CAGR (trading costs and dividends excluded). Below is a link to the backtest spreadsheet: docs.google.com P.S. - I don't know how to code in Pine (yet) so could someone please code this model with the Strategy Tester for me? I would GREATLY appreciate it :) thanks! ------------------------------------------------------------------------ EXPONENTIAL MOVING AVERAGES' SETTINGS - 1st EMA's length = 10 weeks (50 days) - 2nd EMA's length = 40 weeks (200 days) RELATIVE STRENGTH INDEX'S SETTINGS - Look-back period = 10 weeks (50 days) - Moving average's length = 40 weeks (200 days) MODEL'S RULES Only initiate a new long position when ANY of the following conditions are met: - MA40(RSI10) > 50 - EMA10 > EMA40 Only exit an existing long position when ALL following conditions are met: - MA40(RSI10) < 50 - EMA10 < EMA40
FX:SPX500
by Stable_Camel