OIL INDIA BUY VIEW OIL INDIA - BUY PROJECTION
Trade Setup :
Fundamental Analysis
Stock PE - 9.22
Industry PE - 20.7
Low Debt
Promoter Holding - 53 %
DII Holdings - 17 %
Regularly Paid Dividend - 2 %
Strong Fundamental - Stock Possible to Doubled - (Current - 474 ) (Target - 948 )
for Long term 5 years Holding ..
Technical Analysis
Monthly - Strong Support & Fib 50 %
Day - Wait For Candle Close in Black Line
Entry - 507 Rs
Target - 740 Rs
Stoploss - 408 Rs
Happy trading .. Thank You ...
Technical Analysis
COIN -- Major Trendlines + Bearish Divergence = Breakdown?Hello Traders!
Today I have shared the chart of COINBASE. Of course we cant know for sure what price will do, however you can take clues and combine them to give you a high probability reading of the chart.
Here are the clues:
1) MAJOR TRENDLINE
2) TRENDLINE
3) BEARISH DIVERGENCE
4) BULL FLAG MEASURED MOVE
When we combine these clues, a very bearish picture is painted... This signals to me that there is a high probability price will likely reverse and trade to the downside in the near future.
I hope everyone enjoyed this post and is able to use it as an educational tool.
Thanks everyone and best of luck on your trading journey!
Bitcoin Rally Losing Steam?Bitcoin might be approaching a Turning Point . Here’s what I’m seeing on the weekly chart:
Price is moving inside an ascending Fibonacci channel.
It’s getting close to the 1.60 (160%) extension level, which has acted as a reversal zone before.
At the same time, the RSI is showing a clear negative divergence, suggesting that momentum is weakening.
These signs combined could mean we’re not far from a significant correction.
Nothing is confirmed yet, but it’s a setup worth keeping an eye on.
QBTS bull flag dailyBetter look at quantum computing ticker QBTS bull flag on the daily timeframe. Previous post looked at the weekly timeframe to highlight the bullish momentum. Lots of retail money piled into this one in the last few months, a breakout of this bull flag will likely be followed by a parabolic move.
MARA Is Waking Up And Looks Promising For The Crypto MarketMARA Is Waking Up And Looks Promising For The Crypto Market, as it can send the price even higher this year from a technical and Elliott wave perspective.
Marathon Digital Holdings with ticker MARA nicely and sharply recovered away from the strong support after a completed projected higher degree abc correction in wave B/2. So, similar as Crypto market, even MARA can be forming a bullish setup with waves »i« and »ii« that can soon extend the rally within wave »iii« of a five-wave bullish cycle within higher degree wave C or 3, especially if breaks above 21 first bullish evidence level. It could be easily supportive for the Crypto market if we consider a positive correlation.
GBP GBPUSD Supply-Demand Long SignalHigher Timeframe Analysis:
- Price inside daily/Weekly level of demand + pivot
- Long term trend = uptrend
- Fundamentals Bullish
- COT Mixed
- Technicals Bullish
Lowertimeframe:
- Price broke downard ML
- Price removed the opposing pivotal level of demand
- DBR Demand created from CPI event
- Split risk on GC + GBP
This is a mix of using Sentiment, technical analysis, and fundamental analysis with supply-demand.
MarketBreakdown | EURAUD, GBPJPY, WTI CRUDE OIL, SILVER
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #EURAUD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇦🇺
The market is trading in a bullish trend.
The price is steadily growing within a rising parallel channel.
A recent test of its support triggered a strong bullish reaction.
I think that a rise may continue at least to a current high - 1.8035
2️⃣ #GBPJPY daily time frame 🇬🇧🇯🇵
The market is consolidating within a narrow horizontal
parallel channel.
Consider consolidation, trading within its boundaries.
The next bullish wave will be confirmed with a breakout and a
daily candle close above its resistance.
3️⃣ CRUDE OIL #WTI daily time frame 🛢️
The market remains weak and consolidation continues.
I see a wide horizontal range where the price is now stuck.
I think that we may see a pullback from its support.
4️⃣ #SILVER #XAGUSD daily time frame 🪙
The market is retracing after a formation of a new higher high.
I see a strong demand zone ahead: it is based on a rising trend line
and a recently broken horizontal resistance.
The next trend following movement will most likely initiate from there.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 17/07/2025Opening Expectation: Slight Gap-Up Around 25200
Nifty is likely to open slightly gap-up near the 25200 level, showing early signs of strength. If the index manages to sustain above the 25250 level, we may see a continuation of the upward momentum with targets around 25350, 25400, and 25450+. This zone marks the upper resistance, and a breakout with strong volume could push prices into a bullish trend for the session.
On the other hand, if Nifty faces rejection around 25250–25200 and begins to slide, a short opportunity opens up with downside targets at 25150, 25100, and 25050. Sustained weakness below these levels could intensify selling pressure. However, in case the index reverses and bounces from the 25050–25100 zone, a quick intraday long trade can be considered toward 25150, 25200, and 25250+.
Today’s bias remains slightly positive, but the session may remain volatile between key levels. Traders should focus on price action around the 25250 resistance and use trailing stop losses with strict risk control.
Gold Market Analysis (XAU/USD) – MMC Analysis + Liquidity Target🧠 Market Context Overview:
Gold recently experienced a highly impulsive move from a major demand zone, suggesting strong smart money activity. The market is currently in the redistribution phase of the MMC (Market Maker Cycle), transitioning between a reversal impulse and a liquidity targeting move.
Let’s dissect the key zones, structure, and confluences that support the ongoing market narrative.
📍 1. Strong Demand Reaction (3X Demand Spike):
We start with a triple-tap demand rejection, where the price sharply reversed to the upside. This kind of movement typically represents:
Institutional Entry Points
Stop-Hunt Below Previous Lows
Liquidity Grab Before Expansion
This strong bullish engulfing candle signifies position building by smart money, often the beginning of a significant leg up.
🧱 2. Reversal Zone & Liquidity Imbalance:
The highlighted green zone between $3,370–$3,375 is crucial. Why?
It’s an inefficiency zone where price moved too fast with low resistance.
This created a liquidity void that typically needs to be revisited (also known as FVG – Fair Value Gap).
The area also coincides with structural resistance, making it a high-probability target for price to revisit and reject again or break through with intent.
📌 Smart money always returns to areas of unfilled liquidity to close their positions or trap late retail entries.
🔺 3. Volume Contraction (Wedge Pattern Formation):
After the explosive push upward, the market started compressing, forming a descending wedge — a classical volume contraction pattern.
What does this mean?
Volatility is decreasing
Liquidity is building up
Big breakout is expected
It’s like pulling a slingshot — the more it contracts, the stronger the release will be. The direction will depend on which side breaks first.
🔁 4. Previous Structure Flipped (Support turned Resistance):
You’ll notice a key level around $3,353–$3,355 acting as a flipped structure.
This was previously a support zone that got broken.
Now it’s acting as resistance — a classic example of support/resistance flip.
This adds confluence to the idea of a possible rejection or reaction in this area.
🧠 Structure flipping is a smart money trick — break structure, retrace to trap liquidity, and then run the opposite direction.
📊 5. MMC Logic – Market Maker Cycle in Play:
Here’s how the MMC is flowing:
Accumulation (bottom consolidation)
Manipulation (liquidity sweep below demand)
Expansion (aggressive upward move)
Contraction (volume dies, price slows down)
Now we’re waiting for the next manipulation or expansion phase.
The current wedge is the pause before the next move, which could fill liquidity in the reversal zone or go lower to sweep resting sell-side liquidity.
🎯 Trading Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Bias (if breakout happens):
Break and close above the wedge
Retest previous flipped structure successfully
Target: Liquidity zone at $3,370–$3,375
🎯 This move would fill the imbalance and potentially tag sell-side liquidity sitting at the top.
❌ Bearish Bias (if rejection holds):
Failure to break above flipped structure
Breakdown from the wedge
Target: Demand origin around $3,325–$3,315
🧲 A move lower would make sense if liquidity remains uncollected beneath the range.
🧵 Final Thoughts:
Gold is currently in a high-probability setup zone. We have:
✅ Clear demand reaction
✅ Imbalance above
✅ Volume contraction
✅ Flipped structure
✅ Strong MMC confluence
Now it's a waiting game. Let the market show its hand — either a clean breakout with volume or a fakeout/rejection and reversal.
📌 "Trade what you see, not what you think. Let the levels and liquidity guide your decision."
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 17, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July 17, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🇮🇳 India–U.S. Inflation Divergence Dampens Dollar
India’s June retail inflation tumbled to a six-year low, while U.S. CPI hit its fastest pace since February—driven by tariff effects. This divergence is weakening the U.S. dollar against the rupee, pushing down dollar‑rupee forward premiums
📜 Treasury to Ramp Up T-Bill Issuance
Following the recent debt-ceiling increase, the U.S. Treasury plans to issue over $1 trillion in T-bills over the next 18 months. Money-market funds, flush with cash, are expected to absorb the supply, which could influence short-dated yields
💱 Dollar Eases Amid Fed-Related Volatility
Headline news that President Trump “highly unlikely” to fire Fed Chair Powell, coupled with stable PPI data, calmed markets. The dollar dipped slightly after earlier turmoil, while gold and bonds saw modest gains
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Thursday, July 17:
(No major U.S. economic releases)
Markets will track T-bill issuance plans, dollar forward dynamics, and statements from the Treasury and Fed regarding debt and rate strategy.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is for educational purposes only—not financial advice. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #dollar #tbills #inflation #Fed #technicalanalysis
USDCAD is breaking the trendline againOnce again, FX_IDC:USDCAD is breaking its medium-term downside resistance line, drawn from the current highest point of this year. If the rate remains above it, we may see a few more bulls stepping in. Let's take a look.
MARKETSCOM:USDCAD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(17/07/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open slightly gap-up near the 57100 zone. This level is a key intraday pivot. If the index sustains above 57100, it could trigger upward momentum toward the next resistance levels at 57250, 57350, and potentially 57450+. A move beyond 57550 will likely strengthen the bullish sentiment and may stretch the rally further toward 57750, 57850, and 57950+.
On the downside, if Bank Nifty fails to hold 57050–57100 and slips below 56950–56900, it may invite selling pressure, with potential downside targets at 56750, 56650, and 56550. This zone acts as short-term support, and failure to hold here could lead to further weakness.
Overall, Bank Nifty is currently in a range with bullish bias above 57100.
BTCUSD Analysis : Reversal Brewing from Volume Burst Demand Zone🧠 Overview:
Bitcoin is currently showing signs of a potential bullish reversal, following a classic Market Maker Cycle (MMC) pattern. The price action has been clean, respecting both volume dynamics and structural levels, setting the stage for a possible breakout above key areas of interest.
Let’s dive into the detailed breakdown:
🔍 Key Technical Elements:
1️⃣ Volume Contractions – Early Sign of Momentum Shift
At the top left of the chart, we observe a sharp upward move, followed by volume contraction within a rising wedge. This typically represents:
Absorption of orders
Reduced volatility
Market indecision
This kind of structure often precedes a reversal or aggressive breakout, depending on how price behaves near liquidity zones.
2️⃣ Fakeout/Trap Above – Classic MMC Manipulation Phase
After the rising wedge formed, BTC experienced a quick fakeout (stop hunt) just above the highs, then dropped sharply. This was the manipulation leg — a clear signal that liquidity above the wedge was taken and smart money is now repositioning.
🧠 Market makers love to trap breakout traders before moving the opposite way. The drop confirms manipulation is complete.
3️⃣ Reversal Zone + Demand Interchange into Supply
Price then entered a marked reversal zone which was previously an area of demand — now interchanging into supply. This zone is critical because:
It aligns with volume burst zones
It acted as support turned resistance
Multiple rejections confirm order flow shift
This tells us smart money is now testing this area to accumulate or trap sellers.
4️⃣ Volume Burst Area – Institutional Involvement Confirmed
We can clearly identify a Volume Burst Area, where price spiked with strong momentum — this is not retail trading. This zone is now being revisited for a potential bullish re-accumulation.
Expect reaction from this area, as it likely contains unmitigated buy orders from institutions.
5️⃣ Break of Structure (BOS) Mapping:
Minor BOS: Breaks short-term lower highs, showing early intent.
Major BOS: Breaks significant structure, confirming shift in trend direction.
A successful retest of demand and then break of both BOS levels will likely lead to a strong bullish continuation.
📈 Trade Plan & Potential Price Path:
There are two potential bullish entry strategies forming:
✅ Scenario 1: Clean Breakout Plan
Price holds the current reversal zone
Breaks Minor BOS, then Major BOS
Retest of BOS confirms continuation
📍 Target: $119,600+
✅ Scenario 2: Liquidity Sweep Entry
Price dips lower into Volume Burst Area
Sweeps liquidity below and prints a bullish reaction
Enters from discount zone
Same upside targets apply
🧠 This would be a smart money entry — entering from the lowest point of pain for retail traders.
🧵 Final Thoughts:
BTC is setting up beautifully for a reversal continuation pattern within the MMC framework. We’ve seen:
📉 Initial drop (accumulation phase)
🎭 Fake breakout (manipulation phase)
📈 Upcoming expansion (breakout phase)
All signs point to a high-probability move upward, especially if price confirms with BOS + retest. Be patient, wait for price action to align with structure and volume clues.
BAJAJFINSV BUY PROJECTION Bajajfinsv - Buy View
Trade Setup :
Monthly - Strong Support and FIB 0.786
Weekly - Symmetric Triangle Breakout
Day - Higher High Formed (Uptrend)
Entry - Aggressive Trader(Entry Now)
Conservative Trader - 1588 Rs
Target 1 - 1925 Rs
Target 2 - 1971 Rs
Stoploss - 1514 Rs
Expected Return - 20 %
EURUSD – Weakness emerges at descending channel resistanceEURUSD remains within a well-defined descending channel and was recently rejected at the upper trendline – a key dynamic resistance zone. Price action shows the recovery is limited around 1.16600, with multiple FVG (Fair Value Gap) zones reinforcing the potential for further downside.
On the news front, the euro remains under pressure as Eurozone inflation data brought no surprises, while the US dollar is supported by June’s PPI rising exactly as expected at 0.2%. This combination leaves EURUSD with little momentum to break higher, making a move back toward the 1.15300 support area a scenario to watch.
If the price fails to break above 1.16600 and forms a lower high, the bearish trend will be further confirmed. Keep an eye on price behavior around the FVG zones to identify optimal entry points.
USDJPY Symmetrical Triangle – Be Ready for Breakout or BreakdownUSDJPY is currently squeezed inside a well-formed symmetrical triangle, indicating a breakout is imminent. This consolidation pattern is nearing its apex, and price action is getting tighter. A sharp move in either direction could unfold soon. Here's how to prepare:
🟢 Bullish Breakout Setup:
Entry Trigger: 1H candle close above 148.70
Stop Loss: Below last higher low or triangle support (~148.15)
Targets:
TG1: 149.20
TG2: 149.60
Final TG: 149.95–150.00
Bias: Favors trend continuation (previous uptrend)
🔍 Confirmation: Strong breakout candle with momentum and/or volume.
🔴 Bearish Breakdown Setup:
Entry Trigger: 1H candle close below 148.15
Stop Loss: Above triangle resistance (~148.70)
Targets:
TG1: 147.60
TG2: 147.20
Final TG: 146.80
Bias: Reversal or failed trend continuation
🔍 Confirmation: Clean breakdown with bearish candle close + possible re-test rejection.
⚠️ Avoid premature entries inside the triangle. Wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown with candle close and rejection follow-up.
🎯 Tip: Triangle breakouts often result in fast directional moves. Plan your lot size based on volatility and stick to your risk parameters. This is a high-probability setup — trade with discipline.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Pre-Market Prep 7.18.2025What it do, everyone! Here’s my pre-market prep for Friday, July 18th. Just to give you a quick overview, I'm using my prior value areas, the prior day's high and low, and the CVA levels from my market profile. I use all this history to help me plan my trades for the day.
So, starting with the S&P, as of now we’re green across the board. We’re in balance up from the prior day’s range, value area, and the CVA. My main plan is to look for acceptance and a pullback to a confluence area for longs. If we get rotational and break out of that area, I’m ready to go short.
For the NASDAQ, it's a similar story. We’re rotational in the prior value area and range, but we’re balanced up from the recent CVA. Right now, I’m waiting to see if we can confirm acceptance and then I’ll look for a short from that rotational area down to the prior value area low.
In the Russell, I’m seeing clear acceptance above all levels, so a pullback to the confluence area for a long would be ideal.
For Gold, I’m also seeing it in balance up on all fronts. My first move would be a long from the prior day’s high. If we drop a bit lower, I’ll be looking at that CVA and PVA area for another long.
The Euro is a bit more mixed. We’re rotational in the prior day’s range but balanced up in the value area and CVA. I want to clear the prior day’s high before taking any big moves.
The Yen is also rotational, so I’m looking to trade the extremes, maybe some scalps while we’re balanced in the prior value area.
For the Aussie Dollar, we’re in balance up from the PVA, but rotational in the prior day’s range and CVA. I’m looking for shorts near the top area and longs at the bottom, staying out of the middle for now.
And finally, Crude Oil is rotational on all fronts. My first plan is to look for shorts from the confluence area down to the prior day’s range.
That’s my pre-market prep for today. Let’s trade smart. Happy Friday, peace!
Bitcoin Swing Reinforcement, Strategic Stops Below 115k__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
__________________________________________________________________________________
Momentum : Strong bullish trend on all timeframes above 1h (MTFTI dark/gray, “Strong Up” confirmed).
Supports/Resistances :
Key supports: $104,000–$110,000 (HTF), $116,000–$118,000 (STF).
Strategic resistances: $120,000–$122,000 (HTF), ATH $125,000.
Volumes : No excess, healthy and regular flows.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : Strong BUY across all higher timeframes, US tech sector momentum is bullish.
ISPD DIV : Neutral across all TFs, no extreme behavioral signals.
Multi-TF behavior : Bullish confirmation down to 1H; neutral/profit-taking mood on 15min–5min.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
Overall bias : Strong bullish as long as the $116,000 zone holds.
Opportunities : Swing entries on pullbacks $116,000–$118,000; first take-profits at $122,000–$125,000. Potential extension up to $130,000 if on-chain momentum persists.
Risk zones : Below $115,000 = invalidation, structural downside risk (swing closure recommended).
Macro catalysts : No imminent major macro event, structurally mild volatility. Geopolitical hand neutral for now.
Risk management : Mandatory stop $114,800–$115,000, current risk/reward >2:1 on the bounce zone.
Action plan : Buy on clean retracement above 116k–118k, actively track STH profit-taking, reactively adjust if major S/R clusters break.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
__________________________________________________________________________________
1D : Supports 104k–110k, major resistance 120k–125k. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator STRONG BUY. ISPD DIV neutral, volumes regular. MTFTI Strong Up.
12H : S/R 117.5k–119.3k, strong support 115k–116k. Risk-on sectorial momentum active. Volumes unaltered, confirmed uptrend.
6H : Resistance 119.3k, support 116k. Still strong buy, healthy flows, technical uptrend confirmed. Bounce ops 116k–117k.
4H : Support 117.5k–118.2k. Resistance 120k–121k. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator only buy, general up. No abnormal volume.
2H : Support 118k/116k, resistance 120k. Sectorial momentum intact, uptrend solid, best scalping/retest at 118k.
1H : Support 118k, res. at 119.5k then 120k. Sectorial momentum strong, no volume/ISPD excess.
30min : Support 118k, resistance 119k/119.8k. Slight momentum drop, context healthy. Fast entries on rebounds.
15min : Support 118.2k, resistance 119.3k. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator neutral. MTFTI micro-volatile. Volumes steady.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Decision Synthesis
__________________________________________________________________________________
Confluences : Bullish alignment across HTFs, strong sector momentum, healthy volumes, no behavioral excess.
Divergences : Slight short-term fading on lower TFs. Adjustment signal, not a trend reversal.
On-chain : All holders in profit, early STH profit-taking but no structural top. Potential extension 122–130k$ before local exhaustion zone.
Risks : Drop below 115k would invalidate the swing dynamic. Geopolitical stress to be monitored, but little short-term transmission.
Strategy : Buyers to reinforce between 116k–118k, secure partials above 122k. Strict stop below 115k.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Litecoin Continues Its Bullish Cycle As ExpectedLitecoin Continues Its Bullish Cycle As Expected, which can send the price even higher from technical point of view and by Elliott wave theory.
We talked about Litecoin back on May 30, when we spotted a bullish setup formation with waves (1) and (2) that can extend the rally within wave (3) of a five-wave bullish impulse.
As you can see today on July 18, Litecoin with ticker LTCUSD is now breaking strongly back above May highs after we noticed a complex W-X-Y correction in wave (2). Now that ALTcoin dominance is stepping strongly in, we may easily see more gains within a projected five-wave bullish cycle during the ALTseason, just be aware of short-term pullbacks.
AUDUSD – bullish momentum returns, ready for a breakout?AUDUSD is showing clear strength after rebounding from a key support zone. The bullish structure remains intact with a series of higher lows, and the ascending trendline continues to hold. The recent pullback appears to be a healthy retracement before the market gathers momentum for the next leg up.
On the news front, the pair is supported by strong Australian employment data and expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates steady. This has slightly weakened the US dollar, giving AUD room to recover.
If buying pressure holds, AUDUSD could break through the overhead resistance and enter a new bullish phase. Now is the time for traders to watch price action closely and wait for a clear confirmation signal!
Silver Rebounds Toward $38 as Dollar EasesSilver rebounded toward $38 per ounce on Friday, recovering from a two-day decline as the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields eased. The move reflected shifting sentiment on Fed policy and trade conditions after earlier losses sparked by inflation data that reduced hopes for near-term rate cuts.
U.S. stock futures edged higher following record closes for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, driven by strong retail sales, lower jobless claims, and optimism in AI-related tech stocks after Taiwan Semiconductor’s positive forecast. On monetary policy, Fed officials remain divided: Mary Daly expects two rate cuts this year, while Adriana Kugler urges caution due to tariff-driven inflation. President Trump reinforced trade tensions by sending letters to over 20 partners setting new tariffs between 20% and 40%.
In corporate updates, United Airlines expects stronger earnings in the second half of 2025, and Chevron signaled higher future cash flow as production in its top U.S. oil field nears a plateau.
Resistance is at 38.50, while support holds at 37.20.
Yen Rebounds as Japan Inflation Stays ElevatedThe yen rose to around 148 per dollar on Friday, recovering from the previous day’s decline as markets assessed fresh inflation figures. Japan’s inflation eased slightly to 3.3% in June from 3.5% in May but remained above the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for the 39th straight month. This persistent overshoot has intensified speculation about possible policy tightening by the central bank.
Resistance is at 149.30, with major support at 147.50.
Pound Pressured by Firm Dollar and UK Data ReviewThe British pound held near $1.339 on Friday, its lowest level in eight weeks, as the U.S. dollar strengthened. The dollar reached a three-week high after President Trump confirmed he would not remove Fed Chair Jerome Powell, despite continued criticism of the Fed’s careful stance on rate cuts. In the UK, markets are closely reviewing recent employment and inflation data. While the labor market shows signs of weakness, updated tax records suggest the slowdown may not be as severe as previously thought.
Resistance is at 1.3535, while support holds at 1.3380.