Technical Analysis
XAUUSD: Key Reversal Zone or Deeper Correction Ahead?XAUUSD: Key Reversal Zone or Deeper Correction Ahead?
Gold enters the new trading week balancing on a technical and macroeconomic knife’s edge. After a steep decline, prices are testing critical liquidity zones — just as geopolitical tensions and US economic uncertainty intensify.
🌍 Macro & Fundamental Outlook
📰 Middle East Tensions Rising Again: Israel has signaled potential strikes on Tehran after Iran allegedly violated a ceasefire agreement. Such developments usually support gold as a safe-haven asset.
📊 US Economic Signals Are Mixed: Last week’s PMI and housing data point toward an economic slowdown. If this week’s Core PCE data softens, expectations for a Fed rate cut in September will grow — likely weakening the USD and lifting gold.
🏦 Global Demand for Gold Still Strong: Central banks, particularly from China and India, are continuing their gold accumulation, reinforcing long-term bullish fundamentals.
📉 Technical Analysis (H1–H4)
Gold is still trading within a downward channel but is now approaching a strong demand zone around 3276, a level that has triggered rebounds in the past.
EMA 34 – 89 – 200 indicate bearish momentum, but RSI is showing bullish divergence — hinting at a possible reversal or short-term bounce.
Price action around key support and resistance levels will be crucial this week.
✅ XAUUSD Trade Setup
BUY ZONE: 3278 - 3276 | SL: 3270 | TP: 3282 - 3286 - 3290 - 3294 - 3298 - 3302 - 3305 - 3310
SELL ZONE: 3367 - 3369 | SL: 3375 | TP: 3364 - 3360 - 3356 - 3352 - 3348 - 3344 - 3340 - 3330 - 3320
📌 The Buy Zone lies within a historical liquidity pocket — ideal for a potential rebound if geopolitical risks rise or USD weakens.
📌 The Sell Zone is near a key Fair Value Gap (FVG) and local resistance — strong confluence for short opportunities on a bounce.
🧭 Final Thoughts
XAUUSD is facing a pivotal moment. With both geopolitical events and major US economic data on the horizon, traders should prepare for volatility. Patience, technical discipline, and proper SL/TP management will be key to navigating this environment successfully.
Gold: Breakout and Potential retraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a selling opportunity around 3,340 zone, Gold was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3,340 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Pound-Yen Finds Support with Eyes on 198.1FenzoFx—GBP/JPY is forming bullish long-wick candlesticks near 196.8, just above key support at 196.5.
The market remains bullish above this zone, with potential to retest 198.1. A sustained move higher could extend the rally.
The bullish outlook is invalidated if GBP/JPY closes below 196.5.
CADCHF: Confirmed Bearish Trap?! 🇨🇦🇨🇭
There is a high chance that CADCHF will bounce from the underlined
blue support.
As a confirmation, I see a cup & handle pattern on an hourly time frame
that compose a bearish trap.
Goal - 0.5926
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CAD/JPY Holds Trendline Support with Bullish Bias IntactFenzoFx—CAD/JPY dipped from 107.34, finding support at a bullish FVG while staying above the ascending trendline.
The Stochastic Oscillator signals oversold, suggesting a potential reversal. The outlook remains bullish above 105.61, targeting a retest of 107.35. A break below 105.61 would invalidate the bullish scenario.
HIMS 1D — This pattern didn’t cook for nothingOn the daily chart of Hims & Hers Health, we’re looking at a textbook cup with handle formation — not just a pattern, but a structure backed by time, volume, and classic price behavior. The base of the cup formed steadily from February to May 2025, and as soon as the curve was complete, price transitioned into a tight consolidation — the "handle" that often masks real accumulation.
Right now, price is testing the resistance area. And it’s not just floating up there — it’s coming in hot: price has already broken through EMA 20/50/100/200 and SMA 50/200. That’s a full stack flip. This isn’t sideways noise — it’s a structural shift in control.
Volume is starting to build as price rises, confirming that demand is real and institutional positioning likely active. We’re watching a breakout zone above the handle — and when that breaks, the structure unlocks with a clear target: $107.25, roughly a 2x move from current levels.
This setup isn’t noise. It’s a long-cooked formation that’s now about to boil over. If the handle holds and price breaks through — the rest is just follow-through.
EURUSD – Rejected at 1.16100, bearish pressure re-emergingEURUSD has just completed a technical rebound toward the 1.16100 resistance zone, which has previously rejected price multiple times. The current structure suggests a mild reversal, with a potential pullback toward 1.15378. A break below this support could extend the decline toward 1.14600.
Recent upside momentum came mainly from temporary USD weakness, but the greenback remains supported by expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates elevated, while Eurozone PMI data continues to disappoint.
In summary, 1.16100 remains a key resistance level. If price shows clear rejection here, EURUSD may be poised for a deeper correction in the short term.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 24/06/2025Today, Nifty is expected to open with a gap-up near the 25,250 level. This level is crucial, as a sustained move above it can trigger a strong upside rally. If Nifty manages to hold above 25,250, we may see targets of 25,350, 25,400, and even 25,450+ in the coming sessions. On the downside, if the index slips below 24,950, it could lead to a corrective move toward 24,850, 24,800, and potentially 24,750 zones.
Traders should closely watch the 25,050–25,100 range for intraday strength, and the 24,950 mark as immediate support. Any breakout or breakdown from these levels will offer direction for the day. Maintain strict stop-loss and consider trailing profits as levels get tested.
XAUUSD – Holding Support, Potential Rebound in SightOn the H4 chart, gold recently dropped over 1,250 pips, but is now showing signs of stabilizing around the key support zone at 3,303 USD. Although price temporarily broke below the ascending trendline, current price action suggests a possible false breakout. If support holds, a rebound toward the 3,418 USD resistance – aligning with the previous trendline and an unfilled FVG – becomes likely.
Yesterday’s decline was largely triggered by news that the U.S. carried out airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites, boosting the USD and pressuring gold. However, the broader market remains sensitive, with traders awaiting crucial U.S. data – including Q1 GDP and Core PCE, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.
If these upcoming releases signal economic slowdown or easing inflation, gold may regain upside momentum. As long as 3,303 USD holds, the technical structure favors a short-term bullish scenario.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(24/06/2025)Today, a gap-up opening is expected in Bank Nifty near the 56,500 level. This zone lies close to a crucial resistance level, so price action after opening will be key. If Bank Nifty sustains above the 56,550–56,600 zone, it could trigger a strong upside rally toward 56,750, 56,850, and potentially 56,950+ levels. On the other hand, if it fails to hold above 56,000 and starts slipping below the 55,950–55,900 zone, a downside move is likely, which could push the index toward 55,750, 55,650, and 55,550 levels.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 24, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 24, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🇺🇸 Markets Eye Powell Testimony & Consumer Confidence
Today brings a double dose of market-moving data: the June Consumer Confidence Index and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress. These will be key indicators of household sentiment and potential shifts in Fed rate guidance
🛢️ Oil Volatility Persists on Middle East Strain
Oil prices briefly spiked after U.S. strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities, prompting fears of supply disruptions. However, prices have since dipped as ceasefire hopes emerge. Investors remain cautious on energy headwinds
💱 Dollar Retraces on Safe-Haven Rotation
The dollar softened after peaking as geopolitical tensions eased slightly. Still, it remains sensitive to Powell’s tone and confidence data, which could reintroduce volatility
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Tuesday, June 24:
10:00 AM ET – Conference Board Consumer Confidence (June)
Monitors household optimism; a rebound could support consumer spending and equities.
10:00 AM ET – Fed Chair Powell Testimony Begins
Powell appears before the House Financial Services Committee. Market focus: inflation outlook, tariffs, and potential timing for rate cuts.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #trade #energy #technicalanalysis
Gold: Breakout and Potential Retrace!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a selling opportunity around 3,390 zone, Gold was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3,390 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
$NVDA 6/27 exp week; $150 calls. Quick ChartHello. Market is moving up off the “news” of “ceasefire” from Trump. Take what is given I suppose. NASDAQ:NVDA could see a beautiful upside towards the psych level of $150 in just one session (Tuesday, 6/24) which is just a “small” move of 3%. Could break out of its rising wedge. This name has been lackluster as of late (kinda sorta). $150 calls will be entered at open (6/24) and my first target will be $148.98. There are multiple rejections at these levels. Good luck!
WSL
Brent Crude still in controlled yr 2025 range ~ 75 - 71 - 63 USThe Brent crude oil price today underwent a technical correction in the D1 / Day time frame as seen from a technical analysis standpoint. It has not yet broken out to indicate Panic in markets of while being within controlled thresholds .
2025 opening price level : USD 75 ;
MAY face support at USD 71 which is JUNE resistance ; can range around this price line
Next drop below June 2025 opening price : USD 63
Experience in markets also say that in order to go Up , markets need a timely Correction (preliminary down move )too !!
Time to Wait and Watch !
Bitcoin Tests Key Support-Healthy Correction Within Bull MarketHealthy Pullback, Strong Structure:
Bitcoin’s recent dip is a constructive correction within a broader bull trend, as it tests the critical $100,000–$105,000 support zone—a former resistance area from early 2025.
Institutional Demand Holds the Line:
Maintaining levels above the psychologically important $100,000 mark highlights continued institutional accumulation and reinforces the underlying strength of the trend.
Momentum Reset, Base Building:
This pullback has helped reset overbought conditions from the prior rally, laying the foundation for the next potential leg higher.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $100,000–$105,000
Breakout Trigger: A close above $108,000 would confirm uptrend continuation
Outlook: Bullish bias remains valid as long as support holds
Investor Opportunity:
With structure intact and downside contained, this consolidation presents a favorable risk-reward setup for long-term investors looking to position ahead of a potential breakout.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportAndResistance #BullMarket #RiskReward #InstitutionalBuying #MarketOutlook #PriceAction
GBPCHF: Pullback From Support 🇬🇧🇨🇭
GBPCHF is going to pull back from a wide daily support cluster.
I see a strong intraday bullish confirmation and a bullish
imbalance candle after the news.
Goal - 1.0986
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Euro – Eyes 1.15400, Awaits Powell's ToneEuro has just filled a GAP and rebounded strongly from the FVG zone around 1.14500. It is now approaching the 1.15400 resistance area, where a descending trendline intersects with a supply FVG. The bullish momentum remains intact within the short-term correction channel, but a rejection at this level could trigger a pullback.
On the news front, US Flash Manufacturing PMI is expected to decline, while Fed Chair Jerome Powell is set to testify this week. If he adopts a dovish tone, the USD may weaken further, potentially giving EURUSD the push it needs to break through resistance.
Strategy: Wait for a clear breakout above 1.15400 to confirm further upside. If rejected, watch the 1.14000 zone as a key support.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Intraday Bullish Confirmation
Gold is retesting a recently broken trend line of a bullish flag
pattern that I shared with you earlier.
A double bottom pattern on that and a violation of its neckline
provide a strong intraday confirmation.
I think that the price may rise to 3392 level.
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USDCAD is Nearing The Daily TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.38500 zone, USDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.38500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Safe-Haven Flows Lift Silver Near $36.10Silver (XAG/USD) rose near $36.10 on Monday, snapping a three-day losing streak as rising Middle East tensions increased safe-haven demand. The gain followed US airstrikes on three Iranian nuclear sites Sunday. Iran vowed to respond, while Trump warned any retaliation would be met with greater force.
Escalation risks continue to support silver. Additionally, Fed Governor Waller signaled a possible rate cut as early as July. Dovish Fed comments and lower rates tend to increase silver demand by making it more affordable globally.
The first resistance is seen at 37.50, while the support starts at 35.40.
Middle East Conflict Keeps Gold ElevatedGold traded near $3,360 per ounce in choppy conditions on Monday, as investors closely watched developments in the intensifying Middle East conflict following U.S. involvement in Israeli airstrikes on Iran. Over the weekend, U.S. forces targeted Iran’s three main nuclear facilities, with President Donald Trump warning of further action unless Tehran agrees to peace. The eruption of war between Israel and Iran has added new fuel to a rally that has pushed gold prices up nearly 30% this year.
Resistance is seen at $3,395, while support holds at $3,316.