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Technical Analysis

Bitcoin Consolidates Near Highs — Bullish Wedge Signals StrengthHolding Strong Amid Uncertainty: Despite rising geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin remains resilient, trading near recent highs. This stability reflects strong institutional confidence and sustained accumulation by long-term holders. Bullish Technical Setup: The ongoing consolidation between $100,000 and $110,000 is forming a wedge pattern—a classic bullish continuation structure. This suggests the market is coiling for its next major move. Key Levels to Watch: Immediate Resistance: $112,500 Support Zone: Holding above $100,000 keeps the bullish case intact Measured Move Target: $130,000–$135,000 Outlook: This tight consolidation signals a healthy pause in a strong uptrend, positioning Bitcoin for a potential breakout and continuation higher. All signs point to the bulls remaining firmly in control. #Bitcoin #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishWedge #CryptoMarket #InstitutionalBuying #PriceAction #Geopolitics #SupportAndResistance #BullRun
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Richtv_official
XAUUSD 16 June – Liquidity Trap or Smart Money Rotation? XAUUSD 16 June – Liquidity Trap or Smart Money Rotation? Gold surprised many traders with a sharp spike during the Asian session, only to reverse aggressively hours later. While headlines screamed “war” and panic, the price behavior told a different story—one of strategic distribution and smart money rotation... 🌍 Macro & Fundamental Context Geopolitical triggers: Rising tensions in the Middle East (Israel-Iran) and political assassinations triggered emotional buying across safe-haven assets like gold and oil. Institutional rotation: Major funds appear to be offloading gold positions to rebalance into equities (in correction) and oil (strong upside potential). Market narrative: News-induced FOMO drives retail into overbought zones, allowing larger players to exit at premium prices. 📈 Technical Overview (M30 Structure) Price Action: Gold tapped into major resistance at 3456–3458, showing an aggressive rejection shortly after. EMA Behavior: EMAs (13/34/89/200) are flattening across M15 and M30—early signs of a possible bearish crossover. Volume Drop: Declining volume after the spike suggests buyer exhaustion, reinforcing the idea of a bull trap. Fair Value Gap (FVG): A visible liquidity void remains below the 3390 area. Price often returns to fill these zones. 🎯 Trading Plan for Today ✅ Scenario A: Buy from Demand Zone (Liquidity Fill) Entry: 3383 – 3385 Stop Loss: 3377 Targets: 3386 → 3390 → 3394 → 3398 → 3402 → 3406 → 3410+ 📌 Best executed during London or NY session if price shows absorption or reversal confirmation. ❌ Scenario B: Sell from Resistance Only on Clear Rejection Entry: 3456 – 3458 Stop Loss: 3462 Targets: 3452 → 3448 → 3444 → 3440 → 3435 → 3430 ⚠️ Only enter shorts if clear bearish engulfing or pin-bar setup forms near resistance zone. 🧠 Market Psychology Retail FOMO is being exploited by larger players to exit risk positions. Liquidity engineering is likely in play—smart money drives price up on headlines, then exits into buyer momentum. Equity & Oil rotation signals a shift in institutional preference short-term. 📌 Final Thoughts This isn’t a time to chase breakouts. Gold is entering a volatile re-accumulation phase where news is being weaponized to induce emotional trading. The real edge lies in waiting for price to come to your level and only executing with confirmation. 🎯 Zone to Watch: 3383 – 3385 📉 Avoid chasing moves 📊 Respect your SL & manage risk like a pro — 🧭 Stay patient. The next big move will reward those with discipline and timing.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
EURUSD 16 June – Technical Rebound or Liquidity Trap? EURUSD 16 June – Technical Rebound or Liquidity Trap? The EURUSD pair has shown sharp movements after testing key resistance near 1.1607. While the price action may appear bullish at first glance, deeper analysis suggests we might be facing either a continuation of the uptrend or a strategic liquidity hunt. 🌍 Macro & Fundamental Overview The ECB remains hawkish with rates still high, but recent commentary hints at a more dovish tone possibly leading to rate cuts in late Q3 2025. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve maintains its cautious stance, holding off on rate cuts due to sticky core inflation. This divergence in policy expectations creates a neutral to slightly USD-favorable bias, depending on upcoming economic data. ⏳ Bottom line: EURUSD remains in a choppy environment with compression–expansion cycles, and no confirmed macro-driven trend yet. 📉 Technical Outlook (H1 Chart) Price Structure: The pair is moving within a short-term ascending channel, but current price is testing the upper boundary. EMA Analysis (13/34/89/200): Still supports an uptrend, but flattening out — potential bearish crossover if price fails to hold. Key Resistance: 1.1607: Major resistance and local top (double rejection zone). Critical Support Zones: 1.15540: Minor structural support — a decisive level for intraday direction. 1.15261 & 1.14807: Unfilled FVG zones and liquidity pools that may get targeted if the price breaks lower. 🎯 Trade Setup Ideas 📘 Scenario A – BUY from 1.15540 support (bullish continuation) Entry: 1.15540 (upon bullish candle confirmation or strong bounce) Stop Loss: 1.15200 Take Profits: 1.15850 → 1.16070 → 1.16300+ ✅ Ideal if European sentiment remains positive or if USD weakens across the board. 📕 Scenario B – SELL if price breaks and retests 1.15540 Entry: 1.15540 (after a breakdown + rejection retest) Stop Loss: 1.15720 Take Profits: 1.15261 → 1.14807 → possibly 1.1450 ✅ Best used if USD gains strength or EUR shows weakness after economic releases. 🧠 Market Psychology The market is currently reactive to any shift in tone from ECB and Fed, causing price whipsaws near key zones. Smart traders will avoid chasing breakouts and instead focus on reaction zones like 1.15540 for confirmation-based trades. Watch for fakeouts, as institutional players may be hunting liquidity before choosing direction. 📌 Final Thoughts EURUSD is in a sensitive zone, and 1.15540 is the intraday pivot. Holding above could trigger a push toward 1.1607 and higher. But failure to hold would likely attract sellers toward the 1.1480–1.1450 liquidity range. 🎯 Discipline is key. Avoid emotional entries. Let the market come to your level — and execute only with confirmation.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
Silver Gains on Tensions, Eyes on FedFriday’s strong U.S. data may support the dollar, as the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 60.5 in June from 52.2, beating forecasts of 53.5 and marking the first gain in six months. Geopolitical tensions continue to drive safe-haven demand, especially for silver. Israel struck Iranian nuclear and missile sites Friday, killing military officials. On Sunday, Iran began its fourth phase of response, warning of firm retaliation to further Israeli actions. Markets now turn to Wednesday’s Fed meeting. While rates are expected to stay unchanged, futures still price in two cuts this year, possibly starting in September, supported by last week’s soft inflation data. Resistance is set at 36.90, while support stands at 35.40.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Safe-Haven Demand Lifts Gold Above $3,440Gold rose to around $3,440 per ounce on Monday, staying near April’s record highs, as escalating Middle East tensions increased safe-haven demand. Weekend clashes between Israel and Iran raised fears of broader conflict. Markets now look ahead to upcoming central bank meetings, especially the U.S. Federal Reserve. While rates are expected to remain unchanged, investors are watching for signals on future cuts. Last week’s weaker inflation data has increased expectations for a potential rate cut by September. Traders are also awaiting details on President Donald Trump’s upcoming tariff decisions, expected in the coming weeks. Resistance is seen at $3,430, while support holds at $3,392.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
Pound Stable as Markets Eye BoE, Fed MovesGBP/USD remains below Friday’s three-year high, trading around the mid-1.3500s in a narrow range during Monday’s Asian session. The pair shows limited downside as traders await a busy week of key data and central bank decisions. Markets are watching the UK CPI on Wednesday and the Bank of England’s policy announcement on Thursday, both crucial for the Pound. The US Federal Reserve will also decide on rates Wednesday, likely guiding the dollar’s short-term path. Friday’s UK GDP showed a 0.3% contraction in April, increasing bets on faster BoE rate cuts. The USD is supported by safe-haven flows due to Middle East tensions, though soft US inflation data has raised expectations for Fed cuts by September. A broadly positive global risk mood is offering some support to GBP/USD. Resistance is at 1.3600, with support around 1.3425.
by ChartMage
ECB’s De Guindos Sees Balanced Inflation RisksEuropean Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos said Monday that the EUR/USD at 1.15 does not hinder the ECB’s inflation goal, noting the euro’s gradual rise and stable volatility. He stated inflation risks are balanced, with little chance of falling short of the target, and that markets have clearly understood the ECB’s recent policy signals. De Guindos reaffirmed the ECB is close to its inflation objective Looking ahead, he warned that tariffs could slow growth and inflation in the medium term but expressed confidence in the Fed maintaining swap line arrangements. He also confirmed there have been no discussions about repatriating gold reserves from New York. At the time, EUR/USD was down 0.09%, trading near 1.1537. Resistance is located at 1.1580, while support is seen at 1.1460.
by ChartMage
Stronger Dollar Pressures Yen on Geopolitical RisksThe Japanese yen fell past 144.2 per dollar on Monday, marking a second day of losses, as the U.S. dollar strengthened on increased safe-haven demand. This followed renewed conflict between Israel and Iran, with both sides targeting energy facilities and pushing oil prices higher. The rise in energy costs may reduce the chances of a near-term Fed rate cut as inflation and trade risks persist. Meanwhile, focus turns to the Bank of Japan’s upcoming policy meeting, where it is expected to keep rates unchanged while assessing the inflation impact of rising oil prices amid global uncertainty. Resistance is at 145.30, while support stands near 142.50.
by ChartMage
AUDCAD: The Real Move Happens After the TrapNot every trade needs to be flashy. This one was clean. Simple. Intentional. And it came after most traders got taken out. What I Saw : Price swept PDL: textbook sell-side liquidity. But instead of jumping in too early, I waited. Why? Because I’ve learned something: 👉 The first reaction is often just noise. 👉 The second one, the one that fills into structure. That’s where clarity lives. My Entry Logic: After the sweep, price broke minor structure. That was my Change of Character. I will just have to wait for price to pull into the FVG below 50% fibs retracement. Stop below the low. Target at the PDH. Nothing fancy. Just discipline . Psychology Check: I’ve taken this setup before and watched it run without me. Why? Because I used to hesitate. I wanted more confirmation… or feared being wrong. But here’s the truth: Your edge is only real if you’re willing to take the shot when it appears . This wasn’t a guess. It was system + structure + emotional control.
Long
by J4mesWick
3
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 16–20, 2025 🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 16–20, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🏦 Fed Holds Rates, Powell Expresses Caution The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep rates at 4.25–4.50%, though Chair Powell likely won’t provide fresh guidance. Markets see limited upside without stronger inflation or growth cues 💱 Dollar Strengthens on Geopolitical Risk The U.S. dollar rose slightly as investors flocked to safe assets amid global tensions with Iran. Treasury yields eased slightly on risk-off flows 🛢️ Oil Near Multi-Week Highs on Mideast & OPEC Dynamics Oil held near seven-week highs (~$67–70/barrel), buoyed by Iran-Israel tensions and OPEC+ output hikes (411K bpd added from May–July), offset by demand concerns . ⚠️ G7 Summit Faces Heightened Stakes G7 finance ministers meet in Canada under pressure from Middle East escalation. Watch for policy coordination and commentary on trade, inflation, and global economic risks . 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Monday, June 16 Regular markets open after Juneteenth holiday Quiet day; oil & geopolitical headlines dominate 📅 Tuesday, June 17 8:30 AM ET – Retail Sales (May): Signals consumer spending strength/duration 8:30 AM ET – CPI (May): Confirms inflation trend post-CPI cooler reading 10:00 AM ET – Housing Starts & Building Permits (May): Gauges housing market demand Unexpected Tesla Robotaxi Demo (Austin): Watch for surprise developments this week 📅 Wednesday, June 18 Global Central Bank Day: FOMC, BoE, BoJ policy updates; U.S. Fed will most likely hold steady 📅 Thursday, June 19 – Juneteenth Holiday – U.S. markets closed 📅 Friday, June 20 8:30 AM ET – Existing Home Sales (May): Measures U.S. housing activity 10:00 AM ET – Leading Economic Indicators (May): Early snapshot of economic momentum ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 16/06/2025Today, a slightly gap-up opening is expected in Nifty near the 24,735 level. If Nifty sustains above the 24,750–24,800 zone after the opening, it may lead to a continuation of the upside move toward 24,850, 24,900, and potentially 24,950+ during the day. This zone can attract intraday buying interest, especially if supported by volume and momentum. However, any rally approaching the 24,950 level should be watched cautiously, as it may act as a reversal zone, triggering profit booking or intraday resistance. On the other hand, if Nifty fails to hold 24,700 levels and starts drifting lower, fresh selling pressure could emerge, pushing the index toward 24,650, 24,600, and even 24,550 during the session.
NSE:NIFTY
by TradZoo
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(16/06/2025)Today, a slightly gap-up opening is expected in Bank Nifty near the 55,550–55,600 zone. If Bank Nifty sustains above this zone, it may attempt an upside move toward 55,750, 55,850, and potentially 55,950+ levels during the session. If Bank Nifty starts trading above 56,050, a further bullish rally can be seen, taking it higher toward the 56,250, 56,350, and 56,450+ zones. On the downside, if Bank Nifty slips below the 55,450–55,400 zone, it may face further selling pressure, leading to a possible move toward 55,250, 55,150, and 55,050 levels.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by TradZoo
Forex Weekly Portfolio Selection – Top Trade SetupsWeekly Forex Portfolio Selection – H1 Chart Analysis Using the Weekly & Daily Currency Strength Index, we’ve identified the strongest and weakest currencies to build a focused trading portfolio for the week. 📊 Currency Strength Ranking (1 = Weakest, 8 = Strongest): EUR: 8 CHF: 7 CAD: 6 GBP: 5 AUD: 4 NZD: 3 USD: 2 JPY: 1 ➡️ The Euro (EUR) is currently the strongest, while the Japanese Yen (JPY) is the weakest. 🔍 Analysed Pairs (H1 Timeframe): EURJPY EURUSD CADJPY GBPUSD This selection focuses on high-probability setups aligned with trend and strength analysis.
by Charts247TradingAcademy