TSI Market Timer V4.0TSI Market Timer Version 4.0
This indicator is probably one of the best, if not the best indicator out there on the market today. A bold claim. I say that because this indicator has been 10 years, at least, in the making.
I started using TradingView in 2015 when it was $5 to use. It was wonderful. And you could make your own indicators. I would copy and reuse many of the indicators I found.
This tinkering with indicators and theories would last until the present day. I find the market is interesting and there are many new things to learn and so you can make nearly endless indicators.
About This Indicator:
The TSI Market Timer Version 4.0. First, a little theory. I have found that, in practice, if you take any price or indicator (like Acc/Dist) or VIX or even ratio charts like (HIGN/LOWN , a new highs new lows ratio) and you apply the True Strength Indicator (TSI)... that you can plot everything on one charting window. I have extensively tested this out over the years.
There is a concept in math and statistics called standardization. One common way this is used in trading is the z-score. You may have heard of the Altman Z-score.
In this indicator, I have combined several useful signals into one indicator. These are plotted on an auto-scaled plot with a zero line.
Here is an explanation of the lines and their colors.
- White lines : These are TSI price lines using two variations in the calculations. One is done using a SMA or simple moving average, the other is done using an exponential moving average. I have even used the weighted moving average. However, I find the SMA/EMA to be the most "error free" version.
If the EMA white line (price) is above the SMA white line, then it is bullish because the most recent price changes are given more weighting with the EMA version. Thus, if EMA white line > SMA white line then it will fill green and if it is less than the SMA version, it will fill with red color.
- Lime Green fill : The lime green color on the EMA/SMA white line combo means a new high was touched. This is very useful if you are a William O'Neal Swing Trader as I am. Dr. Wish speaks of the Green Line Breaks which represent new highs and their importance. See www.wishingwealthblog.com
- Orange/Gold Line : The Orange Line is the TSI calculation of the DXY (or US Dollar Index). This is something that I noticed that no one else talks about.
The US Dollar Index used on the TSI chart is really useful since it moves in direct opposition to the price of many indices.
My theory on this is due to the fact that the US Dollar is the "other side of the trade". Thus, if you buy several billion dollars worth of a stock, the US Dollar Index goes down and when you sell the shares back, the US Dollar Index goes back up.
Thus, it is tied into borrowing, leverage, borrowing costs, interest rates and similar things.
It has a similar relationship to stocks as oil does to airlines. When USOIL is up, AAL or DAL stocks are often down.
The leveraging of stock purchases explains why the stock market and the US Dollar work in contrarian directions.
I don't know why others have not seen this. It is probably due to the fact that the DXY is a big number and the changes are small and thus it has scaling issues with other forms of analysis. In other words, if you try to evaluate it in other ways, it does not scale on the charting and thus, traders/analysts would dismiss it.
Purple Lines : Comparison Indexes
Dark Purple Line: TSI Comparison line. Default is VIX line. The Vix Index with the TSI calculation applied.
Light purple/ lavendar line: This is an index such as the QQQ, which is used as the default.
Both of the purple lines are customizable.
Centerline: Accumulation-Distribution (mini):
Lastly, we have the centerline which is a smaller version of the light blue line; the Accumulation/Distribution Line. In this case, I wanted to show it as a kind of "money flow". This is a mini-version of the AD line. You can adjust the size using the zoom % on the indicator settings tab. The default is zoomed out 10%.
In addition, you can toggle the red/green fills of the stock/DXY lines and the stock/index lines.
Cheers!
