If Elon redefines Twitter, what`s the purpose of DWAC anyways ??I first bough DWAC at $12:
Thinking that Truth Social will take some market capitalization from Twitter and Facebook:
But since Elon Musk wants and most likely Will buy Twitter and enable true free speech on the platform, where Donald Trump won`t get banned that easily, then what is the purpose of DWAC (Truth Social and the rest) anyways???
Ok, let`s say it`s a republican new media platform, but then how you justify the approx. 10 Bil market capitalization at the current price, after the merger???
To be honest, i think this stock could easily go to the $23.50 support and even lower than $10, like most of the SPACs, if they don`t deliver great news for the shareholders.
Since the Musk takeover of Twitter, DWAC has already retraced significantly:
Tmtg
DWAC Donald Trump vs Elon MuskAfter it took some of the market capitalizations of both Twitter and Facebook:
now Trump media is facing a real opponent: Elon Musk. one of the most admired men in the planet.
Musk transformed TSLA into a cult, the first meme stock, before meme stocks were cool.
And it looks like the only one who can save Twitter too. In which he bought a 9.2% stake, worth $3Bil.
In this situation, considering also Trump`s appreciation for Putin and that the US should leave NATO, i think its SPAC won`t get too much sympathy in the near future.
In fact, i even expect a retracement to the 23.50 support.
and you know that i am not bias when it comes to the stock market. i was the first calling the 150 price target for DWAC (it reached $175):
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
$DWAC - Bearish Descending TriangleA descending triangle is a bearish chart pattern used in technical analysis that is created by drawing one trend line that connects a series of lower highs and a second horizontal trend line that connects a series of lows.
From Trading Sim:
You can identify the descending triangle reversal pattern at the top end of a rally. This pattern emerges as volume declines and the stock fails to make fresh highs. The pattern indicates that the bullish momentum is exhausting. At the same time, price action forms a horizontal support level.
After price bounces off the support level multiple times, posting lower highs, we can anticipate a potential downside breakout. The minimum distance that price moves prior to the breakout is measured from the initial high. This distance is projected lower after price breaks out below the support level.
$DWAC - Trump Social Media is DoomedUPDATE 3/5/2022: DAILY DRAGONFLY DOJI
The hits keep on coming for Donald Trump's signature social media application "Truth Social".
According to The Daily Beast , "In recent weeks, sources have heard the former president on the phone swearing gratuitously and asking things like, “What the fuck is going on” with Truth Social. He’s repeatedly groused about the negative press and the less-than-stellar optics of the rollout, these sources said. And he’s demanded to know why more people aren’t using it—why the app isn’t swiftly dominating the competition."
Dan Primack of Axios wrote a piece a few days back, "Trump's Truth Social bomb" . This rollout has been a disaster. Most people are still on the waiting list to join. Trump has barely posted. The app is full of bugs. It's stopped to 37th on the Apple Store as of yesterday. Primack wrote, "Trump hasn't posted a single time since the launch, despite an international crisis that has captivated the country. Instead, he's given his comments to radio and TV hosts — including one this morning with Dominion conspiracy theorist Maria Bartiromo — plus via his CPAC speech".
Back to the Daily Beast article released earlier today. There have been some indications through actual concrete analysis that the application is an overall failure.
"But if the preliminary traffic numbers are of any indication, the former president and current wannabe social-media mogul has a point. The Daily Beast reviewed analyses of visits to Truth Social’s performed by SimilarWeb, which tracks website traffic from public and private sources. The company’s figures for the MAGA social network—while only an estimate based on incomplete data—are nonetheless anemic. Trump’s own social media platform is doing either worse or the same as other MAGA social sites like Gab—another pro-Trump competitor website that’s especially beloved by, well, Nazis—and Gettr, a platform fronted by one of Trump’s former top political aides, Jason Miller.
SimilarWeb’s estimates show a sharp spike of around 2 million daily visits to the site when it first debuted, before traffic dipped to an average of approximately 300,000 visits each day, putting the site on par with Gettr. Meanwhile, the far-right Gab has averaged around 650,000 daily average visits in the same time period. As of Friday, Truth Social was the 72nd most popular free app in Apple’s AppStore, a far cry from Facebook (5th) and his formerly beloved Twitter (22), both of which booted the ex-president after the Jan. 6 Capitol riot.
The relatively light traffic could be explained in part by Truth Social’s waitlist—MAGA fans who want to join the platform have now racked up a million-strong backlog of users looking to join during the app’s soft launch. The app is also only available on Apple devices, denying access to owners of Android phones. The extreme-right Gab, however, has managed to rack up twice the web traffic as Truth Social, despite its mobile apps being banned from both Apple and Google’s app stores."
This is all adding up to disaster here for the Trump Media SPAC.
What is the plan here? According to Seeking Alpha , "At a current market cap of over $15 billion as a pre-revenue company". They go on to add, "Thirty days post-merger, this total is expected to increase to over 170 million shares, excluding warrants."
This wasn't the only piece of bad coverage the new app received since my last update.
Politico's Ruby Cramer penned an article titled, "The Emptiness Inside Donald Trump’s New Social Media Platform".
"The site promises a safe space for “free expression,” encouraging of “all viewpoints,” according to the welcome email, “as we do not discriminate against political ideology.” But inside the app, digital tumbleweeds blew through my feed. The site is a bit slow, and a bit empty. Its stalled roll-out, led by Devin Nunes, the Trump supporter and former Republican congressman from California, has become a source of frustration and confusion in MAGA-world, according to my colleague Meridith McGraw. Republican lawmakers like Marjorie Taylor Greene and Matt Gaetz and Kevin McCarthy already have accounts and appear to be posting similar or identical content to both Truth Social and Twitter, along with right-leaning platforms like Gettr and Parler. (Apparently, no one is quite ready to turn their backs on an actual audience yet.) But when they do finally get their welcome emails, the thousands of regular Trump fans still waiting in line, eager for their chance to search for truth, will find a Twitter knock-off with no immediately discernible improvement on the original — a vanity project that has yet to prove its utility."
So we have a failed rollout with bugs, Trump barely posting, and share dilution coming to boot. I haven't even mentioned the biggest wildcard.
Trump's legal woes.
Last night, news broke that Trump could be facing criminal charges if the Attorney General wishes to proceed: "Jan. 6 Committee Lays Out Potential Criminal Charges Against Trump".
In a court filing, the panel said there was enough evidence to suggest that the former president might have engaged in a criminal conspiracy as he fought to remain in office.
So 1. Dilution 2. Sell the News with Planned Q1 Merger 3. Failed and Buggy Rollout 4. Potential Criminal Charges. 5. Data shows the app rollout is an absolute failure.
This is stock is heading down back to the single digits. Short this play next week before you regret missing out. There is no legitimate bull thesis for $DWAC- no matter where your politics stand.
DWAC Truth Social released in App Store on Presidents Day Truth Social was released in App Store on Presidents Day, like expected:
If you haven`t bought it when the merger was announced:
Or see this comparison:
Then you should know that $110 is my price target!
DWAC Truth Social app launching on Presidents Day, Feb. 21If you haven`t bough DWAC at my fist call, before it skyrocketed to $180:
Then you should know that Truth Social's app profile page App Store seemed to point to the service launching on Feb. 21: Presidents Day.
even though i don`t see a necessarily a correlation between the ride of DWAC and the fall of FB and TWTR, this was a mk cap comparison:
I think Donald Trump will keep the stock`s momentum before the launch. Trump made statements suggested that people are leaving other social media platforms in anticipation for Truth Social.
My price target for Presidents Day, Feb. 21 is the $113 resistance.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
DWAC Trump Media & Technology Group to rival Twitter & FacebookBesides the Ideological Investing as a strong push back against the “liberal media consortium” that banned President Trump, Twitter and Facebook retraced from their highs while DWAC was rising.
Trump Media & Technology Group and Digital World Acquisition Corp. DWAC have entered into a definitive merger agreement.
The transaction values TMTG at an initial enterprise value of $875 Million, with a potential valuation of up to $1.7 Billion depending on the performance of the stock price post-business combination.
TRUTH Social will be a competitor to Twitter and Facebook .
TMTG+ will compete with Netflix and Disney+.
TMTG news will compete with CNN and iHeart Radio.
They have also plans for a Tech Stack that includes web hosting (vs Amazon Cloud) and payment processing software (vs PayPal).
Could this be the new Twitter / Facebook platform?
Don`t know if you have seen my comparison here:
or my first call on DWAC:
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
DWAC Trump Media & Technology Group $1 billion investment If you haven`t bought it before the $180 pump:
or after the retracement and short term price target:
Then you should know that DWAC had received a $1 billion investment from a group of institutional investors.
Coincidentally or not, Saba Capital Management announced on Dec. 9 that it had purchased a stake in DWAC.
Now that Jack Dorsey has left Twitter, i think it`s a place left for a rival to compete in this area, TruthSocial!
My price target is the 103usd resistance. looking forward to read your opinion about it.
PHUN Phunware Price TargetsPhunware (PHUN), a Trump related stock, is a software company, which collaborated on Trump’s re-election campaign.
On 11/15/2021 HC Wainwright brokerage Boosted the Price Target to Buy from $2.00 to $5.50
My short term price target is the 5.7usd resistance and on medium term i see the stock trading at 8.6usd.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
DWAC short term upside potentialIf you haven`t bought DWAC before the first pump:
The you should know that Jack Dorsey left Twitter and there is a place left for a new twitter in town.
Yesterday's surge followed a Reuters report that Trump Media & Technology Group is looking to raise up to $1 billion in additional funding. The venture's valuation would rise to nearly $3 billion, according to the report, up from a previous $875 million valuation, including debt.
I see a gap filling short term at 57usd and a medium term price target of 103usd.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
What We Know About Trump’s SPAC DealLast Wednesday, Former US President Donald Trump announced the creation of his Media Company, Trump Media and Technology Group (TMTG) as well as its planned merger with Digital World Acquisition Corp (NASDAQ: DWAC).
Within four days, the NASDAQ-listed DWAC stock had grown by 740%. At the close of the Monday trading day (25/10/21), DWAC was trading at US $83.86. After-hours trading sees the stock up by 3.98% to US $87.20.
Arguable, DWAC price rise could be indicate it is the latest in a long line of ‘meme’ stocks, with retail traders ploughing into the stock for the sake of entertainment. Although, this might be a too-easy dismissal of Trump’s large popularity among Americans. He is, after all, the presidential candidate that garnered the second largest number of votes in US election history (after President Joe Biden, of course).
TMTG and DWAC would represent the only publicly-listed entity tied to Former President Trump (after the bankruptcy of Trump Hotel & Casino (NYSE: DJT)), and thus, demand from his supporters might be in line with DWAC’s price rise.
What we know about Trump Media and Technology Group (TMTG)
TMTG is planning several launches over the next year. The first and perhaps most grandiose undertaking is a social media platform called TRUTH Social, set to be released at the start of 2022. It is unknown whether the platform will be based on Facebook (NASDAQ: FB), Twitter (NYSE: TWTR), or YouTube, all of which are sharing platforms that have banned the former Presidents profiles. As can be gleaned from Trumps Statements, Truth Social will likely imitate the likes of Twitter, with short, pithy Tweet-like posts referred to as TRUTHS.
What we know about Digital World Acquisition Corp (DWAC)
Founded in 2020 and based out of a shared WeWork (NYSE: WE) office in Miami, DWAC is a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC) listed with the goal to merge with a US technology, fintech, or financial services business. DWAC is controlled by the founder of Benessere Investment Group, Patrick F. Orlando, and Luiz Philippe de Orleans e Braganca, a businessman and member of the National Congress of Brazil.
Orlando, acting as DWAC’s CEO, is a former derivatives trader at Deutsche Bank (ETR: DBK) and serial SPAC lister. While Orlando has launched four SPACs, raising hundreds of millions of dollars in the process, he has failed to push any of them over the line and complete a merger. With the stock price rally of DWAC, Orlando’s chances of achieving a SPAC merger are looking more probable than ever.
DWAC scepticism
DWAC has already generated its fair share of criticism for scant financial details and planning. Kristi Marvin, chief executive of SPAC Insider, notes, “We don’t know how they got to the valuation. We have no information … That’s the fundamental problem.”. DWAC merger deal with TMTG values it at US $875 million.
TWTR Twitter to lose market share because of TRUTH Social ? Twitter permanently banned Trump from the platform in January 2021 during the final days of his term. Back then he had over 88.9 million followers.
Can we expect a retracement to that area because of TRUTH Social gaining momentum and market share?
Trump Media & Technology Group and Digital World Acquisition Corp. DWAC have entered into a definitive merger agreement.
The transaction values TMTG at an initial enterprise value of $875 Million, with a potential valuation of up to $1.7 Billion depending on the performance of the stock price post-business combination.
Truth Social is aiming for a beta launch in November.
TRUTH Social will be a competitor to Twitter and Facebook.
TMTG+ will compete with Netflix and Disney+.
TMTG news will compete with CNN and iHeart Radio.
They have also plans for a Tech Stack that includes web hosting (vs Amazon Cloud) and payment processing software (vs PayPal).
Could this be the new Twitter / Facebook platform?
I`m looking forward to read your opinion about it!
Tump`s TRUTH Social to compete with Twitter and Facebook Donald Trump announced yesterday the creation of the Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) which will develop and launch a new social network!
Trump Media & Technology Group and Digital World Acquisition Corp. DWAC have entered into a definitive merger agreement.
The transaction values TMTG at an initial enterprise value of $875 Million, with a potential valuation of up to $1.7 Billion depending on the performance of the stock price post-business combination.
Truth Social is aiming for a beta launch in November.
TRUTH Social will be a competitor to Twitter and Facebook.
TMTG+ will compete with Netflix and Disney+.
TMTG news will compete with CNN and iHeart Radio.
They have also plans for a Tech Stack that includes web hosting (vs Amazon Cloud) and payment processing software (vs PayPal).
Could this be the new Twitter/Facebook platform? we know Trump is in war with them!
Twitter permanently banned Trump from the platform in January 2021 during the final days of his term. Back then he had over 88.9 million followers.
if every one of them buys DWAC, the SPAC with which TMTG will merge, for only 100usd, the mk cap will be 9Bil. now the Market Cap of DWAC is 1.635B. So still a 5.5X upside.
The irony is that the same hedge funds that sponsored the campaigns of Hillary and Biden, now invested in Trump`s SPAC. :)
Investing right now could be like planting the seeds in Facebook back then.
My extremely speculative valuation is half the market cap of Twitter by year`s end, so considering half of Twitter`s mk cap and 1.7Bil valuation for TMTG at 10usd results 150usd price target!
We bought DWAC at 12.84usd in our trading group.
I look forward to read your opinion about this!
