XAUUSD Sniper Outlook – July 7, 2025"Structure over noise. Patience is power. Welcome back to the battlefield."
👋 Hey traders!
After a low-volume week due to the US Independence Day holiday, we now re-enter the battlefield with structure tightening under major resistance — and with Fed commentary on the radar.
No CPI. No NFP. But don't sleep on the setups — liquidity is quietly shifting.
🧭 Here’s what we’ve got ahead:
🔔 Key Events – July 8–12:
🟡 Monday–Tuesday: BRICS Summit (geo/political exposure)
🔵 Wednesday: FOMC Minutes – potential policy clues
🔴 Thursday: Unemployment Claims + Fed speakers (Muserlian, Waller)
⚪ Friday: Federal Budget Balance
We’re likely entering a reactive environment — fueled by internal structure shifts, not major macro catalysts. Perfect for smart money setups.
🧠 HTF Structure & Bias
🔹 Daily Bias:
Price remains capped under the key daily supply 3344–3351, which rejected cleanly before the holiday. Unless that flips into support, bias remains neutral to bearish.
EMAs 5/21 are curling sideways. RSI is flattening, and structure shows fading momentum.
🔹 H4 Bias:
We’re consolidating below a CHoCH + LH series, inside premium territory. The rejection from 3344 was precise, and unless broken, pressure favors the downside.
Price is rotating between the H4 EQ and the 3325–3332 intraday OB. Momentum is slowing — watch for re-accumulation or rejection depending on reaction at key zones.
🔴 Supply Zones (Sell Scenarios)
1. 3344 – 3351
This is the Daily + H4 supply from last week. EMA alignment + FVG + liquidity sweep confluence.
Perfect sniper rejection area if price trades up and stalls. Look for M15/M30 CHoCH confirmations.
2. 3380 – 3394
Untouched H1-H4 OB in premium. Not related to CPI/NFP — just pure inducement wick potential from above. If tapped after midweek liquidity push (e.g. FOMC Minutes), watch for overreaction entries.
🟢 Demand Zones (Buy Scenarios)
1. 3325 – 3332
Last week’s discount reaction zone. H1 OB + internal CHoCH zone. If swept and protected by bullish PA (M15 BOS), this becomes the best R/R long back into 3344.
Already tested Friday, but still holds weight for Monday.
2. 3286 – 3272
H4 OB + daily demand + RSI oversold zone.
If we get a full breakdown early week, expect this area to act as a reaccumulation pocket for bulls — but only with confirmation.
⚔️ Decision Zone – 3299 – 3305
This is the weekly flip area.
If bulls defend 3305 → bullish short-term bias returns.
If 3299 fails → downside continues into 3280s.
🧠 Summary & Gameplan
🧷 No CPI. No NFP. That means cleaner technical moves — no fake news spikes, just pure structure.
Expect Monday to be reactionary (post-holiday), and Wednesday–Thursday to bring intraday setups post-FOMC minutes.
✅ If price is in premium, watch for bearish rejections at 3344/3380.
✅ If price dips into discount, wait for confirmation longs at 3325 or 3286.
✅ Stay patient in mid-range. Don’t force trades inside chop zones.
🧲 If this gave you real clarity — don’t just scroll on.
Hit the ❤️ button, smash Follow, and tell us in the comments:
👉 Which zone do you trust more — the 3325 reentry or the 3380 inducement trap?
Let the gold tribe know 👇
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📢 Disclosure:
This analysis is based on the Trade Nation TradingView feed. I’m part of their Influencer Program and receive a monthly fee.
⚠️ Educational content only — not financial advice.
— GoldFxMinds 💛
Patience | Discipline | Fearless Execution
