Downloading...
Download

Traderlifestyle

When should you trade ALTs? Here's the level to watch:The market cap of Altcoins is currently facing a significant challenge in surpassing the HKEX:630 billion benchmark. However, a notable surge in Altcoin activity is expected once this level is breached. Notably, the current BTC dominance of 48% can be attributed to the fact that most ALTs have broken their BTC-pair support. Consequently, if BTC experiences a downturn, the ALTs will likely be adversely affected since they have limited support! Therefore, it would be prudent to closely monitor the $630B mark if you are considering trading ALTs. A breach of this level could signal a favorable opportunity to enter the market. Still, it is crucial to stay vigilant and manage your risk accordingly, given the current market dynamics. ------------------------------------------- Recent Altcoin trades: ARB / USDT: 5% profit DOGE / USDT: 20% profit XRP / USDT: 9% profit ------------------------------------------- Ongoing trades to keep an eye on: DOGE / USDT: TP1 met and still going XRP / USDT: TP2 met and still going ------------------------------------------- If you like the content, then make sure to comment and like the post :D Follow me for daily profitable trading setups. BTC dictates the market. If BTC falls, then Alts will drop as well. Trade safe!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
by MBM_Crypto
1
GOLD Bearish SignsHello Traders I think the Gold price Stabilized under 1880 area and its time for more decreases. As you can see on my chart we Broke 1880 support Area with a Long Red Belt candle. and after pullback to this area now its time for a few crash. I thnik the Gold price decrease till area created by 38.2% Fibo Retracement of last long leg (yellow channel above) and a strong support level around 1800 and 1820. Also the price Breaks 50EMA and Retest it too. JUST... If you take a TRADE , DONT FORGET TO SET A REASONABLE STOPLOSS. Thank you all for reading my idea. please teach me something in comments.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TraderAmin-KZ
The SVB Collapse and Why It Matters To YouInteresting situation with the collapse of SVB (SIVB), the people have yet to realize we control the market not the central planners. and the collapse of SVB is a realization of that power. So , here is what i know from the very little articles and podcasts that I listen to and I will give you guys the why its important. From what i know is that SVB business model was somewhat risky in the first place, and their main consumer base was startups, and tech startups. hence the name Silicon Valley portion of Silicon Valley Bank. Now a little money education... in the world of money and currency (remember currency as current it will become important later) there is a concept called the velocity of money, basically the volatility of money. for my stock traders think the VIX. when the VIX is low there is no money to be made because money is not moving. but when the VIX is high there is plenty of money going around so why not use your dollars as napkins, right or "fun coupons"! this is the velocity of money the faster a person can make money move the more money they stand to make. the banks know this. So when you go to the bank and deposit your check your money is already out the door into something else before you're able to but your wallet in your bag or pocket. this happens because of what is called as the "fractional reserve system" and to be honest its a "F"ed up idea but has worked thus far. what this system means for every dollar you put into the bank, the bank can lend out 10$. A bank is a business it makes its profits by lending money, and when you save your money it cost the bank money, because of your .01% interest rate. the reason for the big push for open accounts is because the more open accounts the bank has means the more money they have liquid, which means the more they can loan out, which means the more they stand to profit. now as an insurance policy the US government makes the banks keep a fraction of their total account balances on site incase of what they call a "bank run" happens (get to what a bank run is later) Now, normally you dont notice this or even care because when you go to the bank and want to pull 100$ from your account its no big deal whats a 100$ when your dealing with 100s of thousands. you want a 100$ you get 100$ instantly. But want to see the system become a problem for you, if you have more than lets say 25,000$ or more in an account go try to pull ALL that money out and see what type of road blocks you encounter. they will make you give ID, reasons for shutting down the account, basically your first born child and your blood type. partly is because they really want to know why you're closing the account, because thats profits walking out the door. but the main reason is, they have to reach out to sister branches and other banks to pool that money together to be able to give it to you and this typically happens like over night. so if you think you're about to waltz into your local bank and demand a 25,000$ check right then and there you're sadly mistaken. the same exact process happens when you take out a mortgage, now your talking $200K and up so now there are more road blocks. whether you're the buyer or the seller. you sell your house for 500K and you think that check you deposited is there right when you get it... yeah its not! back to the currency comment money is now a currency it has to keep moving to keep its value. think of it as a river, mostly you can drink water from a river and be okay because bacteria cannot grow in moving water but drink water out of a pond and you just might catch Syphilis (sarcasm intended). money is the same way, the faster you can make it move the more you stand to make and the healthier the money is, if take money out of the river and stick it in your pond as a savings account inflation will eat it alive making it very unhealthy. Even historically before all this crazy inflation started happening the savings rate in a savings account was like 0.01% and inflation was around 2 percent. Now the importance of this lays with the SVB. When looking at their business model it seems solid... "invest in high beta companies, or higher risk endeavors, then to off set this risk we will load up on the safest paper assets money can buy... the US 10Y bond." Officially the US hasn't defaulted on loans before... i mean we will print more money before we default. I mean it sounds like counterfeiting if you ask me, but who am I just a low key, low level, low volume trader with a computer living in my moms basement :) sarcasm... or is it?! Well from the looks of it it would seem SVB bought a ton of these 10Y bonds in 2021 when the economy was ripping and roaring. So, when bond yields are down their prices are way up. So in the full swing of the "roaring 20's" yields were around 1.12X or keeping it simpler 1.1XX. so that must mean the value must of been sky high. My only rational thought for this type of purchase was the risk manager must of thought he could off load the bonds in the bond market for a nice profit thinking good times were going to continue. On the surface it seems okay high risk business model with a low risk counter weight. But "We the People" were leaving SVB, and going back to what i said about taking your 25,000$ savings out, and they were running out of reserves and their bonds were worth less than the paper they were "printed" on, so they filed a loss on their report. on the surface this was fine, because only die hards read a companies 10Q or 8A but all it takes is one... and there is always that one Guy... and not this Regular Guy either. I personally dont like the instability of the tech industry. i mean i do believe we will make a full blown terminator but i dont want to gamble on which company that is regardless of what the gain is... might as well go gamble in my opinion. So, because there was a mass exodus of accounts they were having a hard time fill orders so file your 8A detailing you're offering more stocks to drum up some money and it falls flat. people read said 8A and see that you dont have cash so the word got out and the consumers made a bank run. Dont get it twisted either this can happen to any commercial bank JP Morgan, BofA, Chase, Citi, Credit Suisse and the like. a bank run is when the majority of depositors want their money back now and they do it in close succession of each other forcing the bank to say "we dont have your money" so they in essence "run" to the "bank" to get their worthless paper. Now, what i just learned is back in '08 our amazing government passed legislation basically stating they will no longer bail out banks. (honestly if you guys know the piece of legislation please post it in the comments) I agree with this legislation because when I lost 15k on a bad USDCHF trade 7-8 years ago the government didnt bail me out. that was all my money... just gone in a matter of seconds. So the US government came out and said " we will make sure all depositors will get their monies back... How? step in Bail-Ins And again a bail in is something i literally just learned about... i swear at this point were just making -ish up at this point... ok so we know what a bail out is... basically the US government funnels all this cash into a failing business(s) and the tax payer picks up the tab. so what is a bail-in?... glad you asked a bail-in is when the depositors pick up the tab... How? well the FDIC picks up the first $250K and anything over that 250K is now funneled into bank to help offset the loss. so if you have $500K in the bank the first $250K is yours... uncle sam gives it back via FDIC (which that money has been long gone spent, so i dont know where theyre going to pull money from to keep this facade of the FDIC up) and the next $250K is the banks... So congratulations you have just become a unwillingly silent partner of a failing bank. -ishy news is that the current administration is trying to give more power back to the IRS and bring it back to its glory days like it was in the 80's so you wont be able to claim those losses on your taxes, if you had a business friendly administration you might actually have a fighting chance. i have a feeling the whole world is watching what is about to happen, because the entire banking system relies on high value accounts. if the US says tough luck that might send uneasy shock waves to all the high income earners and might make them want to pull their funds out of the banking system... there is a very interesting article on Credit Suisse that i want to read so ciao!
TVC:US10Y
by ARegularGuy
1
It feels good to be back!It’s been a while now since our last engagement… Well, where should I start…? Many things happened in the last year++ that kept us away from this fantastic trading community and the good people we engaged with throughout our posts. Now, all those things are behind us and we are more than ever committed to continue to provide you with like we used to, the best version of ourselves to help you to get the best out of each and every single one of you through our analysis and educational content. We're happy to be back and hope you are all doing great! Speaking of, let's get back to business and catch up a bit with GOLD . On the daily TF the price started to pullback in a sharp way from the beginning of February. Going lower in the 4H timeframe we can see that the price started to lose some bearish momentum and slowed down, eventually breaking the TL highlighted on the chart and creating a consolidation. At the moment the price is starting to pullback from an important order block located around the $1860 level. We have two scenarios in our mind; 1. The price continues to descend towards the 62% FIB Level, having a chance to break the bigger low again, but that remains to be seen. If we get a small correction here the chances to go down to our level increase even more. 2. We can see a slow movement towards the upside that will eventually break the local top again. Please don't jump in, wait for your setups, no matter what, and don't risk more than 1% of your capital. It feels good to be back! I would love to end this on a high note and inspire you guys with a quote from Henry Ford: “When everything seems to be going against you, remember that the airplane takes off against the wind, not with it."
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by financialflagship
4
A bullish setup on AUDUSDHey Traders, here is my simple Buy setup on AUDUSD. The pair just successfully completed the inverted Head and Shoulder on the Daily TF, and now that signal a bullish run. On 4H the price retested the demand zone second time which could be argue to be a level that buyer might start throwing some buy orders in, but that is not enough. The market just made a flat bottom (liquidity mark up) and probably going to further the bearish run to retest the Daily OB as indicated below. Or You can look for a long position if the price break above the Multiple level of market structure then use the current resistance are as support after breaking that level. Buyers can look to buy the next retest and target the 0.7200 area.
Long
by Adefxc
9