DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Critical Moment
With an unprecedented pace of weakness of US Dollar,
DXY Index is now testing a historic weekly support cluster.
If the market breaks it today and closes below that, it will
open a potential for much more depreciation.
Next historic support will be 95.5 and a downtrend will continue.
Today's US fundamentals can be a trigger.
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Gold Price Analysis June 27Daily Trend Analysis:
The price has reacted strongly at the 3348 level, forming a clear and sustainable bearish structure. The 3296 zone is now a critical level — a confirmed breakout below this area could lead to a deeper decline, especially with limited potential for recovery on Friday.
Today, the bearish trend is likely to face less resistance compared to the bullish side. As such, a move toward the support zones at 3278 and 3255 is highly probable.
Any bullish retracement during the European session should be viewed as a good opportunity to look for SELL setups, targeting 3278 and 3255.
As previously analyzed, SELL zones are clustered around key resistance levels. Traders should closely watch price reactions in these areas for potential entry signals.
🔹 Breakout key level: 3296
🔹 Support zones: 3278 – 3255
🔹 Resistance zones: 3300 – 3312 – 3325 – 3336 – 3348 – 3363
Gold Trading Strategy June 26✏️ D1 candle shows a recovery but not significantly. Gold is currently reacting at the key resistance zone of 3342.
The immediate support zone that the price is heading toward is 3326. This forms a breakout range between 3326 and 3342.
A bullish channel may form if there is a strong price reaction at 3326. Conversely, if 3326 is broken, it could confirm a continuation of the downtrend targeting 3302 during the European and US sessions today. The bearish target could even extend to 3278.
📈 Key Levels
Breakout Range: 3326 - 3342
Support: 3326 - 3314 - 3302 - 3278
Resistance: 3342 - 3363 - 3388
📊 Recommended Trade Setups
BUY: 3302–3300 | SL: 3297
SELL: 3363–3365 | SL: 3369
GBPAUD Refuses to Make New Weekly HighsFailed to trade above the resistance zone of 2.101
Currently, the weak reaction at the trendline suggests that it will be difficult for the pair to push higher.
If the trendline breaks, the downtrend may extend toward 2.08100 — a level where buyers are likely to step back into the market.
We are waiting for further price action around the 2.081 support zone to look for new trade signals.
If this level is broken, 2.061 will become the next target for all SELL positions.
On the contrary, if the price bounces from 2.081, strong buying momentum could emerge and potentially break through the 2.101 resistance, targeting 2.110.
Is USDJPY in a Downtrend?USDJPY is supported by the trendline and the price is facing the resistance zone of 144.500. If the candle cannot close above this resistance zone, the sellers can push the price to break the trendline and head towards the support zone of 142.700. This support zone plays an important role in shaping the trend if broken the downtrend can be extended and no support zone can be strong enough to push the price of the pair until 140.300.
There is still a high possibility of a reaction so the BUY strategy at the support zone of 142.700 is still ready
On the other hand, if the candle closes above the resistance zone of 144.500, the uptrend is still maintained and heading towards this week's peak around 147.500. Pay attention to the price reaction at 146.000.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 27, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 27, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📉 Global Markets Bet on Dovish Fed Pivot
Markets are pricing in more aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts—approximately 125 bps by end-2026—due to speculation that President Trump may replace Chair Powell with a dovish successor. Investors caution excessive political influence could jeopardize Fed independence
🏦 Fed Governor Warns of Tariff Risks
Fed’s Michael Barr emphasized that tariffs could trigger inflation and unemployment, reinforcing the Fed’s wait‑and‑see approach. Expect modest rate cuts later this year, contingent on economic signals
📉 Q1 GDP Revised Sharply Lower
First-quarter U.S. GDP was downgraded to an annualized contraction of 0.5%, a deeper fall than previously reported. The revision underscores drag from weak consumer spending and trade disruptions
📃 Trade Deficit Widens in May
U.S. goods trade deficit expanded 11% to $96.6 billion, driven by a $9.7 billion drop in exports. Trade gap dynamics remain a headwind for growth projections
🐘 JPMorgan Sees Stagflation Risks
JPMorgan revised its U.S. GDP growth forecast down to 1.3%, warning that tariff-related “stagflationary impulse” is complicating growth and inflation outlooks—and making recession risks more real
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, June 27:
8:30 AM ET – U. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment – June (Prelim.)
Expected to reflect growing economic caution. The index fell in May; traders will watch for further weakness.
10:00 AM ET – Fed Stress Test Results
Fed to release annual bank stress-test outcomes. Strong results support financial stability, while weak spots could unsettle markets
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #inflation #macro #charting #technicalanalysis
NZD-USD Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Level of 0.6087 and as it
Is a strong key structure
We will be expecting
A local move down
Sell!
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EUR-CAD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CAD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is
About to retest a horizontal
Support of 1.5933 and as
We are locally bullish biased
We will be expecting a
Local bullish rebound
Buy!
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US100 BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅US100 is going up
Now and the index made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 22,222 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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CAD-CHF Bullish Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-CHF fell down sharply
And the pair was oversold
So we are not surprised to
See a bullish rebound from
The strong horizontal support
Around 0.5830 level and we
Think that we are likely
To see a further bullish move up
Buy!
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CADJPY What Next? BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for CADJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 105.74
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 106.26
Recommended Stop Loss - 105.43
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
DXY: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 96.899 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 97.077.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 36.463 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 36.640 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 1.17021 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Target Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,342.22 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,336.36..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER Will Go Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for SILVER.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 3,655.5.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 3,780.6 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EURUSD Will Move Lower! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 15h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.173.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.144 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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AUDJPY Is Bullish! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 94.220.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 95.015 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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NZDCHF Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for NZDCF
Time Frame: 17h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.485.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.492 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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