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Bitcoin - The Bottom Is In!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is reversing right now: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 It was really just a matter of time until Bitcoin actually manages to create a potential short term and longer term bottom. With this monthly candle, bulls are taking over again and starting to buy cryptos quite heavily. The chart just tells us that this is not the end, but rather the continuation. Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
12
25 Metrics to a Perfect Trading Journal First let’s begin with… What is a trading journal? This is a log book where you plot every trade you make with the metrics to show how your portfolio is performing and will continue to do so. I’m going to briefly list the items you’ll need to track your trading performance. 25 Items to plot in your trading journal… The trade No. The market traded (stock, index, crypto…) The entry date for your trade The exit date for your trade No. of days held Current portfolio value Max risk per trade (currency) Max risk % per trade Initial margin per instrument (CFD Spread betting) No. Volume traded The reason for entry Total margin paid Type of trade (Long / Short) Entry price Take profit price Stop loss price Closing price Risk in trade (Entry – Stop loss) Move in trade (close) Interest costs Brokerage costs Gearing Trade exposure (In and Out) Gross P+L Net P+L Don’t waste your time with calculations. Make sure you have the journal and log book with all formulas in each item. … When you record these details, you’ll be able to keep up to date with whether your portfolio is profitable and sustainable for the long run and where it’s lacking. Hope that helps!
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
7 Reasons why Elite Traders Crush the CompetitionHello TradingView world, I have been trading for almost 15 years and have learned some serious lessons about trading and the markets. I have also been fortunate enough to interact with many great traders over that time that have helped me tremendously, however I still struggled for a long while and wondered why I wasn’t making the progress I desperately wanted to make. I thought just like everyone else, that if I found the perfect trading strategy, all of my problems would vanish and profits would rain down from the sky like salt bae letting salt drip down off his forearm. Well guess what happened? I ACTUALLY DID FIND IT. In fact, my analysis in the market was so damn good that in 2013 I was invited to speak on a worldwide webinar hosted by Daily-FX which was then owned by FXCM. I’d have a 50 pip stop with a 500+ pip price target and I was nailing the trades left and right, so this was the reason I was invited on. I was working at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York during this time and I ended up leaving that job to trade full time that same year. Things went smoothly for a while. I partied… A LOT. Did all kinds of reckless and stupid things with my time and money and I ultimately lost it all by 2015. I pondered for a long time about what happened and once I removed my ego and stubbornness, I figured out that what makes a trader great has nothing to do with the outside and has everything to do with the inside. This is the TRUE secret of trading success. It’s all about YOU and how YOU approach trading. There is so much more to the story but without further hesitation, based on what I have learned from other great traders and have personally learned through brutal hard lessons, this is why Elite traders crush everyone else in the market and if you begin employing these lessons in your own trading, I can guarantee that you will see a dramatic change in your results. #1 - ELITE TRADERS ARE LEAGUES ABOVE YOU IN PATIENCE Everyone gets into trading for one thing and one thing only; to make money and to make as much of it as possible. One thing that the majority of traders do is that they also want to do it in the FASTEST way possible. This is where they screw up but is it any surprise that this is the case? I mean look all around you in terms of social media (Facebook, Instagram, YouTube, etc.) it’s all over the place with people touting “Watch me turn $1,000 into $10,000 in just a few days!” … This gets views, it gets attention and it encourages other traders to continuously take on massive risks in order to achieve this. Is it possible to do? YES, because many traders (Including myself) have done it but what does it also do? It creates detrimental habits that keep you in this mindset of turning a small account into a large account quickly and then that one day comes when you take on massive risk on a trade that looks “good” but ends up going violently against you for a huge loss or COMPLETE destruction of your account. Another factor is that the majority of traders want to be in the market ALL of the time. They can’t resist staying out and staying flat during times of uncertainty or when the charts aren’t clear enough to validate putting their capital at risk. Elite traders can wait hours, days and even WEEKS before putting on another trade because they understand, their trading opportunity is not yet clear and they rather wait as long as possible in order to enter the market at the most optimal time and conditions. Think about it; do you want to be in the market on a consistent basis? Are you able to wait a few days or a few weeks before putting on a new trade? It’s a very difficult thing for many traders to do while Elite traders have mastered the game of patience to their advantage. It’s not a matter of how long is the next trade going to take to develop? Rather, I’ll take the next trade when the optimal conditions are met regardless of how long it takes. #2 - ELITE TRADERS KNOW THEIR OWN WEAKNESSES Everyone has weaknesses whether we like to admit it or not. Some traders are severely impatient, some have a problem with risk management, some have a problem with making impulsive trades and become reckless, some have a problem with over analyzing their charts or trying to look at multiple markets at the same time, etc. Most traders either try to suppress them or choose to ignore them completely and this causes many to struggle and stay frustrated. Have you ever thought to yourself, “Shit, why did I do that!?” or “Why did I get out when I should have stayed in” or “Why did I chase it! I knew I should have stayed out” … There is a weakness there that you have not learned to master or work on improving it. Even if you finally acknowledge it and try to write it down or post it on your wall by your trading desk… You STILL end up making that mistake and frustration takes over. Elite traders through trial and error have learned to master their INTERNAL trading character. They know what triggers them and have found a way to stop it in its tracks so that mistakes are kept under control. They also understand that when these weaknesses start to creep up on them, they can identify WHY it’s happening and talk themselves out of it. For example, if the market is rising and it looks like it’s going to get away from them, they understand that by chasing after it, the market could turn around and leave them with an unnecessary loss or trap them in a position that they should have not gotten into in the first place. Their attitude is “The market did not give me the optimal trading opportunity that I wanted therefore I will wait. Let the market do whatever it’s going to do, I don’t care. I only care about my optimal trading opportunities” This tie’s in with reason #1 (Patience). They will not let ANYTHING force them into trades they shouldn’t be in. #3 - ELITE TRADERS FOCUS ON ONE MARKET/PAIR/SECTOR This is not only true of trading but life in general, focusing on one thing and mastering that one thing to become great at it. There are a multitude of instruments and markets to trade and it gives us traders the freedom to choose where we’d like to put our capital to work but as many of us know, too much choice can actually be a bad thing. When it comes to the Forex market, we have many pairs we can work with and that can actually be a problem. Everyone has a watch-list of pairs that they want to trade but is that causing you more trading struggles for you or keeping you confused? Whether the answer is yes or no, why are you doing that? And the answer is most likely because you believe it presents more trading opportunities but that is not always the right way to go about things. Each pair moves and reacts differently during certain market conditions and what works well on the EUR/USD may not work on the GBP/JPY. While the EUR/USD moves at a more stable pace and a big day would be considered a 1% move, the GBP/JPY can become wildly explosive and relentless when it comes to market volatility. Elite traders know this and they stick to ONE thing and become a master at it. I personally stick to the EUR/USD and that is MORE than enough to make profitable trades on. Elite traders do not divert to other markets or other pairs to try and make more profits but they lock down and focus on that one pair and crush it. It’s not common for the majority of traders to do this because they feel that they will be missing out on other trading opportunities but are they really? Or are they just finding multiple ways to take losses? In order to trade this way, it would require the ability to stay incredibly patient but it would allow for you to stay away from multiple charts and remain disciplined while not putting your capital at risk and avoiding impulse/emotional trades. This is not common but then again… this is why Elite traders do it and the majority does not. #4 - ELITE TRADERS PREFER A LONGER TERM OUTLOOK Just look at the screenshots of charts scattered on trading forums, social media or any other discussion outlet, more times than not everyone’s looking at the 1 Minute all through the 4 Hour time frames. You’ll find a few daily charts here and there and even less Weekly+ charts. Most traders want to be in the market every day and this is why Day trading is so enticing, it gives them a reason to log in, open up their charts and look for trading opportunities to make money. That’s a Mistake. You’re probably noticing that the previous 3 reasons tie into this reason and that’s because this is just another manifestation of lack of patience or inability to focus on one thing. Short term charts give the impression that there will be more moves to get in and out and not staying in a position overnight. Yes, I get that some traders out there prefer to just get into the market and then be done with it at the end of the day but more times than not, you’ll end up making impulsive trades that creates a string of losses if you don’t have your emotions in check. Elite traders like to look at the “whole picture” and prefer looking at the daily charts and up. Since longer time frames take time to develop, this is perfectly fine for them as it gives them more time to prepare for the upcoming trade and analyze the levels, they want to take a position and take profit. Once they enter a position, they set their stop and let the market work for them. They don’t need to check their positions multiple times per day since they know the market will take its time doing what it’s going to do and therefore have time for other activities in their lives or businesses. #5 - ELITE TRADERS VIEW TRADING FROM A BUSINESS PERSPECTIVE “How much can I make per day”, “How much can I make per week” or “How much can I make per month” … This is what you’ll usually hear from the majority of traders but how many times have you heard “We’ll see how performance looks at the end of the Quarter”? I’m willing to bet, not many. There is a lot of hype about how much can be made in one day or week but trading is not about just one day, one week or one month, it’s about the long game and how results look over time. Some Elite traders even go as far as looking at profit-loss on a yearly basis but because market conditions change throughout the year, reviewing how performance looks like at the end of the quarter is preferable. There is no rush to try to make a gain at the end of the day, week or month. Spacing out P/L review allows opportunities to both develop and play out especially if the market is trending. Elite traders don’t mess around in the market either, this is not a game or hobby for them while many amateurs in the market don’t take it as seriously as you would think. They know that the market is a battlefield and the other side of the trade won’t hesitate for a Nano-second to take their money. They understand that trading should be treated with the same care as running a business and properly deploying their capital out into the market is essential in bringing back even more capital for future trading opportunities that yield larger profits. Although trading is now offered to the masses and anyone can pretty much open a brokerage account and begin to trade, there are millions of traders that are misinformed and approach the market incorrectly and unprofessionally. “But, I’m not looking to trade professionally, I just want to trade casually” sure, that is completely fine however guess who’s going to eat you alive in the markets? That’s right, the Elite traders who do take things seriously and professionally. #6 - ELITE TRADERS PROTECT THEIR CAPITAL AT ALL TIMES In the boxing world, what is one of the warnings referees issue to the fighter’s right before the fight begins? “Keep your hands up and Protect yourself at all times!” and for good reason, right? So that they do not put their hands down and get a crushing hard punch to the head that knocks them out cold. It doesn’t matter how well you trained or for how long you’ve trained because one lazy mistake can cost you the fight, in some cases brutally. If you’ve been in the trading scene for any length of time, you have read or heard it countless times “manage your risk, manage your risk, manage your risk!” but how many traders ACTUALLY do it? You’d be surprised at how many do not do it at all because it’s painful to do. Painful? How so?... Well, it requires one to make small gains over time instead of putting the pedal to the metal and use high leverage on one single trade. That’s very difficult for the majority of traders to do because that means no “Account Flips” or trying to hit a homerun trade every single time and let’s face it, everyone is trying to get “rich” quickly. Elite traders know that just one mistake of not practicing sound money management by either not using a stop loss or using too much leverage can be extremely dangerous to their account and they know that it’s just not worth it. On another note, they understand that following risk control is instilling good and strong habits for their subconscious mind and it will carry along for the rest of their careers if they just stick to that simple principle. If there’s one major reason the majority of traders fail while a small percentage of traders make money consistently, it’s a lack of risk management and account/capital protection. Before you step into the unforgiving arena (Forex) be sure to protect your account at ALL times! Keep your "Guard" up and play defense! #7 - ELITE TRADERS AVOID DISTRACTIONS AND NOISE This is a pretty interesting and controversial one. It can be difficult to ignore the distractions and noise because us traders want to be part of a group or community so that we can share ideas and forecasts along with everyone else but sometimes, you’ve got to be careful with this. You may have an idea or outlook that goes against what others think is going to happen and it could get you off track. You may have experienced this a few times where you believe the market is going to go in one direction and others share the complete opposite view which then causes you to doubt your analysis. You end up cutting the position too early for fear of being wrong and ultimately the market goes in the direction you thought it would and you’re left frustrated. Distractions can also come in the form of upcoming economic data such as the Federal Reserve coming out with Interest Rates or its chairman Jerome Powell talking about certain economic projections. Volatility spikes up and it sucks you into the hype but if you have a sound trading strategy and rules, you may have noticed that even during high volatility, the market still respects order on the charts. It just moves as a faster pace. I have personally experienced this through my years of trading, in fact a recent memory comes to mind in 2020. I was invited by an online friend to a private Meta trading group and I wanted to offer some help and insight into what I knew, so I shared a screenshot of my outlook of the EUR/USD going forward. It was a powerful chart pattern I had seen countless times on the weekly chart and the EUR/USD was trading around 1.0850. Once I shared my screenshot calling for the Euro to make a strong 1000+ pip move and trend towards 1.2000 to 1.2200, some other group member immediately called my analysis a joke and that chart patterns were garbage and useless. I was going to retaliate back but I thought to myself, this is childish, unprofessional and really unproductive, so I immediately left that group. My friend apologized and said the other guy had a chip on his shoulder because he was former banker for a massive global investment bank (I won’t say which one but I can guarantee you, everyone knows it). I appreciated the apology and left it at that. I the end, all that mattered to me was that as the months went by, the EUR/USD did in fact trend towards the exact projected price levels. That was a lesson for me to avoid detrimental opinions from others. Elite traders know about this type of noise and are sure to remove any of that from their trading. This is why many stay “undercover” and you don’t really hear about them. They stay under the radar and just do what they do and do it well. The overall lesson here is that a community should be about helping others and uplifting them, even when they’re wrong. No matter how great a trader is, he/she still deals with losses and nobody is ever correct 100% of the time. Trading is already difficult, so by encouraging and helping others become better at trading the markets, everyone improves as a whole. Conclusion There you have it, just some of the basics of what Elite traders do and what has transformed my own trading results tremendously. We all know that there are a variety of ways to approach the market but if there is one takeaway from all of this is that, Top Level traders have learned to master themselves and how they mentally approach trading. It’s actually quite simple and straight forward however it can be hard to implement in real time but that doesn’t mean that it cannot be done and transform your own trading. I wish you the best in your trading journey. I personally know it can be VERY tough but it's well worth it. Keep at it and never give up.
Education
by InternalTraderNYC
4
UPDATE: MEDIUM TERM OUTLOOK ON THE DOLLARWhat's up trading world! Hope you have been well & taking care of yourself in these uncertain economic times! I am back with another DOLLAR INDEX update, now I did say I would update at the end of June however, with 1st July being a Friday, I wanted to observe how the market plays out so I could give a move comprehensive update! UPDATE: 1. Bearing my previous post in mind, we saw the dollar shoot upwards and this was due to the biggest interest rate hike by the Fed since 1994. Monkeypox cases have also remained small in number which has only boosted the dollar even more. 2. As a result of the above, we saw pattern ABC play out in June (see previous post) where point 'B' illustrated opportunities for optimal buy-entries and these signals were shared with my private community and we were able to have a lovely 1:4 risk-reward trade (+420pips) that smashed through relevant targets! MOVING FORWARD: 1. The dollar doesn't plan on slowing down anytime soon, we will definitely be expecting a rate hike again in July, it is the only way to crumb the inflation and do a hard reset on the debt the US has accumulated. 2. Barring covid & monkeypox cases remaining below 10K per/day, the dollar will continue to soar as commodities continue their much-needed reset. 3. Unemployment (NFP) numbers coming this week will also be a key indicator and although we expect it to be higher than last month, should there be a drop, I don't believe the drop will be extensive enough to stop the dollar's rally. Technical analysis: 1. For optimal BUY-entry opportunities moving forward, wait for pattern ABC to play out, with point-B signalling entry point for buy-trades however, given the strength of the dollar, it might not even retest our daily support but rather continue going up due to strong fundamentals & key institutional traders trade-positions that are pushing the market right now. 2. Whether there is a RETEST or not of our daily-support zone, should the above 'moving forward' conditions happen, expect the DOLLAR index to make its way to $108, a price level it hasn't reached in almost 20 years!! Thanks for reading! Let's take advantage of the markets together! These are generational wealth times that we are living in, don't let them pass you by! :))
TVC:DXYLong
by No-NonsenseFX_
🐻TIME TO SELL OIL??!!!Oil has been riding that trendline to new heights, but the more times a trendline is tested, the weaker it gets. this theory has held true once more as price has broken below this MAJOR trendline. A break of structure can also be spotted as price retests previous areas of support as resistance. It looks like its time to sell as price seems to have completed the wave sequence of a bearish continuation pattern(bearish flag pattern). CHECK THE LINKED IDEA FOR THE FULL SETUP TVC:USOIL Happy trading!!
TVC:USOILShort
by WAR_ON_FOREX
🐻US100 NeutralNas100 has been very bearish for weeks as a result of the Russia Ukraine crisis and rising USD rates. From the impulsive bearish movement price has tested a major supporting trendline on the weekly for the third time, sparking a bullish movement. An inverse head and shoulders was formed and the price broke the neckline, moving higher. The market has now tested the 61.8% Fib retracement. This will likely result in a bearish movement that will lead to the retest of the Inverse head and shoulders or a complete bearish continuation. We also see that a trendline Off the daily has been broken, and this could spark a massive bullish movement if price breaks above 12350.00 Happy Trading!
OANDA:NAS100USD
by WAR_ON_FOREX
🐻US30 BEARISHUS30 has been very bearish for weeks as a result of the Russia Ukraine crisis and rising USD rates. From the impulsive bearish movement price has tested a major supporting trendline on the weekly for the third time, sparking a bullish movement. An inverse head and shoulders was formed and the price broke the neckline, moving higher. The market is now approaching the 61.8% Fib retracement. This will likely result in a bearish movement that will lead to the retest of the Inverse head and shoulders or a complete bearish continuation. CURRENCYCOM:US30 Happy Trading!
UShort
by WAR_ON_FOREX