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Trandinganalysis

Does Bitcoin History Repeat Itself? 🚀 Does Bitcoin History Repeat Itself? 🌕 Comparing the 2017, 2021, and 2025 bull runs reveals a fascinating similarity: 🔹 Each cycle experiences mid-run corrections ranging from -25% to -40%! 🔹These corrections fuel the next leg up to new all-time highs. 🔹2024-2025 is shaping up to follow this historical trend. Therefore, it will be expected if we see a drop of around 25% to 30%. Lessons: Corrections are part of growth. Stay focused on the bigger picture! #Bitcoin #Bullrun Share your thoughts below!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
13
#BITCOIN POTENTIAL OVERVIEW!🚨#BITCOIN WEEKLY TIME FRAME TECHNICAL ANALYSIS🔔 After breaking the previous all-time high, which was $69,028 and achieving a new high of $73,773. Currently trending above the strong support zone of $64,500 to $66,300, technically it’s a very strong support zone. Today is the weekly closing, and Bitcoin must maintain its position above the mentioned support zone. Here we have two scenarios. First, if this week's candle closes above the $64,500 support then in the upcoming week, we anticipate a bullish move towards the $94,500. In the second scenario, if it does close below the support, then it is highly possible that it will drop to $38,500 to $40,000 before the halving, and that will be the last chance to buy bitcoin at a much lower price. Here is the question: does it drop before the halving or after the halving? So it is advisable to be prepared for this possibility, especially when accepting a drop before the halving event. This is because, historically, the market tends to shake out less experienced traders before the real bull run begins. This chart serves as a valuable aid in making informed trade decisions and is intended solely for educational purposes. Your insights and perspectives on the charts are highly appreciated and can be shared in the comment section. Thank you for your contribution.
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
25
Ethereum: HISTORICAL CYCLES 📈Regarding Ethereum's historical data: - In the first cycle, after the all-time low (ATL), CRYPTOCAP:ETH BITSTAMP:ETHUSD BINANCE:ETHUSDT took 777 days to surpass its previous all-time high (ATH). - If history repeats itself, a new ATH could potentially be reached around 700 days from today, possibly by July 2024. - The last bull run lasted around 1071 days. - This time, it is expected to last between 1071 to 1064 days of a bull market. First cycle: 777 days from ATL to surpass previous ATH. - If history repeats, new ATH around July 2024 (700 days from now). Last bull run: 1071 days long. Expected current bull run: 1064–1071 days. Based on fractal analysis and chart data, it is anticipated that Ethereum will reach its next bull market peak in May to June 2025. #Crypto
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
6
"Analyzing Long-Term Support of LTC to Identify Opportunities"COINBASE:LTCUSD is currently trading above a significant long-term support level that has held for 1890 days, as evident from historical price interactions. This support has consistently resulted in a bounce for LTC whenever the price approaches it. While we anticipate another bounce, it is prudent to acknowledge the possibility of a breakdown. Fortunately, the risk associated with this trade is minimal due to a short stop-loss (SL). The trade appears favorable with a low risk and a potentially high reward. Turning our attention back to the chart, the symmetrical triangle pattern observed indicates similarities with a previous breakout, leading to a substantial 500% increase. The formation of a similar pattern now suggests the potential for another breakout, which could lead to a significant upward movement. Noteworthy resistance levels during this anticipated movement include $79, $135, and the all-time high (ATH). It is imperative to emphasize that this analysis is not financial advice. Investors are strongly encouraged to conduct their own research (DYOR) and base their decisions on individual risk tolerance and market comprehension.
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
2
I'm just simplifying things for you all #Bitcoin #Bitcoin Daily Update: Bitcoin closed the day at $42,100, showing promise in its current trajectory. The price successfully breached the resistance trendline, and there are expectations for a test of the $44,000 resistance level. Several influencers and traders, including myself, previously speculated on the possibility of Bitcoin retracing towards the $30,000 range. However, it's worth noting the significance of the 100EMA in the daily timeframe, which, if I'm not mistaken, played out effectively. Looking ahead, predicting Bitcoin's next moves remains uncertain. All we can do is analyze and evaluate probabilities. At this juncture of $42,000, it is anticipated that Bitcoin will challenge the $44,000 resistance. A successful break higher could lead to the next targets at $47,000-$50,000. It's crucial to keep an eye on the 100EMA as an invalidation point. Additionally, it's noteworthy to emphasize the importance of the weekly close being in the green, as it holds significance for the overall market outlook. Stay tuned for further developments. #DYOR
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
2
XRP is likely to rebound from the lower support of this patter!BINANCE:XRPUSDT BITSTAMP:XRPUSD CRYPTOCAP:XRP Update XRP is currently trending within a rising channel that has been in place for over 600 days. Presently, it maintains a position above the lower support level of this channel. We anticipate a potential rebound from this lower support zone. The area marked by the blue box represents the accumulation zone. Resistance levels to watch include the 50-day moving average, the 0.513 level, and the 0.85 level. To invalidate this pattern, XRP would need to break below the lower trend line of the channel. Stay tuned for further updates as the situation develops.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
2
Ethereum Analysis and Strategies for Altcoin Investors"Ethereum Analysis: In terms of the overall outlook, there are indications that suggest a potential cause for concern regarding short-term performance in altcoins. To assess the current situation, it's crucial to keep an eye on the 50-day Moving Average (MA) on the daily chart. Despite the need for caution, Ethereum is presently trading above this MA. This suggests the possibility of a reentry opportunity if the MA holds as a deviation. Over the past few months, altcoins have witnessed a substantial rally. In light of this, it might be prudent to consider taking some profits off the table. Holding these profits in Bitcoin (BTC) and USDT could offer a more stable position amidst potential market fluctuations. However, it's essential to emphasize that this analysis is not financial advice. It's crucial for investors to conduct their own research (DYOR) and make informed decisions based on their individual risk tolerance and market understanding.
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
"Battling Resistance: Bitcoin's Weekly Struggle and ETF-Induced On the weekly timeframe, Bitcoin has been facing significant hurdles in overcoming a well-established resistance area. The ongoing struggle to surpass this key zone, situated around $43,250, is of paramount importance. The impending closure of this timeframe holds critical significance, as it is imperative for Bitcoin to secure a decisive breakthrough above this resistance level. A successful breach could potentially open the doors for an upward trajectory, with the next targets set around the $47,000 to $48,000 range. Despite the optimistic outlook, caution is advised, considering the possibility of a deceptive market move. This cautious approach is especially prudent given the imminent release of ETF-related news, which has the potential to trigger heightened volatility in the market. Staying vigilant and acknowledging the unpredictable nature of the market is essential in navigating the current landscape.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
"Stop Loss Essentials: Preventing Losses in Uptrends"Hi guys, This is CryptoMojo, One of the most active trading view authors and fastest-growing communities. Consider following me for the latest updates and Long /Short calls on almost every exchange. I post short mid and long-term trade setups too. Let’s get to the chart! I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome to this chart, Do not consider financial advice. Common Reasons Why Traders Lose Money Even in an Uptrend #Not Setting Stop-Loss: #Not Conducting Technical Analysis: #Going against the Trends: #Following the Herd: #Being Impatient: #Not doing Homework or Research: #Averaging on Losing Position: Buy low sell high' is the motto. As simple as it sounds, why do most people lose money trading or investing? There are four major mistakes that most beginners make: 1. Excessive Confidence This stems from the idea that people think of themselves as special. They think they can 'crack the code' in the stock market that 99.9% of people fail to, and eventually make a living trading and investing. However, taking into consideration the fact that more people lose money in the market, this form of wishful thinking is the same mentality as going into a casino feeling lucky. You may actually get lucky and win big the first few times, but in the end, the house always wins. 2. Distorted Judgements While simplicity is key, the approach most beginners make in trading and investing are too simplistic, to the extend where it's hard to even call it a trading logic or reason to invest. They spot a few reoccurring patterns within the market, and this is almost as if they discovered fire. It doesn't take long to realize that the "pattern" they spotted was never based on any solid reasoning, or worse, wasn't even a pattern at all in the first place. 3. Herding Behavior The fundamentals of this is also deeply rooted in a gambling mindset. Beginners are attracted to the idea of a single trade or investment that will make them a millionaire. However, they fail to realize that there is no such thing. Trading and investing is nothing like winning the lottery. It's about making consistent profits that compound throughout time. While people should definitely look for assets that have high liquidity and some volatility , the get-rich-quick mentality drags irrational beginners into overextended/overbought stocks that eventually drop drastically. 4. Risk Aversion Risk aversion is a psychological trait embedded within all of mankind's DNA. Winning is fun, but we can't tolerate losing. We tend to avoid risk, even when the potential reward is worth pursuing. As such, many beginners take extremely small amounts of profits, in fear that they might close their position at a loss, trading with a terrible risk reward ratio. In the long run, their willingness to not take any risks leads to losses. Depending on the price action, they also go through seven phases of psychological stages: - Anxiety - Interest - Confidence - Greed - Doubt - Concern - Regret ------------------------------------------------------------------ Lack of Discipline An intraday trader must stick to a proper plan. A full-fledged intraday plan includes profit targets, factors to consider, methods to put a stop loss, and ways to select the right trading hours. The trading plan provides a comprehensive overview of how trading should be executed. Also, you can keep a record of trades executed during the day with the performance analysis of each stock at the end of the day. Such records help you identify the weak areas in your trading strategy and correct them. It is very important to be disciplined as a trader, the proper discipline will help you minimize the losses and maintain your capital. Not Setting Proper Trading Limits In intraday trading, the success lies in managing the risk. You should pre-define a stop loss and profit target when entering intraday trading. This strategy itself is an important part of trading discipline and this is where most people fail. For instance, if you incur a loss in the first hour itself, you should shut down the trading terminal for the rest of the day. You should also have an overall capital loss limit in place, it will safeguard you against trading losses. Compensating for a Rapid Loss This is one of the common mistakes in the trading community. When a trader incurs a loss, he/she either tries to average a position or overtrades excessively to recover the loss. This further leads to a greater loss and put them into more trouble. Losses are a part of intraday trading, instead of overtrading, it is wise to accept the loss, analyze the strategy and make improvements from the next day. Heavy Dependency on Tips Nowadays, there are ample of intraday tips flowing everywhere on the digital media. It is a common phenomenon for a trader to rely on these external tips, however, this needs to be avoided. The best way to learn intraday trading is by gradually learning how to read charts, understanding structures, and interpreting results on your own. Many traders refrain from taking these efforts and because of this, they end up on the losing side. The Beyond App by Nirmal Bang provides deeper insights into the market, the technical research offered by Nirmal Bang is spot on. You can use that research for reference, however, nothing can beat practical experience. Not Keeping Track of Current Affairs The external news, events, and tragedies do have an impact on the stock market. Hence, it is important for an intraday trader to keep a track of the Indian as well as global markets. Even the performance of global markets has an impact on the movement of Indian markets. Make your trade after the news or event has been announced, do not try to speculate the market based on the news. There are even instances when traders do not have any sound trading strategy, they just make decisions based on gut feelings or emotions. One needs to remember that intraday trading in itself is a skill, it is not a gamble, it takes time to develop proficiency, you cannot expect rapid results. The above are some of the major reasons why intraday traders lose money, ensure that you are disciplined enough, stick to a proper strategy, analyze your strategy at regular intervals, and things will fall in place. we will discuss 3 classic trading strategies and stop placement rules. 1) The first trading strategy is a trend line strategy. The technique implies buying/selling the touch of strong trend lines, expecting a strong bullish/bearish reaction from that. If you are buying a trend line, you should identify the previous low. Your stop loss should lie strictly below that. If you are selling a trend line, you should identify the previous high. Your stop loss should lie strictly above that. 2) The second trading strategy is a breakout trading strategy. The technique implies buying/selling the breakout of a structure, expecting a further bullish/bearish continuation. If you are buying a breakout of resistance, you should identify the previous low. Your stop loss should lie strictly below that. If you are selling a breakout of support, you should identify the previous high. Your stop loss should lie strictly above that. 3) The third trading strategy is a range trading strategy. The technique implies buying/selling the boundaries of horizontal ranges, expecting a bullish/bearish reaction from them. If you are buying the support of the range, your stop loss should strictly lie below the lowest point of support. If you are selling the resistance of the range, your stop loss should strictly lie above the highest point of resistance. As you can see, these stop-placement techniques are very simple. Following them, you will avoid a lot of stop hunts and manipulations. What Is a Stop-Loss Order? A stop-loss order is an order placed with a broker to buy or sell a specific stock once the stock reaches a certain price. A stop-loss is designed to limit an investor's loss on a security position. For example, setting a stop-loss order for 10% below the price at which you bought the stock will limit your loss to 10%. Suppose you just purchased Microsoft (MSFT) at $20 per share. Right after buying the stock, you enter a stop-loss order for $18. If the stock falls below $18, your shares will then be sold at the prevailing market price. Stop-limit orders are similar to stop-loss orders. However, as their name states, there is a limit on the price at which they will execute. There are then two prices specified in a stop-limit order: the stop price, which will convert the order to a sell order, and the limit price. Instead of the order becoming a market order to sell, the sell order becomes a limit order that will only execute at the limit price (or better). Advantages of the Stop-Loss Order The most important benefit of a stop-loss order is that it costs nothing to implement. Your regular commission is charged only once the stop-loss price has been reached and the stock must be sold. 3 One way to think of a stop-loss order is as a free insurance policy. Additionally, when it comes to stop-loss orders, you don't have to monitor how a stock is performing daily. This convenience is especially handy when you are on vacation or in a situation that prevents you from watching your stocks for an extended period. 4 Stop-loss orders also help insulate your decision-making from emotional influences. People tend to "fall in love" with stocks. For example, they may maintain the false belief that if they give a stock another chance, it will come around. In actuality, this delay may only cause losses to mount. 5 No matter what type of investor you are, you should be able to easily identify why you own a stock. A value investor's criteria will be different from the criteria of a growth investor, which will be different from the criteria of an active trader. No matter what the strategy is, the strategy will only work if you stick to it. So, if you are a hardcore buy-and-hold investor, your stop-loss orders are next to useless. At the end of the day, if you are going to be a successful investor, you have to be confident in your strategy. This means carrying through with your plan. The advantage of stop-loss orders is that they can help you stay on track and prevent your judgment from getting clouded with emotion. 2 Finally, it's important to realize that stop-loss orders do not guarantee you'll make money in the stock market; you still have to make intelligent investment decisions. If you don't, you'll lose just as much money as you would without a stop-loss (only at a much slower rate.) Types of Stop-Loss orders Fixed Stop Loss The fixed stop is a stop loss order triggered when a particular pre-determined price is hit. Fixed stops can also be timed-based and are most commonly used as soon as the trade is placed. Time-bound fixed stops are useful for investors who want to provide the position with a pre-set amount of time to profit prior to moving on to the next trade. Only utilize time-based stops when positioned sized properly to permit major adverse swings in share price. Trailing Stop-Loss Order Trailing order caters to the capital gains protection of an investor, while simultaneously providing a hedge against any unexpected price downturns. It is set as a percentage of the total asset price, and the order to sell is triggered in case market prices fall below the stipulated level. However, in the case of a price rise, the trailing order adjusts automatically in tune with an overall increase in market valuation. Suppose, in a trailing stop-loss market, an order for execution is set if the price of a security falls below 10% of the market value. Assuming the purchase price is 100 an order to sell the security is executed automatically by an authorised broker if the price falls below 90. In case the share prices rise to 120, the trailing order stands at 10% of the current market price, which is 108. Hence, if prices consequently start falling after peaking at. 120, a stop-loss order will be executed at 108. It allows an individual to enjoy a capital gain of 8 (108 – 100) on his/her investment corpus. Stop-Loss Order Vs Market Order While a stop-loss order performs a sale of underlying securities provided the price falls below a prescribed limit, a market order is issued to a broker to conduct trade (both buying and selling) at the prevailing market price. Stop-loss orders are designed to reduce the risk factor, while market orders aim to increase liquidity in the stock market by eradicating the bid-ask spread difference. A market order is the most basic form of trade order placed in a stock market. Stop-Loss Order and Limit Order Limit orders execute a trade of stipulated securities if the price reaches a pre-set value. While a buy limit order facilitates the purchase of any securities if the price falls below the given limit, a sell limit order is executed if the price rises above the value. Limit orders are designed to maximise the profitability of an investment venture by maximising the bid-ask spread. It is in contrast to stop-loss orders, which are implemented only if the price is equal to the limit stated by investors, as a method of minimising losses in a bear market. If you like our content, please feel free to support our page with a like, comment & follow for future educational ideas and trading setups.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
JUST A REMINDER CHART FOR BEGINNERS Here are some Educational Chart Patterns JUST A REMINDER CHART FOR BEGINNERS I hope you will find this information educational & informative. >Head and Shoulders Pattern A head and shoulders pattern is a chart formation that appears as a baseline with three peaks, the outside two are close in height and the middle is the highest. In technical analysis, a head and shoulders pattern describes a specific chart formation that predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal. >Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern An inverse head and shoulders are similar to the standard head and shoulders pattern, but inverted: with the head and shoulders top used to predict reversals in downtrends An inverse head and shoulders pattern, upon completion, signals a bull market Investors typically enter into a long position when the price rises above the resistance of the neckline. >Double Top (M) Pattern A double top is an extremely bearish technical reversal pattern that forms after an asset reaches a high price two consecutive times with a moderate decline between the two highs. It is confirmed once the asset's price falls below a support level equal to the low between the two prior highs. >Double Bottom (W) Pattern The double bottom looks like the letter "W". The twice-touched low is considered a support level. The advance of the first bottom should be a drop of 10% to 20%, then the second bottom should form within 3% to 4% of the previous low, and volume on the ensuing advance should increase. The double bottom pattern always follows a major or minor downtrend in particular security and signals the reversal and the beginning of a potential uptrend. >Tripple Top Pattern A triple top is formed by three peaks moving into the same area, with pullbacks in between. A triple top is considered complete, indicating a further price slide, once the price moves below pattern support. A trader exits longs or enters shorts when the triple top completes. If trading the pattern, a stop loss can be placed above the resistance (peaks). The estimated downside target for the pattern is the height of the pattern subtracted from the breakout point. >Triple Bottom Pattern A triple bottom is a visual pattern that shows the buyers (bulls) taking control of the price action from the sellers (bears). A triple bottom is generally seen as three roughly equal lows bouncing off support followed by the price action breaching resistance. The formation of the triple bottom is seen as an opportunity to enter a bullish position. >Falling Wedge Pattern When a security's price has been falling over time, a wedge pattern can occur just as the trend makes its final downward move. The trend lines drawn above the highs and below the lows on the price chart pattern can converge as the price slide loses momentum and buyers step in to slow the rate of decline. Before the lines converge, the price may breakout above the upper trend line. When the price breaks the upper trend line the security is expected to reverse and trend higher. Traders identifying bullish reversal signals would want to look for trades that benefit from the security’s rise in price. >Rising Wedge Pattern This usually occurs when a security’s price has been rising over time, but it can also occur in the midst of a downward trend as well. The trend lines drawn above and below the price chart pattern can converge to help a trader or analyst anticipate a breakout reversal. While price can be out of either trend line, wedge patterns have a tendency to break in the opposite direction from the trend lines. Therefore, rising wedge patterns indicate the more likely potential of falling prices after a breakout of the lower trend line. Traders can make bearish trades after the breakout by selling the security short or using derivatives such as futures or options, depending on the security being charted. These trades would seek to profit from the potential that prices will fall. >Flag Pattern A flag pattern, in technical analysis, is a price chart characterized by a sharp countertrend (the flag) succeeding a short-lived trend (the flag pole). Flag patterns are accompanied by representative volume indicators as well as price action. Flag patterns signify trend reversals or breakouts after a period of consolidation. >Pennant Pattern Pennants are continuation patterns where a period of consolidation is followed by a breakout used in technical analysis. It's important to look at the volume in a pennant—the period of consolidation should have a lower volume and the breakouts should occur on a higher volume. Most traders use pennants in conjunction with other forms of technical analysis that act as confirmation. >Cup and Handle Pattern A cup and handle price pattern on a security's price chart is a technical indicator that resembles a cup with a handle, where the cup is in the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift. The cup and handle are considered a bullish signal, with the right-hand side of the pattern typically experiencing lower trading volume. The pattern's formation may be as short as seven weeks or as long as 65 weeks. >What is a Bullish Flag Pattern When the prices are in an uptrend a bullish flag pattern shows a slow consolidation lower after an aggressive uptrend. This indicates that there is more buying pressure moving the prices up than down and indicates that the momentum will continue in an uptrend. Traders wait for the price to break above the resistance of the consolidation after this pattern is formed to enter the market. >What is the Bearish Flag Pattern When the prices are in the downtrend a bearish flag pattern shows a slow consolidation higher after an aggressive downtrend. This indicates that there is more selling pressure moving the prices down rather than up and indicates that the momentum will continue in a downtrend. Traders wait for the price to break below the support of the consolidation after this pattern is formed to enter in the short position. > Channel A channel chart pattern is characterized as the addition of two parallel lines which act as the zones of support and resistance. The upper trend line or the resistance connects a series of highs. The lower trend line or the support connects a series of lows. Below is the formation of the channel chart pattern: >Megaphone pattern The megaphone pattern is a chart pattern. It’s a rough illustration of a price pattern that occurs with regularity in the stock market. Like any chart pattern, there are certain market conditions that tend to follow the formation of the megaphone pattern. The megaphone pattern is characterized by a series of higher highs and lower lows, which is a marked expansion in volatility: >What is a ‘diamond’ pattern? A bearish diamond formation or diamond top is a technical analysis pattern that can be used to detect a reversal following an uptrend; the however bullish diamond pattern or diamond bottom is used to detect a reversal following a downtrend. This pattern occurs when a strong up-trending price shows a flattening sideways movement over a prolonged period of time that forms a diamond shape. Detecting reversals is one of the most profitable trading opportunities for technical traders. A successful trader combines these techniques with other technical indicators and other forms of technical analysis to maximize their odds of success. Technicians using charts search for archetypal price chart patterns, such as the well-known head and shoulders or double top /bottom reversal patterns, study technical indicators, and moving averages and look for forms such as lines of support, resistance, channels and more obscure formations such as flags, pennants, balance days and cup and handle patterns. Technical analysts also widely use market indicators of many sorts, some of which are mathematical transformations of price, often including up and down the volume, advance/decline data and other inputs. These indicators are used to help assess whether an asset is trending, and if it is, the probability of its direction and of continuation. Technicians also look for relationships between price/ volume indices and market indicators. Examples include the moving average, relative strength index and MACD. Other avenues of study include correlations between changes in Options (implied volatility ) and put/call ratios with a price. Also important are sentiment indicators such as Put/Call ratios, bull/bear ratios, short interest, Implied Volatility, etc. There are many techniques in technical analysis. Adherents of different techniques (for example Candlestick analysis, the oldest form of technical analysis developed by a Japanese grain trader; Harmonics; Dow theory; and Elliott wave theory) may ignore the other approaches, yet many traders combine elements from more than one technique. Some technical analysts use subjective judgment to decide which pattern(s) a particular instrument reflects at a given time and what the interpretation of that pattern should be. Others employ a strictly mechanical or systematic approach to pattern identification and interpretation. Contrasting with technical analysis is fundamental analysis, the study of economic factors that influence the way investors price financial markets. Technical analysis holds that prices already reflect all the underlying fundamental factors. Uncovering the trends is what technical indicators are designed to do, although neither technical nor fundamental indicators are perfect. Some traders use technical or fundamental analysis exclusively, while others use both types to make trading decisions. Trade with care. If you like our content, please feel free to support our page with a like, comment
Education
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
31
XLM has a good futureXLM is one of the most important cryptocurrencies for me, a project that works with the government of Ukraine and will certainly be with others, very cheap transactions, I think we are in for a good year with XLM. The potential of XLM is huge, the project likes silence what we see in the media, it is very rarely in the main services, but it is good, because I hope that this year the more street will enter the game + institutions CRDT.io new crypto banking system available at Coinbase wallet and Enjin wallet
X
by VeniVidiVici666
2