Trend Analysis
Will gold return to 3500?XAU/USD Head and Shoulders Breakdown Analysis
The chart shows a classic Head and Shoulders pattern forming on the 4H timeframe, indicating a potential bearish reversal setup.
Left Shoulder: Formed mid-May with a local high followed by a dip.
Head: A higher peak formed in mid-June.
Right Shoulder: Formed recently at a lower high compared to the head, completing the structure.
The neckline has been clearly defined, and price is currently hovering just above it. If the price breaks and closes below the neckline with strong bearish momentum, it would confirm the pattern.
Target: The projected target from the breakdown is around 3163, calculated by measuring the height from the head to the neckline and projecting it downward.
Outlook:
A confirmed break below the neckline would open the door for further downside toward the target zone.
Bears will be in control if price sustains below the neckline with increasing volume.
Wait for confirmation on the neckline break before considering short entries.
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USDT.D — 1W FVG Test & RSI Bull Div | Caution for RiskUSDT Dominance is testing a major 1W FVG support area while developing bullish divergences on the 4H RSI. Although a short-term bounce and market correction are likely, the overall bullish trend in BTC means a sharp reversal is not guaranteed. Risk management is a priority here — no high-risk positions until the RSI resets and market context is clearer.
1W FVG support + 4H RSI bull div
Bounce likely = correction on risk assets
RSI needs reset to 50 before reassessing
If lost — risk-off, possible slice down
Reasoning: Support + momentum, but trend is bullish — not risking gains here
XRPUSDT Weekly Chart Analysis | Next Bullish MoveXRPUSDT Weekly Chart Analysis | Major Resistance Levels Align for Next Bullish Move
🔍 Let’s break down the XRP/USDT weekly setup, highlighting key technical signals and major upside targets for the next rally.
⏳ Weekly Overview
The weekly chart shows consolidation just below a major resistance, with price action tightening and preparing for a breakout. A recent correction found support near the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, which has acted as a springboard for renewed momentum. Notably, the R2 pivot point level aligns closely with this area, strengthening its importance as a decision zone for bulls.
🔺 Upside Targets & Confluences:
- First Target: $4.63 — This coincides with the R2 monthly pivot point and aligns with key Fibonacci extension targets, offering strong confluence for a reaction zone.
- Second Target: $5.90 — Our most realistic medium-term target, also backed by cluster resistance from both pivot analysis and fib projections.
- Final Target: $7.80 — This is the major Fibonacci extension level, marking the highest projected upside if momentum persists.
📊 Key Technical Highlights:
- Pivot Point R2 & Fibonacci Confluence: The R2 level reinforces a critical resistance, overlapping with the $4.63 Fibonacci target.
- Fibonacci Retracement: Price respected the 0.382 retracement during the latest correction, signaling healthy trend continuation.
- Volume Confirmation: An uptick in volume confirms that buyers are stepping in, supporting the bullish momentum.
- RSI Signal: RSI is entering the overbought zone, which typically indicates a strong surge in buying pressure and can mark the start of a momentum move.
🚨 Conclusion:
XRP is setting up for a major breakout as key technical levels align. Watch for a sustained move above $4.63 to unlock the $5.90 area, with a final potential push towards $7.80 if bulls maintain control. Volume expansion and an overheated RSI are both classic signs of an incoming momentum wave—keep your eyes on these levels for validation of the setup.
Gold Trade Plan 18/07/2025Dear Traders,
Gold (XAUUSD) – Short-Term Outlook – July 18, 2025
Price is currently moving within an ascending channel and approaching a key resistance zone around 3355–3360, highlighted in red. This zone has acted as previous supply (marked with red arrows), and we anticipate potential bearish reaction from here.
As long as price fails to break and hold above 3375, we remain bearish near the top of the range, with short opportunities targeting the mid-range (~3340) and possibly the bottom of the channel (~3315–3320).
If price breaks above 3375 with strong momentum and closes above it, the bullish breakout scenario becomes active, invalidating the short setup.
📌 Strategy:
Watch for bearish confirmation in the resistance zone
Sell near the top, targeting lower range levels
Invalidation: Break and close above 3375
Regards,
Alireza!
XRPUSD - Target reached. Reversal on the plateSo, that was a nice long trade.
Now price is stretched at the Upper Medianline Parallel (U-MLH).
As of the time of writing, I already see price pulling back into the Fork. A open and close within the Fork would indicate a potential push to the south.
Target would be the Centerline, as it is the level where natural Meanreversion is.
Observation Hat ON! §8-)
Gold will crash1. What happened yesterday
As expected, Gold started to rise after finding support at 3250. The move up played out perfectly, reaching the resistance area highlighted in yesterday’s analysis — around 3320–3340.
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2. The key question today
Is this just a correction in a bearish trend, or the start of reversal?
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3. Why I remain bearish
• On the weekly chart, structure still leans bearish
• On lower time frames, the bounce looks corrective — not impulsive
• No breakout above 3360 yet, which would be needed to shift the bias
• A move back below 3320 would likely trigger renewed selling
• If that happens, 3250 could be tested again quickly
We need to respect the bounce — but not overreact to it.
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4. Trading plan
My bias remains bearish as long as price stays under 3360.
However, if we get a daily close above 3360, I’ll pause and re-evaluate the short bias. The market would then be signaling a potential trend shift.
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5. Final thoughts 🚀
This is a key moment for gold. We’re at resistance zone but not broken above yet.
Until proven otherwise, the trend remains down — and rallies into 3340 zone should be considered selling opportunities.
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Gold elliot wave countMarket Structure – Corrective Wave 2 Still in Progress
We're currently in a Wave 2 correction, unfolding as a classic ABC structure – labeled with Circle A → Circle B → Circle C.
✅ Circle A and Circle B are already complete.
We're now in the move from Circle B → Circle C, which itself is unfolding as a:
→ (A) → (B) → (C) (in parentheses)
Currently, we are in the move from (B) to (C), which again is breaking down as a smaller A → B → C move.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
📈 We might now be completing Wave A of (C) around the 3362 level.
🔁 A pullback to around 3322 could follow as Wave B,
➡️ leading to a final Wave C (of (C), of Circle C, completing Wave 2) targeting around 3405.
⏳ What’s Next?
Once we hit the 3405 zone, that would potentially complete the entire Wave 2 correction.
From there, I expect a trend reversal to the downside, beginning the next impulsive wave down.
EUR/USD Bearish Reversal Confirmed – Smart Money Distribution Ne📅 Posted July 18, 2025 | 🔍 VolanX Protocol Insight
📉 Market Outlook:
The EUR/USD pair has rejected the premium supply zone (1.17–1.18) after failing to maintain structure above the red trendline. Price is now breaking down with bearish pressure building toward equilibrium at 1.09544.
📊 VolanX DSS Breakdown:
🔴 Premium Rejection confirms distribution by institutional players.
📈 Trendline Violation + SMC BOS = Shift to markdown phase.
🧠 VolanX Signal Score: Neutral → Bearish
→ Favoring short plays targeting deeper liquidity blocks.
🌐 Macro Narrative (Q3 2025):
🇺🇸 USD Strength: Driven by sticky inflation and delayed Fed cuts (Q4 expected).
🇪🇺 Eurozone Softness: Germany's PMI fell below 50; ECB’s cautious tone continues.
🏦 Rate Divergence Play: US-EU real yield gap widening → capital flowing into USD.
🎯 Probabilistic Target Path (Yellow Line):
✅ 1.1500: First liquidity gap
✅ 1.1150: Midblock retrace
🎯 1.09544: Equilibrium & High-Confidence Institutional Re-entry Zone
🛡️ VolanX Protocol Note:
This forecast is part of the WaverVanir Smart Futures Playbook. All trades are structured with AI-defined probability zones, institutional positioning layers, and macro-event syncing. The VolanX engine will reassess upon retest of the 1.1500 mid-zone.
#EURUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #MacroFX #VolanX #WaverVanir #LiquidityZones #InstitutionalTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSignals #DXY #Eurozone #FED #ECB #OptionsFlow
NOT/USDT Technical Analysis – Bullish Setup
📈 NOT/USDT Technical Analysis – Bullish Setup Within Ascending Channel
Notcoin has broken out of a historically strong resistance zone and successfully retested it, forming a clean ascending channel structure. This setup suggests growing bullish momentum and offers multiple trade opportunities depending on your risk profile.
🟢 Scenario 1 – Aggressive Entry:
Enter now with a stop-loss at 0.0021 and target the channel top (~0.00488). This setup offers a favorable 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio.
🔴 Scenario 2 – Conservative Entry:
Wait for a confirmed breakout above the red resistance box. If price closes above this zone with strong volume, consider entering long with a stop below 0.00244 and the same target.
📌 Price action within the red resistance box will play a crucial role in determining whether the current uptrend continues or stalls. Failure to break above this zone decisively could lead to a short-term correction before potential continuation.
💬 Which entry strategy fits your style? Let me know below.
TRX Approaching Cup Breakout – Market Decision Imminent
TRX/USDT – Daily Chart Analysis
TRX is shaping a textbook Cup Pattern on the daily timeframe — a strong bullish continuation signal if confirmed. Price has gradually curved upward, and we are now testing the key resistance area at 0.29–0.30.
📌 Key Scenarios:
🔹 Bullish Breakout Scenario:
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 0.30 would validate the cup formation and set the stage for a rally toward the next target zones at 0.35 and 0.45 — measured based on the cup’s depth.
🔹 Bearish Rejection Scenario:
If the resistance holds, expect a pullback toward the midline (~0.24) for potential accumulation and base-building before the next move.
💡 Volume confirmation and breakout momentum are critical to watch here. The market is approaching a decision point.
🟢 Our directional bias remains bullish — we anticipate the breakout to occur, leading to an upward continuation. However, we’ll wait for confirmation of the breakout and completion of the pattern before entering a long position.
INJUSDT Bulls Are Back! All-Time High Could Be Next!
BINANCE:INJUSDT has shown a strong and clean bounce from a major support zone, indicating that buyers are stepping in aggressively at lower levels. This bounce reinforces the strength of the current uptrend and reflects growing bullish sentiment.
At the moment, the price is facing a significant resistance level. This area has previously acted as a barrier, but with increasing volume and momentum, we expect BINANCE:INJUSDT to break out from this resistance and continue its upward move.
If the breakout occurs, our target is the previous all-time high, as there is limited resistance above the current zone. This presents a high-reward opportunity for traders looking for breakout setups.
As always, managing risk is key. Use a well-placed stop loss below the support level to protect your capital. Breakouts can be explosive, but discipline and proper risk management make all the difference.
BINANCE:INJUSDT Currently trading at $14.4
Buy level : Above $14.5
Stop loss : Below $11
Target 1: $20
Target 2: $35
Target 3: $40
Target 4: $53
Max leverage 2x
Always keep stop loss
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#PENGUUSDT #2h (ByBit) Broadening wedge breakdownPudgy Penguins printed an evening star then lost 50MA, seems to be heading towards 200MA support next.
⚡️⚡️ #PENGU/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: ByBit USDT
Signal Type: Regular (Short)
Leverage: Isolated (2.5X)
Amount: 5.0%
Entry Targets:
1) 0.030830
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 0.021034
Stop Targets:
1) 0.035740
Published By: @Zblaba
CSECY:PENGU BYBIT:PENGUUSDT.P #4h #PludgyPenguins #Meme pudgypenguins.com
Risk/Reward= 1:2.0
Expected Profit= +79.4%
Possible Loss= -39.8%
#XRP Update #3 – July 18, 2025#XRP Update #3 – July 18, 2025
XRP has surged roughly 28% in its latest impulsive move. Naturally, we now expect a correction phase. Potential retracement levels are:
Level 1: $3.30
Level 2: $3.20
Level 3: $3.10
Pullbacks to any of these levels should not be alarming — they are typical and healthy corrections.
I plan to go Long if XRP bounces from the first correction zone. However, at the moment, I’m just observing, as the current signals are not strong enough to justify entry.
It’s also important to note that there are heavy whale sell orders between XRP’s current price and the $4.00 zone. Breaking through this resistance will likely require strong buy-side volume from large players. Caution is advised.
XRP Breaks 2018 High – New ATH Confirmed!XRP has officially broken above its 2018 peak, signaling a major bullish breakout and printing a new all-time high on the weekly chart. The previous resistance zone around $2.6–$3 has now flipped into strong support, confirming the strength of this move. With increasing volume and momentum behind the rally, XRP appears well-positioned for continued upside. The next key psychological target lies at $10, and current price action suggests a clear path toward that level. If bullish sentiment continues, this breakout could mark the beginning of a significant new uptrend.