Trend Analysis
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
What a week on the markets with our KOG report plan working well, the red boxes moving with price, the Excalibur targets being completed and then most of the bias level targets completing as well.
Have a look at Sundays report and compare the move and levels shared, you'll see how well we've managed to track this. Only thing we haven't got (yet) is that curve ball, so let's see how we close today and open on Sunday.
For now, support below is at the 3340 level with resistance 3370. We may just see a late session move here so play caution.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3350 with targets above 3360✅, 3373✅, 3375✅ and 3383 for now
Bearish below 3350 with targets below 3340,✅ 3335✅, 3329✅, 3320✅ and 3310✅ for now
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3365 for 3372✅, 3375✅, 3382, 3390 and 3406 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3340✅, 3335✅, 3329✅, 3322✅ and 3310✅ in extension of the move
Wishing you all a great weekend and we'll see you on Sunday for the KOG Report. Please do take some time to hit the boost button, it's very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
EURCHF – Bearish Channel Holds Firm, CHF Strength Set to ResumeEURCHF just tapped into the descending channel resistance again and is showing signs of rejecting. I'm expecting a bearish continuation here, especially given the strong CHF momentum recently, supported by safe-haven flows and Swiss inflation stability. If the pair fails to break above 0.9340, I’m watching for a downside push back toward 0.9270–0.9265, completing another leg within the structure.
🔍 Technical Setup (4H):
Channel Structure: EURCHF remains firmly within a downward-sloping parallel channel since mid-June.
Resistance Rejection: Price recently tested upper channel resistance (~0.9335–0.9340 zone), aligning with trendline rejection.
Target Support: 0.9270–0.9265 (channel base and key horizontal level).
Confluence: CHFJPY overlay (pink line) is rising again, suggesting renewed CHF strength—this usually weighs on EURCHF.
💡 Fundamental Insight:
EUR Side:
ECB officials remain cautious, but with recent EU data showing weaker growth (especially PMIs and sentiment), euro upside is capped.
The ECB is likely to pause further tightening, while other central banks like SNB remain firm on inflation risks.
CHF Strength:
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) still leans hawkish, with stable inflation giving room to hold rates steady or tighten if needed.
CHF benefits from risk-off flows amid global tariff headlines, China slowdown, and Middle East tensions.
Rising CHFJPY = clear CHF strength across the board.
⚠️ Risks:
If eurozone data surprises to the upside (e.g., inflation rebounds), EURCHF could break out of the channel.
A sudden drop in geopolitical tension or strong risk-on rally could weaken CHF as safe-haven demand falls.
SNB jawboning or FX intervention is always a wildcard.
🧭 Summary:
I’m bearish on EURCHF while it respects this well-defined descending channel. The technicals show consistent lower highs and lower lows, while the fundamentals continue to support CHF strength due to risk aversion, stable inflation, and a resilient SNB. My short bias is valid as long as price remains below 0.9340, with downside targets at 0.9270–0.9265. CHFJPY rising confirms franc leadership across FX markets, and EURCHF is likely a lagger following broader CHF strength.
Gold breaks trendline and returns to uptrend. BUY NOW!✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD A deep sweep to 3310 and bounce back to the trading range. Gold is reacting at the Trendline around the price zone of 3344. This is an important price zone that if broken will return to the uptrend and head towards 3373 soon. 3332 plays an important role in the current bullish wave structure, which is a suitable SL placement point for BUY signals.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 3332-3312
Resistance: 3344-3357-3373-3389
BUY trigger: Break and trading above Resistance 3344 (trendline, top uptrend wave 1)
BUY DCA trigger: Break Resistance 3353
Target 3373
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
BTC Could Start Another Bullish WaveBTC Could Start Another Bullish Wave
Over the past two days, bitcoin has been holding strong above 118400. It seems that this small structural area could push BTC higher.
For now, ETH has performed better and BTC may follow suit.
I am looking for short-term targets near 122400, 125000 and 127000.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
USD/JPY 4H Bearish Setup – Channel Breakdown ExpectedThe chart shows USD/JPY in a rising channel with a projected bearish reversal setup forming. Here’s a breakdown:
🔹 Current Price: 148.83
🔹 Pattern Observed:
The pair is trading inside a rising channel.
A potential double top or lower high formation near the top of the channel suggests weakening bullish momentum.
Price may break down through the channel support.
🔻 Bearish Scenario (as shown by the blue arrow):
1. Initial drop expected to the support zone around:
146.60 – 146.54
Minor consolidation possible at this level.
2. If broken, next target zone is:
144.96 – 144.85
🔑 Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: 149.80–150.00 (highlighted in yellow)
Support Levels:
First: 146.60
Second: 144.96
✅ Bearish Confirmation:
A 4H candle close below 146.60 would confirm the bearish move.
Watch Ichimoku cloud — if price breaks and closes below the cloud, it will strengthen the downtrend.
SILVER (XAGUSD): Bullish Move ConfirmedIt appears that the local correction on 📈SILVER has completed, and the pair is shifting back to a bullish trend.
Today's US economic data caused the pair to break through a resistance level within a narrow consolidation range on the 4-hour chart.
The price is expected to rise to the 38.60 level.
BTC Rejection from QML Zone: Towards on 113,600 SupportHello guys!
This chart shows a QML (Quasimodo Level) setup in play on Bitcoin. After price created a new high and engulfed the previous structure, it returned to the QML zone (around $119K–$121K) and reacted exactly as expected: strong rejection.
The sharp selloff from the QML area confirms a bearish shift in structure, and now the momentum is tilted to the downside.
The next key level to watch is the 113,600 demand zone, where the price may either bounce or consolidate.
As long as the price stays below the QML zone, bears have control.
You should consider that the main trend is bullish, and the stop loss may be hit, so please manage your risk!
Bitcoin retest of breakout completed soon 133K$As we can see price broke previous channel and now is in new Ascending channel and pointing targets like 133K$ & 150K$.
Major support now is around 116000$ to 117000$ and price hold strong and market can easily continue more pump here like the green arrow.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT is now hitting ATH constantly and this just beginning of this bull run because ALT coins are not yet started.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Once Again You Are Getting Ripped Off On XRP.Pro Crypto President.
SEC Case.
Mass Adoption.
Multiple Partnerships
Mainstream
Huge Volume The Last Year
ETF Approval
Crypto Bills Passed By Congress
Still cant beat 2017 All Time Highs. They are ripping you off on the price action...!
Whats the catalyst going forward?
The Feds are soon going to cut rates multiple times. Bitcoin tanks everytime when that happens.
This was a crypto pump into whats coming.
This will close with a Monthly double top and August Starts the free fall.
EUR/USD | Bullish Momentum Builds – Next Targets Ahead! (READ)By analyzing the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as per the previous analysis, the price first made a strong move in two steps, successfully hitting the 1.15580 target. Upon reaching this key level, it reacted positively with increased demand and is now trading around 1.16520. Given the current trend, I expect further bullish movement soon, with the next potential targets at 1.16720, 1.17230, and 1.17500.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Bitcoin - Bearflag Structure Taking ShapeBitcoin is showing signs of weakness after a clean rejection from a 4H fair value gap, where price also swept the previous swing high. This aligns well with a broader bearish context as the market failed to sustain above the upper bounds of the trend channel, indicating potential exhaustion of the bullish correction.
Rejection Zone and Fair Value Gap
The rejection took place precisely within a 4H imbalance, adding confluence to the idea that this was a premium retracement in a bearish leg. The high formed inside that zone has now been swept, setting up conditions for distribution. A smaller 1H fair value gap was also left behind during the displacement move down, creating a clean area for price to return to and potentially react from.
Channel Structure and Bearflag Formation
Structurally, price has been climbing in a rising channel that resembles a bearflag pattern. The recent market structure shift broke the channel low, confirming that the rising structure is likely corrective. The rejection from the top of the flag and the subsequent breakdown align with a typical bearflag setup, suggesting a continuation move to the downside.
Short-Term Retracement Expectation
Before the next leg down, price may retrace to fill the unmitigated fair value gap while possibly sweeping the minor swing high that caused the current drop. This retracement would offer a premium shorting opportunity in alignment with the bearish bias, especially if internal structure remains weak on the lower timeframes during the return to the FVG.
Draw on Liquidity and Price Objective
The main objective for this setup is a sweep of the last equal lows near 115950, which represents a strong draw on liquidity. If the bearflag setup plays out fully, this area is highly vulnerable and could be the next significant target once the FVG is filled and lower timeframe distribution confirms.
Conclusion
Price has rejected from a 4H imbalance and swept liquidity to the upside, forming a clean bearflag structure. As long as price remains below the recent high and fills the 1H FVG without invalidating the shift, the path of least resistance looks to be down toward the liquidity resting below 115950. I’ll be watching for signs of weakness during the return to the FVG for a potential short trigger.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
GOLD → The triangle is contracting. Retest of support...FX:XAUUSD tested a local high of 3375 but quickly returned to consolidation. The reason is manipulation by the US administration related to Powell, inflation, and interest rates...
Demand for gold has risen sharply amid global risks: Trump's aggressive tariff plans, strong inflation, and uncertainty about the Fed's actions have increased interest in defensive assets. Despite the temporary strengthening of the dollar, gold remains a popular hedging instrument. Technical analysis also points to a bullish outlook. However, growth potential is limited until the Fed clarifies its interest rate policy
Technically, on the D1 chart, it is clear that the price is consolidating, with the range continuing to narrow. Due to the bullish factors listed above, we can expect growth to continue. However, it is difficult to say where and when the growth will begin due to the uncertainty factor. All attention is on the support at 3320-3312, the triangle support, as well as the consolidation support at 3287.
Resistance levels: 3365, 3375
Support levels: 3320, 3312, 3287
Since the opening of the session, the price has spent part of its daily range, so there may not be enough potential for the decline to continue. A false breakdown of support and consolidation of the price above the key zone may attract buyers, which will trigger growth towards resistance.
Best regards, R. Linda!
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Nice! Our idea from yesterday worked well giving the short trade into the level we wanted, to then break below the bias level and give us our 2 Gold Excalibur targets and 1 of our red box targets shared with the wider community. We suggested our traders watch the level of 3310 for a potential RIP, and that's exactly what we got upside.
Now, we have support at the 3330-27 level and resistance above at 3340-3. We have a red box above as well so we'll be waiting to see if the close is significant enough for us to target higher tomorrow! For now, keep an eye on the retracement into the 3335-2 level initially.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3335 for 3341, 3355, 3362, 3370 and 3376 in extension of the move
Break below 3320 for 3310✅, 3304, 3297 and 3294 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
CRM Bullish Double bottom unfolding🚀 CRM Bullish Double bottom unfolding
Ticker : Salesforce, Inc. (CRM)
Timeframe : 1D (Daily Chart)
Setup Type : Potential Double Bottom / Range Breakout
Bias : Bullish Reversal
Technical Breakdown
CRM is showing signs of forming a potential bottoming structure after a sharp decline and a period of sideways consolidation. We're currently sitting near the bottom of the range, and this could offer a favorable long setup with clearly defined risk and reward.
Look at the Blackstone's chart where a double bottom appeared in a very similar moment and offered a great opportunity to join the rally.
Here’s what’s happening:
Price has tested the same support level twice, around $259, hinting at a possible Double Bottom pattern.
If buyers step in from here and push price above the resistance zone near $275–278, we could see a strong continuation move.
The Volume Profile (VPVR) shows a big high-volume node above $275, meaning once that level is cleared, there’s room to run.
🎯 Educational Trade Plan
Entry idea : On confirmation of support around $259 or breakout above $278
Stop Loss : Below support, ~3% risk
Target 1 (Easy TP): 5.5% – retest of previous highs near $290
Target 2 (Full Move): 11% – around $310, aligned with the broader resistance and VPVR value area
💡 Why This Matters
This setup offers a tight stop and healthy reward , perfect for traders looking for calculated entries. It's also a great teaching moment:
-> When price consolidates near support with clear structure and nearby volume gaps, breakouts can be explosive once resistance gives way.
-> If CRM confirms the bounce, we could be at the early stages of a bullish swing back to value.
✅ Key Takeaways for Traders
Structure : Potential double bottom or range play
Location : Near strong support
Volume : Favorable above resistance
Risk Management : Clean stop just below lows with great risk/reward ratio.
💬 Does this setup align with your view on CRM?
🚀 Hit the rocket if this helped you spot the opportunity and follow for more clean, educational trade ideas!
GBPCHF → Retest of resistance to the global downtrendFX:GBPCHF is facing resistance from the local trend, which is aligned with the global bearish trend. The trend may continue...
A retest of resistance is forming within the global downtrend. As part of the correction, the price is testing the zone of interest and, after a false breakout of 1.7935, is returning to the selling zone.
The currency pair is rebounding from the resistance of the local trend, which coincides with the global trend. Consolidation of the price below 1.078 may trigger a continuation of the decline
Resistance levels: 1.07932, 1.0823
Support levels: 1.07744, 1.07255
Price consolidation in the selling zone followed by a break of the local structure could strengthen the bearish sentiment, which could trigger a further decline overall.
Best regards, R. Linda!
3/ Altseason: Live - My System: Cut Losses, Let Profits RunIntroduction: The Whole Truth About Trading
The "Altseason: Live" experiment is in full swing. Before we continue, I want to show you something important. Not just the wins, but the complete picture.
This is real trading. With big wins and unavoidable losses. And this single screenshot contains my entire philosophy.
My Core Strategy: Cut Your Losses, Let Your Profits Run
My main job as a trader comes down to two simple rules:
Hold my winning positions for as long as possible.
Cut my losing positions as quickly as possible.
Look at the screenshot again. The losing trades on SAGA (-90) and PUMP(−595) were closed fast.
The moment I realized the setup wasn't working, I got out. No hope, no emotions. This is the cost of doing business.
Now, look at MAV (+4,302) and RONIN(+3,254)
I let them run because they were following the plan. These two trades brought in +$7,556 in profit, more than covering all the small losses and securing a great overall result. This is how the system works.
The Winner's Psychology: The Battle with Euphoria
After a series like this, it's easy to get a "winner's high" and believe you're invincible. That's a trap. That's why, after the first wins, I deliberately cut my position size for the next trades by four times. To tame that euphoria and remember that discipline is more important than overconfidence.
My main principle remains : Fear losing more than you fear missing out.
The Hunt Continues: The Current Position
This system isn't a theory from the past. It's working right now. As of this moment, I have one open position in :
GETTEX:WOO , which is already showing over 2121 in unrealized profit.
I plan to manage this trade by the same rules and will likely close it within the next 1-3 days.
What's Next?
I'm not looking for dozens of trades. I'm looking for a few high-quality setups where I can apply my system. I use limit orders to enter on pullbacks, and I always use a stop-loss.
The experiment continues. You can follow it all in real-time on my streams, where I broadcast my trading terminal.
Thank you for your attention. The hunt for Trade #3 has already begun.
Best regards EXCAVO
Lingrid | EURAUD Potential Retest of the Key LevelFX:EURAUD is holding firmly above the rising trendline after a successful retest of the support zone at 1.7813. The price has formed consecutive higher lows and remains within a well-defined upward channel, indicating continued bullish structure. A small corrective pullback is expected before a renewed rally toward the 1.8100 resistance level. Momentum is building for a potential breakout continuation toward the upper boundary of the channel.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: Bounce from 1.7813 and reclaim of 1.7900
Buy zone: 1.7820–1.7880
Target: 1.8100
Invalidation: Breakdown below 1.7780 and support trendline
💡 Risks
Failure to hold above the current higher low
False breakout followed by bearish rejection from the mid-range
Weak momentum due to macroeconomic uncertainty
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
GBPCHF may bounce back from 1.0750 support areaGBPCHF may bounce back from 1.0750 support area
GBPCHF reached a low of 1.0687 for the time being and resumed an upward move.
The price rose above a strong support area, indicating increasing momentum. If GBPCHF manages to hold around this area, the chances of further growth will increase.
Key target areas: 1.0800; 1.0820 and 1.0865
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
QUICK I 3M CLS I Model 1 I Target Full CLSYo Market Warriors ⚔️
These Altcoins can pump hard — if you’ve been riding with me, you already know:
🎯My system is 100% mechanical. No emotions. No trend lines. No subjective guessing. Just precision, structure, and sniper entries.
🧠 What’s CLS?
It’s the real smart money. The invisible hand behind $7T/day — banks, algos, central players.
📍Model 1:
HTF bias based on the daily and weekly candles closes,
Wait for CLS candle to be created and manipulated. Switch to correct LTF and spot CIOD. Enter and target 50% of the CLS candle.
For high probability include Dealing Ranges, Weekly Profiles and CLS Timing.
Trading is like a sport. If you consistently practice you can learn it.
“Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.”
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
💬 Don't hesitate to ask any questions or share your opinions
EURNZD Trendline & Hawkish ECB Bias Support Bullish ContinuationEURNZD is holding beautifully above the ascending trendline on the 4H, and I’m watching this level closely for a bounce continuation setup. Fundamentally, the euro remains supported by sticky inflation and hawkish ECB commentary, while the kiwi is showing softness after dovish signals from the RBNZ and mixed jobs data. If this trendline holds, I’ll be targeting a retest of the upper wedge resistance near 1.9640.
🔍 Technical Setup (4H):
Structure: Ascending triangle forming – price is pressing into dynamic support.
Support Zone: Around 1.9480 trendline area – price rejected this level several times in July.
Resistance Target: 1.9640 highs – double top and triangle resistance.
Bullish Confirmation: Rebound with bullish engulfing or strong 4H close above 1.9525 could trigger long setup.
Invalidation: Clean break below trendline and 1.9440 invalidates bullish scenario short-term.
💡 Fundamental Insight:
EUR Drivers:
ECB members remain cautious about declaring victory on inflation.
German and Eurozone CPI data remain above target, supporting higher-for-longer ECB stance.
Speculation that ECB won't cut aggressively compared to RBNZ.
NZD Weakness:
RBNZ minutes show concern over downside inflation risks.
Labor market cooling, and migration pressures remain high.
Commodity and China-linked sentiment weakening NZD.
⚠️ Key Risks:
If Eurozone inflation or PMI data surprises to the downside, EUR may weaken.
RBNZ hawkish pivot or surprise tightening would flip sentiment toward NZD.
Global risk-on could favor NZD as a high-beta currency.
🧭 Summary:
I’m bullish on EURNZD as long as price holds above the trendline near 1.9480. The technical structure shows a clean ascending pattern, and the fundamentals currently favor EUR strength over NZD. My eyes are on a potential move toward 1.9640, especially if upcoming ECB rhetoric stays hawkish. EURNZD tends to lead NZD-crosses like NZDJPY or NZDCHF in risk-off regimes and could signal euro strength if it breaks out. Watching closely for price action confirmation.
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bullish After Breakout Entry Detected )————-
➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish After Break : 148.900
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.