Trend Analysis
DONT MISS OUT: BITCOIN'S PATH TO NEW HIGHS FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Bitcoin has a fixed supply cap of 21 million coins. Approximately every four years, the reward miners receive for verifying new blocks (and thus introducing new Bitcoin into circulation) is cut in half in an event known as "halving." The most recent halving occurred in April 2024, reducing the block reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC.
Why it supports $122,000: Historically, every halving event has been followed by a significant bull run in the months to a year (or more) afterward. This is a classic supply and demand principle: reduced supply with consistent or increasing demand tends to drive prices up. The 2024 halving has further tightened the supply of newly minted Bitcoin, creating a scarcity effect that proponents believe will inevitably push the price higher.
Macroeconomic Tailwinds and "Digital Gold" Narrative:
Argument: In times of economic uncertainty, inflation, or devaluing fiat currencies, investors often seek "safe-haven" assets. Bitcoin has increasingly been viewed as "digital gold" due to its decentralized nature, scarcity, and resistance to censorship.
Why it supports $122,000: If global economic conditions continue to be volatile, with concerns about inflation and government spending, more investors may turn to Bitcoin as a store of value. This growing narrative, coupled with increasing accessibility, could lead to a substantial influx of capital from those looking to preserve wealth, further driving up the price.
Important Caveats:
Volatility: Bitcoin is notoriously volatile. While these arguments support an upward trend, significant pullbacks and corrections are always possible.
Regulatory Risk: Shifting regulatory landscapes in various countries could impact Bitcoin's price.
Competition: The broader crypto market is constantly evolving, with new technologies and competitors emerging.
Black Swan Events: Unforeseen global events or major security breaches could negatively affect the market.
Always conduct your own thorough research and consider your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
Still looking to sell on rallies — nothing’s changedStill looking to sell on rallies — nothing’s changed. The level on the chart? That’s where buyers jumped in before. Makes sense to target it again.
So… why do we say there are "suffering buyers" at this level?
Let’s rewind a bit (see Chart #2) and imagine price at the point marked on the chart.
At that moment, price had clearly returned to a visible local level — 0.8123 — a zone that naturally attracted traders to jump in on the fly , or triggered limit orders .
But here’s what happened next:
Selling pressure overpowered buying interest — and price moved swiftly lower .
That’s when those buyers got caught.
That’s when the pain started.
🔍 What Makes This Level Special?
Broker data from open sources confirms that open positions are still sitting at this level — meaning a lot of traders are underwater, hoping for a recovery that may never come.
It’s not just technical structure.
It’s crowded sentiment , failed expectations , and trapped capital — all wrapped into one.
🧠 This is what we call a "suffering trader" zone — and it often becomes a magnet for future selling .
📌 Follow along for more breakdowns on flow, positioning, and market sentiment .
TIA/USDT – Major Breakout Incoming? Reversal in Sight!🔍 Full Technical Analysis (1D Timeframe):
TIA/USDT is approaching a critical turning point after experiencing a strong downtrend since December 2024. The chart clearly forms a Falling Wedge pattern — a classic bullish reversal signal known for explosive breakouts when confirmed.
Currently, the price is testing a key confluence zone around $2.00 – $2.30, where:
A major horizontal resistance meets
A long-term descending trendline (yellow), acting as dynamic resistance since the last local high.
🚀 Bullish Scenario (Confirmed Breakout):
If TIA successfully breaks and closes above the $2.30 – $2.78 range with strong volume, it could trigger a major mid-term rally. The potential upside targets are aligned with previous structural resistance levels:
Target Resistance Level
🎯 Target 1 $3.34
🎯 Target 2 $4.17
🎯 Target 3 $5.41
🎯 Target 4 $6.61
🎯 Target 5 (Extended) $8.87 – $9.28 (Major Weekly Supply Zone)
✅ Additional Bullish Confirmation: A volume breakout + RSI moving into the 50–70 zone would strengthen the bullish case.
🛑 Bearish Scenario (Fake Breakout Risk):
If the price gets rejected again from the descending trendline and fails to close above $2.00, the bearish pressure may push the price back toward key demand zones:
First support zone: $1.60
Last major defense: $1.31 (the current swing low)
This could lead to a double bottom structure before any meaningful trend reversal happens.
📐 Pattern Breakdown:
Pattern: Falling Wedge Breakout Pattern
Duration: Over 7 months of consolidation below trendline
Risk-to-Reward Potential: Highly favorable if breakout is confirmed
🧠 Market Sentiment:
Many altcoins are showing early signs of bottoming out and accumulation.
TIA could become a breakout leader in the next wave if it clears the current resistance cluster.
Expect momentum traders to join in once a solid bullish candle closes above the wedge.
✅ Conclusion:
TIA/USDT is at a technically golden level. A breakout from this falling wedge structure could ignite a multi-stage rally. However, caution is advised: wait for a confirmed breakout and manage risk in case of a failed breakout attempt.
#TIAUSDT #CryptoBreakout #FallingWedge #AltcoinRally #ReversalPattern #BreakoutTrade #CryptoTA #MomentumTrade #Altseason #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoSignals
KPIT: From Code to Car – Is This the Next Auto-Tech Multibagger?📊 Technical Chart Insights
The stock was in a strong downtrend but has now broken above the descending trendline, which is a positive signal.
It has shown a strong reversal from the weekly support zone between ₹1,044 and ₹1,060.
A clear reversal zone is visible between ₹1,091 and ₹1,233 — this is a good accumulation or buy zone for long-term investors.
The stock is currently facing resistance at ₹1,328. A weekly close above this level can confirm a breakout.
If the breakout happens, potential price targets are:
₹1,800 (R1)
₹2,025 (R2)
₹2,410 (R3)
🧠 Investment Strategy Based on Both Views
For Long-Term Investors:
KPIT has strong fundamentals, is in a future-ready business, and is debt-free.
Ideal to buy in dips within ₹1,090 to ₹1,200 range (reversal zone).
Add more if the stock gives a weekly close above ₹1,328.
For Short-Term Traders:
Avoid entries until the stock closes above ₹1,328.
You can enter short-term trades near ₹1,090–₹1,200, with a stop-loss below ₹1,044.
Watch for upside moves towards ₹1,800 or higher if breakout holds.
✅ Strengths
High revenue and profit growth
Strong cash flow and zero debt
High return on equity and capital
Serves leading global auto brands
Positioned well for the EV and autonomous vehicle boom
⚠️ Risks
Valuation is high, so returns may slow in the short term
Relies heavily on global auto industry health
Any correction in global markets can affect KPIT stock
📌 Conclusion
KPIT is a strong company fundamentally and is showing technical signs of reversal.
Ideal for long-term investors looking for growth in auto-tech.
Best approach: buy on dips or breakout above ₹1,328.
Be cautious of short-term volatility but confident in long-term potential.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
$SOFI - Long-Term Setup Brewing? Pullback First?I’m extremely bullish on SoFi long-term, but the chart is signaling a potential pullback opportunity before the next leg up.
🔹 Technical Breakdown:
• Bearish Divergence on RSI with rejection off the smoothed MA
• Volume weakening as price moves higher – classic sign of exhaustion
• 4hr Reversal Signal flashing near local highs
• Gap Fill zone near $19.50 + previous highs = strong support zone
• Lum3n Trend Cloud still bullish — trend intact unless breakdown occurs
🎯 Targets:
• PT1 → $23.25
• PT2 → $29.50 (longer-term structure extension)
🧠 Thesis:
Letting price come to us is the smarter move here. I’m watching the $19.50–$20.00 zone closely for potential accumulation. That level has strong confluence with volume shelf, support, and fib structure.
EURUSD Bullish ProjectionIt’s been a while since my last update here.
Here’s my projection and actual entry/entries on EURUSD, based on a sweep of the previous 1H swing low and mitigation of a Daily imbalance (Fair Value Gap).
We're anticipating a full Change of Character to mark the end of the ongoing Daily pullback.
EUR/USD Bearish Reversal Confirmed – Smart Money Distribution Ne📅 Posted July 18, 2025 | 🔍 VolanX Protocol Insight
📉 Market Outlook:
The EUR/USD pair has rejected the premium supply zone (1.17–1.18) after failing to maintain structure above the red trendline. Price is now breaking down with bearish pressure building toward equilibrium at 1.09544.
📊 VolanX DSS Breakdown:
🔴 Premium Rejection confirms distribution by institutional players.
📈 Trendline Violation + SMC BOS = Shift to markdown phase.
🧠 VolanX Signal Score: Neutral → Bearish
→ Favoring short plays targeting deeper liquidity blocks.
🌐 Macro Narrative (Q3 2025):
🇺🇸 USD Strength: Driven by sticky inflation and delayed Fed cuts (Q4 expected).
🇪🇺 Eurozone Softness: Germany's PMI fell below 50; ECB’s cautious tone continues.
🏦 Rate Divergence Play: US-EU real yield gap widening → capital flowing into USD.
🎯 Probabilistic Target Path (Yellow Line):
✅ 1.1500: First liquidity gap
✅ 1.1150: Midblock retrace
🎯 1.09544: Equilibrium & High-Confidence Institutional Re-entry Zone
🛡️ VolanX Protocol Note:
This forecast is part of the WaverVanir Smart Futures Playbook. All trades are structured with AI-defined probability zones, institutional positioning layers, and macro-event syncing. The VolanX engine will reassess upon retest of the 1.1500 mid-zone.
#EURUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #MacroFX #VolanX #WaverVanir #LiquidityZones #InstitutionalTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSignals #DXY #Eurozone #FED #ECB #OptionsFlow
GOLD (XAUUSD) Long Idea – Breakout Confirmation📆 Timeframe: 4H
📈 Type: Long (Buy)
🎯 Entry: Around 3348-3355
🎯 Target: 3451
NOTE: Price has respected the ascending trendline from early July.
Clean breakout from a consolidation range after several rejections near 3365 resistance.
Bullish structure confirmed with higher lows and higher highs.
Fibonacci levels and support zone at ~3344 are holding strong.
Targets set at prior resistance zone (~3451), aligning with liquidity zone.
EUR/USD Forecast – Bears in Control Ahead of US Jobless DataEUR/USD Forecast – Bears in Control Ahead of US Jobless Data
🌐 Macro View: Dollar Regains Strength Amid Uncertainty
EUR/USD remains under selling pressure as the greenback finds renewed strength following midweek weakness. The market is bracing for fresh U.S. jobless claims data, expected to show a slight rise to 235K. A print below 220K could reignite USD demand, while a surprise above 240K may offer a temporary lifeline for the euro.
Amid geopolitical and economic turbulence, the euro continues to underperform as investors shift to the dollar for safety and yield advantage.
📉 Technical Outlook – MMF & Smart Money Perspective
The recent breakdown below 1.1600 confirms the bearish momentum. Based on the MMF (Market Momentum Flow) methodology, price action is currently moving within a controlled distribution structure, suggesting further downside potential.
Key zones identified from H1 structure:
OBS + FVG High Zone (1.1662 – 1.1687): Strong supply zone + volume imbalance.
1.1637: Mid-key level and possible liquidity magnet.
1.1616 – 1.1573: Ideal area for sweeping sell-side liquidity before any sustainable bounce.
If price reclaims 1.1662, intraday bullish correction may be in play. However, as long as 1.1687 holds, bears remain in control.
🧭 Trade Plan for Today
🔴 SELL ZONE: 1.1662 – 1.1687 (FVG + OBS Volume Zone)
SL: 1.1710
TP: 1.1637 → 1.1616 → 1.1590 → 1.1573
✅ Preferred entry zone aligned with high-volume imbalance & MMF rejection pattern.
🟢 BUY ZONE (Scalp Only): 1.1575 – 1.1580 (Sell-side Liquidity Zone)
SL: 1.1550
TP: 1.1612 → 1.1630 → 1.1645
⚠️ Use with caution — only upon clear price reaction at lower liquidity sweep area.
🔍 Strategy Insight
This is a classic scenario of a controlled pullback within a larger bearish structure. Patience is key — let price tap into imbalanced zones before executing. Given today's U.S. data, volatility may spike during the New York session, so risk management is crucial.
💬 What’s Your Take?
Do you expect EUR/USD to retest the 1.1550s zone, or could a surprise from U.S. job data flip the narrative?
👇 Drop your analysis below & follow for more MMF-based setups.
Quick take on DJIACurrently, the Dow Jones Industrial Average TVC:DJI is trading within a short-term downside channel. However, could it just be part of a correction, before another possible leg of buying? Let's dig in.
MARKETSCOM:US30
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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Ethereum (ETH): Looks Good, We Are Going For $3300-3400 EasilyWe are flying; Ethereum seems strong, so we are bullish on it. Our target of $3K was reached and broken easily, and now we are looking for the next resistance area to be reached, which is $3300-3400.
Targets are set; the first one got reached, and now we're heading towards the other 2 targets of ours!
Time for BINGX:ETHUSDT.P to shine.
Swallow Academy
DXY Chart Outlook: Trend, Support, and Price Objectives**DXY Chart Outlook: Trend, Support, and Price Objectives (Reworded Analysis)**
**Trend Overview**
* The DXY chart reflects a **clear upward trajectory**, characterized by a sequence of **ascending highs and higher lows** — a classic sign of bullish momentum.
* Currently, the price is **retracing toward the 50-day EMA**, which appears to be holding as **dynamic support**.
* Two important **horizontal support zones** are marked:
* **Support 1 (S1):** \~97.400 (aligned with EMA-50)
* **Support 2 (S2):** \~96.800 (a deeper correction level)
**Projected Price Zones**
* **Near-Term Objective:** **98.800 to 99.000**
* A rebound from the EMA or S1 could send price higher toward this zone, continuing the current bullish structure.
* **Mid-Term Target:** **99.200 to 99.400**
* If the price successfully clears the 99.000 resistance, further bullish continuation could aim for this intermediate target range.
* **Extended Target:** **100.000+**
* A sustained breakout beyond 99.400 could open the path toward **psychological resistance at 100.000**, possibly higher on strong momentum.
**Support Zones to Watch**
* **S1 (97.400):** This level coincides with the 50-day EMA and represents a **first line of defense**.
* **S2 (96.800):** Should the price fall below S1, this secondary level could provide **stronger support** and potential bounce opportunity.
**Risk Management**
* Consider placing a **protective stop** just below S2 — around **96.500** — to safeguard against a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
**Summary**
* The DXY remains **technically bullish**, with potential upside targets at **98.800**, **99.400**, and eventually **100.000+**.
* Traders can monitor **S1 and S2** for potential entries or trend confirmation.
* A **breakdown below 96.500** would invalidate the bullish setup and warrant caution.
USD/CAD H4 | Potential bullish bounceUSD/CAD is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.3724 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.3660 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 1.3781 which is a swing-high resistance.
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ETHUSD heading towards the top of the D1 frame✏️ CRYPTO:ETHUSD is in a strong uptrend towards the resistance zone of the 3800 daily frame. There are not many conditions for the sellers to jump in and reverse the current trend. Wait for the price reaction at the resistance of the D1 frame to consider the SELL strategy. Because currently if BUY is too Fomo.
📉 Key Levels
Sell trigger: Rejection from 3800
Target 3400, potentially 3,380
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Gold will crash1. What happened yesterday
As expected, Gold started to rise after finding support at 3250. The move up played out perfectly, reaching the resistance area highlighted in yesterday’s analysis — around 3320–3340.
________________________________________
2. The key question today
Is this just a correction in a bearish trend, or the start of reversal?
________________________________________
3. Why I remain bearish
• On the weekly chart, structure still leans bearish
• On lower time frames, the bounce looks corrective — not impulsive
• No breakout above 3360 yet, which would be needed to shift the bias
• A move back below 3320 would likely trigger renewed selling
• If that happens, 3250 could be tested again quickly
We need to respect the bounce — but not overreact to it.
________________________________________
4. Trading plan
My bias remains bearish as long as price stays under 3360.
However, if we get a daily close above 3360, I’ll pause and re-evaluate the short bias. The market would then be signaling a potential trend shift.
________________________________________
5. Final thoughts 🚀
This is a key moment for gold. We’re at resistance zone but not broken above yet.
Until proven otherwise, the trend remains down — and rallies into 3340 zone should be considered selling opportunities.
Comments If you are new here, or your account is getting burned, please contact me. I will help you.
NZD/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/JPY pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 4H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 88.126 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
AVAX is Back: Subnets, Upgrades, and Institutional Momentum🚀🧠 AVAX: Subnets, Upgrades, and Institutional Momentum 🔧🏛️
Avalanche (AVAX ) is starting to shape up again — not just on the chart, but at the infrastructure and institutional level too.
As part of the Altcoin Series, I continue to trade these setups while preparing for a time when I’ll divorce alts emotionally and treat them for what they are — assets to be traded, not worshipped.
But right now? This one looks strong.
📊 Chart Breakdown
Left side: Macro chart (8H)
✅ We've just completed a successful third touch of structural support — you can see the 1–2–3 test boxed below the $18.64 level
📍 That’s usually where conviction builds, and reversals are born
🚀 A massive breakout confirmation comes if we close above $22.97 — the level to watch
🧱 Above that, the path opens toward higher fib levels: $27.65 → $35.13 → $43.63 and beyond
Right side: Micro structure (30-min chart)
🔍 A descending wedge or coil forming — typical of consolidation before breakout
This price action is tightening into a decision point, right around $20.80–$21
I expect a breakout soon, with a push toward the macro trigger at $22.97
🧩 What’s New with AVAX?
Avalanche 9000 Upgrade is Live
Major performance overhaul: cheaper subnets, faster deployment
Subnets now act more like sovereign L1s, enhancing utility across the board
Developer cost dropped by over 99%, inviting serious builders
DeFi, Real-World Assets & Ecosystem Growth
TVL > $5B
VanEck’s $100M Treasury Fund now tokenized on Avalanche
Over 515M transactions per month
Real-world integrations with Alipay, California DMV, and more
Enterprise Expansion
FIFA subnet launch (NFTs, tickets, collectibles)
Institutional panels at Avalanche Summit London
Avalanche’s vision: a custom chain for every institution
Retro9000 Grant Program
$40M set aside to fuel L1 growth via subnets
Analysts expect 300% subnet growth by Q4 2025
🧠 The Mindset: Trade, Not Worship
AVAX is a great example of why I'm preparing to divorce altcoins at the cycle top.
It’s gone from hype to silence... and now to real infrastructure momentum.
So yes — I’m bullish.
But I’m not here for belief — I’m here for the structure.
✅ Buy over support
✅ Breakout over $22.97
🛑 Stop-loss if structure fails
🎯 Targets: $27.65 → $35.13 → $43.63+
🏁 Final Word
Avalanche is rebuilding — on-chain, in the real world, and on the chart.
It has subnets, speed, and now institutional backing.
Let’s trade it smart.
Let’s trade it without emotions, do your risk management and don't listen to me.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
EURUSD on the riseAfter Wednesday’s volatile spike, the market calmed down yesterday, with EURUSD holding above the support zone.
We’re seeing signs of a potential bottom forming — confirmation of this could open the door for a fresh move higher.
The goal remains to follow the bullish trend, but keep an eye out for signs of exhaustion and a possible pullback.
Stay flexible and ready to adapt!