Trend Analysis
Lord MEDZ ETH Trading Setup For Personal Journaling – Not Financial Advice
Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Analysis Techniques Used:
Wyckoff Accumulation Phase
ICT Fibonacci Extension
Goldbach Projection Model
Thesis:
Based on confluence from Wyckoff schematic interpretation, ICT fib extension zones, and mathematical projection via Goldbach logic, Ethereum (ETH) appears poised for a significant upward move.
Accumulation signals suggest smart money positioning, with price respecting historical support levels and consolidating in a reaccumulation range.
The Fibonacci extensions and Goldbach theory projection align on the following bullish targets:
Projected Take Profit Zones (TPs):
TP1: $8,000 – First extension target post-breakout.
TP2: $17,000 – Macro-level expansion target in line with Wyckoff Phase E markup.
TP3: $19,700 – Final speculative cycle top target (Goldbach-based projection).
Narrative & Confluence:
Wyckoff Accumulation: ETH has shown signs of a spring and test, followed by higher lows and supply absorption.
ICT Fib Extension: Expansion zones line up with 8000 as TP1, consistent with ICT’s market maker models.
Goldbach Theory: Historical symmetry and prime pair modeling projects extreme but technically plausible TP2 and TP3 ranges.
Notes:
This thesis is part of Lord MEDZ's personal trading journal and is not to be taken as financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. All readers should do their own research and only invest what they can afford to lose.
Trade safe. Protect capital. Stay sharp.
Lord MEDZ
#013: Long Investment Opportunity on GBP/USD
In this article, I want to share the complete trading logic that led me to place a long order on GBP/USD, applying my proprietary SwipeUP v9.3.1 Elite FX model.
I won't discuss specific levels, but only the logical structure, because the goal is to demonstrate how hedge funds think and why waiting is sometimes more profitable than impulsive entry.
🔍 Phase 1 – Manipulation has already occurred
GBP/USD recently formed a technical double bottom, with a long shadow that chased away the stops placed by the most reactive retail investors. This is a clear signal: the first phase of manipulation is complete.
You don't enter immediately after a shadow: you wait for the market to return to seek residual liquidity, simulating a new decline.
📉 Phase 2 – The expected institutional dump
Before the real movement begins, I expect the price to be pushed lower again. This push serves only to:
trigger the stops of longs who entered too early
raise new liquidity for the banks
test the presence of passive institutional orders near volume supports
This dump will likely be the last countermove before the final reversal.
That's exactly where I placed my order.
METISUSD Double Bottom at Triangle Support!METISUSD has been trading inside a symmetrical triangle for the past 1,400 days. The price is currently sitting at the triangle support and forming a potential double bottom pattern. The double bottom can be confirmed once the price breaks the neckline resistance zone. If the price breaks this key resistance zone, we could expect a 100%–250% bullish move toward the triangle’s upper resistance
Cheers
Hexa🧘♀️
BINANCE:METISUSDT SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:METIS
GOLD hits resistance – usd strikes back!XAUUSD is charging into the "danger zone" around 3,375 – a level where bulls have fallen before.
But this time, gold faces a heavyweight opponent:
– The US economy is revving up like a race car: consumer demand is surging, jobless claims are dropping.
– The Fed holds its hawkish stance like a loaded weapon: high interest rates aren’t going away.
– The US dollar is back in full force, and bond yields are shooting sky-high.
While gold buyers try to climb higher, pressure from the “USD fortress” is building fast.
Every uptick in XAUUSD now… might just be a setup before the fall.
If selling pressure returns near the previous highs, another sharp drop in gold could be just around the corner.
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 7/19/2025Gold has been very choppy these two weeks. As the 2W closes, the falling line indicated in the 2W chart still interacts. As long as this line is not broken, gold could retrace further.
In weekly chart on the right, we are seeing a head and shoulder pattern has been formed. And the rejection level is aligning with 61.8% Fibo level retracement.
From the above two analysis, I am expecting gold to drop heavily next week to at least 3250 or even 3192.
Let's enjoy the weekend and I will come back with intraday analysis every day next week.
USDT Dominance Forming Bullish Divergence | Altcoins May Retest 📉 USDT Dominance (4H):
Currently forming a bullish divergence with RSI, supported by a falling wedge structure. Price is respecting a clear supply OB (resistance zone) and might retest the 4.55% level.
🔁 Historically, a rise in USDT.D signals short-term corrections in BTC and altcoins, creating opportunities for OB/supply fills and long setups.
📊 This could be the retest phase for major crypto assets before resuming upward momentum.
🧠 Use this phase wisely — it’s where strong setups begin to form.
Gold 1H - Retest of channel & support zone at 3340After breaking out of the falling channel, gold is currently retesting its upper boundary — now acting as support. The 3340 zone is particularly important as it aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level and high volume node on the visible range volume profile. The price action suggests a potential bullish rejection from this area. With both the 50 and 200 EMA below price on the 1H, the short-term trend remains bullish. The 4H trendline further supports this setup. RSI is cooling off near the neutral zone, leaving room for another leg higher toward the 3377 resistance zone. If 3340 fails, 3324 (0.786 Fibo) becomes the next line of defense. Until then, the structure remains bullish following the successful breakout and retest of the channel.
XLM/USD XLM is showing one of the strongest bullish setups right now.
A macro “Cup”, with a smaller “Cup with Handle” forming inside it — a powerful setup often leading to parabolic breakouts.
Before a true breakout, price may fake out to the downside, trapping longs.
This is classic market maker behavior — shakeouts followed by strong reversal and breakout. Stay focused on the reaction around yellow zone.
Currently in the final stages of the “handle” formation.
A breakout may confirm a move toward $4
ETH Charging Familiar Resistance
We’re looking at ETH Cryptocap (left) and ETHUSDT (right), both on the daily timeframe.
ETH Cryptocap has just touched the 0.236 Fib level, and ETHUSDT is only a few dollars away from it.
Since March 2024, this level has consistently acted as resistance — each time price crossed it, it eventually retraced after hovering briefly above.
Will this time be different?
What’s clearly different now is volume : it’s rising along with price.
In the past 10 days, there’s only been one red volume candle, and even that was minor.
Meanwhile, RSI is firmly in the overbought zone.
I don’t know if ETH will go higher or start retracing, but I can prepare for both.
The simple solution: place a trailing take-profit order and let price move.
If it pulls back, I’ll lock in some gains.
If it keeps climbing, I’ll stay with the trend.
For me, everything else is just unnecessary complication.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
Can Reliance and Banks turn Nifty around? do or die Monday. Nifty as of now has taken support at Mother line in daily chart. As expected in my Yesterday's message. So Hopefully if Big Banks Results are in line tomorrow we might see Nifty going upwards from Monday.
Mota Bhai just announced the results. EBITDA is slightly less than expected but Net Profit and Revenue is much better than Market expectation. In my view market should react positively to this result.
Supports For Nifty remain at 24932 (Mother line), 24759, 24503. As indicated earlier if we get a closing below 24503 we may see a Fall towards 24106 or 23929 (In unlikely circumstances).
Nifty Resistances remain at: 25035, 25248, 25400 and 25613 (Channel top Resistance).
Results for tomorrow
HDFC BANK
ICICIBANK
AUSMALL BANK
RBL BANK
UNION BANK
YES BANK
CENTR BANK
PUNJA BANK
CENTR BANK
So it seems like a Do or Die Monday on cards. Shadow of the candle looks neutral as of now.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
$Eth Faces Double Top Resistance with Bearish RSI DivergenceETH/USDT | 4H Analysis
Ethereum is currently showing signs of weakness on the 4H chart, forming a potential double top pattern around the $3,700-$3,680 range.
Adding to this, the RSI is exhibiting bearish divergence, suggesting that bullish momentum is fading. There's a visible liquidity gap between $3,200–$3,180, which might act as a magnet in the short term. A retest of this zone is likely before ETH attempts to resume its upward move.
Key Observations:
🟠 Double top structure on 4H chart
🔻 Bearish RSI divergence
🕳️ Favorable gap: $3,200 – $3,180
🔁 Watch for price reaction after retest
⚠️ If ETH holds the $3,180 support after filling the gap, a bullish bounce toward higher levels could follow.
📌 This idea is for educational purposes. Trade wisely with proper risk management.
Nestle India, Breakout, 1D, LongNestle India tried to break the resistance at 2480 but failed multiple times. If it breaks this level of 2480 with Bullish candlestick patterns like Bullish Engulfing, Hammer & Inverted Hammer, Piercing Line, Morning Star, Three White Soldiers, Tweezer Bottoms or Bullish Harami, then a trade can be planned in it with target of 2530 and 2580.
Entry: 2480 (after Bullish Candlestick pattern)
Target1: 2530
Target2: 2580.
SL 2450
US consumer sentiment improved in Jun could boost US indices The US July Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index increased to 61.8 from 60.7, while the 12-month inflation expectation decreased to 3.6% from 4% in the previous month. This suggests an easing of inflation concerns and improved consumption optimism.
This data, coupled with recent stronger Retail Sales figures, continues to support expectations for robust US economic growth amidst trade tariff uncertainties. Inflation is anticipated to have a limited short-term impact. Concurrently, the approval for AMD and Nvidia (NVDA) to export AI chips to China further bolsters the US tech sector.
The USTEC is currently in an upward trend, having reached a new high before a slight retreat. It is trading above both the EMA21 and EMA78, indicating higher highs and higher lows, suggesting the rally could persist.
Should the USTEC continue its surge, the index may test the resistance level at 23,200. Conversely, a failure to maintain above the trendline could trigger a decline towards the next support at 22,600.
By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Strategist from Exness