$AVAX Ready to breakout!CRYPTOCAP:AVAX looks ready to pop.
High Volume Node resistance and daily 200EMA is clear and now support. We don't want to see price rejected and moving back below this area.
The R5 daily pivot is my first partial take profit $35-36 followed by the major resistance High Volume Node at $48
Daily RSI is overbought with unconfirmed bearish divergence so watch out for this but should be good to run in the mean time. BTC permitting...
Safe trading
Trend Analysis
DOGEUSDT UPDATE
Pattern: Falling Wedge Breakout
Current Price: \$0.24086
Target Price: \$0.4667
Target % Gain: 125.41%
Technical Analysis: DOGE has broken out of a falling wedge pattern on the 1D chart with strong bullish momentum and a +10.35% daily candle. The breakout is confirmed with increasing volume, suggesting continuation toward the target zone.
Time Frame: 1D
Risk Management Tip: Always use proper risk management.
S&P 500 H4 | Making a run towards a new ATH?The S&P 500 (SPX500) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 6,299.72 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 6,195.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 6,369.28 which is a resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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$NDX Black Swan Correlation of Variance from 0% of $US10Y $US02YIt appears that since 1989, deeper inversions of the yield curve have led to deeper drawdowns in the $NDX. Relative strength always appears to be in a steeper move upward coupled with fuzzy signals in volatility before the drawdown. Based on the previous market crashes, anything from a 60% to 90% drawdown appears to be plausible.
Currently buying long-expiry OTM put verticals across tech meme names (think NASDAQ:PLTR ) and potentially on some stalwart Mag7 tickers (maybe NASDAQ:META ) for pennies for potentially massive risk/reward paydays. Nothing more than a few grand, but I'm also long exposure to battery materials, hydrogen, and other energy plays. NASDAQ:ABAT NASDAQ:PLUG AMEX:WWR NYSE:LAC NASDAQ:ENVX NYSE:CHPT AMEX:LEU NYSE:SMR
Best of luck.
Gold continues to be weak, but be careful about operations📣Gold prices fell 2% last Friday, hitting a near one-month low. Optimistic trade-related agreements boosted risk appetite and weakened the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset. This week, the market will usher in a group meeting of major central bank governors around the world (Fed Chairman Powell, European Central Bank President Lagarde, Bank of England Governor Bailey, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, and Bank of Korea Governor Lee Chang-yong). The market will also usher in non-agricultural data. In addition, Powell's remarks on whether to resign may ignite the market this week. Gold prices may fluctuate more around the lower track of the Bollinger Band at $3,270/ounce this week.
Technical analysis:
Last Friday, the K-line had a lower shadow, and the Bollinger Band did not diverge. It is not easy to go short directly in operation, but wait for the rebound to confirm 3295 and the key resistance of ma5 to be short.
💰 Operation strategy: Rebound to 3280-3283 to go short, target 3270-3265, stop loss 3288-3290
If you are a beginner, I suggest you first understand what trading is.
CHF/JPY BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
CHF/JPY pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is evidently rising on the 2H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 184.005 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BTC/USDT (1H) Market Analysis – July 19
BTC is hovering just below the 200 EMA, having recently bounced off it with a small recovery candle.
The recent downtrend from the $121K peak has flattened, and price is forming a potential short-term base above the $117K support.
There's low-volume chop, suggesting indecision or a pause before the next leg.
Key Technical Levels
Support zone: $117,200 – $117,500 (200 EMA + recent wick support)
Resistance zone: $118,500 – $119,000 (cluster of short EMAs + prior supply)
Breakout level: $119,500 (for a bullish continuation)
Breakdown level: $116,800 (for further downside)
Indicator Insights
RSI: 42.86 and curling up slightly → shows a potential recovery attempt but still below neutral.
QQE MOD: Deep in bearish territory (–8.53), but we’re seeing the first signs of easing negative momentum.
ATR: 681 and gradually falling → declining volatility, aligning with consolidation.
Bias & Scenarios
Bullish Case:
If BTC holds above the 200 EMA and breaks above $118.5K with volume, we could see a retest of the $119.5K–$120K zone.
RSI breaking 50 and QQE printing lighter red would confirm upward momentum.
Bearish Case:
Failure to reclaim EMAs and a drop below $117K could send price toward $116K or even back to the breakout base at $114.5K.
Watch for volume spikes on red candles and RSI breaking back under 40.
SPY Reclaims Rising Wedge Support - Bear Trap or Breakout Setup?SPY dropped below its rising wedge earlier this week, but that move may have been a bear trap. Price quickly reversed, reclaiming the wedge trendline and closing just below a key Fibonacci level at 629.84.
Buyers stepped in aggressively near the 0.382 and 0.236 retracement zones, defending short-term support. The bounce came on increased volume, signaling strength behind the recovery. Momentum remains intact as long as SPY holds above 626.
Now, bulls need to confirm with a breakout above 629.84–631.96 to open the door to the next levels at 635.63 and 640.30. Failure to break through could lead to another rejection and revisit lower support zones.
Levels to watch:
Support: 626.64, 623.62, 619.60
Resistance: 629.84, 631.96, 635.63
SPY is at a decision point. Reclaiming wedge support is a bullish signal, but bulls need follow-through to avoid another fakeout in the opposite direction.
Weekly Close: Still Bullish, But Momentum Is SlowingNVDA closed the week at $172.41, just under short-term resistance and holding well above the prior rising wedge structure. Price action remains technically bullish, with a healthy consolidation forming just below the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement at $174.04.
That said, momentum is beginning to cool, and the next few sessions will be key.
📊 Current Read: Mildly Bullish
Price is holding above key support levels: 9 EMA, $170.85, and prior wedge resistance
No breakdowns — structure remains intact
However, volume is fading, and MACD is flattening, suggesting possible buyer fatigue
RSI remains elevated, not yet signaling reversal, but approaching caution territory
A confirmed breakout above $174.25 sets the stage for Fibonacci targets at:
🔸 $176.62, $179.20, $182.87, and $187.55
A close below $170.85 , and especially $168, would invalidate the current bullish structure and shift bias to bearish — targeting the $151.31–148.67 support zone.
Summary:
📈 Bias: Bullish - but cautious.
Price is consolidating near highs with no signs of breakdown yet. Continuation likely if bulls step in early next week.
BTC - bearish wedge, 60k$ not a joke🔻 Globally, we are in a bearish wedge.
The price made a fake breakout and currently looks weak. On the 1D timeframe, we’re in an ascending channel similar to what we saw in 2021. Back then, after making a second higher high, the price sharply reversed downward.
📉 I believe the relevant downside targets are $60,000 and $40,000.
🔺 I’m currently in a short position, with a stop at $125,333.
ETHFI Coil Tightens Above Key SupportThis is ETHFI on the daily.
It’s currently consolidating above four major support levels:
• The black line at $1.097
• The 200-day MA
• The 50-day MA
• Bollinger Band center
A golden cross is approaching, and if price pushes higher, it could confirm soon. RSI is holding strong above both the 50 level and the signal line, suggesting bullish momentum is intact.
There’s also a bullish triangle forming between the series of lower highs and the $1.097 black line. Volume is decreasing, just as expected before a breakout. While breakouts can technically go either way, my bias remains bullish here.
From a fundamental standpoint, ETHFI benefits from the rising trend of restaking staked ETH, now regulated and attracting serious institutional interest.
Holding this support and completing the golden cross could be a volatile process, especially with ETHFI’s small $424M market cap and big macro events this week (like CPI and potential tariff news) on the radar.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
Long and short fluctuations, the market is waiting for a break📰 News information:
1. Powell responds to White House issues
2. Will other countries impose reciprocal sanctions on tariffs?
📈 Technical Analysis:
Although the MACD indicator of the gold hourly line formed a golden cross, the market reached a high of around 3361, and the RSI indicator was close to the overbought area, so we need to be cautious about corrections. From the 4H chart, the MACD second golden cross is on the zero axis. Currently, we are paying attention to the moving average SMA5 near 3343, and the SMA60 support line 3332. If the 4H upward trend falls back, we need to go long. At present, gold is still running above, and there is no good participation point in the short term, but on the whole, we should pay attention to the support of 3345-3332 below, and we can consider going long if it retreats and stabilizes. We continue to pay attention to the resistance pressure of 3375-3385 above, and we can try to go short if it does not break.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3375-3385
TP 3365-3355
BUY 3345-3332
TP 3365-3375-3385
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Last chance to make profit from BTC with buying positionBullish flag
Strong resistance breakout
2 bull points
Position trade spot buying
Bitcoin completing timecycle on oct 2025 after that it would be 4th time if market again crash for around 70%
Manage your risk in both future and spot trading
Note: NO analysis would 100% profitable trading is the game of probability and risk management so follow your trading plan with proper risk reward and win rate.