NZDCHF: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why:
The recent price action on the NZDCHF pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
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Trend Analysis
Power Of ThreeCurrent Zone (0.0008 - 0.0010): Potential Accumulation. This zone could be an area where the price has stabilized, selling pressure has decreased, and smart money is potentially accumulating positions. Low-volume pullbacks and horizontal consolidation accompanied by increasing volume could support the idea of accumulation.
ACH - Bullish confirmation on a macro swing playACH is setup nicely for a bullish swing. Apologies for the delay in posting. Was waiting for a bullish confirmation first. My entry is $0.018361.
I plotted 5 targets for us.
SuperTrend on 4 Hour TF signaling green. As you can see the reliability of previous SuperTrend flips to green.
Alchemy Pay secured access to SFC Type 1/4/9 licenses on July 17 via a strategic investment in HTF Securities. This positions ACH as a compliant gateway for virtual asset services in Asia’s financial hub, aligning with Hong Kong’s pro-crypto regulatory shift.
Supporting factors: Ripple RLUSD integration
Alchemy Pay’s role in Ripple’s European RLUSD rollout (announced July 15) enables fiat purchases of the stable coin across 170+ countries.
RLUSD’s $94M daily volume creates fee revenue potential for ACH through transaction flows.
Technical context: Overbought but bullish
• RSI(7): 81.37 signals overbought conditions but reflects strong momentum.
MACD: Bullish crossover (histogram +0.000439) since July 16.
Fibonacci: Price broke above 23.6% retracement ($0.0222), eyeing 127.2% extension at $0.0259.
Conclusion
ACH’s rally combines regulatory tailwinds, partnership-driven utility growth, and technical momentum. While short-term consolidation is possible given overbought signals, the licensing roadmap and RWA platform launch (August 2025) suggest sustained institutional interest.
What to watch: Can ACH hold above the 23.6% Fib level ($0.0222) as Hong Kong license upgrades progress?
LINKUSDT – Breakout Retest | Ready for 70% Move?LINK has broken out of a long-term descending trendline on the 4H timeframe and retested the breakout zone. Price is holding well above the trendline and support levels, indicating strong momentum and a bullish structure.
Entry: 15.4–15.6
Support: 15.47
Resistance: 17.78
Targets: 17.78 / 20.03 / 26.28
Stoploss: Below 15.00
Structure: Triangle breakout
Potential: +70% upside if all targets are achieved
LINK is looking primed for a strong breakout continuation. Keep it on your radar.
DYOR | Not financial advice
SHIBUSDT🕯 The key resistance level, identified as the best resistance for a break and pump, stands at 0.0000135, with a potential price increase to 0.00001567 if breached, serving as the next target (Pullback level). On the support side, the main level is observed at 0.0000115, and should the price fall below this, it may decline further to the lower Major Level of 0.0000100.
🔽 Resistances:
Main resistance level: 0.0000135 (potential break for pump)
Next target (Pullback level): 0.00001567
🔼 Supports:
Main support level: 0.0000115
Lower level (Major Level): 0.0000100
⚠️Contorl Risk management for trades.
Bet The Farm!Gold's consolidation period in a wave 4 sideways pattern is about to conclude.
Anybody short this asset is about to get burned, a more than 90% probability of an upward surge is imminent.
There are multiple support touch points on this upward trend line...does it get any clearer?
Appreciate a thumbs up...God Bless you all!
BTCUSDA Mini buy for btcusd targeting a R:R OF 1:2, although the overall trend is a sideways market favoring the downside over the upside. this buy opportunity is worth taking based on shift in market structure and we have a double bottom and order block retest. we will need a major retracement before we have our continuation sell.
NIFTY S/R for 21/7/25Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline.
Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down.
Breakouts:
Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold.
Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying.
MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) :
Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum.
Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum.
Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set.
Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward.
Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
USDJPY / U.S. Dollar – Japanese Yen (1D + 1H) – Multi-Timeframe USDJPY / U.S. Dollar – Japanese Yen (1D + 1H) – Multi-Timeframe Breakdown
Hello awesome traders! 👋
Closing the week with a full top-down look at USDJPY. We’ve got a macro bullish setup developing, but Friday gave us a well-structured intraday bearish opportunity worth studying. Let’s walk through the levels across the timeframes:
🧭 Macro Structure (Daily / 4H)
We start with a textbook Cypher formation on the macro frame, overlapping with a broad ABC bullish correction:
🔹 XA and BC legs are clean and proportionate
🔹 The D point completes just above the 78.6% XA zone
🔹 ABC structure suggests price may be completing a corrective leg within the larger bullish swing
🔍 Medium-Term Focus (4H): Zoom Into the ABC
As we zoom into the ABC leg:
🔸 A = 146.82
🔸 B = 149.08
🔸 C forms near 148.20 with shallow retracement
🔸 Completion shows signs of exhaustion
The ABC pullback aligns with prior resistance and fib confluence zones.
⏱ Intraday Breakdown (1H): Symmetry, Traps, and False Breakouts
This is where the intraday bearish case built up:
🔻 1. Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown
Price formed a clear compression triangle → broke lower → retested → failed again.
🔻 2. Double Top Structure + Cypher Trap
We had a false breakout above 149.08, followed by a rejection. This matches the Cypher reversal zone and classic trap behavior.
🎯 Friday Outlook
✅ Bias: Bearish
📍 Target 1: 38.2% = 148.21
📍 Target 2: 61.8–78.6% = 147.67 – 147.29
We're looking for price to rotate back into these fib support zones before macro structure takes back control. No bullish commitment unless we reclaim the 149.08 highs with strength.
🛡 Risk Management Note
This is short-term momentum inside a larger bullish frame. Treat intraday shorts with tight stops. Macro buyers may step in at the fib wall.
🗝 Final Thoughts
This is the perfect example of why multi-timeframe context matters.
Macro is prepping for a possible long-term continuation, but Friday’s lower timeframe offered an opportunistic short from structure, symmetry, and failed breakout traps.
“The market breathes in waves — one time frame exhales while the other prepares to inhale.”
Nifty levels - Jul 21, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
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Excellent profits booked As I mentioned in yesterday’s commentry session:
My strategy is still the same – buying every dip in Gold around my key level yesterday at 3312, which the market respects well and as our first target was 3345
I'm aiming for a breakout to the upside.
Very happy with the profits so far.
My medium-term targets remain 3380 &3,400 and I’ll keep buying every local low until then.
Also I mentioned if 3310 turns flips on down side then buy at 3290 will be the perfect buy.
TIME TO BUY GBPUSD NOW From the daily time frame we can see that GBPUSD is respecting a rising trend line.
We notice in the past that anytime price touches this rising trend line price will react and reject and move to the upside.
Looking at the chart critically, I indicated a rectangle in which price acted as resistance and broke to the upside and price came to retest it again and it turns to support now, with recent price action we can see that price has retested that resistance turned support again . So I'm expecting price action to reverse from bearish to bullish from that rectangle zone indicated ,with smart money longing at that zone which has already taken place as of yesterday.
Target Profit:1.37250,1.38000,1.40000
IOUSDT Trade opportunityIOUSDT is trading within a robust descending channel, currently forming a potential bearish continuation pattern.
If the price breaks below the $1.482 level, it could lead to a new low. However, if this support holds, there could be a surprise reversal towards the key trendline shown on the chart.
Close attention is needed as this scenario unfolds. The chart provides detailed guidance.
Share your thoughts on this analysis.
Apple: Consolidation Before Potential Breakout Toward $260Apple shares have recently pulled back into a consolidation phase. We see further upside potential in magenta wave (B) before a pullback occurs as part of the same-colored wave (C), which is expected to target the low of green wave . After that, we anticipate a new upward move: Green wave should take over—remaining above support at $168—and drive the stock toward the next major resistance at $260.10. However, if the price drops back below the $168 support level, our alternative scenario comes into play: in that case, we would expect a lower low for blue wave alt.(IV), with a probability of 32%.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do (for more: look to the right).
BRENT CRUDE OIL FORMED A BEARISH WEDGE. ANOTHER POSSIBLE DECLINEBRENT CRUDE OIL FORMED A BEARISH WEDGE. ANOTHER POSSIBLE DECLINE?📉
USOIL has been trading bullish within the last couple of days, supported by prospects of tighter supply and an improved demand outlook. US crude inventories dropped last week, which indicates firm demand despite the rising output.
Still, technically, oil looks bearish. It has formed a bearish wedge and is currently testing the former trendline from below. The most probable scenario is that wee see the bearish impulse towards 6,500.00 with further decline. Another option is that the rise will continue towards 6,900.00 level.