PEPE Pressing Into Its Macro Downtrend — AgainPEPE is back at the same trendline that’s slapped it down twice before — but this third attempt comes with strength.
We’ve got higher lows, reclaimed support, and a solid grind into resistance.
Still, a macro downtrend is a macro downtrend… until it breaks.
This next move will decide if this is the real deal or just another fakeout.
#PEPE #PEPEUSDT #MemeCoinCharts #CryptoAnalysis #TrendlineTest #BacktestEverything #TradingView #QuantTradingPro #CryptoBreakout
Trend Analysis
The AI Boom's Unsung HeroThe rise of artificial intelligence isn’t just shaking up tech companies it’s quietly transforming the global silver market in a big way. As major players like NVIDIA, Google and others ramp up their AI infrastructure silver is becoming more critical than ever. Why? Because silver, thanks to its unmatched electrical conductivity, plays a key role in powering the hardware behind AI.
Silver is the most conductive metal on Earth. That makes it perfect for high-performance computing something AI needs a lot of. It’s especially important in data centers and advanced semiconductors, where both electrical and thermal performance are mission-critical.
What’s really interesting is that AI servers tend to use two to three times more silver than traditional data center servers. That’s because AI workloads are more power-hungry, generate more heat and require more complex cooling and electrical systems. Simply put, more AI means more silver.
If there’s one company at the heart of this trend it’s NVIDIA. Analysts at Morgan Stanley expect NVIDIA to consume a staggering 77% of all silicon wafers used for AI accelerators in 2025 up from 51% in 2024. That adds up to around 535,000 300-mm wafers a year each of which contains silver in key components.
All of this AI growth is showing up in the numbers. Industrial silver demand hit an all-time high of 680.5 million ounces in 2024. The electronics industry alone uses around 250 million ounces per year and AI is now the fastest-growing part of that.
Despite all this demand, silver supply just isn’t keeping up. The market’s been in deficit for four straight years, with a total shortfall of 678 million ounces between 2021 and 2024. That’s roughly ten months of global mine output gone missing from the balance sheet.
It’s no surprise, then, that silver prices have been climbing fast. As of July 2025 silver’s up nearly 30% for the year. Looking further ahead I see room for silver to keep climbing:
In the short term (2025): $36–$42 per ounce seems realistic
By 2026: Potential for $50+ as more AI growth stays strong
AI isn’t just changing how we work, communicate, or compute—it’s literally reshaping the commodities that make this technology possible. Silver, once thought of mainly in the context of jewelry or coins, is now a backbone material for the AI revolution.
Gold - Bullish and here's whyPrice traveled within the Red Fork, until it broke the CIB Line, which is indicating a Change In Behavior.
From there on, sideways action, until the break of the Red U-MLH happened.
After the close above the Red U-MLH, price has tested it the 3rd time now. At the time of writing, the Bar looks like a PinBar. So it has good sepparation from the bottom, or a long Down-Wick. That's indicates good strenght.
To me this looks like a good long trade, but as everytime, play it save and don't let greed eat your brain ;-)
gold heading back to retest 3450gold heading back to retest 3450
so what happened to gold yesterday?
unemployment claims suppose to be that USD is strong however after the news effect the bull run started again.
technical basis is that H4 last structure was broken up and the day before happens to be a spike from 3320 to 3377. which indicate there are buyers in the market only that we will be caught off-guard most of the time. likewise yesterday. new gave a technical that m30/h1 broke down of current market structure whereby 3326-3328 was suppose to be a support before becomes resistance but bull came in with surprise again pushes price to break even 3341 resistance.
after analyzing no wonder as fibo golden ratio is sitting at 3310 and that was a good point of interest to buy and hold for 1st destination would be at 3365-3378 and 3414-3427 and lastly to retest 3450 as well as weekly broke trendline to see if there's true seller to push price for a proper correction of the year or back to ATH which usually new ATH happens in July often for the past 5years.
XRP’s Descending Trendline Showdown: Is a Breakout Toward $4From a purely technical‐analysis standpoint (not financial advice), here are a few observations and ideas you can take into xrp/usdt
1. Descending Trendline Resistance
- Price has been making lower highs, forming that yellow descending trendline. A sustained break and close above it (on higher‐than‐average volume) would be a strong bullish signal.
- If price rejects at the trendline again, that often implies more consolidation or another leg downward, so watch how price reacts if/when it retests that line.
2. Moving Average Context
- It looks like the market is hovering near or just below a key moving average (blue line). If the price can reclaim that moving average and stay above it, it typically signals renewed bullish momentum. Conversely, continued closes below it can cap upside.
3. Key Support Zones
- The pink/gray box in the chart (roughly the 2.0–2.1 area) seems to be an important support region; buyers have stepped in there before.
- Below that, the 1.77–1.80 area looks like a major support “floor” (dotted line). If price were to break below that, it could trigger a deeper pullback.
4. Potential Upside Targets
- The horizontal level around 3.40 is the next big resistance if price can break out above the descending trendline.
- If bulls really take over and push through that 3.40 zone, a run toward 3.90–4.00 (as shown by the arrow) becomes more plausible.
5. Watch Volume and Momentum**
- Pay attention to volume on any breakout. A low‐volume push above the trendline can be a fakeout, whereas a strong volume surge confirms conviction.
- Oscillators (RSI, MACD, etc.) can help you gauge whether momentum is building or fading as price approaches resistance.
Overall, a breakout above the descending trendline plus a reclaim of the moving average would favor upside toward the mid‐3s or higher. Failure to break out, however, might lead to another test of that 2.0–2.1 support or even the 1.77 floor. Keep risk management in mind either way.
GBPUSD BUY?Market is reacting to Fib area on Daily time frame. Based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
MELANIA: Divergence, Signal, BaseThis is MELANIA on the 1-day chart.
First, I want to emphasize the bullish divergence on the RSI, which started on April 21, while price continued to drop, RSI held or even moved higher.
Second, although we’re still below the 50MA and the chart doesn’t yet have a 200MA, both systems are long:
• PSAR is bullish
• MLR > SMA > BB Center
Third, it appears a base has been forming since June 27.
All these factors combined led me to open a long position, but of course, this is just my view, not financial advice.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
XAUUSD AND GOLD NEXT MOVR DOWN TREND 🧠 OANDA:XAUUSD Professional Trading Idea (Smart Money Concept Based)
🔍 Market Structure Overview:
CHoCH → confirmed on bullish move (July 11–13), signaling reversal from bearish to bullish.
LH to LL → clean bearish leg formed post FVG mitigation and rejection.
BMS (Break of Market Structure) confirmed → shift back to bearish structure.
Price recently tapped into a deep FVG + demand zone, showing rejection wick and bounce.
---
🎯 Trading Plan: Intraday Sell-Bias Idea (Unless Proven Otherwise)
🔴 Bias: Bearish
📍 Entry Zone: Around 3340–3345 (inside FVG + previous supply zone)
🛑 SL (Invalidation): Above 3350–3355 zone
🎯 TP1: 3330
🎯 TP2: 3315
🎯 TP3: 3304 (major demand zone)
---
✅ Entry Conditions (Confirmation Required):
Rejection candlestick or bearish engulfing in 3340–3345 zone
EMA resistance hold
No bullish BMS on lower timeframes
---
⚠️ Invalidation Plan:
If price breaks above 3355 with momentum and closes bullish → structure flips to bullish, look for buys only on retracement to 3345–3350 zone.
ETHUSD - Stretched price. Pullback to CL likelyPrice tagged the U-MLH, the stretch level.
Think of it like the 2nd STDV.
Now think Mean Reversion.
With such a stretch, price has a high chance to revert to the mean - down to the Centerline (CL).
What is this information good for?
a) take profit (...or 50% partial)
b) short on intrady signs
But if it is open and close above the U-MLH, then there's a good chance that price is advancing to the Warning Line, the extension of the Center to U-MLH.
Let's observe what happens.
Crude Oil Setup in ProgressOil is in an uptrend, and I expect it to continue.
At the moment, the stop-loss would be too wide — around 3.5%, which is a bit too much for my portfolio, especially considering I already have a wide stop on palladium.
On the 1-hour chart, I’m watching for a possible entry slightly below the current level. For now, just observing.
EURNZDThis is a chart of EURNZD on the 4H timeframe. Here's what it shows and what you can post:
Analysis:
- CHoCH (Change of Character) shows a shift from bullish to bearish structure.
- Price retested the supply zone after CHoCH.
- Now it's reacting downwards from that area.
- Two Take Profit zones (TP1 and TP2) are clearly marked as price targets.
What to do:
- Look for sell entries below the retest zone.
- Set your targets at TP1 and TP2.
- Confirm with lower timeframe structure or candlestick patterns before entering.
"EURNZD analysis — Bearish bias confirmed after a clear CHoCH and retest of the supply zone. Watching for sell setups down to TP1 and TP2. Patience and precision is key. 📉🔥 #ForexTrading #SmartMoney #EURNZD #PriceAction"
#SOL Update #5 – July 18, 2025#SOL Update #5 – July 18, 2025
Solana has returned to the region where its last impulsive move was formed. It appears to be attempting another bounce, but when we look at the SOL/BTC pair, it is currently facing a strong resistance zone.
There isn't much room between this resistance and the 200 MA band, which makes this a critical decision zone. At the moment, I do not recommend entering either a Long or Short position — it’s best to wait and observe.
If Solana breaks out to the upside, the next target will likely be $179.
Bearish reversal?US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 99.26
1st Support: 97.81
1st Resistance: 100.26
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ALAB: High-Quality Breakout With Strong Structure and 3.2 R/RAstera Labs ( NASDAQ:ALAB ) just delivered a clean technical breakout above multi-week resistance, paired with bullish confirmation from momentum and Ichimoku structure. This isn’t a hype trade — this is what a textbook continuation breakout looks like.
📊 Key Technical Breakdown
Base Breakout
After weeks of tight consolidation, NASDAQ:ALAB just broke above horizontal resistance at ~$95. The breakout candle is strong, with above-average range and a decisive close.
Ichimoku Cloud
Price is well above the cloud — this confirms bullish trend.
The Kijun (black line) is sloping upward, and the cloud is thick and rising.
Pullbacks toward $88–90 could act as support if the breakout retests.
MACD Reversal
The MACD has flipped green, signaling a momentum shift.
Histogram is expanding upward again, showing renewed buying pressure.
This is happening as price reclaims the top of the recent range — a great alignment.
🎯 Trade Specs
Entry: $97.02
Target: $133.25 (+37.34%)
Stop: $85.32 (–11.51%)
Risk/Reward: 3.24 — solid skew for a growth name
Context: Strong prior trend, healthy consolidation, and now continuation. This isn’t a bottom-pick — it’s trend-following at a breakout moment.
🧠 Why This Trade Works
Structure: You’re not chasing green candles. This breakout comes after a long base and clears prior congestion.
Asymmetry: A 3.2+ R/R setup means you can be wrong more than half the time and still come out ahead — if you stick to your stops.
Momentum Alignment: Momentum and price are moving together — never fade a breakout with confirmation from both price action and indicators.
📌 Tip for Readers:
If you’re new to swing trading, study how this base formed and what conditions led to the breakout. The goal isn’t prediction — it’s positioning at the right moments with risk defined.
DDOG 15m – Discount Reversal Targeting $151.89 | VolanX Protocol📈 Datadog (DDOG) has completed a clean bullish structural shift off a deep discount zone, rejecting institutional demand around the $137–139 range. Now breaking above key internal CHoCH and BOS levels, price is accelerating into equilibrium, suggesting momentum is building toward premium inefficiencies.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Massive previous BOS on July 3rd led to an overextended move that’s now correcting.
Strong reclaim above $141 (ORB high and demand imbalance).
Price swept strong low and confirmed bullish intent via nested CHoCH → BOS → continuation.
Heading into low-resistance volume node up to $146 equilibrium, then targeting $151.89 premium supply.
📌 Critical Zones:
Demand (Support): $139.75 → $137.00 → $136.00 (discount + strong low zone)
Equilibrium Zone: $145.80–146.40 (short-term reaction likely)
Target Liquidity Zone: $151.89 (Premium + prior weak high)
📊 VolanX Protocol Read:
This setup aligns with a VolanX Reversal Protocol. The SMC framework suggests a fully developed market structure cycle (markdown → accumulation → markup). Price action is supported by consistent BOS levels and bullish reaccumulation signs.
🧠 Probabilistic Price Model:
70% → $145.8–146 (reaction near EQ + mitigation)
45% → $151.89 full premium sweep
15% → Breakdown below $139.75 invalidates bullish thesis
⚠️ VolanX Standard Disclosure:
This post is for strategic modeling and educational purposes only. It reflects WaverVanir's internal DSS logic, not financial advice. Always backtest and confirm your execution model.
AMZN 15m – Institutional Demand Reclaim in Progress | VolanX Pro📈 AMZN 15m – Institutional Demand Reclaim in Progress | VolanX Protocol Alert
Amazon (AMZN) is staging a potential bullish reversal from a deep discount zone following a strong rejection near the 0.146–0.236 Fibonacci confluence at ~$220.78–221.44. We are now consolidating near the equilibrium zone (223) with signs of early accumulation.
📊 Technical Thesis:
Break of Structure (BOS) at 223.92 sets short-term bullish intent.
Reclaiming the ORB high and equilibrium.
Price rejected from deep demand (blue zone) and now printing EQH + BOS microstructures.
Premium liquidity sits above 227–229, with a magnet at FIB extension 1.618–1.786 = 231.62–232.86.
Volume profile shows declining sell pressure post-demand sweep.
📌 Key Levels:
Support: 222.53 | 221.44 | 220.78 (deep value zone)
Resistance: 226.23 (0.886 FIB) → 229.89 (FIB target zone)
Smart Money Premium: 226.5–229.8
🧠 VolanX Protocol Bias:
This is a long-biased setup, favoring institutional reaccumulation. If AMZN maintains above 223 with volume absorption, we anticipate a liquidity sweep through the premium zone, targeting 229.89.
🎯 Probabilistic Targeting:
60% → Retest 226.23 (EQH magnet zone)
30% → Breakout and reach 229.89 (measured move)
10% → Breakdown below 222.53 invalidates the setup
⚠️ Risk Note (VolanX Standard):
This post reflects strategic technical modeling, not financial advice. Trade your own system. View this as a signal integrity alignment, not a directive.
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 17, 2025 – Thursday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 17, 2025 – Thursday 🔴
📉 Sellers Grip Expiry Day — Big Move Loading?
Nifty started again with an OH (Open = High) formation and slipped down 94 points before 10:30 AM, marking the day’s low at 25,144. During this fall, it broke the support zone of 25,212 ~ 25,180. Although a retracement followed, it couldn’t sustain above the mean and eventually broke below the previous day’s low (PDL), closing at 25,111.45.
The weekly expiry was wild and volatile — especially from 12:30 to 2:30 PM. Interestingly, if we consider the total range of the last three sessions, it is just 166 points — well below average. This suggests a phase of consolidation. A significant move may emerge once Nifty decisively breaks the broader zone of 25,000 to 25,255.
🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
📊 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,230.75
High: 25,238.35
Low: 25,101.00
Close: 25,111.45
Change: −100.60 (−0.40%)
Candle structure breakdown:
Real body:
Red candle (Close < Open): 25,230.75 − 25,111.45 = 119.30 points → Decent-sized bearish body
Upper wick:
25,238.35 − 25,230.75 = 7.60 points → Very small
Lower wick:
25,111.45 − 25,101.00 = 10.45 points → Small
Interpretation:
Nifty opened slightly lower, made a weak attempt upward, then saw consistent selling throughout the day, closing near the session’s low. The negligible wicks indicate that sellers were in full control, and buyers had little room to fight back.
Candle Type:
A strong bearish candle (almost Marubozu) with very small wicks → Clear dominance by sellers.
Key Insight:
The test of the 25,100 zone again shows weakening bullish strength.
If the next session breaks below 25,100, the fall may extend toward 25,000–25,050.
For bulls to regain short-term momentum, a close above 25,200–25,220 is necessary.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 176.62
IB Range: 60.85 → Medium IB
Market Structure: Balanced
Trades Triggered:
🕒 10:53 AM – Long Trade → Trailed SL Hit Profit (R:R = 1:0.42)
🧭 What’s Next? / Bias Direction
The market is coiling within a narrow range across multiple sessions, hinting at a potential breakout move.
📌 Watch Zone: 25,000 to 25,255
🔻 A break below 25,000 may open 24,950–24,900
🔺 A close above 25,260 could drive price toward 25,350+
Bias remains neutral-to-bearish unless bulls reclaim 25,220 decisively.
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Levels
25,168
25,180 ~ 25,212
25,260
25,295 ~ 25,315
Support Levels
25,125
25,080 ~ 25,060
25,000 ~ 24,980
24,965
🧠 Final Thoughts
"Structure is key. When levels work, respect them. When they break, adapt."
Three sessions of compression hint at expansion soon — stay alert and trade level-to-level with discipline.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
BTC - 0.786 LTF StrugglePlease refer to our previous post:
If you look at the predictive fib model we presented in our last post, we are starting to get more accurate developments. Today we just saw another rejection at our 0.786 predictive fib level with a potential reversal doji.
That is now 3 touchpoints of resistance right around $120k (which is also inline with the 1.618 extension).
Therefore if price starts to decline the predictive price targets to the downside remain in place.