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Trend Analysis

ETHUSD - Stretched price. Pullback to CL likelyPrice tagged the U-MLH, the stretch level. Think of it like the 2nd STDV. Now think Mean Reversion. With such a stretch, price has a high chance to revert to the mean - down to the Centerline (CL). What is this information good for? a) take profit (...or 50% partial) b) short on intrady signs But if it is open and close above the U-MLH, then there's a good chance that price is advancing to the Warning Line, the extension of the Center to U-MLH. Let's observe what happens.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
ALAB: High-Quality Breakout With Strong Structure and 3.2 R/RAstera Labs ( NASDAQ:ALAB ) just delivered a clean technical breakout above multi-week resistance, paired with bullish confirmation from momentum and Ichimoku structure. This isn’t a hype trade — this is what a textbook continuation breakout looks like. 📊 Key Technical Breakdown Base Breakout After weeks of tight consolidation, NASDAQ:ALAB just broke above horizontal resistance at ~$95. The breakout candle is strong, with above-average range and a decisive close. Ichimoku Cloud Price is well above the cloud — this confirms bullish trend. The Kijun (black line) is sloping upward, and the cloud is thick and rising. Pullbacks toward $88–90 could act as support if the breakout retests. MACD Reversal The MACD has flipped green, signaling a momentum shift. Histogram is expanding upward again, showing renewed buying pressure. This is happening as price reclaims the top of the recent range — a great alignment. 🎯 Trade Specs Entry: $97.02 Target: $133.25 (+37.34%) Stop: $85.32 (–11.51%) Risk/Reward: 3.24 — solid skew for a growth name Context: Strong prior trend, healthy consolidation, and now continuation. This isn’t a bottom-pick — it’s trend-following at a breakout moment. 🧠 Why This Trade Works Structure: You’re not chasing green candles. This breakout comes after a long base and clears prior congestion. Asymmetry: A 3.2+ R/R setup means you can be wrong more than half the time and still come out ahead — if you stick to your stops. Momentum Alignment: Momentum and price are moving together — never fade a breakout with confirmation from both price action and indicators. 📌 Tip for Readers: If you’re new to swing trading, study how this base formed and what conditions led to the breakout. The goal isn’t prediction — it’s positioning at the right moments with risk defined.
NASDAQ:ALABLong
by tothemoon_888
Inverted head and shoulder suspected ..keep an eye on necklineHi dear friends and followers, I suspect this inverted head and shoulders pattern with a neckline around 160 usd. If it breaks in, it can go down toward the inferior support level around 130 usd and the 0.618 Fibo. If it breaks out it can go up until the next resistance and psychological level of 200 usd. As you can see, this 200usd resistance level does match with a large ascending channel. You all need to DYOR and keep an eye on RSI and volume to confirm the movement and take a trade. Wishing you the best and success on your decision.
by JustaTechGuy
4
Ethereum (ETH): Time For Ethereum To Shine | $3300-$3400The daily timeframe is showing no remorse to sellers, with buyers strongly dominating the zones after a local resistance area near $2800 was broken. After that breakout we had a smaller sideways consolidation movement, here we formed a proper BOS and now price is heading towarsd the upper zones. we are tergeting the $3300 to $3400 are as of now, where we might see another sideways movement before a breakout. Swallow Academy
Long
by SwallowAcademy
gold daily bias today (17th july 2025)Daily remains bullish within a bullish BOS. 4H structure confirms the same — only reacting if price invalidates the bullish setup. For BUYS (Scenario 1 – Deep Retracement Buy): 1️⃣ Price retests the 3320.651 – 3311.381 zone. 2️⃣ Form a 1/3M bullish CHOCH with a body candle close. 3️⃣ Retest the level and BUY toward 3349.077. For BUYS (Scenario 2 – Intraday Structure Flip): 1️⃣ Price forms a 15M bullish CHOCH with body candle close. 2️⃣ Retest the 15M BOS using a 2/3M bullish CHOCH. 3️⃣ Confirm the retest and BUY toward 3349.077. For SELLS (Scenario 3 – BOS Break + Shift): 1️⃣ Break below 3320.651 – 3311.381 with a strong 1H momentum candle. 2️⃣ Pull back to the broken zone. 3️⃣ Form a 1/3M bearish CHOCH after retest and SELL toward 3298.508.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by professornganga217
1
7/18: Watch 3343 Resistance, Guard Against Break Below 3323Good morning, everyone! Yesterday, gold broke below the 3337 support after consolidating there, driven lower by bearish data, and eventually reached the 3323–3312 support zone. A rebound followed, and price has now returned above 3323, which also aligns with the daily MA60. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Today: Resistance: 3343 / 3352–3358 → A sustained break above 3343 opens the door for a potential move toward 3366 / 3372–3378; Support: 3323 / 3312 → If price remains capped below resistance and weekly close is under 3323, it will signal bearish structural pressure for the medium term. 📌 Trading Strategy: Trade flexibly within the range of 3358–3343–3332–3323–3312 📌 Important Reminder: If today’s closing price is below 3323, and you're planning to hold positions over the weekend, it’s safer to lean short. While we can’t predict weekend news, technically, bears have the upper hand, so risk control is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Bitcoin H1 | Falling toward a 61.8% Fibonacci supportBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 117,857.83 which is a swing-low support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 115,500.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support. Take profit is at 122,734.70 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:BTCUSDLong
by Tradu
EUR/USD Bearish Wave Outlook Into September 2025EUR/USD Bearish Wave Outlook Into September 2025 Technical + Elliott Wave + Macro View EUR/USD has likely completed a major top at 1.18300, which aligns with the 1.0 Fibonacci extension. This level acted as a liquidity sweep before reversing sharply, marking the top of Wave (1) in the current Elliott sequence. We're now entering Wave (3) to the downside—a high-momentum leg often driven by macro confirmation. Price has broken the ascending channel and rejected the 0.786 and 0.886 retracement zones. With lower highs forming, the structure is weakening. The next likely target sits around 1.10223, a key Fibonacci and order block confluence. If momentum accelerates, EUR/USD could continue toward 1.08289, completing the full Wave (2). From a macro lens, the divergence between the Fed and ECB continues to widen. The U.S. economy remains resilient with sticky inflation and strong yields supporting the dollar. In contrast, Europe is showing signs of stagnation, with Germany and France struggling to post meaningful growth. This favors continued downside on the pair. Expect potential relief rallies into 1.1400–1.1550, but these are likely to be sold unless a fundamental catalyst shifts sentiment. Bias: Bearish Targets: 1.1022 > 1.0828 Invalidation: Clean break and close above 1.1700 — 🔔 Watch for volume spikes and failed reclaims of structure as confirmation. DSS signals aligned. #EURUSD #Forex #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcepts #MacroTrading #WaverVanir #VolanX #DollarStrength #FXForecast #TechnicalAnalysis
Short
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
ALUMINIUM: Selling opportunity following trendline breakALUMINIUM climbed a steep uptrend but it might meets its end with this recent break through this rising trendline. When price respects a trendline repeatedly, it becomes significant, its break indicating either a potential reversal or major pause in the trend. The candlestick that broke the trendline signals the first hint of structural change. After breaking, price traced backward to retest the trendline. The retest manifested as a cluster of candles with wicks testing the former trendline but failing to reclaim it. That failure to reclaim, might signal seller conviction and transformation of market structure. But it would need additional confirmation to confirm the signal. Ideally, what I look for in retests is to be met with a confirming candle, typically a bearish engulfing or marubozu closing below the trendline. This would confirm the sellers have taken over and validate the change from uptrend to potential downtrend or consolidation phase. If I were to take a side here, I would choose more downside, but again only price action should determine next move. However, if price breaks back above the trendline with conviction, especially engulfing the retest, it would invalidate the bearish scenario, suggesting that the uptrend may resume with fresh momentum. Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:ALUMINIUMShort
by TrendDiva
29