XAU / USD 1 Hour ChartHello traders. Looking at the push up from the overnight sessions, I am waiting to see if we push back down or do we start moving up. So for me, I am watching the $3354 area. If we can break and close above that, and with volume and favorable conditions for gold, we could partially fill, or fill the wick to the left marked on the chart. Let's see how things play out. There is no big new today here in the US. Watching the 30 min, the hourly and the 4 hour candles to see if I can get a good entry for scalp buy / sell trades. BIg G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend. Happy Friday.
Trend Analysis
Ultimate Breakout Strategy for CHESS/USDT
The CHESS/USDT chart is currently consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern, signaling that a breakout could be imminent. As the price squeezes within converging trendlines, the next move is critical. Will the price push higher or drop lower? Let’s take a closer look at the potential setups.
Bullish Breakout Opportunity
If the price breaks above the upper resistance at 0.085, this could signal a bullish breakout. A strong move above this level could lead to further upward momentum, targeting levels at 0.095, 0.105, and even 0.115. Placing a stop loss at 0.075 ensures you’re protected if the price fails to maintain the breakout and reverses. Keep an eye on volume—this will be a key indicator to confirm the breakout’s strength.
Bearish Breakdown Risk
If the price fails to break above the resistance and drops below 0.075, it could signal a bearish breakdown. In this case, consider shorting the market with targets at 0.070 and 0.060. A stop loss just above 0.082 can be used to limit risks. Be sure to monitor volume closely to confirm the move, as low volume can lead to false breakdowns.
Pro Tip:
Volume plays a crucial role in validating breakouts and breakdowns. Look for a significant increase in volume when the price breaks key levels. A well-executed risk management plan with proper stop losses will help you stay in control no matter which direction the price moves.
Stay disciplined and follow the price action closely to make the most out of the upcoming move in CHESS/USDT. Whether it’s an upside breakout or a downside breakdown, this strategy prepares you for both scenarios.
Bitcoin Extends Rally – Eyeing $121K+📊 Market Overview:
•Bitcoin is trading around $120,013, up +0.0149% on the day, with a daily range of $117,715 – $120,691 — continuing momentum after a historic rally.
•The rally is supported by strong inflows into BTC ETFs, institutional demand, and pro-crypto legislation recently passed in the U.S. House of Representatives.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: $121,000 – $122,000 (next technical target post breakout)
• Nearest support: $118,000 – $119,000 (aligns with 50 MA and previous consolidation zone)
• EMA 09: Price is above the EMA 09, confirming strong short-term bullish momentum
• Candlesticks / Volume / Momentum: RSI and MACD remain bullish; rising volume in ETFs and institutional flows confirm upward momentum.
📌 Outlook:
Bitcoin is likely to extend its gains in the short term if it holds above $119,000–$120,000 and institutional buying continues.
• Holding above $120,000 → potential to test $121,000 – $122,000
• Falling below $119,000 → risk of correction to $118,000
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
BUY BTC/USD at: 119,500 – 120,000
🎯 TP: 121,500
❌ SL: 118,500
SELL BTC/USD at: 121,000 – 122,000 (if bearish reversal signals appear)
🎯 TP: 120,000
❌ SL: 122,500
AUDUSD could fall again despite bullish momentumAUDUSD could fall again despite bullish momentum
AUDUSD found strong support near 0.6460.
Overnight the price rose despite the lack of any news on the economic calendar.
This could be related to the low volume of the current month and perhaps small currency injections or profit taking create such moves.
The price is not yet clear, but there is a high possibility of further decline in the coming days. It may show signs of reversal soon and could fall to 0.6460 and 0.6400.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Dax Breaks Higher to keep the bullish toneDax has moved back above the 24245-24295 zone impulsively and we retain the overall bullish tone
Retests of this area can provide an opportunity to get long
Stops need to be below 24170
Targets can be back towards 24400 and even hold a runner back to the All time highs
EURUSD – Bearish Rhythm ContinuesEURUSD is currently moving within a well-defined descending channel on the 4H timeframe, maintaining a consistent pattern of lower highs and lower lows. This confirms that bearish order flow remains intact, especially after the recent rejection from the upper boundary of the channel. The previous move up was largely a liquidity grab, taking out short-term highs before swiftly reversing, which adds confluence to a continuation lower.
Liquidity and Imbalance Zones
After sweeping some upside liquidity near 1.1670, price left behind a clean set of equal lows and an unmitigated fair value gap (FVG) sitting below, acting as a magnet. The purple zone marks this FVG, which is likely to be the next area of interest for price as it aligns with the midpoint of the channel and previous demand. Below that, there’s also a clear support region with resting liquidity, giving price a solid reason to reach deeper before reversing.
Projected Path and Channel Dynamics
As long as we remain inside the current bearish channel, we should expect price to respect the internal structure and continue pushing lower. The expectation is for price to trickle down through lower highs and lower lows, tapping into the FVG and potentially sweeping the lows beneath it. The projected internal path mimics this staircase-style movement down before any potential reversal can happen.
Reversal Zone and Bullish Scenario
If price does sweep the lows around 1.1450 and fills the imbalance cleanly, this would create ideal conditions for a bullish reversal. A reaction from this zone could lead to a break of the channel structure, initiating a shift in market sentiment. The upside target, in that case, would be the clean area around 1.1700 where previous liquidity was removed but not yet retested.
Short-Term Expectation
In the short term, the path of least resistance remains bearish. The most probable scenario is a continuation down into the FVG and potential liquidity sweep before we see any meaningful upside. Any premature breakout from the channel without first collecting this liquidity would be viewed as a weak move lacking proper fuel.
Conclusion
EURUSD remains technically bearish while inside the descending channel. Liquidity has been taken on the upside, and the path is now open to target unmitigated imbalances and resting lows. A full sweep into the FVG area could provide the setup for a clean reversal, but until then, trend continuation is favored.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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RENDER - [Double bottom] - Resistances are meant to be broken- RENDER has successfully bounced back from the support by forming the double bottom pattern.
- Double bottom pattern is bullish pattern, when it forms at the strong support it becomes extremely bullish. this is one of such scenario.
- Im expecting some minor resistance at the local resistance around 4.3
- A successfull breakout this local resistance will push the price further high.
Entry Price: 3.941
Stop Loss: 2.378
TP1: 4.413
TP2: 5.350
TP3: 6.887
TP4: 8.092
TP5: 9.810
Max Leverage 5x.
Don't forget to keep stoploss.
Support us by Liking and following.
Thanks and Cheers!
GreenCrypto
The Great Gas Heist: Load Your Longs Before It Blows💎🚨“Operation Gas Vault: NG1! Breakout Robbery Blueprint”🚨💎
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Welcome to all my Market Hustlers & Silent Robbers 🕵️♂️💼💰
Today’s target: NG1! Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures
📍Strategy: A bullish heist mission with a calculated escape plan.
🔥Thief Trading Blueprint: Gas Market Heist🔥
🎯 Entry Gameplan
“The vault cracks open at 3.630 – That’s your cue.”
Wait for resistance breakout 🧱 (around 3.630) – that’s the signal.
Set Buy Stop orders above the Moving Average.
Or, use a layered DCA entry via Limit Orders near swing highs/lows (15m or 30m timeframe).
Thief Tip: Set an alert/alarm so you don’t miss the breakout bang 🔔💥
🛡 Stop Loss Setup (Post-Breakout Only!)
“Don’t be reckless. No SL before breakout — wait for confirmation.”
SL Location: Swing low (4H) near 3.370.
Set SL after breakout happens, not before.
Adjust based on your risk tolerance, lot size & number of open entries.
⚠️ Placing early SL = triggering the trap before the door opens.
🏴☠️ Loot Target 🎯
Take Profit Zone: 4.100
Escape Tip: No need to be greedy. Take profit before the police arrive (resistance)!
🧲 Scalper’s Shortcut
Only go Long – avoid fighting the current.
If you’ve got cash flow, strike early. If not, ride with the swing crew.
Use trailing SL to protect your stack 💼📉
📊 Fundamental Clues Behind the Heist
The gas vault is heating up thanks to:
🔥COT Reports
🛢 Inventory & Storage data
📈 Seasonal trends
💹 Sentiment flows
⚖ Intermarket linkages
Checkk your own global indicators 🌍🔗 – don’t enter blindfolded.
🗞️ News Traps & Position Protection
Avoid new entries during major news releases 📰🚫
Trail stops to guard running positions
Markets react fast. Adapt even faster.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is educational info, not personal investment advice. Your money, your risk, your decisions.
💥 Support the Robbery Squad 💥
If you vibe with the Thief Trading Style, smash that Boost Button 💖
Grow the gang, expand the vaults, and master this money maze together! 🤑🏆🚀
Stay tuned – another heist plan is on the way.
Until then, trade smart, trade sharp. 👊🕶💼
🔒#NaturalGas #ThiefTrading #BreakoutStrategy #SwingTrade #FuturesHeist #NG1Plan #RobTheMarket
Gold Maintains Bullish Tone – Eyes on $3,350 Breakout📊 Market Overview
• Gold is trading around $3,339 – $3,340, after rebounding from the session low at $3,332.
• The USD is temporarily weakening, and safe-haven flows remain steady — key factors supporting gold.
• Markets are awaiting fresh U.S. economic data for clearer directional cues.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance Levels:
– Near-term: $3,344 – $3,345
– Extended: $3,352 – $3,356 (weekly highs)
• Key Support Levels:
– Near-term: $3,332 – $3,335
– Extended: $3,320 – $3,325 (MA confluence + technical base)
• EMA: Price remains above EMA 09, confirming a short-term uptrend.
• Candle Pattern / Volume / Momentum: RSI is around 54–56; momentum remains positive but has cooled — suggesting potential consolidation.
📌 Outlook
Gold is maintaining a bullish technical structure — if it breaks above $3,345, a move toward $3,352 – $3,356 is likely. On the downside, a drop below $3,332 could trigger a retest of $3,325 – $3,320.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: $3,324 – $3,327
• 🎯 TP: 40/80/100 pips
• ❌ SL: $3,320
🔻 SELL XAU/USD :$3,352 – $3,355
• 🎯 TP: 40/80/100 pips
• ❌ SL: $3,359
Gold rebound brings bearish opportunities
Before the fishermen go out to sea, they don't know where the fish are? But they still choose to go because they believe they will return with a full load. When you invest, you don't know whether you can make a profit, but you still need to try, and from the moment you decide to do it, you must insist on believing to gain something. The same is true for gold investment. You may still be losing money at the moment, but as long as you find me, all losses will be solved!
Views on the trend of gold!
In terms of gold, unfortunately, the bulls don't seem to last long, and they are also a bit unstable! Emphasize the most critical point, the continuous rise of the sun, the first wave of V-shaped rebound last night, and then the high-level oscillation, and there was no continuation of the rise of the sun last night. The bulls did not take off in one wave, but were held down again. But in the same way, don't think that the bulls are held down, and the bears will come. We still have to distinguish according to the range and strength. In many cases, the market maintains a oscillating range.
So how do you look at it today? Is there still hope for the bulls? From the perspective of correction, every big drop has poor continuity, and they all bottom out and rebound, just like gold fell to 3310 last night and violently rose to 3344, so there is a high probability that there will be continuation after the retracement today. On the one hand, even if it rebounds, it is also volatile, and the rebound and second decline is the continuation of the market. Therefore, currently pay attention to two points, the upward pressure 3355, and the downward strength and weakness dividing point 3325!
Gold: You can short at the rebound of 3350-55, defend 10 US dollars, and the target is 3330-25! If it breaks 3325, it will look down to the double bottom support of 3310. On the contrary, if it does not break, it can be shorted and look up to 3345-50!
ETH/USDT 4H Chart✅ Market Trend and Structure:
Uptrend: The highlighted orange trend line shows continuous growth since mid-April. The price is trading above the 50- and 200-period moving averages (EMA and SMA), confirming bullish sentiment.
Current price: around 3556 USDT – very close to local highs.
Resistance break in the 3200–3300 USDT area, which now acts as support.
📈 Technical Levels:
Resistance (red horizontal lines):
3600–3650 USDT – local resistance resulting from market reaction.
3888 USDT – next historical resistance level.
4133 USDT – established long-term target (green dashed line at the top).
Support:
3300 USDT – strong support after a previous breakout.
3080 USDT – previous high, now the next support level.
3070 / 2900 USDT – key technical support levels in the event of a larger correction.
📊 Indicators:
MACD:
The MACD is in a strongly bullish zone, but:
The histogram is flattening.
A bearish crossover pattern is possible in the following candles – a signal of weakening momentum.
RSI:
RSI ~74 – is in the overbought zone, which often heralds a correction or at least consolidation.
A value above 70 confirms the bullish trend but may suggest that momentum is overheated.
📌 Conclusions and Scenarios:
🔼 Upside Scenario (trend continuation):
If the price remains above 3300–3350 USDT, it could move towards 3888, and then 4133 USDT.
A break above 3650 USDT on heavy volume will be a strong continuation signal.
🔽 Corrective scenario (short-term pullback):
The RSI and MACD suggest a possible correction.
Potential pullback to:
3300 USDT (retest of previous resistance as support).
SMA 200 (~2600 USDT) with a deeper downward move.
#USDJPY: Price is currently accumulating ! Wait For DistributionAt present, the USDJPY currency pair appears to be in an accumulation phase, as evidenced by the absence of significant price movement throughout the current week. Several factors contribute to this trend.
Firstly, several significant economic events are scheduled for this week, particularly tomorrow and Friday. These developments hold substantial implications for the future trajectory of the USDJPY pair. Consequently, there exists a possibility that the price may experience a decline prior to initiating a bullish trend.
Secondly, there are two primary areas where the price could reverse its course. The extent to which the USD reacts to the economic data will serve as an indicator of the potential reversal zones.
It is imperative that you conduct your own analysis before making any financial decisions. This chart should be utilised solely for educational purposes and does not guarantee any specific outcome.
Regarding the stop loss, as this is a swing trade, it is advisable to employ a larger stop loss if the price reaches entry zones. The take profit level can be determined based on your entry type and analysis.
We wish you the best of luck in your trading endeavours and emphasise the importance of trading safely.
Kindly share this analysis with others through likes, comments, and social media platforms. If you have any questions or require further assistance, please do not hesitate to comment below. We are here to provide support.
Team Setupsfx_
❤️🚀
XTZ Is Waking Up – Next Stop $2.25?SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:XTZ is currently bouncing from the lower boundary of a broadening wedge pattern on the weekly chart, signaling a potential trend reversal. This structure, characterized by widening price swings, has been developing since mid-2022.
The recent bullish move has pushed the price above a key resistance zone, with rising volume supporting the momentum. The upper boundary of the wedge aligns with the next major target zone near $2.25.
Resistance 1: $1.00
Resistance 2: $1.45
Resistance 3: $2.25
Cheers
Hexa
BINANCE:XTZUSDT
ETH SHORT || 4 HOUR CHARTEthereum just made a huge parabolic move and tapped into a key daily resistance zone around $3,676. Price is now reacting with a bearish candle on the 4H, suggesting a likely pullback.
🧠 Trade Idea: Short ETH/USD
Entry: $3,495 (current level)
Stop Loss: $3,676 (above resistance)
Take Profit: $3,130 / $3,082 (support targets marked on chart)
📌 Commentary:
ETH has been in a strong uptrend, but such parabolic rallies often retrace sharply once momentum fades. Given the strong rejection at daily resistance and the bearish 4H setup, I’m expecting a short-term retracement to the marked support levels.
📊 Watching price action closely near those zones for potential bounce setups.
🚨 Not financial advice. Always use proper risk management.
BTC/USD | 2025 Top = 130k | 2026 Top = 170k+Continuing the current upwards trajectory, using Fibonacci trend analysis, we'll reach BTC's peak for 2025 @ 130-135k within the next few months.
By the end of the month / beginning of 2026, BTC will be back to 100k - this is where this strategy begins.
Enter @ 100k between the 78.6% and 100% Fibonacci levels, setting a comfortable SL down to the 61.8% Fibonacci level @ 80k. Over the course of 3-6 months we'll then reach the first peak of 2026 at the 178.6% level @ 150-160k . Close.
From this point, timelines rely purely on consistency, however considering Bitcoin's adoption and rate of growth, an upwards trend is guaranteed.
We wait for price retraction down to 120-125k near the lower 127.2% Fib level and enter. SL down at 100% Fib level @ 100-105k. Next peak for 2026 is 170k and above , possibly creating a top @ 200k.
xrp breakoutXRP has broken out of a multi-month consolidation zone, clearing major resistance levels around $2.75–$3.00. The current price action shows strong bullish momentum supported by moving averages and an overextended RSI.
Key levels:
Entry: $3.46 (market price)
Stop-Loss: $2.75 (below 0.382 Fibonacci and prior resistance)
Target: $4.49 (based on previous price structure and Fibonacci extension)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1:3.9
Analysis:
Bullish EMA alignment (price is above 20/50/100/200)
RSI is overbought (~87), which signals strength but also warns of potential retracement
No retest of breakout zone yet — caution on late entries
This setup is momentum-based, not for late chasers. I will monitor for a clean retest around the $3.00–$3.20 area for a safer re-entry if price pulls back.
WTI Crude Oil ShortWTI Crude Oil – Technical & Macro Outlook
🔻 1. Supply Zone Rejection Expected (66.50–68.00 Range)
Price is currently approaching a newly established supply zone between $66.50 and $68.00, which coincides with a prior consolidation area that preceded the recent sharp sell-off. This confluence enhances the zone’s relevance, especially given its position just below the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (~$69.47), derived from the swing high at $75.79 to the swing low.
📌 Outlook:
This region is expected to act as a high-probability rejection zone, likely attracting institutional sell-side interest. Price action within this zone should be monitored for signs of weakness or distribution.
📉 2. Downside Target: $61.50–$63.00 Demand Cluster
Should the supply zone hold, downside momentum could drive WTI toward the $61.50–$63.00 demand range. This area is technically significant, supported by the following factors:
Previous Change of Character (ChoCH) at $63.49, which marked the beginning of the recent bullish correction and represents a key structural pivot.
Presence of stacked demand zones below $64, increasing the likelihood of a meaningful reaction from buyers.
📌 Outlook:
This zone is expected to attract strong buying interest, making it a short-term profit-taking region for bears and a potential entry point for swing long setups, depending on confirmation.
🌍 Geopolitical Risk Landscape & Supply Dynamics
Recent geopolitical developments continue to influence crude oil pricing dynamics:
Middle East instability (e.g., Iraqi disruptions and ceasefire delays) has led to tightened supply conditions, pushing WTI above $67.
Persistent uncertainty stemming from Iranian nuclear negotiations, ongoing U.S.–China tariff risks, and regional tensions contributes to a sustained risk premium.
While OPEC+ is incrementally increasing production, this is offset by rising Saudi exports and weakening demand forecasts, which may result in inventory builds by late 2025.
Russia’s export resilience—bolstered by strategic redirection toward Asia—suggests that any anticipated supply contraction could be less severe than expected.
🛢 WTI at $62 – Technical and Macro Implications
A decline to $62 would place WTI at a major technical support level, closely watched by institutional participants. If tested, the market could react in the following ways:
Bargain hunting and value-based buying may emerge, especially if macroeconomic data aligns with a recovery narrative.
Heightened volatility is likely, driven by sensitivity to any shifts in global risk sentiment—particularly those tied to trade policy, OPEC+ production surprises, or further geopolitical escalations.
📌 Summary
Resistance: $66.50–$68.00 (pre-breakdown supply + 0.5 Fib)
Support / Target: $61.50–$63.00 (demand + structural ChoCH)
Bias: Short-term bearish toward demand, with high reactivity expected near $62
Risk Factors: Elevated geopolitical uncertainty and diverging supply dynamics across OPEC+, Russia, and the U.S.
ETH - If You Know ...... You Know whats Coming
NYSE:BLK $BUIDL tokenized U.S.-Treasury fund launched on COINBASE:ETHUSD in Mar 2024—Wall Street is already settling real dollars on-chain.
NYSE:JPM JPMD stablecoin just went live on Base (an COINBASE:ETHUSD L2), piping wholesale payments from a $4 T balance-sheet straight through COINBASE:ETHUSD rails.
COINBASE:ETHUSD isn’t just riding the next crypto cycle—it’s becoming Wall Street’s settlement layer. From BlackRock’s on-chain Treasury fund to JPMorgan’s and soon Bank of America’s dollar tokens, a tidal wave of institutional stable-coin flows is lining up behind ETH. Fewer coins, more real-world volume—if you know, you know what’s coming.
NYSE:BAC CEO says they’ll issue a dollar-backed token the moment regulators nod—another tier-1 bank boarding the Ethereum train.
Stablecoin cap has blasted past $230 B , with 80 %+ of all on-chain transfers riding Ethereum (plus BSC) blocks.
Corporate settlements via stablecoins grew 25 % YoY in 2024 as multinationals replaced SWIFT with instant on-chain clearing.
Daily stablecoin throughput averages $7 B—each hop burning ETH and tightening supply.
BCG projects tokenized real-world assets to exceed $16 T by 2030 , with EVM chains as the default plumbing.
Over 500 M wallets already interact with stablecoins , a 30 % YoY surge led by emerging-market demand.
L2s like BINANCE:ARBUSDT & BINANCE:OPUSDT cut transaction fees 35 % yet still settle back to mainnet—meaning ETH captures the fee stream and the burn.
Bottom line: a tidal wave of bank-grade stablecoins + tokenized assets is lining up behind ETH; supply shrinks, demand soars—if you know, you know what’s coming.
quote] Marty Boots | 17-Year Trader — smash that , hit LIKE & SUBSCRIBE, and share your views in the comments below so we can make better trades & grow together!