Trend Analysis
UK employment,wage growth falls, US retail sales shineThe British pound showing limited movement on Thursday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3406, down 0.09% on the day.
Today's UK employment report pointed to a cooling in the UK labor market. The number of employees on company payrolls dropped by 41 thousand in June after a decline of 25 thousand in May. Still, the May decline was downwardly revised from 109 thousand, easing concerns of a significant deterioration in the labor market.
Wage growth (excluding bonuses) dropped to 5.0% from a revised 5.3%, above the market estimate of 4.9%. The unemployment rate ticked up to 4.7%, up from 4.6% and above the market estimate of 4.6%. This is the highest jobless level since the three months to July 2021.
The latest job data will ease the pressure on the Bank of England to lower rates, as the sharp revision to the May payroll employees means the labor market has not deteriorated as much as had been feared. Still, the employment picture remains weak and the markets are expecting an August rate cut, even though UK inflation was hotter than expected in June.
US retail sales bounced back in June after back-to-back declines. Consumers reacted with a thumbs-down to President Trump's tariffs, which took effect in April and made imported goods more expensive.
The markets had anticipated a marginal gain of just 0.1% m/m in June but retail sales came in at an impressive 0.6%, with most sub-categories recording stronger activity in June. This follows a sharp 0.9% decline in May.
The US tariffs seem to have had a significant impact on retail sales, as consumers continue to time their purchases to minimize the effect of tariffs.
Consumers increased spending before the tariffs took effect and cut back once the tariffs were in place. With a truce in place between the US and China which has slashed tariff rates, consumers have opened their wallets and are spending more on big-ticket items such as motor vehicles, which jumped 1.2% in June.
Eur/Gbp Bears to seek the 0.86180 Handle By early next week, my analysis according to the market structure being formed suggests that the institution that drives the market will have to be dovish on this pair, as there is unmitigated liquidity awaiting to be grabbed @ the 0.86100 zone by the end of next week will have to see that zone being mitigated
Tp 1.0.86180
Trade Journal: Missed Morning Move & Trading Into New Highs07/17/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis
EOD accountability report: +447.50
Sleep: 5 hours
Overall health: My health ring is signaling that my body isn't well the last few days.
VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm)
— 8:53 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 12:17 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (triple sell signal)
— 1:12 PM VXAlgo ES X3 Sell Signal
— 1:40 PM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Buy Signal
What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today?
Today was a bit of a rough trading day, I missed the morning move and was a bit hesitant to make trades.
Saw a lot of MM positioning high up around 6340s and wasn't sure where to get a good entry. Wanted to go in at the MOB but they never went down there.
Sell signals were not as effective today because MM wanted to make ATH but i couldn't figure out the reasoning.
News
S&P 500 ENDS AT A NEW RECORD HIGH, VIX FALLS AS STOCKS RALLY ON SOLID EARNINGS, STRONG ECONOMIC DATA
What are the critical support levels to watch?
--> Above 6300= Bullish, Under 6290= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.website/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Accumulation PatternI spotted a clear ascending triangle pattern on a daily time frame.
To validate a bullish continuation, we need a breakout above the neckline.
A daily candle close above 3370 will serve as a strong confirmation, and we can expect a move up to at least the 3440 resistance level.
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EURUSD has broken support level and its ascending trendline, indicating a possible shift in short-term market structure and growing bearish pressure.
In the short term, we expect a pullback toward the broken support/trendline zone.
If price fails to reclaim this level, a continued move lower toward the next identified support zone is likely.
As long as price remains below the broken structure, the short-term outlook stays bearish.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
PepsiCo (PEP) Stock Rallies 7.4% Following Earnings ReportPepsiCo (PEP) Stock Rallies 7.4% Following Earnings Report – What Comes Next?
Yesterday, PepsiCo Inc. (PEP) released its quarterly earnings report, which significantly exceeded market expectations:
→ Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $2.12, surpassing the forecast of $2.02.
→ Gross revenue reached $22.7 billion, above the projected $22.3 billion.
In addition, PepsiCo reaffirmed its full-year guidance: the company expects earnings per share to remain virtually unchanged compared to the previous year, while organic revenue is anticipated to grow by a few percentage points.
Executives also outlined development plans for their brand portfolio, emphasising a focus on the growing demand for healthier snacks and a strategic initiative to reduce costs.
These factors contributed to PepsiCo Inc. (PEP) becoming one of the top-performing stocks on the market yesterday – its price surged by 7.4%, reflecting strong investor sentiment. What could come next?
Technical Analysis of PEP Stock Chart
A strong bullish candle formed on the chart yesterday, signalling a spike in demand:
→ The session opened with an impressive bullish gap, decisively breaking through the July resistance level around $137.
→ The share price continued to climb steadily throughout the day, forming a long-bodied candle.
→ The session closed near its high, confirming sustained upward momentum.
Notably, on 27 June (highlighted by an arrow on the chart), the stock posted gains on the highest trading volume of 2025 so far (according to Nasdaq data), which can be interpreted as a potential sign of sentiment reversal driven by institutional investors.
However, the broader picture remains bearish. PEP stock continues to trade within a long-term downward channel, shaped by declining demand for PepsiCo products and intensifying market competition.
Given the above, the following scenario should not be ruled out: the upper boundary of the long-term descending channel may act as resistance in the near term. As the post-earnings euphoria fades, the price could undergo a pullback – for instance, towards the $140 level, which previously served as support.
At the same time, the strong fundamental backdrop, reflecting the company’s operational success, could fuel persistent bullish interest. This may empower buyers to challenge and potentially break the long-standing downtrend in PEP shares.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Is ETH Season Officially Here? 🚀🐾 Ethereum Breaking Out – Is ETH Season Officially Here? 📈💥
Ethereum is showing strength across the board — outperforming Bitcoin, reclaiming trendline support, and eyeing a possible breakout continuation. While macro narratives swirl (crypto legislation, rate cut vibes, political tailwinds), ETH is finally doing what ETH does best — lead.
📊 Chart Breakdown:
ETHUSDT is respecting the dotted trendline off the breakout.
Price is hovering around $3487 support, an area that aligns with Fib retracement and the last impulse base.
If bulls can maintain structure, $4000–$4050 is a natural magnet above.
📈 On the ETHBTC side, we’re aiming for the 0.06274 level — this ratio breakout is classic ETH season behavior, where Ethereum not only rises but pulls the rest of the market with it.
👀 And yes… even Elon my Dog is sniffing this one out:
🐾 "Support still smells strong. T-Bone at 4K." Then we go higher for the Cow.
📊 Order Flow Data Confirms:
Premium: Still slightly negative — market hasn’t fully rotated in.
Funding: Light and positive — sustainable, not euphoric.
Open Interest: Saw a soft reset — leverage was cleared out, opening room to rally.
Spot volume: Steady and supportive, not chasing.
🔥 +1116% ROI from the last long from $2,983.09. If you’re holding ETH — you’re holding the mic right now. Let's not drop it.
This could just be the beginning — and when ETH leads, the rest tends to follow.
Elon and the whole 🐶 Dog Team are on high alert. Breakout energy is thick.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
US Dollar Index (DXY) Chart AnalysisUS Dollar Index (DXY) Chart Analysis
The addition of the US Dollar Index (DXY) to FXOpen’s suite of instruments offers traders potential opportunities. This financial instrument:
→ serves as a measure of the overall strength of the US dollar;
→ is not tied to a single currency pair but reflects the value of the USD against a basket of six major global currencies, including the EUR, JPY, and GBP;
→ allows traders to capitalise on price fluctuations in the currency market;
→ is used in more advanced strategies for hedging risks in portfolios sensitive to sharp movements in the US dollar.
In today’s environment of heightened volatility, this instrument becomes particularly valuable. The active stance of US President Donald Trump — through the implementation of trade tariffs, sanctions, and unpredictable geopolitical rhetoric — gives traders even more reason to closely monitor the DXY chart.
Technical Analysis of the DXY Chart
Moving averages show that the US Dollar Index displayed a predominantly bearish trend during the first half of 2025.
However, the picture shifted in July: the index began rising steadily (already up approximately +1.9% since the beginning of the month), highlighted by the blue ascending trend channel.
This suggests that the DXY may have found support following a prolonged decline, and a shift in market sentiment could be underway: after a bearish phase, a period of consolidation may follow. If this scenario plays out, we could see DXY oscillating between the 97.65 and 99.30 levels – both of which show signs of acting as support and resistance (as indicated by the arrows).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my fresh support & resistance analysis for EURUSD.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising trend line
Vertical Support 2: Falling trend line
Vertical Resistance 1: Falling trend line
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 1.1577 - 1.1600 area
Support 2: 1.1445 - 1.1458 area
Support 3: 1.1356 - 1.1373 area
Support 4: 1.1190 - 1.1280 area
Resistance 1: 1.1682 - 1.1766 area
Resistance 2: 1.1807 - 1.1830 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Synapse Short-Term Trade, To Move Next · 309% Profits PotentialLet me give you another pair that is ready to move, just in case you want to make some quick profits for the weekend (next weekend).
Good evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, how are you feeling in this wonderful day?
Everything we were expecting is now becoming all true. The altcoins market is bullish and moving up. We have long-term and short-term charts. Here you have a little bit of both.
Synapse will grow long-term of course, but we will focus on a sudden jump that will be happening next. Can be tomorrow, in a few days or a week or so maximum. The chart is bullish now.
Many pairs are moving past their April's high, I take this as a very strong bullish signal. Many pairs are still trading below. I take this also as an opportunity, it means that we can buy them before the breakout and enjoy fast, easy growth. The choice is yours.
Trading above EMA8/13/21/34.
Yesterday's candle is interesting and the really high volume 8-July. Remember, high volume at low prices with marketwide bullish action and you need no more. We are bullish, bullish now, bullish later—may profits come. Thanks a lot for your continued support.
309% potential profits is the next high. A minor stop and then higher.
You can cap your earnings even sooner at 124%, 226% or wait for the full 300%. Whatever you choose is up to you. Easy win with low risk when trading spot; you can't go wrong.
Thanks a lot for the follow, the trust and your continued support.
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The chart also shows a rounded bottom as a lower low. The lower low is a bullish signal because all weak hands were removed. When support is pierced on a broader bullish bias this is bullish. The action is happening back above the 7-April low and this works as confirmation of the move that I am predicting now. The pierce of support is not a bearish impulse/wave but rather a stop-loss hunt event.
Namaste.
Pudgy Penguins (PENGU): We Might Go For Correction | Be CarefulPengu has had a good rally to upper zones, where we are almost near ATH, but this upward movement left behind 2 big bearish CME gaps, which we might be filling if we see one proper MSB to form.
So that's what we are looking for, a proper MSB, which would give us a good opportunity for short here!
Swallow Academy
$HBAR Pull Back Started, What is the target?CRYPTOCAP:HBAR doing extremely well, the R5 daily pivot point has been hit and a pull back should be expected before continuation!
It appears wave 3 is now complete and wav4 i expected to pull back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement which adds confluence to the High Volume Node in the same place at $0.22 our previous take profit #2 target.
Daily RSI is overbought but no bearish divergence yet! Price behaviour can often pop above the swing high just made to trap new buyers before dumping hard! Watch out for that, that would be the bearish divergence print also.
The next take profit is $0.39
Safe trading
XRP Intra-day Analysis 18-Jul-2025Price action on XRP has shown upward momentum after reaching the 3.7 price level.
Possible scenarios include:
* The 3.3 level could come into focus if the market revisits this area. Market participants may monitor it for signs of seller exhaustion or potential reversal patterns.
* Should the price move lower, the 3.0 level may act as the next key area of interest. This round number is often viewed as a psychological level and may attract increased attention from traders.
* If there is a clear intraday move below the 3.0 level, the 2.6 area could emerge as another notable zone that some participants may consider relevant for future market reactions.
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USDCHF: Could be telling a story of break-retest-reversalThe price action on the USDCHF presents an opportunity of structural transition. The descending trendline has acted as dynamic resistance, has contained each rally attempt beautifully. This trendline is marked by multiple rejections, reflected bearish dominance, a controlled downtrend in motion.
The recent movement though could signal a shift. The market has started to break above this descending structure, and it could early suggest that bearish momentum is weakening.
I will be waiting for the price to return to the broken trendline, treating former resistance as newfound support. It’s a confirmation pattern in order to filter false moves, a structure retest that reinforces breakout reliability.
From this base, I am expecting it to target the 0.81900 level, as shown. This area coinciding with horizontal resistance that aligns with previous reactions. Such levels as natural “gravitational pivots”.
An ideal approach here would involve observing the character of the pullback. If the market returns to the trendline with declining bearish volume and forms higher lows on lower timeframes, it strengthens the bullish case.
The trendline break on the chart is not just a signal, it’s a storyline unfolding. It marks a shift with a story. And if volume, price structure, and timing align as they appear poised to, this move could be the first move in a broader upside correction or trend reversal.
Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SHIBUSDT first target is +200% after years of sleepBINANCE:SHIBUSDT is not dead or sleep or it wont be any more and i think in this market soon it can see more gain and this +40% until now is just start and at least our first target which is +200% can hit soon like green arrow.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Cardano ADA price analysis🪙 Five months ago, we published a medium-term trade for CRYPTOCAP:ADA , and the price still remains in the buying zone.
With the current growth, the price of OKX:ADAUSDT remains in consolidation, and when the correction begins, it would be very good if it stayed above $0.60.
😈 If you still have faith in the prospects of the #Cardano project, you can continue to hold or even buy #ADA during the correction.
Well, theoretically possible targets for the #ADAusd price are:
TP1 - $1.75
TP2 - $2.90
TP3 - $6.40
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XRP Update · What To Expect Short-Term (Now!)XRP just hit a new all-time high and this is truly awesome if you hold this pair, if you were bullish before the breakout, if you bought LONG, etc. It is also good if you are an analyst looking for clues that will tell you what will happen to the Cryptocurrency market in the near future.
Remember that XRP moved early to start this cycle and it moved strongly. Right now, it is moving early and strongly again in comparison to many other pairs. This tells us that the rest of the market will follow.
I saw very strong bullish action across many pairs but I also saw many pairs staying behind; below their April's high. Now, what happens next?
XRPUSDT made a stop after moving beyond its 16-January 2025 high. This is pretty normal behavior. After a strong rise, there is always a stop, retrace or correction. We do not expect a correction to develop now because the consolidation period was very long, strong and prolonged. So we don't have to worry about that one.
A retrace is possible but having one would be small and short-lived. Finally, a pause is the most likely scenario. A pause can range between 3-9 days. That is, that amount of time before additional growth.
The final possibility is the market moving straight up. Since we have a 126% rise since the 7-April low, we don't give much credit to this scenario. The top choice is a small pause before additional growth. The important part is "additional growth." This is what will happen. This is what comes next. XRP will continue growing. Boost if you agree.
Namaste.
EURUSD: Can't break the whale line!📉 EUR/USD Whale Wall – 1.1675 Rejection Zone
🐋 Smart Money is guarding 1.1675 like it’s sacred.
Every test into this level has been slapped down—likely a whale-level supply zone where institutional sell orders are stacked. VolanX projection curve suggests a macro fade into late July, aligning with DXY strength and bond volatility signals.
Outlook:
As long as 1.1675 holds, momentum favors downside toward 1.1450–1.1400. Rate divergence + weak Eurozone prints fuel the short bias. Break above 1.1675 invalidates.
📊 VolanX Protocol – Predict. React. Dominate.
#WaverVanir #VolanX #EURUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #FXStrategy #MacroTrading
Possible correction toward a 112,600$📥 On the lower timeframes, a head and shoulders pattern has formed, which could trigger selling pressure down to the 112,600 level in the short term. This correction on the lower timeframes might also cause a minor pullback in the altcoin market, potentially creating a good buying opportunity
NVDA HAGIA SOPHIA!The Hagia Sophia pattern has now fully formed; it just needs the crack! and the Hook!
No matter what your vague hunches and feelings are about AI, the charts will always win.
You can't "buy the dip" unless you know when to "Sell the Rip"!
If you can't see this resistance area, I don't know what to tell you.
Everyone is bullish at the top of a bubbliotious market without exception!
Click boost, Like, Subscribe! Let's get to 5,000 followers. ))