Trendreversal
Similarities between Trend Reversals and Driving a CarHappy New Year🎆, Traders👋
On this post, I'm going to share the similarities between trend reversals and driving a car.
This post would help you if;
-You are struggling with trend reversals
-You tend to make early entries
e.g. you stopped out and the market moves in your favorable way
Driving cars
For those who drive cars, these are obvious things, but let me just explain what you are gonna do when you turn the corner.
Take a look at the left side of the image drawing below.
When you make a turn, you;
(1) Gradually slow down as you approach a corner
(2) Turn the corner at the lowest speed
(3) Accelerate as you exit the corner
You do them naturally without thinking anything if you have a driver license.
Now, let’s take a look at what is gonna happen when trends reverse.
Trend reversals
Look at the right side of the chart above. This illustrates when a downtrend reverses to an uptrend.
(1) Price going down
(2) Stop
(3) Price going up
(1)
When a bear market or downtrend is in progress, prices keep going down, making lower highs and lower lows. At the beginning of the downtrend, it usually starts with a sharp slope, but as the prices go down, the speed also gets slow and it becomes a gentle decline.
(2)
When a downtrend comes to the end, it;
-stops making lower lows
-creates a equal low (aka W bottom)
-make a slightly higher low(this is also another formation of W bottom)
-becomes a range
These are the signs when downtrends end.
(3)
After the market makes a stop at the bottom, uptrends starts, usually breaking a range and/or creating a new high. The speed of the trend gradually accelerates as if a car exits from a corner.
It looks super simple, easy and obvious in writing, however, in reality, many beginner traders and/or traders who are struggling with trend reversals tend to buy at (1).
Why?
The reason is simple. They want the bottom.
When greed dominates your emotion, these things do not exist in your brains anymore.
You know what happens then?
They got stopped out and the market moves as you expect.
This is like you are approaching a corner without reducing speed and end up with falling off a cliff.
Cars cannot immediately stop, neither do trends
Just like cars cannot stop(or make a turn) suddenly, trends do not change that easily.
You would be able to eliminate unnecessary entries and/or FOMO entries, simply asking these questions to yourself.
“Isn’t it too late to buy at least when I see the market makes a stop?”
(BTC-USD) Possible Trend Reversal (August 22)Patterns from other cycles seem to be repeating, after a new ATH from each cycle the price heads towards the green area where the EMA50 is, making a support.
The price rises, but does not resist the selling pressure and breaks the EMA50W, retests the same average in the yellow area but now as resistance.
Immediately crashes and reach EMA200, break the same average, but it has a fast recovery and reaches the accumulation zone in the blue area where historically it was the best zone to buy.
Bitcoin goes back up and hits a new ATH and the cycle repeats.
It worked so far, but several external factors can influence some values, so don't take my analysis for granted.
No change on EURUSDEURUSD is still above 1,06 but there is no change in expected move.
Movements in commodity currencies are definitely better and we expect them to continue.
This morning we saw monetary policy tightening by the BOJ and that caused major volatility.
The first target on EURUSD remains unchanged- at 1,058. Breakout of the previous lows will confirm the reversal of the trend.
Drop on EURUSD We expect a drop on EURUSD in the last active trading week.
The movement has already started on Friday after the news.
The first target we expect to reach is 1,0518.
Further corrections are possible and the SL remains above 1,0735.
Take profits and high volatility are possible at the end of the week.
Shorting Pound against DollarA trend reversal from 0.5 retracement level of previous bull rally, and subsequent lower highs are a strong indication for the upcoming bearish trend.
The strong bearish candlestick pattern on the hourly chart at the current price might be indication of a new lower high, making it a good time to short.
GOLDEN ZONE - FibonacciHello guys! Take a look at how smoothly the market respects the Golden Zone on Fibonacci retracement levels. The Golden Zone or Golden Ratio is the area between 50% and 61.8% on retracement levels, which acts as a strong support zone. After an impulse, on the correction the price usually gets rejected by this zone and it continues its previous trend. However, if it is broken, there is a high change of a trend reversal, as we can see in this chart.
Is EURUSD about to reverse?Yesterday EURUSD rose to 1,0440, yet failed to make a higher top.
It is still possible to see a rise but we’ll be watching for movement exhaustion.
We remind you again that EURUSD is in a resistance zone on a daily chart and a reversal of the uptrend on H1 is possible.
A breakout of the bottom (1,0278) is needed to confirm the reversal.
Important levels for EURUSDOn Friday, EURUSD momentum raising continued and reached 1.0364.
It looks like it is strong enough to continue and head above 1.0400.
We remind you again that we're in a resistance area and a reversal is possible.
Buy trades don't have good ratio on these levels.
Confirmation is needed for sells.
END OF CORRECTIONWEEKLY OUTLOOK ON BTC
Bitcoin is currently about to end correction move...
We are also seeing Breakout and retest of the channel...
But 12K might be test before starting the Impulse phase of this market ...
This is just analysis ...
Comment are highly welcome ...
Let me know your views on this ...
Thanks..
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BABA daily bullish hammer at the bottom daily and weekly MRCOrder BUY BABA NYSE Stop 65.06 LMT 65.06 will be automatically canceled at 20230401 01:00:00 EST
BABA daily bullish hammer at the bottom daily and weekly MRC exhaustion volume wave 5 wave C downrtend correction. That's might be it for BABA we can go up.
The Bitcoin Breakdown of the downtrend. A NEW BULLRUN?The BTC price have been in a downtrend since its peak, early November 2021 at a price high shy of $70,000 US Dollars.
Since, price had decreased 50% plus to a local bottom around $33,000 US Dollars, Late January 2022. Followed by a relief
rally with a peak around $48,000 US Dollars, Late March. For then continue its downtrend to the support area around
the $18,000 US Dollars (that just around the price peak of late 2017). Recently, this month the price made a break of the
downtrend channel form by this price peaks/bottoms since November 2021. This break can be observe around the price of $19,300 US Dollars.
MATIC is going down. Be Ready for great profits.Confirmations:- (on 4 hr chart)
1. MATIC is at a good resistance Level.
2. Charts is making higher highs where as RSI
making Lower Highs which clearly shows
RSI Divergence.
3. Rising wedge chart pattern is being formed.
4. Elliot wave pattern has ended.
Extra confirmation:-
BTC has also reached important resistance level. Which shows as a whole crypto market has possibility of going up.
AUDUSD NEW UPSIDE TREND!?!! 4H REVERSALSo price right now is grabbing my attention as we are at a way better spot for entry, 61% retracement at the time of writing this so definitely interested in buys if we continue this rejection. Remember its the start of the week so stay patient we will always have opportunities throughout the week so no need to rush any trades.
AUDUSD as expected HUGE UPSIDE MOVE!!!As expected price made a lovely rejection from the bottom of this consolidation zone and break out to the upside showing that we could be in for a longer term trend change. Ill be looking for price to make a pullback from the bullish move and look at catching the continuation leg to the upside. Wait for the best risk reward and follow market structure, price more then like always gives you a second chance to get into a trade so always stay patient!!