Full Cycle BTC Trendline Mid-2023 to Bull 2025Trendline stretching from mid-2023 lows through the entire bull structure into 2025.
Unbroken since inception
Touched 3+ times
Currently being retested from above
BTC is retesting the primary uptrend
Price dipped below it in April → false breakdown
May-June recovery has reclaimed it
Now sitting right at the trendline, testing it as resistance-turned-support
This is the ultimate decision zone
A daily or weekly close above $110K confirms the trend resumed
Rejection here → opens the door for retrace to $98K–$100K
Trendtrading
XAUUSD: Analysis June 10Gold recovered to nearly 3340 yesterday after a sharp decline at the end of last week. But gold then declined again as the market digested positive signals from the US-China trade talks. There is no important economic data released from the US today, investors continue to monitor the developments of the US-China trade talks and CPI data released on Wednesday.
After falling to test the broken down channel, gold rebounded to near 3340. It is currently declining again, but is still moving steadily above the psychological support zone of 3300. In the European session, you can buy gold again when approaching this support zone again. Or you can sell according to the two resistance zones above.
NESCO at Resistance zone !!This is the Daily Chart of NESCO.
Nesco having good law of polarity at 1050 range.
NESCO is forming a pattern near its L.O.P, characterized by the development of an Ascending Broadening Wedge. The resistance zone for this formation is positioned between 1050 and 1060 levels
if this level is sustain, then we may see lower prices in NESCO.
THANK YOU !!
Bitcoin is Super Bullish Right Now - Here is my BTC trade planSince Bitcoin is super bullish on monthly and weekly time frame, my focus is to trade trend continuation pull backs on the 4HR time frame.
For this particular trade, I want to see a pull back to a key level of either imbalance or the old high serving as new support for price.
I will be taking a bullish trend continuation setup on that 4HR pull back.
Target:
I expect to see Bitcoin break that all time high of 111k level and go as high as 150k per one.
NVDA to $240 by 2026NASDAQ:NVDA is bullish still, anyone can see that, however I wanted to find some targets once it's in price discovery mode, well the golden pocket happpens to be $240 ($225-$250)
on weekly trend is confirmed extremely bullish so I'll continue holding and NASDAQ:NVDA should break $240 before 2026
Even a buy signal went off at the bottom in April. Let's see how much gas NASDAQ:NVDA has after it breaks the famous $150 resistance level
Gold Pullback Entry Opportunity Gold resumed its rally, sparked by recent tarrif news. Price is pulling back at the moment and has entered an sweet spot where we can confidently take our first low risk Buy.
BUYING HERE BECAUSE
1. We're entering into a low volume area, which is also in line with an FVG on the 1hr chart
2. When a new uptrend starts, i like to buy first 2 instances price pullback to bounce from my trend cloud indicator We didn't get a perfect bounce as it has broken below it, but i'am still buying regardless due to my first reason above about the low volume gap.
PROFIT TARGET
Setting my profit target to my trusted Exofade peak. As long as the uptrend continues, Exofade peaks will ALWAYS get taken out. That why i love this indicator, and its free. It's my gift to y'all :) . Just search for it in trading view indicators.
GOLD LONG IDEAGold has been extremely bullish in the last few months on higher time frame.
Monthly : Bullish
Weekly : Bullish
Daily: Bullish
4HR : Bullish
I will be buying this bullish trend retracement on 4HR time frame.
But I want to see a bullish price action before I enter the trade for long.
My overall target is the major high created in April.
My RR is 1:5.
Taming the Trend: Mastering the Williams Alligator IndicatorEver wondered how to spot when the market is sleeping or ready to roar? At Xuantify , we use the Williams Alligator Indicator to decode market behavior with precision. Whether you're trading crypto, forex, stocks, or indices — this tool adapts across all markets. Let's take a closer look using BINANCE:BTCUSDT
🧠 How We Use It at Xuantify
We treat the Alligator as a trend confirmation and timing tool . We don’t just look for crossovers — we analyze the distance , angle , and alignment of the lines to gauge market momentum and trend maturity. It’s especially powerful when combined with volume and volatility filters.
⭐ Key Features
Three Smoothed Moving Averages
Jaw (Blue) : 13-period, shifted 8 bars forward
Teeth (Red) : 8-period, shifted 5 bars forward
Lips (Green) : 5-period, shifted 3 bars forward
Visual Trend Clarity :
The spacing and direction of the lines reveal trend strength and direction
Built-in Delay :
Forward shifting helps anticipate rather than react
💡 Benefits Compared to Other Indicators
Trend Clarity
Alligator : Strong — bold trend visualization
Moving Averages : Moderate — can lag or overlap
MACD : Good — clear histogram and signal line
Noise Filtering
Alligator : Excellent — smooths out market noise
Moving Averages : Low — sensitive to short-term fluctuations
MACD : Good — filters minor moves
Early Signals
Alligator : Moderate — waits for confirmation
Moving Averages : Fast — quick crossovers
MACD : Fast — early divergence signals
Visual Simplicity
Alligator : Clear — easy to interpret trend phases
Moving Averages : Cluttered — multiple lines can overlap
MACD : Complex — requires interpretation of histogram + lines
⚙️ Settings That Matter
For shorter timeframes : Reduce periods (e.g., 8-5-3) for faster signals
For longer timeframes : Stick with defaults or increase smoothing for clarity
Shift values : Keep them forward-shifted to maintain predictive edge
📊 Enhancing Signal Accuracy
Wait for clear separation between the lines
Confirm with volume spikes or breakouts
Use price action (e.g., higher highs/lows) as confirmation
🧩 Best Combinations with This Indicator
Fractals : For entry/exit signals
ATR : For dynamic stop-loss placement
RSI or Stochastic : To avoid overbought/oversold traps
Volume Profile : To validate breakout zones
⚠️ What to Watch Out For
Flat Alligator = No Trade Zone : Avoid trading when lines are tangled
Lag in Fast Markets : In high-volatility assets, the Alligator may react late
Over-reliance : Always combine with other tools for confirmation
🚀 Final Thoughts
The Williams Alligator isn’t just an indicator — it’s a market behavior model . At Xuantify, we use it to stay aligned with the market’s rhythm, avoid chop, and ride trends with confidence.
🔔 Follow us for more educational insights and strategy breakdowns!
AMD LONG IDEA: AMD IS READY FOR A GOOD BULLISH RUNAMD is bouncing off the monthly time frame key level that is acting as support for price.
On weekly time frame and daily we had a shift in market structure from bearish trend to bullish.
I will be buying AMD on this retracement to the recent weekly gap created by price.
Once I see a good bullish price confirming that the retracement is over, i will enter for a buy trade.
My overall target is the 187 price level.
UBER – Momentum Pullback to 20 SMA: Classic Continuation SetupUber is giving one of my favorite swing setups — a shallow pullback into the “bone zone” (between the 9 EMA and 20 SMA) during a hot market.
🔹 Trend Continuation Play
Strong momentum stock pulling back right into the 20 SMA — not a deep retrace, just enough to reload.
In hot markets, I don’t wait for deep dips — I want tight consolidations into momentum zones.
🔹 The Bone Zone Setup
The shaded area between the 9 EMA and 20 SMA is where momentum stocks often base before the next leg up.
Price is respecting that zone perfectly — no breakdown, just controlled digestion.
🔹 Oversold Stochastics
Stochastics are in oversold territory — adds confirmation that this is a high-quality dip within a strong trend.
My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Entry: Looking to start a swing position off the 20 SMA.
2️⃣ Add: On confirmation candle back above 9 EMA with volume.
3️⃣ Stop: Below 20 SMA lows — tight risk, strong reward if trend continues.
Why I Love This Setup:
Market’s hot — I want to ride strength, not fade it.
NYSE:UBER is a trending name with institutional accumulation.
This pattern has worked again and again in strong tape.
GBPAUD ANALYSIS Based on technical analysis GA is in a bullish trend and we should only be looking for buys.
Expect a pullback near the fibs tool reversal zone for a buy entry.
Risk Reward- 1% : 3 or your TP can be the 4H HH zone.
Keep your trading plan simple and only take quality trades in the direction of the trend. The trend is your soulmate.
GOLD ANALYSIS Based on technical analysis gold is in a bullish trend and we should only be looking for buys.
Expect a pullback double tap near the 50% reversal zone for a buy entry.
Risk Reward- 1% : 3 or your TP can be the 4H HH zone.
Keep your trading plan simple and only take quality trades in the direction of the trend. The trend is your soulmate.
GOLD 4H - Key Reversal or Breakout Incoming ?It’s been an incredible run for GOLD leading up to this point, however we are now currently testing a major inflection zone around the $3,369–$3,414 level (R1-R2), intersecting both a bearish supply zone and descending trendline resistance. Price thus far has been riding a strong bullish trendline from mid-May, forming a clean ascending structure.
We’re now at a decision point:
• Bullish scenario: If price breaks above the 33669 (R1) & $3414 (R2) levels and holds, we could see a sharp move toward the ATH at $3,500. This would confirm trendline support and invalidate the supply zone.
• Bearish scenario: A rejection here could break the trendline and send gold back down to $3,280 (S1), with deeper targets around $3,205 (S2) if momentum accelerates.
MACD looks like it’s losing momentum and volume has been drying up a bit on this leg higher, possibly hinting at bullish exhaustion up here.
Considering the big picture context: FED rate cuts loom further out now with inflation still sticky, which puts pressure on gold short term. But longer term, central bank demand + global economic uncertainty still keeps the bias tilted bullish overall.
Position: OPEN
I still have my long position open from $3205ish however I did trim some on Friday and currently waiting for confirmation, it’s either a breakout & retest to the upside or a clean breakdown of the ascending trend line for shorts.
Daily / 4hr time frames are key here, watch for a close above or below for confirmation.
Let the market show its hand.
All the best dear traders and good luck for the week ahead !
THE KOG REPORT Bank Holiday tomorrow so we'll keep it simple and update the KOG Report on Tuesday ready for the week ahead. Please have a look at the last few KOG Reports to see how it went, wasn't a bad week at all.
This week, immediate red boxes are on the chart, there is a red box active above and the indicator is suggesting a potential retracement on the move. So we'll look for price to attempt the high, if failed we can expect the move downside into the order region where we may settle.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3365 for 3370, 3376, 3381, 3390 and 3403 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3343, 3335, 3330, 3323 and 3310 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Looking for new ATH for PPC?Interesting chart with a few options. Overall, liking the current 4th time breakout (pending current monthly close), but must be careful as it's a small cap. The range has been developing well since 2009 with price now in a clear uptrend. We're now expecting a SOS to range highs/major 50% level followed by a pullback to continue into phase E. Once we get the pullback there isn't much resistance until the supply structure then near ATHs
*please note the lines are not time analysis just price pathing
BTC- New Impulse Soon You Can See read captionbitcoin (BTC) – Bullish Outlook
Price action breaking above key resistance, signaling potential trend continuation
Strong volume supports the move, confirming buyer strength
Higher highs and higher lows forming—classic bullish market structure
RSI and MACD both showing bullish divergence
Next target zone: TSXV:XX ,XXX – watch for consolidation or breakout
Overall sentiment shifting positive with macro tailwinds
Strength of Movement: A Hidden Gem for Trend Traders📌 What Is It?
Have you ever struggled to determine whether a price move has real strength behind it? The Strength of Movement indicator might be the tool you're missing.
The Strength of Movement (SoM) indicator by RedK is designed to measure the momentum and conviction behind price movements. Unlike traditional momentum indicators like RSI or MACD, SoM focuses on the strength of directional moves, helping traders identify when a trend is gaining or losing steam.
This post will explore the features, configuration, and practical applications of this indicator.
🔍 What is the RedK Strength of Movement Indicator?
The RedK Strength of Movement indicator is designed to measure the strength of price movement and show when a quality trend has been established. It uses a simple mathematical concept to identify opportunities for long call or put positions.
📈 What kind of indicator is it?
The Strength of Movement indicator falls into the category of momentum indicators. Momentum indicators are used to measure the speed and strength of price movements.
⏳ Is it Leading or Lagging?
The RedK Strength of Movement indicator is primarily a leading indicator. It can act as a leading indicator for an imminent change in trend direction by exposing the relative movement or change of price.
⭐ Key Features
Strength Circles: These circles indicate that the top or bottom has not been reached yet, providing valuable insights into market momentum.
Measures the strength of price movement.
Identifies quality trends.
Helps filter out low-momentum conditions.
💡 Benefits Compared to other indicators
Provides clearer signals for trend identification.
Acts as a leading indicator for trend changes.
Helps avoid low-momentum conditions.
⚙️ Indicator Configuration
Timeframe Source: The indicator works on any timeframe, but higher timeframes (e.g., daily, weekly) are recommended for identifying high-quality trend setups.
Range Source: The calculation is based on the relative price change (as a ratio) from the previous bar, rather than absolute values. This makes it more intuitive and accurate for traders.
SoM Calculation Type: The core logic uses a modified `stoch()` function to normalize the strength of movement between 0% and 100%.
Smoothing Adjustments: In version 2, the calculation was refined to avoid visual confusion—especially on Renko or non-time-based charts—by adjusting how the lowest and highest values are interpreted.
📈 Enhancing Signal Accuracy with a Trend Indicator
To enhance the accuracy of signals generated by the RedK Strength of Movement indicator, it can be used in conjunction with trend indicators such as:
Moving Averages: Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) are widely used to identify trend direction.
MACD: Moving Average Convergence Divergence helps reveal both direction and underlying momentum.
Combining these tools helps confirm signals and reduce false positives.
🔄 Alternatives
While the RedK Strength of Movement indicator is powerful, there are other alternatives that also focus on momentum and trend identification:
RSI: Relative Strength Index measures the speed and change of price movements.
Stochastic Oscillator: Measures the level of the closing price relative to the range of prices over a certain period.
💡 Practical Tips
Combine with Trend Indicators: Use the RedK Strength of Movement indicator alongside trend indicators to confirm signals.
Monitor Strength Circles: Pay close attention to the strength circles for insights into market momentum.
Backtest Thoroughly: Before using the indicator in live trading, backtest it on historical data to understand its performance and adjust settings accordingly.
📈 Which Securities Does This Apply For?
The RedK Strength of Movement indicator can be applied to a wide range of securities, including:
Stocks: Useful for identifying quality trends in individual stocks.
ETFs: Effective for analyzing exchange-traded funds.
Forex: Valuable for currency pairs, helping traders identify market cycles and potential reversals.
Commodities: Applicable to commodities like gold, oil, and agricultural products.
Cryptocurrencies: Can be used to analyze digital assets, providing insights into market momentum.
📌 Conclusion
The RedK Strength of Movement indicator is a powerful tool for traders looking to enhance their technical analysis. By measuring the strength of price movement and identifying quality trends, it provides clearer and more accurate signals, helping traders navigate complex market cycles.
AUDNZD both scenarios possibles
OANDA:AUDNZD first analysis till target (attached), here is update and new view on AUDNZD.
We having trend line which is breaked, we having and H&S on top of trend, which also is breaked, price is after make bearish push, but in last period is stop progressing, its make few bouncens on sup zone 1.08230.
In case we see strong bearish push - break of 1.08350 we will have high chance to see higher bearish trend, in case we having break of top sup zone 1.09100 (violet line) we will having bullish confirm.
Personal more bullish, but lets wait for confirms.
Targets:
BULL: 1.10200, 1.10500
BEAR: 1.07800, 1.07500
Pimp Your Indicators – A Smoothed Take on RSIYou don’t need to reinvent the wheel to find new and effective trading tools. Often, enhancing classic indicators with a few thoughtful modifications can yield surprisingly powerful results. Here’s a simple yet effective way to upgrade the RSI and turn it into a more actionable entry signal.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a widely used oscillator that ranges from 0 to 100, providing a measure of upside momentum within a given timeframe. For example, an RSI reading of 60 implies a 60% upside dominance based on recent price action. Traditionally, traders interpret levels above 70 as overbought and below 30 as oversold. However, RSI on its own isn’t reliable as a standalone entry trigger. An overbought reading doesn’t necessarily mean the market is losing strength—it simply indicates recent data reflects a strong upward move.
Smoothed RSI Approaches
To extract more useful signals, we can enhance the RSI in a couple of simple but effective ways:
1. RSI vs. RSIMA (RSI Moving Average):
One approach is to smooth the RSI itself by calculating a moving average of the RSI (call it RSIMA), and then observe the difference between the RSI and its moving average. A positive difference suggests bullish momentum; a negative one, bearish. This approach reduces some noise but can still result in a choppy indicator, as seen in the subplot of the reference chart.
2. RSI on Smoothed Price (RSI5M):
A more refined method involves smoothing the price before calculating RSI. Specifically, apply a 5-period EMA (Exponential Moving Average) to the price series, then compute the RSI on this smoothed series—let’s call it RSI5M. The key insight is to then analyze the difference between RSI5M and the standard RSI. This difference creates a smoother, more robust signal that better captures market bias.
Why It Works
In uptrends, the EMA(5) smooths out short-term fluctuations and highlights the prevailing trend more clearly than raw price data. As a result, RSI5M tends to rise faster and higher than the standard RSI. The difference between the two becomes positive in uptrends and negative in downtrends, making it a useful gauge of directional momentum. This effect is illustrated in the lower subplot of the reference chart, where the smoothed signal offers a clearer view of market regimes.
Ready-to-Use Script
If you're not into coding, you can explore the public script of the Parsifal.RSI.Trend indicator on TradingView. It implements a slightly refined version of this smoothed RSI differential and provides a clean visual cue for trend bias.