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Triplebottom

$ENS / USDT Daily Time frame, MAJOR PUMP?Chart Overview - Pattern Identified: Falling Wedge Pattern - A bullish reversal pattern, often appearing after a downtrend. - Three major touchpoints on the lower trendline indicate strong support and pattern validity. Demand Zone (Support Area) - Marked near the current price level ($2.0309 - $2.6722) - Price is testing this zone for the third time. Supply Zone (Resistance Area) - Around ($6.6529 – $9.2734) - Multiple swing highs are plotted within or near this region, indicating strong historical resistance. Volume Profile (Right side of chart) - High volume node between $2.50 – $4.00 suggests price acceptance and a potential area for consolidation or resistance after breakout. - Low volume area between $4.50 – $6.50 implies less resistance, so price might move quickly through it. FVG (Fair Value Gaps) - Several FVGs (imbalance zones) are highlighted. - $3.8 – $4.05 - $5.8236 – $6.1663 - These zones often act as magnets for price, offering potential targets after breakout. 📏 Fibonacci Levels - Pullback levels (0.28, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786) are marked. - Price may retrace toward these areas as part of the bullish structure. ✅ Bullish Scenario - Breakout from the falling wedge pattern. - Price pushes into first FVG (~$3.8), then toward $5.8236 – $6.1663, eventually challenging the supply zone ($6.6529 – $9.2734) ⚠️ Risks - If price breaks below the demand zone, it invalidates the wedge and opens room for further downside. - Falling wedge breakouts require confirmation (e.g., daily close above wedge resistance). 📊 Summary - Bias: Bullish if support holds and wedge breakout occurs. - Trigger: Break and close above wedge resistance line. - Targets: $3.8 → $5.8 → $6.1 → $9.5 - Invalidation: Daily close below the demand zone ($2.00 - $1.90) Please note this is not financial Advice. This is just an analysis!
Long
by King_BennyBag
12
EURJPY Weekly Forecast: Triple Bottom Breakout & Bullish Target Overview of the Chart & Market Structure The EUR/JPY daily timeframe chart presents a Triple Bottom Pattern, a powerful bullish reversal formation that suggests a potential shift in market sentiment. This pattern occurs when price tests a key support level three times and fails to break lower, indicating strong buying interest at that zone. Historically, a Triple Bottom leads to a significant trend reversal as sellers lose strength and buyers gain control. If confirmed by a breakout above resistance, this setup could provide a high-probability trading opportunity for swing traders and position traders. Key Chart Components & Price Action Analysis 1. Triple Bottom Formation The three bottoms marked on the chart represent repeated failed attempts by sellers to push the price lower: Bottom 1 (August 2024): The first rejection from the support zone (~155.000) led to a temporary bounce. Bottom 2 (October 2024): Price retested the same level, but buyers stepped in again, preventing a breakdown. Bottom 3 (March 2025): The final test of support confirmed a strong accumulation zone, setting the stage for a potential bullish breakout. In technical analysis, a Triple Bottom is considered a stronger reversal signal than a Double Bottom, as it represents prolonged buying pressure at key levels. 2. Support & Resistance Levels Support Zone (~155.086): This level has been tested multiple times and remains a solid demand zone, where buyers have consistently entered the market. Resistance Zone (~166.000): This level represents the neckline of the pattern, which must be breached to confirm a bullish reversal. Breakout Target (~179.233): If price breaks out above 166.000, the projected target is set at 179.233, based on the height of the Triple Bottom pattern. Trading Strategy & Entry Plan 1. Entry Point – Waiting for Confirmation A buy trade should be initiated ONLY after a confirmed breakout above the resistance level (~166.000). Traders should wait for a daily candle close above this level, preferably with high volume, to confirm the breakout. 2. Stop Loss Placement A stop-loss should be placed below the third bottom (support level) at 155.086 to minimize risk. This placement ensures that if price invalidates the pattern by moving below the support level, the trade is exited early. 3. Profit Target Calculation The measured move technique is applied to estimate the target. The height of the pattern (distance from support to resistance) is projected upward from the breakout point. Target price: 179.233, aligning with historical resistance. 4. Risk-to-Reward Ratio & Position Sizing The risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) for this setup is favorable, making it an attractive swing trade opportunity. Traders should adjust position sizes based on risk tolerance, ensuring proper money management principles are applied. Additional Confirmation Factors 1. Volume Analysis A breakout with increasing volume will confirm strong bullish momentum. Weak volume during breakout could indicate a false breakout, requiring caution. 2. RSI & Momentum Indicators RSI trending above 50 suggests growing bullish strength. Bullish divergence on RSI or MACD would add further confidence to the trade. 3. Retest of Resistance as Support Often, after breaking resistance, price retests the breakout level before moving higher. This could offer a secondary entry opportunity for traders who miss the initial breakout. Potential Risks & Market Conditions to Watch False Breakouts – If price fails to sustain above resistance, the pattern could be invalidated. Macroeconomic Events – Major news events, such as ECB or BOJ policy decisions, could impact EUR/JPY movement. Geopolitical Uncertainty – Unexpected events may cause volatility and deviation from technical patterns. Conclusion – High-Probability Bullish Setup The Triple Bottom Pattern in EUR/JPY is shaping up as a strong bullish reversal setup. If the price successfully breaks above 166.000, a rally toward 179.233 is expected. 📌 Trading Plan Recap: ✅ Entry: Buy above 166.000 (confirmed breakout). ✅ Target: 179.233 (measured move projection). ✅ Stop Loss: 155.086 (below support). ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable for swing traders. This setup aligns well with technical and price action strategies, making it an attractive trade idea for the upcoming weeks.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/JPY Triple Bottom Breakout – Bullish SetupThis chart represents the EUR/JPY currency pair on the daily timeframe. It highlights a Triple Bottom pattern, a bullish reversal formation that signals a potential upward trend after testing strong support multiple times. 1. Chart Pattern Analysis – Triple Bottom Formation The Triple Bottom is a classic reversal pattern that forms after a downtrend and consists of three distinct lows at nearly the same level. This indicates that sellers attempted to push the price lower but failed three times, suggesting that buying pressure is increasing. Bottom 1 (August 2024): The price reached a low near 150.344, forming the first support zone. Bottom 2 (September 2024): The price dropped again to the same support level but bounced back, indicating strong demand. Bottom 3 (March 2025): The price retested the support for the third time and rebounded, confirming the pattern. 💡 Key Takeaway: The repeated failure to break below the support level suggests that sellers are losing control, and buyers are preparing for a strong move up. 2. Support & Resistance Levels Understanding support and resistance levels is crucial for identifying entry and exit points: Support Level (150.344 - 150.125): This zone has acted as a strong demand area where price consistently bounced back. Resistance Level (167.500 - 170.000): This is the neckline of the Triple Bottom pattern. A breakout above this level confirms the bullish trend. If the price breaks above the resistance level, it will trigger buying momentum and open the doors for further upside. 3. Trading Strategy & Price Targets ✅ Entry Criteria The ideal buy entry is after the price breaks above the resistance level (~167.500 - 170.000) with strong bullish momentum and increased volume. Wait for a daily candle close above the resistance level to confirm the breakout. 🎯 Target Levels (Take Profit - TP) TP1 (173.001) – First profit-taking level, as the price may encounter some resistance. TP2 (179.266) – Final bullish target if the breakout holds strong. 📉 Stop Loss (Risk Management) Stop Loss (SL): Below 150.125, just below the previous support level. This minimizes losses if the price fails to break out. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: This setup offers a high risk-reward ratio, making it a favorable trade. 4. Market Psychology & Confirmation Signals The Triple Bottom indicates a strong shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Confirmation signals to watch for: ✅ Bullish breakout above resistance ✅ Increase in trading volume ✅ Formation of bullish candlesticks (e.g., Engulfing, Marubozu, or Breakout Retest Confirmation) 5. Summary & Final Thoughts 🔹 The Triple Bottom pattern signals a strong reversal with clear upside potential. 🔹 The breakout above resistance (~167.500 - 170.000) will confirm a bullish trend. 🔹 Entry: Buy after breakout confirmation with volume support. 🔹 TP1: 173.001, TP2: 179.266 🔹 SL: Below 150.125 to protect capital. 🚀 Conclusion : This setup presents an excellent long opportunity with a well-defined risk-reward strategy. If the breakout holds, EUR/JPY could see a strong uptrend in the coming weeks.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/USD Triple Bottom Reversal | Bullish Breakout SetupChart Overview This is a EUR/USD 1-hour chart showing a classic Triple Bottom Reversal Pattern, a strong bullish reversal signal. The price has tested a key support level multiple times, forming three distinct bottoms, indicating that sellers are losing momentum while buyers are stepping in. This setup suggests an upcoming breakout, with well-defined entry, take profit, and stop-loss levels to capitalize on the potential upward move. Technical Breakdown 1. Support & Resistance Zones Support Zone (Highlighted in Beige) The price has tested this zone multiple times without breaking below, confirming strong buying interest. Each time the price touched this level, it rebounded, indicating accumulation by buyers. Resistance Zone (Highlighted in Beige) The price previously reversed from this level, making it a key area to watch for a breakout. A confirmed breakout above this resistance could trigger strong upward momentum. 2. Triple Bottom Formation A Triple Bottom is a strong bullish reversal pattern. It consists of: Bottom 1: First rejection from support. Bottom 2: A retest of support with buyers defending the level. Bottom 3: The final touch before an upward move, confirming the pattern. This pattern signals that selling pressure is diminishing and buyers are preparing for a strong breakout. 3. Bullish Reversal & Breakout Zone A breakout above the neckline resistance (around 1.0843) will confirm the pattern. Traders should wait for a confirmed candle close above the resistance before entering a long position. A retest of the breakout zone can provide an additional entry opportunity. Trade Setup & Key Levels 🔹 Entry Strategy Aggressive Entry: Enter at the breakout level (above 1.0843) with volume confirmation. Conservative Entry: Wait for a breakout retest before entering long. 🎯 Take Profit Targets TP1: 1.08868 (First resistance zone) TP2: 1.09642 (Major resistance zone, strong price reaction expected) ❌ Stop Loss Placement Stop Loss: Below 1.06786, under the support zone. This ensures that if the price breaks below the key level, the trade is invalidated. Market Sentiment & Expected Move If the price breaks the resistance → Expect a strong bullish move toward TP1 and TP2. If the price fails to break out → It may consolidate further or retest support. Watch for increased volume on the breakout to confirm strength. 📌 Final Thoughts This is a high-probability bullish setup based on a well-formed Triple Bottom Reversal pattern. Traders should monitor price action near the breakout zone and manage risk effectively with proper stop-loss placement.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Trading Setup for CHF/USD – Triple Bottom Breakout Strategy📌 Chart Pattern: Triple Bottom with Trendline Breakout This CHF/USD chart showcases a triple bottom formation, a bullish reversal pattern that signals a potential uptrend after three consecutive lows at a strong support level. The price action respects this support zone and attempts a trendline breakout, suggesting a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. 📊 Full Chart Breakdown & Professional Analysis 1️⃣ Key Levels & Structure: ✅ Support Level (1.1300 - 1.1270): The price has tested this region three times, indicating strong buying interest. This forms a triple bottom, a reliable reversal pattern in technical analysis. ✅ Resistance Zone (1.1400 - 1.1420): The price previously reversed from this zone, making it a key short-term resistance level. ✅ Target Level (1.1457): A breakout above resistance could drive the price toward this measured move target, representing a 1% potential gain. ✅ Stop Loss (1.1269): Placed below the support zone to minimize risk in case of a breakdown. 2️⃣ Price Action & Trendline Breakout: 📌 Triple Bottom Formation: Price hits the same support level three times, signaling strong demand. Each bounce from support indicates a gradual weakening of bearish momentum. 📌 Trendline Breakout: The price broke a downward-sloping trendline, suggesting a potential bullish move. A successful retest of the trendline could confirm further upside. 📌 Expected Move: Scenario 1: Price confirms the breakout, retests, and moves toward resistance. Scenario 2: If resistance is broken, price targets the next major level at 1.1457. 3️⃣ Trading Strategy – How to Trade This Setup? 🎯 Buy Entry: Enter long after a confirmed breakout and retest of the trendline. 📉 Stop Loss: Below 1.1269 (beneath triple bottom support) to limit downside risk. 🎯 Take Profit Targets: Target 1: 1.1400 (Resistance Area) Target 2: 1.1457 (Measured Move Projection) 💡 Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable risk-reward ratio of 1:3, making it an attractive setup for traders. 4️⃣ Market Psychology Behind This Move: Bears losing strength: Multiple failed attempts to break support indicate sellers are exhausted. Bulls gaining momentum: Trendline breakout shows buyers are stepping in with confidence. Breakout confirmation: If resistance breaks, a strong rally toward 1.1457 is likely. 📌 Summary: Bullish CHF/USD Trade Idea 🔹 Pattern: Triple Bottom + Trendline Breakout 🔹 Entry: Buy on retest confirmation 🔹 Stop Loss: 1.1269 🔹 Target: 1.1400 & 1.1457 🔹 Risk-Reward: Favorable 1:3 setup 🚀 This is a high-probability trade setup with strong technical confirmation, making it a great opportunity for breakout traders! 🚀
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
CHF/USD Trading Setup – Triple Bottom Reversal & Breakout Setup🔍 Overview of the Chart Setup The CHF/USD (Swiss Franc vs. U.S. Dollar) 1-hour timeframe chart reveals a classic Triple Bottom pattern, which is a well-known bullish reversal signal. This pattern indicates that sellers have attempted to break the support level three times but failed, suggesting a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. Traders closely watch this structure as it often leads to a strong upward breakout once key resistance levels are breached. The current setup provides an excellent risk-to-reward trading opportunity, especially for those looking to capitalize on the breakout. 📊 Key Levels in the CHF/USD Chart 1️⃣ Support and Resistance Zones 🟢 Support Level (~1.1300 - 1.1280 Zone) This zone has been tested three times, confirming strong buying interest at this price level. The formation of long wicks on candlesticks signals strong demand and buyer dominance. A breakdown below this level would invalidate the bullish setup and may indicate a continuation of the bearish trend. 🔴 Resistance Level (~1.1415 - 1.1430 Zone) This level acts as a price ceiling, where previous bullish attempts were rejected. A break and retest above this zone would confirm the Triple Bottom breakout. 🎯 Target Level (~1.1457 Zone) The projected target is based on the height of the pattern, which is measured and added to the breakout point. This level aligns with previous price action zones and acts as a natural take-profit area for traders. 🚨 Stop-Loss Level (~1.1243 Zone) A stop-loss is placed below the support zone to protect against false breakouts or an invalidation of the pattern. 📉 Understanding the Triple Bottom Pattern The Triple Bottom is a strong bullish reversal formation that occurs at the end of a downtrend. It signals that sellers are exhausted, and buyers are gradually taking control. 🔹 Breakdown of the Triple Bottom Formation ✅ Bottom 1 (First Low) The first bottom forms when the price hits the support level and bounces back. Sellers are still active, so price declines again to test the same support zone. ✅ Bottom 2 (Second Low - Confirmation of Support) The second test of the support zone validates the demand area. Buyers step in again, pushing the price upward. The market still lacks enough momentum for a breakout, leading to a third retest. ✅ Bottom 3 (Final Low and Strong Rejection) The third bottom is crucial because it signals the last test of support before a breakout. The failure to break lower creates a higher probability of an upside move. 📌 Breakout Confirmation & Price Action Signals 🔵 The breakout is confirmed when: The price closes above the resistance zone (1.1415 - 1.1430) with strong momentum. Volume spikes during the breakout, indicating institutional buying interest. A successful retest of the resistance zone as new support further validates the trend reversal. If the breakout lacks volume or gets rejected, traders should be cautious of a fakeout or potential retracement. 📈 Trading Strategy & Execution Plan 🔹 Conservative Entry (Safe Approach) Enter after a confirmed breakout above 1.1415, ensuring a strong candle close above resistance. Look for a retest of the breakout level before entering the trade. 🔹 Aggressive Entry (Early Positioning) Enter near the third bottom (~1.1300 - 1.1320) with a tight stop-loss. Higher risk but better reward if the price moves upward without retesting. 🔹 Stop-Loss Placement Conservative traders: Place the stop-loss below the support zone (~1.1243). Aggressive traders: Place a tight stop below the recent swing low for better risk management. 📌 Profit Target Projection Take Profit Target: 1.1457, based on the height of the pattern. 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio Risk: ~60 pips (from entry to stop-loss). Reward: ~150 pips (from entry to target). Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3, making it a high-probability trade. 📡 Additional Confirmation Indicators for Stronger Trade Setup 📊 1. Volume Analysis A spike in volume at the breakout level suggests strong buyer interest. Low volume on the breakout may indicate a potential fakeout. 📈 2. RSI (Relative Strength Index) Confirmation RSI should be above 50 and trending upward to confirm bullish momentum. If RSI is overbought (>70), watch for a pullback before entering the trade. 📉 3. Moving Averages Support If the 50-period or 200-period moving average supports the breakout level, it adds extra confirmation. A moving average crossover may further validate the trend reversal. 🔍 4. Beware of Fake Breakouts If the price briefly moves above resistance but fails to hold, it may be a bull trap. Always wait for a candle close above resistance and a potential retest before confirming the entry. 🛠️ Alternative Scenarios & Market Risks 🔺 Bullish Scenario (Breakout & Rally to Target) Price breaks above 1.1415, confirming a trend reversal. A retest of resistance as support gives additional buying confidence. Price reaches 1.1457 target before facing new resistance. 🔻 Bearish Scenario (Fakeout & Breakdown Below Support) Price fails to hold above resistance and falls back below support. A breakdown below 1.1243 invalidates the pattern, triggering a bearish continuation. Traders should cut losses quickly if the setup is invalidated. ⚠️ Fundamental Risks to Watch U.S. Dollar news events (FOMC, NFP, CPI reports) can increase volatility. Swiss economic data may impact CHF strength. Unexpected geopolitical events can influence currency movements. 🔎 Summary of the Trading Plan 📌 Trading Strategy Checklist ✅ Pattern: Triple Bottom (Bullish Reversal). ✅ Entry Strategy: Buy after breakout confirmation above 1.1415. ✅ Take Profit Target: 1.1457. ✅ Stop-Loss Level: Below 1.1243. ✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (High-Profit Potential with Proper Risk Management). 💡 Final Thought: This setup provides a high-probability bullish trade with strong technical confluence. However, always remain cautious of market news, economic reports, and sudden volatility that could influence price action. 🚀 Patience & discipline are key—wait for confirmation before entering! 📊
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Ethereum (ETH/USD) - Falling Wedge Breakout Setup!Overview: A potential bullish breakout from a falling wedge pattern, signaling a trend reversal. Key Technical Insights: 🔹 Falling Wedge Formation: Ethereum price has been trending downward inside a falling wedge, a common bullish reversal pattern. The price is now testing the upper wedge resistance, indicating a possible breakout. 🔹 Support & Resistance Levels: Support: Near 2,665 - 2,663 USD, acting as a strong downside cushion. Resistance: The price needs to break above 2,694 USD to confirm the breakout. 🔹 Target Projection: A breakout above the wedge could push the price up by 5.35% (144 USD) towards the 2,839 USD take-profit level. Trade Plan: 📌 Entry Strategy: Enter after confirmation of a breakout above 2,694 USD with volume. A retest of the wedge breakout zone could provide a better risk-to-reward entry. 📌 Stop Loss: Placed below 2,663 USD, invalidating the breakout if breached. 📌 Take Profit Target: Around 2,839 USD, aligning with the measured move of the pattern. Final Thoughts: ✅ Breakout potential is strong – wait for confirmation! ✅ Bullish momentum could drive ETH towards the 2,839 USD target. ✅ If price drops below 2,663 USD, consider exiting as the setup is invalidated. 📈 Watch for volume increase to confirm the breakout. 🚀
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by PIPsOptimizer
SOL 4H RANGESOLANA is down -40% from making a new ATH to the bottom of the crash wick @ $175. Looking at the chart, unless BTC decides to gap down again from a TA standpoint SOL looks good here. A triple tap of the bottom with a reclaim of the bullish orderblock that coincides with the golden pocket zone from local LTF high to low, followed by a strong reaction from that zone. Q1 is historically good for altcoins and so the all of these points added together the R:R at this level is good IMO. Profit taking through the range quarters. The idea is invalid once price accepts below the triple tap bottom under $170.
by ProR35
2
$NYSE:BBAI Double and Triple Bottoms with positive indicatorsThanks to @Money_Wins_Honey for getting this on my radar. NYSE:BBAI is showing double and triple bottoms in the weekly as well as daily chart. The price targets are $8.43 and $12.96. Here are my positives that support this trade: The volume has been really going through the roof Williams %R it tracking higher lows It's in the AI space so it's HOT right now Entry Points: Higher Risk - Now, and place a stop below $3.00 (that's the current shelf that's being formed) More conservative - wait until after breaking the double bottom resistance line (closing above $4.81) Exits: Double Bottom PT - $8.43 Triple Bottom PT - $12.96 Good Luck!
NYSE:BBAILong
by dzygadlo
4
$FUBO UPDATE! We may be primed for a BIG BOUNCE! NYSE:FUBO -Staying patient and believe we may now be going for a triple bottom before we have our large move to the upside as you see on the daily chart below. -Weekly H5 indicator is still GREEN -We are also on the floor and green bounce area on the williams r%! Which to this point you've see what happens when we get there -I'm not concerned because we haven't started moving big on the IWM yet and until then most small caps won't move unless they have a catalyst.
NYSE:FUBOLong
by RonnieV29
11
Triple Bottom Pattern Tutorial: 5/8 Bullish Chart PatternsTriple Bottom Pattern Tutorial: 5/8 Bullish Chart Patterns A bullish triple bottom is a reversal chart pattern that signals the potential end of a downtrend and the start of an upward trend. Here's a breakdown: Three Lows: The pattern is characterized by three distinct lows that are roughly equal in price. These lows form after a significant downtrend, indicating strong support at that level. Rallies Between Lows: Each low is separated by two intermediate rallies that create peaks. These peaks form the resistance level known as the neckline. Neckline: The horizontal line connecting the highs of the intermediate rallies is called the neckline. This is a crucial resistance level that the price must break through to confirm the pattern. Breakout: A breakout above the neckline, typically accompanied by increased trading volume, confirms the triple bottom pattern. This breakout signifies a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Price Target: The expected price target is often calculated by measuring the distance from the pattern's lowest low to the neckline and projecting that distance upwards from the breakout point. Traders view the triple bottom as a strong indication that the selling pressure has been exhausted and that buyers are starting to gain control, suggesting a potential upward price movement.
AMEX:IWMEducation
by RonnieV29
4
ARTY/USDT Time to BuyArtyfact (ARTY) stands out as an AI-driven gaming metaverse that merges cutting-edge game technologies with blockchain and GameFi modes. This platform allows users to engage in AAA GameFi games, earn ARTY, and trade game assets as NFTs. Technical Analysis : The ARTY/USDT pair on the Daily timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triple Bottom Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming Days. Price Breakout the Trendline and Retesting in Support Zone. Its Time to Buy ARTY. Fundamental Updates : 1. Market capitalization of Artyfact (ARTY) is $8,561,852 and is ranked #1540 on CoinGecko today and 21 Million tokens are tradable on the market today. The trading volume of Artyfact (ARTY) is $807,002 in the last 24 hours. 2. The token is available for trading on exchanges such as Bybit, OKX, Bitget and BitMart, reflecting its growing popularity. 3. The launch of the Artyfact Telegram App, Artyfact Beta, Play-and -Earn Tournament and other big upcoming events will boost AMEX:ARTY ’s price. Here’s what’s coming soon: Artyfact Beta Launch , Beta Playtest , Creator Contest, Play-and-Earn Leaderboard Tournament, Metaverse Event and more The upcoming launch of the Artyfact Telegram app, the Artyfact Beta, the Play-and-Earn tournament, along with other major events, is set to drive a significant increase in AMEX:ARTY ’s value. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
ALong
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
5
BTC/USDT = Dominance Signals Bitcoin's Next Bullish MoveTL;DR for Busy Readers 95% confidence that Bitcoin has bottomed at $52.5k, with the worst possible scenario at $50.4k. The USDT Dominance Chart is showing resistance levels not seen since the last bear market when Bitcoin was around $27k. For Bitcoin to hit $44k, USDT dominance would need to enter bear market territory, which is highly unlikely. A 30%+ downside move in USDT dominance suggests more capital will flow into Bitcoin, signaling a bullish uptrend. The odds are heavily in favor of Bitcoin moving upward from here, and I expect it to play out over the rest of the month. I’m 95% confident that we’ve bottomed out at $52.5k, and the worst case scenario would be $50.4k. Additionally, I’m 95% certain we won’t see a drop to $44k or anywhere near it. Here’s why. The USDT Dominance Chart: A Key Indicator One of the most reliable charts for predicting Bitcoin tops and market reversals is the USDT Dominance chart. This chart tracks the dominance of Tether (USDT) in the market, and right now, it’s showing levels not seen since the last bear market when Bitcoin was trading around $27k. Currently, USDT Dominance is at critical resistance, touching levels that are typically only observed during bear markets. Historically, when USDT dominance hits these levels, it signals a bottom for Bitcoin and the beginning of an uptrend. Additionally, the USDT dominance chart indicates we could see over a 30%+ move to the downside in USDT dominance, meaning more capital will flow out of stablecoins and back into Bitcoin and other cryptos. This is a strong indicator that Bitcoin is bottoming out and preparing for a bullish move. Why $44k is Unlikely For Bitcoin to drop to $44k, USDT dominance would have to enter territory that we’ve only ever seen in true bear markets. If this happens, it could break the higher timeframe (HTF) structure on both the USDT dominance chart and the Bitcoin chart, and ultimately, we wouldn’t just stop at $44k—we’d probably end up around $30k. That’s why if you’re hoping for $44k , you’re really wishing for a major bear market that could pull Bitcoin down much further. This scenario would mean a shift in the current market structure, which doesn’t align with the probabilities we’re seeing. Upside Probability is Much Higher While there’s always a chance that USDT dominance could break higher and push the market lower, the probability of this happening is very small in my opinion. Investing is all about probabilities, and when we assess the entire market situation, it’s clear that the upside is heavily favored right now. Based on the data, the market structure, and the USDT dominance chart, the likelihood of Bitcoin continuing upward from here is very high. It’s important to monitor how the market behaves in the coming weeks, but all signs point toward a bullish move. My years of experience kind of Opinion In summary, the USDT dominance chart is signaling that we’ve likely seen the bottom at $52.5k, and the chances of Bitcoin falling to $44k or lower are extremely slim. If anything, this level of USDT dominance typically indicates that a Bitcoin rally is on the horizon. Stay cautious, but it looks like the market is gearing up for an uptrend. Let's see how the rest of the month plays out, but from where I stand, the upside looks very promising. DISCLAIMER: All though I predicted the market at 18K pump, this prediction is still for informational/documentation of my journey and entertainment purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. As with all investments, there are risks involved, and probability-based analysis may not always result in accurate predictions. Always consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Long
by osodatsismoso