GET READY! China 50 in trouble - 2nd wave of virus! 😨😲You've been told! Get ready. There is trouble in this heading south more likely, than not!
Reliable sources in non-mainstream media are picking up the second wave of a virus outbreak in China. This is not fake news!
The re-opening (or partial re-opening) was actually fake news. Facilities were actually being built to accommodate more sick and dying people.
Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. No predictions and no guarantees supplied. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile, and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
Trouble
WALL STREET (DJI)- VIRAL WINTER IS UPON US! 😨I issue a stern warning to permabulls who are on DJI! Your time is over.
The chart shows possible further break down of price.
For probably the first time in history markets are suffering supply-demand shock. That means most things that are manufactured will be in short supply and low demand. This is due to:
1. lockdowns of consumers across the whole world,
2. restricted transportation,
3. serious interruption of supply chains,
The economic impact is severe. Travel and leisure industries have been hit hard. Airlines are about to go bankrupt, automobiles sales have been damaged, there is significantly lower demand for energy (oil, gas), medical equipment and supplies for hospitals have been affected. Food supplies are running low.
The COVID-19 is has effected a VIRAL WINTER upon the whole planet. This is analogous to a 'nuclear winter' (without radiation fallout of course).
The world is 'freezing up'. It will take a long time to unfreeze. Economies of many countries are being severely damaged.
The Federal Reserve in the USA and umpteen central banks have coordinated to make monetary and fiscal interventions; throwing trillions of dollars at 'the viral effects'. This will not unfreeze the supply-demand conundrum. It simply cannot. How? Because the problem relies on real people and movement of goods, services and international trade. The USA-China trade deal is basically on hold.
Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. No predictions and no guarantees supplied. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
WATCH OUT - POTENTIAL BLACK SWAN EVENT - VIRUS ATTACKA 'black swan' event is something out of the blue - that creates systemic risk. The 2019-nCOV (virus) is potentially one such thing.
The markets have not been prepared for this - at all. Could it be the pinprick that pops the 'tech bubble' that influences markets globally?
The shock waves of this itty bitty virus are totally unexpected. I go into some price action in the last few days, on the DJI and explain some of the dangerous features of nCOV.
China has basically been quarantined by the international community. This is certainly not good news. It's an unofficial quarantine. Lots of nations have limited contact or isolated China in various ways.
The virus is one of the most spreadable in history of all viruses but with a low lethality. That means millions of people could be infected but only about 2% killed by it. And that means the death toll could be serious over weeks, months or years.
There is no treatment at this time and no vaccine. Even if a vaccine is developed, vaccinated the whole world is not a workable option. In addition the wide spread of the virus means that it can mutate - rendering any vaccine developed, as ineffective.
The next big question is when will this quarantine on China be lifted. It could take months, or probably years - depending on what the nCOV virus does next.
There is chatter in the blogosphere that the FED will come to rescue the markets from the virus.. like pfffft! The FED has a lesson coming to them.
Disclaimer : This screencast is not intended to advise on taking a position in the markets or making transactions. If you lose your money in the markets, kindly sue yourself.
POP!! IT'S COMING!What people want me to do is tell them when the bubble is gonna pop!
Well, well - I can see the weather outside my home is setting up pretty badly, but I can't tell when a downpour of rain is gonna come! I'm as I'm so bad at weather forecasting - how on earth could I possibly forecast market crashes?
All I know is that when I see bad weather I'd better wear a raincoat or carry and umbrella - or alternatively don't venture outside! Is that okayyyyy? :) :)
GOLD: This is the craziest chart on Tradingview!5 currencies compared against GOLD.
I say no more. Watch the video - and if you disagree, say so and why with some evidence!
BITCOIN COULD REPLACE BANKSIn this video I show a key level of support for BTC. It coincides with a 3-day ATR trendline for the north. I'm not saying Bitcoin can't go south.
I deal with a far bigger issue, where in the heat of a financial crisis banks close. This has happened several times before (and Google is your friend on this point).
There is a lot of chatter out there from very reputable experts about a serious banking crisis approaching. Stop - I don't listen to sensationalist nonsense.
The 'big reset' is now a realistic probability for people in the know. I'm talking about people who understand the global financial system to the core. The reset will mean that not only stock markets meltdown but the money system globally is frozen. What are you gonna do when there is no money? Well, history has shown that people went back to bartering.
At the moment Bitcoin functions as a store of value - even if unstable. The banks can't lock down Bitcoin. When the banks freeze up people will exchange BTC value for goods and services. That's just common sense. Not everybody will have Gold to exchange and physical gold is not available to everybody. But BTC is available to everybody right now.
In the lead up to the banking crisis you will see BTC rocket north. How? Insiders always know and leak what's coming.
Get prepared. I'm not saying that 'you' should put all your money into BTC. I'm saying a reasonable store of BTC is a good back up plan if worse comes to the worst.
Disclaimers: This is not financial advice - even if so construed. It is opinion only. Your losses are your own. Sue yourself if you lose your money.
DJI -Wall Street - collapsesI had flagged that the DJI and NASDAQ were in trouble some time ago. I told everybody to 'GET READY'. Some were hypnotised by POTUS's assertions that the American economy is doing "fantastically well". Yes he said so and I have the reference.
The data on ISM that triggered this plunge/correction was not brand new information at all. It's only because the ISM release went viral that there was trouble. Anybody who was anybody who was looking at non-mainstream media would have known that manufacturing and lots of other things were troubled in the US economy. Some haven't even taken note of the $23 Billion in debt as yet.
Others were punching the air about low unemployment figures - which were fake. Yes fake - because they were revised down weeks after the markets had pumped north (and nobody took notice of reality). The true unemployment rates are much lower, and when that goes viral there will be even more trouble.
Just to be clear - contrary to Mr Trump's opinions - the DJI is not the 'economy'. It is sentiment about 'the economy'. Right if you don't here from me again, it's because I've been locked up in an American gulag, for disagreeing with POTUS. LOL!!
Disclaimer : This is not a recommendation to trade securities of any kind. Trading is a high risk activity, with 70-90% of all traders consistently losing money. Your losses are your own. Sue yourself if you lose your money.
NASDAQ: GET READY FOR TROUBLE!Look carefully. I'm not saying to that anybody needs to trade 3-day time frames.
The point of this chart is to show that there is an overdue correction - and I don't know when it's gonna happen. Why? Cuz unlike many out here, I have no crystal ball - and I don't own the future.
Elliott waves are not to be interpreted rigidly. Fibonacci does not tell markets what to do.
The NASDAQ, DJI, S&P500 and several other markets are overdue corrections as we head into the 7 to 11 year economic cycle. For those who don't know the cycle exists and it is heading for a trough which hasn't happened as yet.
Disclaimer : This is not a recommendation to buy, sell stocks or trade in securities. Your losses or missed opportunities are your own. If you lose money - kindly sue yourself.
LQD BOND MARKET TOP TROUBLE AHEAD A VERY STRONG NON CONFIRMATION IN RSI IS NOW SETUP IN BOND MARKET SHOULD BE A NEG FOR STOCKS ?????
BRACE FOR IMPACT - BIG FLIGHTS TO SAFETYOf course I've been shouting about Gold and Cryptos before. Why? Why?... some people wanna know what's going on. (TURN UP volume on speakers. Microsoft updates caused a problem)
I posted on the big de-dollarisation war that was happening in the background months ago. I was also looking at the 'war index' in Lockheed Martin.
The smart money has already moved these markets. If you've missed, you're too late.
It is a very unstable and uncertain world now. We have wars of various kinds:
1. Trade wars
2. Currency wars.
3. Cyber-wars.
4. And as of Thursday/Friday, America almost went to war with Iran.
The dumb money is now long on the DJI. Yeah it might break out of 27000 but that's what the dumb money is gonna do.
Last week we saw the German Bund market head into negative yield. This means that investors are willing to put their money in for an initial loss on bonds. Yield curves remain inverted in America.
There is trouble ahead.
Watch where the real big boys are heading. Get smart.
Disclaimer: Nothing here is financial (or other advice). DYOR. This screencast is speculative. No liabilities accepted for your losses. In other words sue yourself if you take a position based on this post and lose your money.
US Stock Markets: And what's Mueller got to do with you?!This screencast is speculative - and I invite the full brain power of Tradingview's community to consider the variables which might affect the US Stock Markets around this time. Let's do this together.
The stock market has retreated, probably due to nerves about the Mueller report - among several other things. If the report contains nothing on which Trump is impeachable then, I'm expecting a pump north.
Mueller's hit list so far has been :
1. PAUL MANAFORT
2. RICK GATES
3. MICHAEL COHEN
4. MICHAEL FLYNN
5. GEORGE PAPADOPOULOS
6. ALEX VAN DER ZWAAN
7. RICHARD PINEDO
(Names are in all caps only due to copy and pasting. Names and convictions are all in the public domain, so I'm not defaming anybody.)
Some may think that with so much dirt around it's unlikely that Trump will come out of this clean. Hey, this bull market is about Trump - let's not debate that. If Trump goes down the markets go down like lead balloons. Alternatively, if Trump comes out clean enough, expect bullish moves which may then be limited by other factors.
Separate to Mueller's investigation and report, there are 16 other investigations into Trump. If just one sticks, there could be catastrophic collapse of the American markets - with shock waves globally, hitting Forex as well.
We have other variables to consider :
1. The Fed 'money printing' press going to be turned up.
2. Bleaker than expected economic projections by the Fed and Draghi.
3. Expected weaker US Dollar - creating bullish pressure in the long term.
4. Flattening or inverted yield curves
5. Uncertainty's and delays on deals with China.
6. Potential Brexit shock waves.
7. Germany struggling against recession.
8. 'Housing' market bubbles in several countries including the US, in trouble.
9. US and Global debt totally out of control.
10 etc. .. and much more.
Sorry - I don't know what's gonna happen. I do not give tips on entry positions.
SOMETHING VERY BAD MAYBE ABOUT TO HAPPEN I HOPE I AM WRONG HIGHER GAS PRICES WOULD CHOKE THE POCKETS OF ALL IF THIS TURNS OUT THIS IS THE ONLY POST I HOPE FOR US ALL IS WRONG
This means trouble!WTI Crude Oil is in a troubled zone on 3-Day time frame. I'm short. Price is struggling in a zone of investor resistance with ATR resistance just above. This convergence spells greater probability for the south. (Note that for every probability in one direction there is a residual probability on the opposite direction- hence no predictions)
When will the Plunge Protection Team strike?That the Plunge Protection Team has been called in means there is big trouble! The PPT is a real lawful entity designed to manipulate the US Stock Markets. It is officially known as the Working Group on Financial Markets (WGFM). It was created by by President Reagan’s Executive Order 12631 in 1988 following the 1987 crash. Its purpose is to lawfully prevent catastrophic market crashes. All the above factual knowledge is available from reputable sources findable via your fav search engine.
This is both good and bad news. Those short in the market could protect their positions - and if they have enough guts take long positions for a limited period. It's not my business to say when to do this, as I have no advance knowledge of the future or when the PPT will strike!
Note carefully that my language above is speculative, except that Dow and Wall Street are in big trouble. This is now common knowledge as the fall in the market has well exceeded the respected figure of 16%. If/when the PPT weighs in it'll have to be with billions and billions of US-Dollars, as loads of people are likely to set up sell orders for the next opening of the markets.
That the PPT has been called in does not mean that they have a 100% chance of moving the US markets north.
It all depends on whether they have enough to push back the deluge of selling they're likely to meet. Nobody I know, knows exactly how the PPT works. Perhaps they will get first orders, beating back all regular investors from selling or shorting . That would make sense. If they are successful, Forex pairs especially those with Yen and AUD could be affected by indirect effect. What it would mean for US-Dollar strength, is another problem.
Note also that other countries have variants of the PPT, some operating covertly.
NIFTY could be in trouble'Everybody' is watching the S&P500 and Wall Street. Some may have forgotten about the India50 (the NIFTY). It appears to be troubled. I've shorted at what I estimate to be a turning point (which is not advice for others).
If this falls, it could be ugly.
The Big one: showing serious potential trouble ahead. I do not trade this index. In this screencast I show how there was a major struggle in the world economies between February 2018 and today 28th October 2018. I explore potentials for Bitcoin and Gold.
A major corrective move south n the MSCI-ACWI has happened. This index is an aggregate of world indices.
What we see on this chart is:
1. Price struggling to stay afloat between February 2018 and October 2018.
2. Price has suddenly collapsed without sign of a significant rebellion (so far).
What's all this about? It's about joining some important dots (not all):
1. The world is in a deepening financial crisis.
2. The IMF warned in early October quoting from reputable sources, that risks to the global economy are rising unsupported by increasingly unsustainable policies. They warned that, "The extended period of ultra-low interest rates in advanced economies has contributed to the build-up of financial vulnerabilities"
3. Global debt has reached unprecedented levels.
4. The American economy which tends to influence the world, is living on borrowed time.
5. The European Union is in a state of financial crisis: Italy more recently. Some have forgotten about Portugal, Greece and Spain (part of what is commonly known as the P.I.G.S - nothing derogatory implied]
6. The ECB will stop quantitative easing in December 2018 (it says).
7. Uncertainties about Brexit still loom and probabilities point to greater chance of a hard-Brexit.
8. Trad tensions are high with China and Russia.
9. Emerging market around the world are being hammered. The US stock market is the last in line for a potential beating.
10. Low interest rates over the last 10-15 years in many western countries have created a setup for boom bust cycles. In recent times global interest rates have been creeping up (on average), at among least major economies.
Will reality win over hope and greed? We shall see.
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Bitcoin - there could be trouble ahead. It's not looking good for Bitcoin on the bigger daily trend. Yes my opinion changes but that's only because I'm seeing new things happening - and my perspectives are different on different time frames.
I've decided to wait.
