TSLA Earnings Play (Bearish Bias)
🚨 TSLA Earnings Play (Bearish Bias) 🚨
Earnings Date: July 23, 2025 (AMC)
🧠 Confidence: 75% Bearish | 🎯 Target Move: -10%
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🔍 Key Takeaways:
• 📉 TTM Revenue Growth: -9.2% → EV demand weakness
• 🧾 Margins Under Pressure: Gross 17.7%, Operating 2.5%, Net 6.4%
• ❌ EPS Beat Rate: Only 25% in last 8 quarters
• 🐻 Options Flow: High put volume at $330 strike
• 🧊 Low Volume Drift: Trading above 20/50MA but losing steam
• 📉 Sector Macro: EV competition + cyclical headwinds
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🧨 Earnings Trade Setup:
{
"instrument": "TSLA",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 300,
"expiry": "2025-07-25",
"entry_price": 2.02,
"confidence": 75,
"profit_target": 6.06,
"stop_loss": 1.01,
"entry_timing": "pre_earnings_close",
"expected_move": 7.1,
"iv_rank": 0.75
}
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🛠️ Trade Details:
Parameter Value
🎯 Strike Price $300 PUT
💰 Premium Paid $2.02
📅 Expiry Date 2025-07-25
🛑 Stop Loss $1.01
🚀 Profit Target $6.06
📏 Size 1 Contract
⏱ Entry Timing Pre-Earnings
📊 IV Rank 75%
🕒 Signal Time 7/23 @ 14:14 EDT
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📈 Strategy Notes:
• 🧯 IV Crush Risk: Exit within 2 hours post-earnings
• 🎲 Risk/Reward: 1:3 setup | Max Loss: $202 | Max Gain: $606+
• 🧭 Volume Weakness & put/call skew signal downside
• 🧩 Macro + Tech + Flow Alignment = Tactical bearish play
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🧠 “Not all dips are worth buying — this might be one to short.”
📢 Drop your thoughts — would you take the trade or fade it?
Tslaearnings
TSLA technically turntUP... so the stock pops on a sob story. there will be action. pullback possible, but doesn't have to. 2-3 week rallies expected while the getting is good.
*weekly bullish close (engulfing)
*pullbacks should not be lower than prev week high (270 good)
*it's big tech earnings, so running during other strong tech success while down is a TSLA thing
tootles
TSLA the companyReviewing my charts out loud. I like the month and week view best. Watch the zones. Above 250 TSLA is above water. Will take a look at how week and month close to see if anything pops out at me. Tootles!
*I watch for setups
*BYD is gaining market share in China
*Europe may not want to affiliate right now
*Dubai for funding?... I happened to read years ago that Dubai investors put their money behind Lucid (LCID). Their earnings Q1 2025 was stellar.
*Currently, TSLA sales are in a slump
TSLA Post Earnings Risk Off Scenario TSLA 390m Short Setup: Risk off scenario challenging auction lower last seen EOY 2022: Using levels from December 14, 2022 published study: <165.63: 162.42, 157.67, < GAP Fill Watch: <155.95, 151.08, 147.41, 145.13//Invalidated if auction holds > 164.15// Beta: 2.01, ATR: 8.03, IV: 34/05%// Price at time of publish: 165.47
@SupportTesla currently at support holding above 980
If able to hold above support at 980 next target for Tesla 1040
If price breaks below support at 980 next target to the downside at 951.65 and 886
Currently holding above Support yet showing signs of buyer weakness expected to break to the downside keep your eyes on this level.
TESLA EARNINGS YOLO | Pure EntertainmentHello Tradingview family, today I yolo $1500 on Tesla weekly calls into earnings. I think they will do really well, on top of the number of sales I think their new factories and distribution centers will provide good numbers.
Throughout the last week, I've noticed the silence from Musk on Twitter, at least when it came to the stock. Over the last several earnings, we've seen Elon tweet out stuff like "it needs to come down" prior to the report. Instead today, we see silence.
BULLS LOCKING IN? I AM :)
My Play:
TSLA $455 Call 10/23 @ $676 (I bought 2)
I do this purely to entertain my fellow traders and feed their FOMO demons. Hope you are all having a blessed 2020, let's see if this hits :D
Please do not play this, you will lose money!
DotcomJack | Tesla Yolo