NH SWING TRADE IDEA (2025-07-29)
### 🩻 UNH SWING TRADE IDEA (2025-07-29)
**UnitedHealth Group – Bearish Setup**
📉 **Sentiment:** Moderately Bearish
📊 **Daily RSI:** 28.9 (Oversold!)
📉 **Momentum:** 5D/10D bearish
🔇 **Volume:** Weak (1.0x avg = low conviction)
💬 **Options Flow:** Neutral (C/P = 1.00)
🌬️ **VIX:** 15.71 — calm, tradable
---
### 🔻 Trade Setup
* **Play Type:** Naked PUT
* **Strike:** \$240.00
* **Expiry:** 2025-08-15
* **Entry:** \$0.85
* **Target:** \$1.35
* **Stop:** \$0.60
* **Risk Size:** 1 contract
* **Entry Timing:** Market Open
* **Confidence:** 75% 📉
---
### 🤖 Model Consensus (5 Models)
✅ All agree: **Bearish RSI + Downward Momentum**
⚠️ Disagree on *strength* of the trend: moderate vs strong
💡 Models: Claude, Grok, Gemini, LLaMA, DeepSeek
---
### ⚠️ Key Risks
* Neutral options flow = no crowd confirmation
* Weak volume = price may stall or fake out
* Watch for VIX spikes — could flip sentiment fast
---
### 🔎 Summary for Swing Traders
**UNH \$240P → \$0.85 → \$1.35**
🧠 RSI confirms downside
⛔ Low volume = trade light, manage risk
📅 Target expiry: Aug 15
🧲 Key level: \$247.13 — if broken, ride lower
Unhinsurance
UNH Earnings Lotto Setup** (2025-07-28)
📊 **UNH Earnings Lotto Setup** (2025-07-28)
🎯 **Targeting a 2x return on post-earnings upside move**
---
### 💡 Trade Thesis:
**UnitedHealth (UNH)** is primed for a potential bounce on earnings:
* ✅ **Revenue Growth**: +9.8% YoY
* 🔥 **EPS Beat Rate**: 88% over last 8 quarters
* ⚠️ Margin compression risk from increased utilization
* 🧠 **Analyst Upgrades** trending positive
* 📉 RSI = **30.06** → Oversold territory
---
### 🔎 Options Flow & Technicals
* 🧲 Max Pain: **\$290**
* 🟢 Bullish call OI stacking at **\$285**
* ⚖️ IV Rank: **0.75** → Still has juice
* 🔻 Trading below 20D/50D MAs → Room for reversal
---
### 💰 Trade Setup
```json
{
"Instrument": "UNH",
"Direction": "Call (Long)",
"Strike": "$285",
"Entry Price": "$10.30",
"Profit Target": "$20.60 (2x)",
"Stop Loss": "$5.15 (50%)",
"Size": "1 contract",
"Expiry": "2025-08-01",
"Entry Timing": "Pre-Earnings Close (July 28)",
"Earnings Date": "2025-07-29 BMO",
"Expected Move": "±5%",
"Confidence": "70%"
}
```
---
### ⚖️ Risk/Reward
* Max Risk: 💸 \$1,030
* Max Gain: 🚀 \$1,030
* R/R Ratio: **1:2**
* Lotto-style with tight SL post-ER
---
### 🧭 Execution Plan
* 📅 Buy before close on **July 28**
* ⏰ Close same-day post ER **if target or SL hits**
* ❌ Exit manually if theta crush hits hard
---
### 🗣️ Final Note:
> “Oversold + Strong fundamentals + Positive consensus = Earnings bounce in the making.”
---
📌 Tag your UNH trades
💬 Drop your lotto setups
❤️ Like & repost if you're playing UNH this week!
\#UNH #EarningsPlay #OptionsTrading #TradingView #UNHEarnings #LottoTrade #CallOptions #HealthcareStocks #SwingTrade #RSI #IVRank #MaxPain
UNH WEEKLY TRADE IDEA (07/27/2025)
**🚨 UNH WEEKLY TRADE IDEA (07/27/2025) 🚨**
**Trend: Bearish Bias with Contrarian Options Flow**
🟥 **Technical Breakdown** + 🟩 **Bullish Flow Confusion** = Strategic Put Play
---
📊 **Key Technicals**
🧭 **Daily RSI:** 37.0 ⬇️
📉 **Weekly RSI:** 27.9 ⬇️ = *EXTREME BEARISH MOMENTUM*
📊 **Volume:** 1.2x prior week = *Institutional activity confirmed*
---
📈 **Options Flow Snapshot**
🟢 **Call/Put Ratio:** 1.64 → Normally bullish…
❗BUT in a falling market = **Contrarian noise** (per Gemini & Claude)
---
🔍 **Model Consensus Recap**
✅ All 5 models confirm BEARISH MOMENTUM
📉 Volume confirms downward pressure
❗ Disagreement only on *interpretation* of bullish call flow
📌 **Conclusion:** Put trade favored, but watch for surprise reversals
---
💥 **RECOMMENDED TRADE SETUP (Confidence: 65%)**
🎯 **Play:** Buy-to-Open PUT
* **Strike**: \$270
* **Expiry**: Aug 1, 2025
* **Entry Price**: \~6.10
* **Profit Target**: \$12.00 (🔁 2x Gain)
* **Stop Loss**: \$3.00 (🔻\~50%)
📆 **Entry Timing:** Market Open Monday
📦 **Size:** 1 Contract
---
⚠️ **Key Risks to Monitor:**
* 📈 If UNH moves above \$290 (Max Pain), bearish thesis invalidates
* ⚡ Gamma risk increases mid-week — *manage actively!*
* 📉 Unexpected volume dry-up could stall momentum
---
📌 **JSON FORMAT TRADE DETAILS (For Scripts/Alerts):**
```json
{
"instrument": "UNH",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 270.0,
"expiry": "2025-08-01",
"confidence": 0.65,
"profit_target": 12.00,
"stop_loss": 3.00,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 6.10,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-07-27 20:30:45 EDT"
}
```
---
💡 Summary:
Bearish momentum confirmed across models.
Flow confusion ≠ fade setup — it’s a **calculated put play**.
Trade smart, stay sharp.
🎯 Watch \$290.
💬 Tag fellow traders → \ NYSE:UNH bears unite!
\#UNH #OptionsTrading #BearishSetup #UnusualOptions #GammaRisk #MaxPain #TradingView #StockMarket
UNITEDHEALTH GROUP | THE BEAR'S CLAIM: $UNH PAYS THE PRICE Dec17UNITEDHEALTH GROUP | THE BEAR'S CLAIM: NYSE:UNH PAYS THE PRICE Dec17
UnitedHealth Group, NYSE:UNH , UNH
NYSE:UNH Trends:
NYSE:UNH Weekly Trend: Bearish
NYSE:UNH Daily Trend: Bearish
NYSE:UNH 4H Trend: Bearish
NYSE:UNH 1H Trend: Bearish
NYSE:UNH Price Target Areas:
NYSE:UNH BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $488.75 - $514.75
NYSE:UNH DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $480.00 - $488.75
NYSE:UNH SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $455.00 - $480.00
All indicators are pointing to bearish for $UNH. Looking at the monthly timeframe we can see there is a range that was respected between the levels of 480 up to 555. After price finally broke the level of 555 a new range began. 560 up to 615/620 area. Given the recent news and events; the stock has since seen a deep bearish trend. Momentum has taken price all the way back down to the previous range low of 480. Price currently rests on 480. Bears should seek continuation and target levels of 455/460, or even down to 415. Bulls should look for a reversal marked by breaks over 488.75 on the lower timeframes, or the 549 area for a higher frame reversal.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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