UNH Weekly Options Play – Bearish Setup (7/21/2025)
📉 UNH Weekly Options Play – Bearish Setup (7/21/2025)
RSI Breakdown 📊 | Institutional Hedging? 🤔 | Bearish Trend Confirmed 🚨
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🧠 Multi-Model Analysis Summary
🔻 RSI Trends: Falling daily + weekly RSI → strong bearish momentum
📉 Volume: Consistently negative across models → confirms selling pressure
🧠 Options Flow: High Call/Put ratio (3.01) — debated as bullish hedge vs short cover
📌 Outcome: Consensus bearish, with minor short-term upside risk due to calls
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🎯 TRADE IDEA – UNH $280 PUT
💥 Direction: Bearish
🧾 Strike: $280 Put
📆 Expiry: July 25, 2025
💵 Entry: $2.35
🛑 Stop: $1.18 (≈50% loss cap)
🎯 Target: $4.70 (≈100% gain)
📈 Confidence: 70%
⏰ Entry Time: Market Open
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📎 Why Take This Trade?
✅ RSI + volume = bearish momentum confirmed
✅ Volatility is favorable for option premium expansion
❗️ Watch for gamma near expiry & unexpected institutional sentiment shifts
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📊 TRADE_DETAILS JSON
{
"instrument": "UNH",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 280.0,
"expiry": "2025-07-25",
"confidence": 0.70,
"profit_target": 4.70,
"stop_loss": 1.18,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 2.35,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-07-21 12:49:28 EDT"
}
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🔥 #UNH #OptionsTrade #BearishSetup #WeeklyTrade #PutOptions #InstitutionalFlow #MarketMomentum #VolatilityPlay
Unhshares
UNH Weekly Options Setup – Short-Term Pullback Risk (2025-06-11)📉 UNH Weekly Options Setup – Short-Term Pullback Risk (2025-06-11)
Ticker: NYSE:UNH (UnitedHealth Group)
Bias: Short-Term Bearish
Setup Timing: Market Open | Confidence: 70%
🔍 AI Model Consensus Overview
📍 Price: ~$310.56
📈 Momentum: Strong intraday bullish momentum — price above 10, 50, and 200 EMAs
📉 RSI: 5-min RSI ~79 → overbought
🎯 Max Pain: $300 → potential gravitational pull
🧠 Sentiment Split:
Bullish Models: Grok/xAI & DeepSeek
→ Focus on short-term momentum and trend continuation
Bearish Models: Llama/Meta & Gemini/Google
→ Emphasize overbought conditions & option pressure to steer price toward $300
⚖️ Strategic Summary
All models agree that:
• UNH is technically strong, but very overbought
• Max pain at $300 presents a downside magnet
• Both call and put options have tradable liquidity
Disagreement:
• Bulls see trend continuation
• Bears expect short-term correction before any continuation
✅ Recommended Trade
🎯 Direction: PUT
🛒 Strike: $300
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
💵 Entry Price: $0.60
🎯 Profit Target: $0.90 (+50%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.30 (–50%)
📈 Confidence: 70%
⏰ Entry Timing: Market open
⚠️ Risk Factors
• Continuation of bullish breakout can kill put value fast
• Sharp intraday whipsaws common near RSI extremes
• Price staying pinned above $310 would weaken max pain magnet effect
• Use tight stop-losses and limited position sizing
📣 Do you fade overbought RSI or ride momentum on NYSE:UNH ?
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