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Us30prediction

Trade Idea: US30 Long (BUY LIMIT)Justification: Technical Analysis: 1. Daily Chart: • Strong bullish reversal from recent lows. • MACD is crossing up sharply, showing fresh bullish momentum. • RSI at 62.33 — rising but not yet overbought (room to run). • Price reclaiming key moving averages. 2. 15-Minute Chart: • Clear uptrend continuation. • MACD and RSI confirm bullish momentum. • Price consolidating at recent highs — potential breakout formation. 3. 3-Minute Chart: • Short-term consolidation near highs with low RSI (38.84) — possible dip-buy opportunity. • MACD near zero — primed for a new short-term wave. Fundamental Analysis (as of early May 2025 context): • Likely market optimism surrounding softer inflation data and potential rate cuts. • Dow components (industrials, financials) benefit from economic soft-landing expectations. • VIX (if tracked) remains subdued, confirming risk-on sentiment. ⸻ Trade Plan (Long): • Entry: 42,360 Near current consolidation zone on lower timeframes. • Stop Loss (SL): 41,850 Below recent swing lows and key moving average support (approx. 510 pts risk). • Take Profit (TP): 43,380 Targeting previous resistance area on the Daily chart (approx. 1020 pts reward). FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Long
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade Idea: US30 Short ( SELL STOP )Technical Analysis Overview: 1. Daily Chart: • Price has retraced sharply into resistance (near 41,300–41,400), rejecting the 200-day EMA zone. • MACD still negative but turning up—suggests potential for a failed bounce. • RSI at 55.33—approaching overbought in a corrective move, ripe for reversal. 2. 15-Min Chart: • Bearish divergence forming on RSI with lower highs. • MACD is turning down with momentum fading after a recent high around 41,665. • Price has broken short-term moving average support, with momentum shifting down. 3. 3-Min Chart: • Clear bearish structure with lower highs and lower lows. • MACD and RSI confirm short-term weakness. • Price hovering near local support (around 41,302), if broken, would confirm further downside. ⸻ Fundamental Context (Macro): • FOMC & NFP results (recent) suggest continued uncertainty in interest rate direction. • US manufacturing and employment data have shown mixed signals—equities vulnerable to downside corrections amid macro volatility. • Seasonally, May is often a pullback month (“Sell in May”). ⸻ TRADE IDEA – SHORT US30 • Entry: 41,295 (current price at resistance zone) • Stop-Loss (SL): 41,670 (above recent intraday high and 15-min resistance) • Take-Profit (TP): 40,500 (prior support zone on 15-min chart) FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Short
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade Idea: Long (MARKET)Technical Confluence: Daily Chart: • Strong bullish engulfing recovery from recent support (~37,700). • MACD starting to curl back up from deeply negative levels — possible trend reversal. • RSI recovering above 50 (currently 52.49), suggesting bullish strength resuming. 15-Min Chart: • Sustained uptrend with pullbacks respecting the moving average. • MACD crossing positive territory. • RSI at 64.77 with room to move higher before hitting overbought levels. 3-Min Chart: • Tight consolidation after a sharp breakout to 40,766 — forming a potential bull flag. • RSI at 58.89 — mid-level with upward momentum potential. • MACD histogram shrinking — possible continuation breakout imminent. ⸻ Fundamental Context: • Market Sentiment: U.S. markets are generally supported due to strong earnings reports and decreasing recession fears. Treasury yields have stabilized, and risk appetite is returning. • Upcoming Events: FOMC rate decision is key — bullish bias if they hold or soften tone. ⸻ Trade Details: • Entry: 40,770 • Price is consolidating just under this resistance. Enter on breakout with volume confirmation. • Stop Loss (SL): 40,350 • Below recent support on the 15M chart and under the moving average. Conservative SL with volatility in mind. • Take Profit (TP): 41,450 • Measured move from the flag pattern and aligns with Fibonacci extension and historical resistance. FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Long
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade Idea: US30 Long (BUY LIMIT)Technical Analysis Summary Daily Chart (Macro View) • Price has bounced off a key support near 37,700 and reclaimed the psychological level 40,000. • MACD is starting to reverse higher from oversold conditions, showing early bullish divergence. • RSI is recovering from below 30, now near 49, indicating a potential trend reversal. • Trend: Medium-term recovery from a correction; possible continuation to recent highs around 44,000. 15-Minute Chart (Tactical Entry Zone) • Price has broken a downtrend and is now consolidating above previous resistance at 40,000. • MACD is bullish (histogram rising), and signal lines are above zero. • RSI at 62.6, suggesting bullish momentum but not yet overbought. • White MA shows clear upward curvature. 3-Minute Chart (Precision Entry) • Recent pullback retested the MA and bounced. • RSI at 66, nearing overbought, but price is in clear short-term uptrend. • MACD just crossed bullish again after a small consolidation. ⸻ Fundamental Context • Recent Fed signals suggest potential rate pause or cuts, which is bullish for indices. • Earnings season has generally surprised to the upside, especially among large caps. • Macro backdrop: Slowing inflation + strong labor market = supportive of equities. • Risk appetite is increasing, as seen in tech and industrials rebounding. ⸻ Trade Setup • Position: Long US30 Entry • Buy: 40,200 (current price action confirms upward momentum) Stop Loss (SL) • SL: 39,700 (below recent 15-min swing low & psychological level) Take Profit (TP) • TP1: 41,200 (recent intraday high and near resistance) FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Long
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade Idea: US30 Short (SELL STOP)1. Technical Analysis Daily Chart • Trend: Still overall bullish long-term, but in a short-term pullback phase after peaking. • MACD: Bearish crossover with widening histogram — indicating continued downside momentum. • RSI: At 45.05 — neutral-bearish, room to fall to oversold. • Price: Strong reaction at ~37675.05 area, bounced back to ~39562, forming a potential lower high. 15-Min Chart • MACD: Recently crossed bearish after a sharp rally. • Price Action: Approaching resistance zone (~39562), failed to make a new high. • RSI: 44.78 — leaning bearish, but not oversold yet. 3-Min Chart • MACD: Just flipped bullish but weak — suggesting possible micro pullback before continuation. • RSI: 48.82 — very neutral, no extreme condition. ⸻ 2. Fundamental Context (as of April 2025) • Recent sharp pullback from all-time highs hints at risk-off sentiment returning. • Likely driven by Fed rate uncertainty, inflationary stickiness, or geopolitical jitters. • Earnings season volatility could also play a role. • No strong bullish macro catalyst to support a fresh rally continuation yet. ⸻ 3. Trade Setup: SHORT Position Bias: SHORT Reason: Price hit resistance at 39562, confirmed by 15M MACD cross and RSI weakness. Daily still bearish momentum. No major bullish catalyst. ⸻ ENTRY: 39550 (near current resistance, confirmed failure to break higher) STOP LOSS (SL): 39800 (above recent minor high, above 15M key level) TAKE PROFIT (TP): 38900 — Minor support zone, clean level from 15M + previous consolidation area FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Short
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade Idea: US30 Short (SELL STOP)Technical Analysis Summary: Daily Chart (Macro View): • Trend: Bearish short-term (price is below the moving average, sharp recent drop). • MACD: Bearish momentum building with a deepening histogram. • RSI: At 42.22, pointing down – no oversold condition yet, so further downside is probable. 15-Minute Chart (Mid-Term Momentum): • Trend: Recently broke down from consolidation, failed to reclaim previous high. • MACD: Strong bearish crossover, deep in negative territory. • RSI: At 39.20, not oversold – room to fall. 3-Minute Chart (Entry Timing): • Trend: Weak recovery attempt stalled below moving average. • MACD: Flat to downtrend. • RSI: Around 40, suggesting more downside pressure without being oversold. ⸻ Fundamental Context (if relevant to US30): • Rising geopolitical tensions and weak earnings reports (assumed). • Dovish Fed fading, bond yields rising — bearish for equities. • Fear-driven sentiment often hurts cyclical indices like US30. ⸻ Trade Setup (SHORT): • Entry: 39595 (current price area as per charts). • Stop Loss (SL): 40087 (Above minor resistance and 15M consolidation top) • Take Profit (TP): 38650 (Recent support zone, room for price to breathe before demand zone) FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Short
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade Idea: US30 Short ( SELL LIMIT )Technical Overview: Daily Chart: • Clear downtrend with price sharply rejecting from recent highs (~42890). • MACD shows strong bearish momentum with a widening histogram. • RSI is below 50 at ~45, confirming downside pressure. • Price has broken below a key support level near 40200, now acting as resistance. 15-Min Chart: • Recent lower highs and lower lows. • MACD negative, with RSI nearing oversold (33), suggesting bearish bias but short-term exhaustion. 3-Min Chart: • Sideways chop after a sharp down move, showing bear flag/consolidation pattern. • MACD still negative, RSI around 49—no clear bounce signal. ⸻ Fundamental Overview: • Recent macro uncertainty (possibly due to inflation/Fed comments or geopolitical tensions) likely weighs on risk sentiment. • Bond yields are likely pressuring equities, and the US30 tends to be rate-sensitive. ⸻ Trade Setup: SHORT • Entry: 40250 (if price pulls back slightly into minor resistance zone) • Stop Loss: 40500 (above recent local high on intraday chart) • Take Profit: 39600 (next strong daily support level) FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Short
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade Idea: US30 Long ( BUY LIMIT ) Technical Analysis Summary Daily Chart: • Trend: Recent strong rejection from the 36893 zone followed by a sharp V-reversal; currently recovering, but still under prior highs. • MACD: Deeply negative but showing signs of reversal (momentum slowing). • RSI: At 46.22 — mid-range, suggesting room to go higher. • Bias: Recovery from oversold — bullish short-term momentum within a larger corrective phase. 15-Minute Chart: • Trend: Strong impulse move up from 37092 area to 40395. • MACD: Positive cross and momentum flattening — indicating potential short-term consolidation or continuation. • RSI: 45.36 — still not overbought. Room to push higher. • Bias: Bullish continuation with potential pullback entries. 3-Minute Chart: • Trend: Recent micro consolidation with minor pullbacks. • MACD: Near zero but ticking up, signaling possible small continuation wave. • RSI: 45.87 — similar mid-range, no bearish divergence. • Bias: Short-term bullish scalp opportunity. ⸻ Fundamental Outlook (Macro Context) • Recent Fed tone remains data-dependent, but no immediate rate hike expectations. • Inflation cooling and market anticipating a potential rate cut later this year supports equities. • US earnings season began; early sentiment is optimistic. • Risk-on sentiment may support indices like US30 to grind higher short-term. ⸻ Trade Idea: Long Position Entry: Buy Limit @ 40220 • Just below current price, near recent minor support and EMA bounce zone (15M + 3M confluence). Stop Loss: SL @ 39870 • Below minor support & key structure zone on 15M chart. Take Profit: TP @ 40990 • Next resistance based on Daily chart supply zone and prior rejection area. FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Long
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade Idea : US30 Short ( SELL STOP )Technical Analysis Summary: Daily Chart: • Trend: Strong bearish breakdown; significant drop below support. • MACD: Deeply negative, suggesting strong bearish momentum. • RSI: Oversold at 18.48, indicating exhaustion but not yet reversal. 15-Minute Chart: • Trend: Clear downtrend continuation. • MACD: Bearish crossover sustained. • RSI: Approaching oversold (29.81), but still trending down. 3-Minute Chart: • Trend: Momentum is slowing down but still bearish. • MACD: Negative, bearish crossover. • RSI: Around 33, indicating potential short-term bounce, but no bullish divergence. ⸻ Fundamental Insight: • The broader US30 index has reacted to strong macroeconomic headwinds (possibly higher-for-longer interest rates, weak earnings, or geopolitical tensions). • No signs of dovish reversal or major catalyst for a sharp recovery. ⸻ Trade Idea: SHORT POSITION Entry: 37070 (current price zone—ideal entry on slight retracement) Stop Loss (SL): 37320 (above minor resistance and recent local high) Take Profit (TP): 36350 (strong daily support area and psychological level) Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): • Risk: ~270 points • Reward: ~700 points FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Short
by KeN-WeNzEl
TRADE IDEA: US30 LONG ( BUY LIMIT ) Daily Chart: • RSI: At 24.33, it’s in oversold territory — potential for a reversal. • MACD: Strong bearish momentum, but the histogram may be bottoming out, signaling a potential bullish divergence forming. • Price Action: Testing key support zone near 38300, which was previously a resistance-turned-support area. 15-Minute Chart: • RSI: At 60.68, indicating early bullish momentum. • MACD: Bullish crossover recently occurred; histogram rising — confirming short-term upward trend. • Price Action: Clear bounce from recent lows with higher highs and higher lows forming. 3-Minute Chart: • Momentum clearly shifting up. • Price moving above short-term moving average, showing intraday strength. ⸻ Fundamental Context: • US economic data has recently shown mixed signals, but dovish Fed tone and potential rate cuts in the near future favor equity indices recovery. • No major bearish macro headlines present at this time to sustain the steep drop. ⸻ Trade Parameters: • Entry: 38,390 (current price zone, confirming strength above local consolidation) • Stop Loss (SL): 38,000 (below recent lows and psychological level) • Take Profit (TP): 39,190 (previous supply zone, daily EMA resistance area) • Risk: 390 points • Reward: 800 points • RRR: 2.05:1 FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Long
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade Idea: US30 Long ( BUY STOP ) Technical Analysis: 1. Daily Chart: • US30 is in a pullback phase after a strong uptrend. • The MACD is negative, but price is nearing key support, signaling a potential reversal. • The RSI is at 43.74, close to oversold territory, indicating limited downside risk. 2. 15-Minute Chart: • The MACD is strongly positive, confirming short-term bullish momentum. • A strong bounce from recent lows suggests buyers are stepping in. • The RSI is 55.40, indicating neutral momentum with room to push higher. 3. 3-Minute Chart: • The MACD is slightly negative, but showing signs of bottoming out. • RSI is 49.62, neutral but ready to turn up. • Price is consolidating after a strong move up, suggesting a continuation higher. Fundamental Analysis: • The Dow Jones (US30) has recently rebounded from key support levels, aligning with a strong US economy and moderate Fed policies supporting equity markets. • Global economic conditions remain stable, and institutional buyers are likely stepping in at this level. ⸻ Trade Execution: • Entry: 41,900 (Confirmation of bullish momentum after consolidation) • Stop-Loss (SL): 41,750 (Below recent low, protecting against further downside) • Take-Profit (TP): 42,250 (Targeting recent resistance, maintaining a 2:1 RRR) FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Long
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade Idea: US30 Long ( BUY LIMIT ) Technical Analysis: 1. Daily Chart (Long-Term View): • The price has recently pulled back but remains in a long-term uptrend. • The MACD is negative, indicating past selling pressure, but it is starting to turn, which suggests momentum may shift bullish. • The RSI is at 47.54, close to neutral, meaning there is room for upside movement without being overbought. 2. 15-Minute Chart (Intraday Trend): • The price is recovering after a dip. • MACD is deeply negative, suggesting it may be at a bottom, and a reversal could happen. • The RSI at 48.27 is near neutral, indicating a potential bullish move. 3. 3-Minute Chart (Entry Timing): • A small uptrend has started, and the price is crossing above the short-term moving average. • The MACD is turning positive, signaling a potential bullish push. • RSI is above 50 (56.24), confirming strength in the short term. ⸻ Fundamental Analysis: • Market sentiment remains bullish overall for US indices due to strong economic data. • Dow Jones remains in an uptrend on the higher timeframes, and recent dips are likely just corrections before another push higher. • Liquidity conditions and central bank policy support equities. ⸻ Trade Setup: Entry: 42,400 (current price area where price is stabilizing) Stop Loss (SL): 42,250 (below recent support, keeping risk low) Take Profit (TP): 42,800 (previous resistance level) FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Long
by KeN-WeNzEl
"US30 at a Crossroads: Inflation, Fed Policy, and Market Swings The US30, also known as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), is currently experiencing heightened volatility as investors grapple with mixed economic signals from the U.S. economy. On one hand, strong corporate earnings and resilient consumer spending have provided support, while on the other, concerns over persistent inflation, rising interest rates, and geopolitical tensions have weighed on sentiment. This reflects the broader state of the U.S. economy, which is navigating a delicate balance between slowing growth and inflationary pressures. In the coming months, the US30 is likely to remain sensitive to Federal Reserve policy decisions, particularly regarding rate cuts or hikes, as well as developments in the labor market and global economic conditions. Investors should brace for continued fluctuations, with potential upside if inflation shows signs of easing and downside risks if economic data points to a sharper slowdown. FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade idea: US30 short ( SELL LIMIT )Technical Analysis: 1. Daily Chart: • Trend: Bearish correction after a strong uptrend. • MACD: Negative, showing increasing bearish momentum. • RSI: 38.25, indicating oversold conditions but with room for further downside. • Price Action: The price has broken below the short-term moving average, signaling further weakness. 2. 15-Min Chart: • Trend: Downtrend with lower highs and lower lows. • MACD: Bearish crossover, confirming downward momentum. • RSI: 62.60, indicating price has rebounded but is not yet overbought. • Resistance: Around 41786, which aligns with prior price rejection. 3. 3-Min Chart: • Trend: Recent short-term uptrend, but likely a retracement in the larger bearish structure. • RSI: 77.65 (overbought), indicating a potential short opportunity. • MACD: Bullish but losing momentum. ⸻ Fundamental Analysis: • Recent Market Sentiment: High volatility suggests caution. A larger correction is possible. • Interest Rate & Economic Data: If the Fed remains hawkish, equities could see further declines. • Geopolitical & Economic Risks: Uncertainty in global markets could weigh on the Dow. ⸻ Trade Setup: • Position: Short (Sell) US30 • Entry: 41750 (near resistance on the 15-min chart) • Stop Loss (SL): 41880 (above previous highs, tight risk control) • Take Profit (TP): 41450 (key support level) • Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2:1 FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Short
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade Idea : US30 Sell ( MARKET)1. Technical Analysis Daily Chart • Trend: The index is in a broader downtrend, with a recent pullback from highs around 42890 to 42060. • MACD: Deep in negative territory, suggesting bearish momentum. • RSI: 43.01 — indicating it’s closer to oversold but still has room to fall further before a reversal. 15-Minute Chart • Trend: Short-term uptrend, showing a rally from a dip around 40900 to 42060, but nearing resistance near 42145. • MACD: Positive, but momentum appears to slow down. • RSI: 61.29 — heading toward overbought territory, indicating a potential pullback. 3-Minute Chart • Trend: Micro uptrend, but showing signs of consolidation after the recent strong push. • MACD: Positive but flattening, suggesting momentum is fading. • RSI: 60.10 — also near overbought. ⸻ 2. Fundamental Analysis • Market Sentiment: Recent rallies seem more like a technical rebound rather than a fundamentally-driven bullish push. • Geopolitical/Economic Factors: If the broader market sentiment remains uncertain (e.g., interest rate worries, inflation data), the US30 could face further downward pressure. • Dollar Strength: A strong USD typically weighs on US equities, which aligns with the bearish technical outlook. ⸻ 3. Trade Setup: Short Position (Sell) • Entry: 42080 (near current price, just under resistance) • Stop Loss (SL): 42150 (just above the last 15-min resistance level) • Take Profit (TP): 41700 (previous support on the 15-min chart) FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Short
by KeN-WeNzEl
2
US30 finally breaking down? (sells from 39000.0)My bias for US30 this week is bullish, anticipating a further upward movement before encountering a 2-hour supply zone around 39000.0. Afterward, I expect a slowdown and distribution within this area before a potential downward move. Upon receiving confirmation on lower time frames, selling could target the new trendline liquidity above the 23-hour demand zone. If this scenario doesn't unfold initially, I'll wait for a break in structure to the downside to buy back up, as the overall trend remains bullish. My confluences for US30 Sells are as follows: - Price changed character to the downside on the higher time frame - Lots of liquidity to the downside i.e. trend line liquidity and equal lows. - We've experienced lots of bullish pressure and now bulls are getting exhausted. - Nice supply zone left on the 2 hourly that caused the move to the downside. - In order for price to keep going up it must retrace for healthy price action to continue. P.S. Given the shift in price action to the downside on higher time frames, it appears that a bearish trend is beginning as bullish momentum wanes. Nonetheless, it's crucial to stay flexible and responsive to price movements, adapting to whichever direction it ultimately takes.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by Hassan_fx