USDCHF Forming Descending ChannelUSDCHF is currently moving within a well-defined descending channel on the daily timeframe. The structure has been respecting this pattern for several months, and we are now approaching a potential breakout zone. Price recently tapped the midline of the channel and showed early signs of bullish rejection. I'm closely monitoring this pair as it builds momentum for a possible bullish reversal, either from a deeper retest at the lower channel boundary or directly breaking above the upper trendline.
On the fundamental side, today's shift in sentiment around the US dollar is quite clear. After a series of weaker US inflation reports and growing market anticipation of a Fed rate cut, USD has come under pressure. However, the Swiss franc is also showing signs of weakness, especially after the Swiss National Bank became the first major central bank to cut interest rates earlier this year and is likely to remain dovish through the remainder of 2025. This monetary policy divergence creates space for USDCHF to rally as investors price in a potential stabilization or rebound in the dollar.
Risk sentiment also plays a role here. With global equities slightly pulling back and geopolitical tensions simmering, safe haven demand is mixed. While CHF typically benefits in risk-off environments, the lack of recent SNB hawkishness gives USDCHF bulls a clearer edge, especially if US data stabilizes or improves.
Technically, I’m anticipating a potential false break to the downside before a sharp bullish wave toward 0.8300 and beyond. Momentum indicators are flattening, and with volume starting to pick up on bullish candles, this setup has potential. I’ll be looking to add further confirmation as price approaches the lower trendline or breaks out with clean structure. Keep a close eye — this setup could turn into a strong profit opportunity in the coming days.
