USD/CHF BUYING at .9036I have rules that I try to stick to when I'm trading but I'm also happy to break them if the conditions are right.
Since early this morning the USD/CHF has sold off aggressively, encouraged by the weak(ish) Prelim GDP that came in 1.3% against 1.2% but it looks like the market was expecting better.
The mood for USD BULLS wasn't lightened 90 minutes later when the Pending Home Sales missed by a distance coming in -7.7% against expected -1.1%.
So all day we've seen USD/CHF sell off, so much so, that the RSI on H1 has been under 30 and even under 20 for some time.
However.
All BULL and BEAR runs must inevitably end at some time and it looks as if USD/CHF BEARS are reaching exhaustion and liquidating their SHORT trades.
I'm in long which is somewhat jumping the gun I'll freely admit and although the ANdean Oscillator is mildly BULLISH on 1m and 5m time frames, we have no confirmation on 15m but I believe its going to happen.
The last 5 candles on 15m have all been doji indecision candles and it would be a surprise if USD/CHF BEARS could drive the price further south from here and the path of least resistance is north.
As we can get a tight STOP just under the low, and the reward is high, this is a trade worth taking.
Target is unknown as this will depend on the price action if we see BUYERS step in from these levels.
Usdchfsignal
DeGRAM | USDCHF decline on the breakoutUSDCHF is moving under an ascending channel.
The price broke through the trend lines and the lower boundary of the channel.
The chart dropped under the support level and broke the ascending structure.
We expect the decline to continue.
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USDCHFThe USD/CHF price action is showing a bullish move on the 4-hour timeframe after breaking out from a double bottom neckline. The recent impulse move has retracmentto 38%, aligning with the key B point. The price appears to be following an Elliott Wave ABC correction pattern, indicating potential further upside.
USDCHF Short Trade Setup A #short trade opportunity recently presented itself on the #dollarswissy (#USDCHF) #trading chart 📉.
This is indicated by the #bearish engulfing candlestick 🕯️ pattern just below the 0.91081 horizontal resistance level.
This indicates a rejection of the same level, with potential price move in the downward 👇 ⬇️ direction (#sell).
Sufficient downward momentum should see price dumping towards the 0.90000 psychological level and possibly testing the strength of the 0.89955 horizontal support level.
As always, please apply appropriate risk management.
Happy trading!
#majorpair
USDCHFThe USD/CHF pair is showing a bearish move in the 4-hour timeframe, having declined over 60 pips, likely completing a 50% retracement of the last bullish impulse. This suggests a potential short-term bearish continuation. However, for the long term, the price may resume its bullish trend once the retracement phase is completed.
USDCHF expecting a short liquidationUSDCHF gives me bullish vibe. I see a possibile short liquidation in the next days, considering that most of the retail are short. Looking at the chart, USDCHF is trying to bounce back up from main daily trendline. I think we can see a possible 200/250 pips rally to the upside before looking for a reversal pattern. Risk reward is not one of my best, but i am entering for a swing trade that i am confident to hold and i expect to go with stops at break even before the end of this week
Perfect setup, bad luck USDCHFI posted this setup some days ago and i was monitoring this pair. I placed a sell limit order at 0.9230, and unfortunately entry wasn't trigger for some pips. I will look for a new entry short as soon as i will find an opportunity, even if i expect 0.92 to be touched again in the coming weeks.
USDCHF BIG BULLISH MOVE AHEAD!!!HELLO TRADERS!!!
As I can see this chart is show us a big incoming bullish move in this pair as we can see weekly based chart it has to test the given resistance price zone given as TP USDCHF is now trading above the support zone and respecting the uptrend line it can be 4h support and daily based broken resistances now. let's see what markets brings share Ur thoughts with us we appreciate Ur support and love.
STAY TUNED!
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USDCHF Short Trade Setup A #short trade opportunity recently presented itself on the #dollarswissy (#USDCHF) #trading chart 📉.
This is indicated by the #bearish harami candlestick 🕯️ pattern just below the 0.91593 horizontal resistance level.
This indicates a rejection of the same level, with potential price move in the downward ⬇️ direction (#sell).
Sufficient downward momentum should see price dumping towards the 0.90000 psychological level and possibly testing the strength of the 0.89955 horizontal support level.
As always, please apply appropriate risk management.
Happy trading!
#majorpair
USDCHF Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe USD/CHF currency pair has exhibited bullish tendencies on the higher time frame. Currently, we are witnessing a significant retracement as price has encountered resistance. In the accompanying video, we explore a potential trading opportunity, contingent upon the development of favorable price action. We identify key support and resistance levels, along with an optimal entry point based on a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. The discussion encompasses chart patterns, price action analysis, and a particular form of price behavior that, if advantageous, would warrant market entry. As a disclaimer, the information provided is solely for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading carries inherent risks, and it is imperative to implement sound risk management practices at all times.
USDCHF - Look for a sell ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 1H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block.
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USDCHF - Long after filling the imbalance ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. My point of interest is if price makes a retracement to fulfill the imbalance lower and then rejects from bullish order block + institutional mid figure 0.90500.
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USDCHF - A Godsend In addition to my longer-term swing trade (if not already a position trade) in the form of a USDCHF long with a profit target of +760 pips, seen here
I am also entering a "shorter-term" USDCHF long trade here at 0.83600, with a target of 0.87100.
Thus a good +340 pips would be possible here.
The probability that the weakness of the USDCHF will also come to an end by the end of the year tomorrow at the latest is exorbitantly high and the CRV at these levels is more palatable than ever.
Otherwise, the fundamental reasons remain the same as in the longer-term trade above.
-> The SNB will no longer be happy with the current levels of the CHF as soon as it returns from its skiing holiday in the Swiss Alps.
FX Wars Episode 5 - The (USD) Empire strikes back!I go long the USD vs CHF here from 0.843.
I give the trade a high probability of 80% to be a winner, lets see!
Once upon a time in an FX universe far, far away...
The (supposedly) evil US(D) empire was pushed to the brink of defeat by the CHF rebellion, but "something" suddenly happened...
...life stirred into the USD again and it was sent back to fulfil its task (the bondage of all other currencies).
What that "something" was I will unravel after the (profitable) end of this trade.
USD facts:
- The market is pricing in almost 7 rate cuts for 2024
-> this is diametrically opposed to the expectations of the FED members, who expect a total of 3 rate cuts for 2024
- Is the market once again too euphoric here and is frontrunning itself with possible rate cut fantasies?
-> I would like to leave this question open for now, as I also expect more than 3 interest rate cuts by the FED in 2024
But the fact is: market expectations can only be fulfilled if either
A) there is a recession in the USA and or
B) inflation permanently falls below the 2% mark
CHF view:
The SNB is currently on Christmas holiday and is probably letting loose while skiing in the Swiss mountains followed by apres-ski party hits.
But as soon as the party is over and the hangover is felt all the harder in the new year, the Swiss National Bank will have a heart attack when it looks at the value of the franc.
-> It is now more "overvalued" than it was during the corona crisis, when the SNB had to intervene to actively weaken the CHF
- Now these are completely different circumstances under which the SNB has to operate and yet it can be anything but satisfied with the strength of the franc...
More on this later in the comments...
SHORT USD/CHF from .9040Apround the 13th March the price of USD/CHF broke through the key 200 EMA on the H1 time frame. Around the 20th March, the price returned to the 200 and this acted as solid support.
AT the end of last week, we saw the price return to the 200 and make several attempts to break through. Although these BEARISH breaks were successful they were met with determined BULLISH replies and price moved back above the 200 but did not make any further progress north.
A look at the charts currently (13:30 9/4/24) sees the price of USD/CHF being squeezed back under the 200 by the 100, 50 and 25 EMA.
This is significant.
This indicates that USD/CHF are losing the battle to holf the 200 and I~m now in SHORT from .9040.
Currently (on H1 time frame) the 25 50 and 100 EMA's are reading .9018/.9021/9016 and I expect/anticipate that we'll see the 25, 50 and 100 EMA's begin to cross over each other (south) and in an hour or two we will see the faster EMA's start attacking the 200 which would be very BEARISH for USD/CHF.
Adding to this anlaysis is:
a). price is now under the 200 EMA.
b). RSI declining
c). Fast and slow MACD lines crossing south over the zero line
d). Andean Oscillator red SELL line rising as the green BUY line declines.
All in all its hard to see where USD/CHF can go other than south from these levels.