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Usdcnhbreakout

Yuan USDCNH - Wave 3 of 3 - Motive WaveSince the start of the trade war between the US and China, the Chin. Yuan has already depreciated by 8% against the US dollar. This will make Chinese products cheaper and thus cushion the US tariffs. At the same time, all US products will be 8% more expensive, plus tariffs. At the same time, US dollar-based loans are becoming more expensive and are likely to worsening the financial situation of a number of Chinese companies and thus lead to market consolidation. As you can see in the timetable, the pattern is Impulsive and the yuan is inside of the (3) circled 3. The RSI is already in the overvalued area so I expect shortly that wave (3) end and a subsequent correction wave (4) start. Best Regards Stefan Bode P.S. Do not forget to agree.
Long
by StefanBode
Yuan weakness is not being confirmed by divergent Dim Sum bondsUSDCNH may be due for a correction towards 6.60. The Yuan has weakened to 6.70 per dollar and the pair appears overbought on a weekly and daily basis. Having failed to provide a confirmatory close above this key level, we may see a correction towards the 38% Fibonacci retracement level standing at 6.6056 In the meantime, the highly correlated Dim Sum bond ETF (inverted) has failed to make higher-highs in sync with the USDCNH rate's attempt. Combined with negative RSI divergence on the weekly chart, it may be foolish to buy before we see confirmation from the bond market or technical retracement to 6.6056 or lower. Disclosure: Long USDCNH remains one of my high-conviction ideas and has been a core position
by JamesHelliwell