XAU/USD : Gold at a Turning Point – Rejection or Breakout Ahead?By analyzing the TVC:GOLD (XAUUSD) chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that price climbed to $3330 today, entering a key supply zone, which triggered a pullback down to $3310. Gold is now trading around $3317, and I’m watching several potential setups closely.
Scenario 1:
If gold stabilizes below $3320, we could see a bearish move toward $3296.
Scenario 2:
If price breaks above the $3333 resistance, it may enter the next supply zone between $3341 and $3351, which could trigger a strong rejection—potentially offering a 100 to 400 pip move.
Now let’s break down the key levels to watch:
Supply zones: $3320, $3333, $3342, $3358
Demand zones: $3303, $3296, $3289, $3278
Monitor how price reacts to each of these zones — they may provide excellent opportunities.
USDJPY
Volatile Times for GBPJPY: What’s Going On Behind the Moves?Good morning, Guys,
I’m anticipating a new short opportunity on GBPJPY once the pair reaches my sell zone level. From there, my target is set at 197.934.
Every like from you is what truly motivates me to keep sharing these insights.
Massive thanks to everyone who shows love and support!
Heading into pullback resistance?The USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 148.44
1st Support: 143.24
1st Resistance: 151.23
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USDJPY 4Hour TF - July 13th, 2025USDJPY 7/13/2025
USDJPY 4Hour Neutral Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bearish
Daily - Bearish
4Hour - Bullish
Finally UJ is looking more clear. We’re now able to drop to the 4Hour instead of the Daily TF due to price action reaching a major zone of anticipated reactions.
As always we’re looking at two trade scenarios going into the week ahead:
Bullish Continuation - UJ is currently sitting at 147.500 resistance and closed there last week. Going into this week we could see the bullish trend continue but we would need to see a clear break of 147.500 resistance to gain confidence. Look for a higher low confirmed above 147.500 followed by strong bullish setups to enter long on. Look to target higher toward major resistance levels like 149.250 area.
Bearish Reversal: Despite the strong bullish momentum we saw from last week, a reversal is still possible as price action is near our 147.250 zone. In order to consider bearish setups we would need to see strong rejection from the current level of resistance. Look to target lower toward 145.000 support.
USD/JPY) LOGN TIME Analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the daily timeframe, highlighting a long-term downtrend reversal with potential for significant upside.
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Analysis Summary
Pair: USD/JPY
Timeframe: Daily
Current Price: 147.442
Bias: Bullish breakout from a descending wedge structure.
---
Key Technical Insights
1. Descending Trendline Break:
Price has broken above the long-term downtrend line, signaling a reversal.
Breakout area is circled in yellow, confirming bullish intent.
2. Trendline & Structure Support:
Multiple rejections from the ascending support trendline (marked by green arrows) confirm accumulation and higher lows.
3. 200 EMA as Dynamic Resistance/Support:
Price is now above the 200 EMA (147.920) — a bullish signal, turning resistance into support.
4. RSI (14):
RSI at 62.99, approaching overbought territory, but still has room to push further.
---
Target Point
Target: 158.951
Based on measured move from wedge breakout and historical resistance level.
---
Trade Setup Idea
Direction Entry Stop-Loss Target
Buy 147.40–147.60 Below 145.80 158.95
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
This chart signals a major bullish breakout on USD/JPY, with the break of a year-long downtrend structure, reclaiming the 200 EMA. If this breakout sustains, price could aim for 158.95 in the coming weeks.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
USD/JPY "The Ninja Heist" – Bullish Loot Grab!🌟 Hey, Thieves & Market Bandits! 🌟
💰 Ready to raid the USD/JPY "The Gopher" vault? 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental heist analysis), here’s the master plan to swipe bullish profits before the market turns against us! Escape near the high-risk Yellow MA Zone—overbought, consolidation, and bear traps ahead! 💸 "Take the money and run—you’ve earned it!" 🏆🚀
🕵️♂️ Heist Strategy:
📈 Entry (Bullish Raid):
The vault’s unlocked! Buy any price—this heist is LIVE!
Pullback lovers: Set buy limits at recent/swing lows for extra loot.
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route):
Thief SL at recent/swing low (4H/Day trade basis).
Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and multiple orders.
🎯 Target (Profit Escape):
147.500 (or flee earlier if bears ambush!)
⚔️ Scalpers’ Quick Strike:
LONG ONLY! If rich, attack now. If not, join swing traders & rob slowly.
Trailing SL = Your bodyguard! 💰🔒
💥 Why This Heist?
USD/JPY "The Ninja" is bullish due to key factors—check:
📌 Fundamental + Macro + COT Report
📌 Quantitative + Sentiment + Intermarket Analysis
📌 Future Targets & Overall Score (Linkks In the profile!) 🔗🌍
🚨 Trading Alert (News = Danger!):
Avoid new trades during news—volatility kills!
Trailing SL saves profits on running positions.
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Stay tuned—another heist is coming soon! 🤑🎯
USD/JPY Profit Heist – Are You In or Missing Out?"🔥💰 "USD/JPY NINJA HEIST: Bullish Loot Before the Trap! (Thief Trading Style)" 💰🔥
🌟 Attention Market Robbers & Profit Takers! 🌟
🚨 Thief Trading Alert: USD/JPY "The Ninja" is primed for a BULLISH HEIST!
Based on our stealthy technical & fundamental analysis, we’re locking in a long entry strategy. The plan? Loot profits before the RED ZONE danger hits! Overbought? Maybe. Risky? Sure. But the real robbery happens before the bears wake up! 🏴☠️💸
🎯 ENTRY: The Vault is OPEN!
Buy Limit Orders: Swipe the dip on pullbacks or jump in at key swing lows.
Aggressive? Enter now & ride the wave!
🛑 STOP LOSS (Thief-Style Escape Plan):
Swing Low (5H TF): 143.600 (Adjust based on your risk & lot size!)
Multiple orders? Scale SL wisely—don’t get caught!
🎯 TARGETS:
Main Take-Profit: 151.000 (Or escape earlier if the trap triggers!)
Scalpers: Only play LONG—trail your SL & lock in quick loot!
📢 SCALPERS & SWING TRADERS:
Got deep pockets? Ride the wave now!
Small account? Join the swing heist & rob the trend slowly!
📈 WHY USD/JPY?
Bullish momentum + Macro/Fundamental tailwinds!
COT Report, Sentiment, & Intermarket Analysis all hint at more upside! go ahead to check 👉🔗🌏
⚠️ WARNING: NEWS = VOLATILITY!
Avoid new trades during high-impact news!
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More boosts = More robberies = More profits for YOU!
Stay tuned—next heist coming soon! 🚀💰
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USDJPY M15 Support & Resistance Levels🚀 Here are some key zones I've identified on the 15m timeframe.
These zones are based on real-time data analysis performed by a custom software I personally developed.
The tool is designed to scan the market continuously and highlight potential areas of interest based on price action behavior and volume dynamics.
Your feedback is welcome!
USDJPY Analysis : Major Move Loading Towards Target Zone🕵️♂️ Overview
The USDJPY pair is approaching a critical turning point within a well-established descending channel structure. After several months of corrective movement and internal structure shifts, the market is now displaying multiple layers of confluence pointing toward an impending major reaction or reversal. Let’s break down this chart step by step.
🧱 Market Structure Analysis
🔹 Descending Channel:
The entire chart is governed by a broad descending channel, with price making lower highs and lower lows since early March.
Each touch of the channel support has led to a bounce, and the price is now once again near channel resistance, creating a possible reaction zone.
🔹 Volume Contraction Phase:
In the mid-section of the chart, we observe volume contraction, indicating liquidity drying up and buyers/sellers entering a phase of uncertainty.
This contraction is typical in accumulation or re-accumulation phases, which often precede strong impulsive moves — exactly what followed here.
🧩 Structural Breaks and Trendline Clarity
🔸 Minor Break of Structure:
A recent high was taken out in early July, marking a minor break of structure (BOS), showing the first signs of bulls taking short-term control.
🔸 Major Break of Structure:
A more significant high (marked on the chart) has also been broken, confirming a major BOS — this implies institutional positioning or a shift in market sentiment.
🔸 Trendline Break – Extra Confirmation:
The bullish push came after breaking a clean internal trendline, which acted as diagonal resistance.
Once this trendline broke, price aggressively accelerated upward — this is a classic market maker cycle (MMC) Phase 2 (expansion) move.
📍 Confluence at Next Reversal Zone (149.00 – 150.00)
The green highlighted zone is the next potential area for bearish pressure to return, based on:
Key Supply Zone: Historical area where sellers previously dominated.
Channel Resistance Confluence: Top of the descending channel aligns with this zone.
Psychological Level: 150.00 is a major psychological round number — often attracts profit-taking and institutional activity.
Fibonacci (if plotted): Likely 78.6% – 88.6% retracement from last swing high.
Overextended Rally: Price has rallied strongly since early July with very little correction — it’s approaching exhaustion.
🔄 Market Maker Cycle (MMC) Alignment
This move perfectly reflects the Market Maker Cycle:
Accumulation: During volume contraction phase.
Manipulation: Fakeouts near channel support to trap shorts.
Expansion: Break of structure + trendline, aggressive rally.
Distribution (Next): Likely to occur at the 149–150 zone with a sharp rejection.
🧠 Trader’s Plan – What to Look For
📈 If Bullish:
Targets: 148.80 to 149.80 zone
Hold until rejection signs (bearish candles, volume spikes, divergences)
SL: Below recent swing low/trendline (~146.00)
📉 If Bearish (After Rejection):
Watch for:
Strong bearish engulfing candle or shooting star
RSI/MACD divergence (not shown but suggested)
Break of short-term ascending trendline
Targets: Back toward 145.50 or mid-channel (dynamic)
🔖 Summary
USDJPY is showing clear signs of bullish exhaustion near the upper channel resistance and major structure levels. If price respects this zone (149–150), expect a healthy corrective leg or full reversal. Multiple layers of technical evidence, including structure breaks, trendline breach, and MMC phases, are aligning for a high-probability play.
This is a textbook setup for experienced traders watching key zones with proper confirmations.
USDJPY Is Very Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 147.419.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 146.283 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDJPY: More Growth Ahead! 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY broke and closed above a minor daily resistance
with a confirmed BoS.
The next strong resistance is 148.0
It is going to be the next goal for bulls.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD/JPY - H1- Wedge Breakout (07.07.2025)The USD/JPY pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 148.00
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USD-JPY Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY keeps growing but
A strong horizontal resistance
Is ahead around 148.500
So after the retest we will
Be expecting a local
Bearish correction on Monday!
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish From now Price : 146.350
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
USDJPY The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 147.41
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 146.00
Safe Stop Loss - 148.14
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
ETH/USD BUY SETUP 1-HOUR Based on the chart we provided (ETH/USD 1H from TradingView), here’s a technical analysis for potential Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels:
🟢 Buy Setup Analysis (From the yellow demand/support zone)
Entry Zone:
Around $2,556 – $2,563 (current price zone and consolidation before projected breakout)
Stop Loss (SL):
Just below the yellow support zone:
🔻 $2,320 – $2,350
(Safe buffer under the strong support area marked by blue arrows)
Take Profit Levels (TP):
1. 🥇 TP1: $2,600 – $2,610
Just below the resistance level formed previously (also at the consolidation zone)
2. 🥈 TP2: $2,735 – $2,745
Matches previous significant rejection point (marked by red arrows)
3. 🥉 TP3 (Max Target): $2,754 – $2,760
Major resistance area, strong supply zone
🔴 Risk Management Summary:
Parameter Value
Entry $2,556 – $2,563
SL $2,320 – $2,350
TP1 $2,600
TP2 $2,735
TP3 $2,754
🛡 Risk/Reward Ratio: At least 1:2 or better if targeting TP2 or TP3.
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 11, 2025 USDJPYThe dollar is holding steady at 146.500 against the yen: another rise in US yields and stable demand for safe US assets following comments from the Fed are fueling appetite for the USD, while demand for the JPY remains sluggish.
The tariff front exacerbates the imbalance: the White House has already imposed 25% tariffs on Japanese goods, and new ideas for “umbrella” tariffs are heightening fears of a trade war, forcing investors to flow into financing currencies. Reuters notes that the yen weakened to 146.400, recording a weekly decline of more than 1%.
At the same time, the Bank of Japan is not yet ready for aggressive tightening: a decline in inflation to 1.8% y/y and weak real wage dynamics make it difficult to raise rates above 0.5%. The divergence in monetary policy and expectations for Japanese macro data (machine tool orders, industrial production) until July 14 form the fundamental basis for the pair's growth to 147.500 and above, while the risks of correction are limited to the 145.900 zone.
Trading recommendation: BUY 146.500, SL 145.900, TP 147.500
GBPJPY - Multi Year SHORTS Coming! (Over 10,000pips)Here we have the 2 month chart of GBPJPY. We can see that we're in a massive ending diagonal made up of 5 waves.
We are currently on wave 4 and have almost completed. At the moment we are working within the parameters of a channel however we must be aware that we may exceed the channel. The channel is just there for us to use as a guideline.
In 2007, we have a really nice ending diagonal (expanding) before we made that ridiculous +13k pip drop.
See below for the 2D GBPJPY chart from 2007:
We can see that the lower timeframe diagonal broke down beautifully.
We are anticipating something similar this time round!
See below for the 2D GBPJPY chart of the current diagonal:
We've got an almost identical price action as 2007. We just got to wait a little and watch for the break of the red trendline and enter and hold.
See below for the 2week chart of GBPJPY:
Trade Idea:
- Watch for a break of the ending diagonal
- Alternatively, you can wait for a pullback after the ending diagonal breaks
- stop loss above highs once entry trendline breaks
- Swing Target: 100 (10,000pips)
What do you guys think?
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
GBPJPY - Multi-Year Short Update! In our last setup for GBPJPY, we identified a massive diagonal pattern, with price completing wave 4 and preparing for a multi-year drop into wave 5.
Since then, price has played out exactly as forecasted — we've seen a clean impulse lower for wave 1, followed by an ABC correction for wave 2, which looks to have now completed.
This sets the stage for the next major leg — wave 3 of 5 — which historically carries the most power and momentum.
📉 See monthly chart here:
📊 GBP/JPY Wave‑3 Trade Idea
Background:
We’ve completed wave 1 down and wave 2 up (ABC correction).
GBPJPY is now positioned to start a powerful wave 3 down — the most impulsive leg in an Elliott sequence.
🔍 Current Price Action:
Price is rejecting major resistance (previous wave A high + shaded zone)
Structure shows a completed 5-wave move up within C, suggesting exhaustion.
A clean ascending trendline (red) has formed under wave v — a break here signals the first confirmation.
Option 1 – Aggressive Entry:
- Trigger: Break and close below the red trendline (~198.00–197.80 zone) on the daily.
- Entry: On candle close below trendline
- Stop Loss: Above recent high ~199.80 and then breakeven once we move lower
Option 2 – Conservative Entry (preferred):
- Trigger: Trendline break + correction
- Entry: On bearish confirmation and then a correction to indicate further downside
- Stop Loss: Above recent high ~199.80 and then breakeven once we move lower
Take Profit Levels:
- TP1: 192
- TP2: 180
- TP3: 175
- Final Target: Trail for extended move toward wave (3) lows (could be 10,000+ pips over long term)
🔐 Invalidation:
Daily close back above 200.00 or impulsive rally beyond the pink resistance zone invalidates the short bias in the short term.
✅ Summary:
This is a high-conviction, structure-backed setup with:
- Wave count + Fib confluence
- Bearish structure at key resistance
- Confirmation-based trigger (trendline break + retest)
- Excellent long-term risk-to-reward profile
📂 Previous GBPJPY Setups (Track Record):
📌 Free Setup (Big Picture Outlook) – Multi-Year Shorts Incoming (Wave 4 Completion)
✅ Swing 1 – 1,200 Pips (VIP GBPJPY Long)
✅ Swing 2 – 1,000 Pips (VIP GBPJPY Short)
✅ Swing 3 – 1,100 Pips (VIP GBPJPY Short)
✅ Swing 4 – 700 Pips (VIP GBPJPY Short)
USD/JPY Possible Bear Scenario🔍 Analysis Summary:
USDJPY has failed to close above 146.1 on the weekly for the past 13 candles, showing clear signs of price exhaustion at this level. Price has also tapped into a marked 8HR bearish order block and printed a Daily Pin Bar — a strong reversal signal indicating potential downside.
📍Key Technicals:
• Resistance Holding: 146.1–146.6 zone
• Bearish Rejection: Pin Bar off resistance + order block
• Risk Area (Stop Zone): Above 147.16
• Target Zones: 144.2 (interim) → 142.4 (swing level)
🛠 Confluence:
• Order block rejection
• Multi-week resistance
• Clean structure with defined R:R
• Bearish candlestick confirmation
📊 Timeframe: 8HR
📉 Bias: Short
🔐 Risk Management: Proper stop loss in place above structure. Use personal risk limits.
⸻
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This setup is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Always conduct your own analysis and use risk management based on your personal trading plan.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/JPY has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 146.50
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 147.17
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Take profit: 145.21
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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