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USDJPY

GBP/USD : Get Ready for Another Fall!By analyzing the GBP/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after reaching 1.36800—filling the targeted FVG as expected—the price faced selling pressure once again and has since dropped to around 1.35690. The first target at 1.35630 is now within reach. After collecting liquidity below this level and a possible short-term bounce, we can expect another bearish continuation on GBPUSD. Key supply zones to watch are 1.36180–1.36465 and 1.36940. Key demand zones are located at 1.35630, 1.35100, and 1.34880. THE MAIN ANALYSIS :
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
14
Yen Falls After Trump's 25% Tariff on JapanThe Japanese yen weakened beyond 146 per dollar on Tuesday, hitting a two-week low after President Trump confirmed a 25% tariff on Japanese imports starting August 1, lower than the earlier 35% threat but still above the standard 10%. Japan’s Prime Minister Ishiba pledged to keep negotiating for a favorable outcome. Although Japan’s May current account surplus came in stronger than expected, disappointing wage growth limited hopes for further Bank of Japan rate hikes, adding pressure on the yen. Key resistance is at 146.20; major support at 144.85.
by ChartMage
USDJPY Structural Analysis : Breakout Demand Play + Target🗺️ Market Structure & Key Technical Zones On the USDJPY 4-hour timeframe, the market is clearly respecting smart money levels and giving us an ideal case study of institutional demand, trend continuation, and liquidity engineering. 🔰 1. Major Support Zone (142.500 – 143.200): This zone acted as a high-value area where price consolidated previously before rallying. It has been tested multiple times and each touch has led to a strong bullish reaction, indicating accumulation by large players. Think of this zone as the market’s base camp — when price visits it, big money steps in to reload longs. 🔰 2. Channel Formation & Breakout: A clean bullish channel formed mid-June, with price respecting both bounds while gradually climbing. Once the channel was broken with strong volume (noted by the breakout candle), it suggested a shift from controlled bullish flow to an impulsive move — a change in pace that often indicates smart money is active. 🧱 Institutional Concepts in Action 🔵 QFL (Quick Flip Level): This area marks a prior consolidation or sideways action that gets aggressively broken. In this chart, price dipped to a QFL zone then sharply reversed — suggesting a trap for early shorts and a liquidity grab before moving up. A classic “manipulation → accumulation → expansion” sequence. 🟦 Breaker Demand (BR Demand): This is where previous resistance has flipped into new support. Breaker blocks are extremely important in identifying where institutions may re-enter positions. Price respected this area before continuing higher — confirming bullish control. Price tapped into this BR demand, showed low-wick rejections, and moved strongly, signaling confidence from large orders. 📊 Volume Burst Zone (~147.2–147.7): This zone has historically seen high volume and sudden price acceleration. Price is re-approaching it now. This is where a lot of pending orders and take-profits are likely clustered — expect strong reactions here. 📈 Current Price Action Price is climbing along a clean bullish trendline, reinforcing current momentum. Price has broken previous structure highs and is now making higher highs and higher lows — a textbook bullish trend. Buyers are in control as long as the price continues to respect: The bullish trendline The BR demand zone (~145.5) 🔮 Projection & Potential Scenarios 🟢 Bullish Continuation Case: If current momentum holds, the price is likely to push toward the Next Reversal Zone (148.500–149.000). This zone aligns with multiple confluences: Fibonacci extension targets Previous high liquidity trap zone Potential institutional profit-taking level Expect this zone to cause a reversal or deep pullback. 🔴 Bearish Breakdown Case: If price breaks below the BR Demand Zone and closes under the trendline, expect a drop back toward the Central Zone (~144.8–145.0), or even deeper into the Major Support Zone. This would shift market structure back to neutral or bearish depending on volume and rejection patterns. 📌 Summary: ✅ Bias: Bullish 🎯 Short-Term Target: 147.5 (volume burst area) 🧱 Key Support: 145.50 (breaker demand) ❗ Trendline Break = Red Flag 🏁 Final Reversal Zone: 148.500–149.000 💬 Final Thoughts This chart is a brilliant example of smart money accumulation and market engineering. USDJPY continues to respect well-defined zones, presenting high-probability opportunities for traders who understand structure and patience. This setup is NOT about chasing price — it's about following the footprints of volume, breakout structure, and institutional intent. Stick to the plan and manage risk around key invalidation zones.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
DeGRAM | USDJPY formed the triangle📊 Technical Analysis ● Price defended the 142.80 confluence (triangle base + channel median), printing a bullish hammer and reclaiming the short-term trendline; structure now forms an ascending triangle inside the broader consolidation. ● Momentum is rising toward 146.50 – the pattern’s 1:1 swing and prior supply – with the next objective the upper triangle wall at 148.10. Invalid if candles fall back under 142.80. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Rebound in US ISM manufacturing and Fed minutes hinting “no near-term cuts” lifted 2-yr yields, while weak Japanese wage growth keeps the BoJ patient. The widening policy gap revives USD/JPY bid. ✨ Summary Long 143.4-144.1; targets 146.5 then 148.1. Exit on a 4 h close below 142.8. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
USDJPY h4 strongly downBearish Expectation Disruption / Bullish Counterpoint Resistance (147.5) Rejection and drop Breakout and continuation toward 148.5+ Breakout FVG Fakeout and reversal True breakout — bullish trend continues Bullish Zone (~144) Clean break below Accumulation zone, strong buying interest may emerge Target (~143) Next leg down May not be reached if price stabilizes above 145 Support (~142.5) Final drop destination Could become irrelevant if trend flips decisively bullish Original Assumption: Market is behaving in isolation from fundamentals. Disruption: If U.S. data (e.g., strong NFP, CPI, or Fed commentary) supports rate hikes, USD/JPY may remain bid and breakout to 148+ instead of reversing. Watch For: Strong dollar narrative or dovish BOJ language.
Short
by Zara_FVG
21
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 8, 2025 USDJPYThe yen remains under pressure from trade frictions. President Donald Trump has confirmed 25 percent tariffs on Japanese goods effective 1 August, fuelling U.S.-inflation expectations and reducing the odds of a near-term Fed rate cut. Ten-year Treasury yields have climbed above 4.45 percent, while the spread over equivalent JGBs hovers near 380 basis points—supportive for the dollar. Japan’s domestic backdrop offers little relief. Nominal wage growth has slowed for a third straight month, and real household incomes have posted their deepest decline in twenty months. The weak earnings momentum complicates the Bank of Japan’s exit strategy and keeps ultra-loose policy firmly in place, encouraging further capital outflows from the yen. Against this backdrop, USD/JPY is consolidating above its 100-day moving average around 146.40–146.50. Absent a sudden flight to safe-haven assets, the pair could break 147.00 in the coming sessions, while the 145.950–146.000 zone is widely viewed as an attractive area to add to long positions. Trading recommendation: BUY 146.250, SL 145.950, TP 147.000
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support. Pivot: 146.18 1st Support: 145.01 1st Resistance: 147.62 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
USDJPY Pre-Breakout Setup – Eyes on 145.310 for Bullish EntryThe recent structure on USDJPY (4H chart) shows a bullish shift supported by a strong double bottom formation within a defined demand zone. After a clean impulse from the bottom, price is now consolidating below the key resistance. 🔹 Trade Idea: I am patiently waiting for the price to break and close above 145.310 to confirm bullish continuation. Entry is valid only above this level to avoid false breakouts. 🔹 Technical Highlights: - Price rebounded from a strong demand zone with a double bottom. - A new bullish leg formed, approaching the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. - A clear impulse-correction structure signals potential for further upside if resistance is broken. 🔹 Trade Plan: - Buy Above: 145.310 (confirmation breakout) - Stop Loss: 144.40 (below structure and 0.382 Fib) - Target: 146.900 (aligned with 1.618–2.0 Fibonacci extension) ⚠️ Note: No trade if price fails to break and hold above the entry trigger. Patience is key.
Long
by ClearTradingMind
USDJPY H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 145.21, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 146.70, aligning with the 100% Fibo projection. The stop loss is placed at 144.01, a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which lines up with 100% Fibonacci projection and also slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level too ur take profit. Entry: 146.68 Why we like it: There is a resistance level that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection and also slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 147.95 Why we like it: There is a swing high resistance. Take profit: 145.21 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USDJPY Price Accumulated|Time For Bullish Distribution|Setupsfx|The price has accumulated nicely and is now distributing. We have three targets in mind, but set your own based on your analysis. Our approach is purely technical, but also includes a basic fundamental approach. This analysis concludes over 1500 pips and is a swing move. Please use this analysis as educational purposes only, as it does not guarantee that price will move exactly as predicted. If you like our idea, please consider liking and commenting on it. Good luck and trade safely! Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
16
Japan Seeks US Deal as Tariff Deadline NearsThe yen hovered around 145 per dollar Friday after a nearly 1% drop in the previous session, pressured by trade uncertainties as Tokyo seeks a deal with Washington before next week’s deadline. Trump may announce new tariffs or extend deadlines today, having previously threatened tariffs up to 35% on Japanese goods over low US rice and car imports. The yen also weakened as a stronger US dollar followed a better June jobs report, easing recession fears and reducing near-term Fed cut chances. In Japan, May household spending grew more than forecast, supported by government efforts to increase demand. The key resistance is at $145.35, meanwhile the major support is located at $143.55.
by ChartMage
1
USDJPY1. Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern This is a classic bullish reversal pattern. You've marked the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder, and the neckline is broken to the upside. Breakout confirms trend reversal from bearish to bullish. 2. Break of Trendline A long-term bearish trendline was clearly broken. Price broke above it with momentum, showing bullish strength. 3. Fib Confluence Entry area is around the 61.8%–78.6% Fibonacci retracement zone. Combined with support zone = high-probability reversal area. 4. Change of Character (CHoCH) CHoCH confirms that the market has shifted structure from lower highs/lows to potential higher highs/lows. You can see the higher low (HL) forming already. 5. Strong Bullish Candles The breakout move is supported by strong bullish candles, showing buying pressure. We're entering on a confirmed bullish reversal – Inverted Head & Shoulders breakout, trendline breach, and bullish market structure shift. Fib zone confluence seals the setup. Buy-side pressure is in control.
Long
by AzdrenBytyqi
USDJPY Is Bullish! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 143.869. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 144.699 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
USDJPY Is Very Bullish! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 144.493. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 148.651 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
USD/JPY loses bulk of NFP-related gainsThe USD/JPY has given back a bulk of yesterday's NFP-driven gains. Although the data was not as strong as the headlines suggested, the fact that we saw decent moves in bond and equity markets suggests investors were overall impressed by the figures. So it seems the market is preparing itself for some more tariff-related volatility as we approach the 9 July deadline, when 'Liberation Day' tariffs will revert. Trump has suggested letters are being sent out to trading partners over the next few days, informing them of their new tariff rate. If you recall, during the worst of April's volatility, the likes of the franc, euro and yen were all outperforming. Could we see a similar pattern this time? Well, looking at the USD/JPY, traders have certainly sold into yesterday's rally. But we need a more decisive breakdown of support between 140.00-140.25 now to trigger some long side liquidation. Below this area, key support comes in around 142.50. Resistance comes in at 145.00, followed by 146.00. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
USDJPY 4-Hour Technical Analysis (Smart Money Concept Breakdown)📈 Overall Market Structure Overview: The chart reflects a multi-phase Smart Money playbook, consisting of: Bullish channel structure Breakout followed by liquidity sweep Supply zone flip to demand Price mitigation and structure shift Anticipated reaction zone for upcoming move 🔎 Phase-by-Phase Analysis: 🧱 1. Ascending Channel Formation Price was moving upward in a controlled bullish ascending channel, suggesting institutional accumulation with planned distribution above highs. The channel breakout was the first significant liquidity event, where early breakout traders were baited. 💧 2. Fakeout and Supply Interchange into Demand (Ellipse Zone) Once the channel broke, price sharply reversed, retracing into a previous supply zone. However, institutions defended this zone, flipping it into a demand area. This behavior, marked with the blue ellipse, signals “Supply Interchange in Demand” – a core SMC concept. Here, orders were absorbed Liquidity was trapped below A bullish push confirmed institutional intent 🎯 3. Previous Target Hit – Completion of Bullish Leg Price made a strong rally from the demand zone, hitting the previous target near 147–148 zone. This bullish leg created a Major Break of Structure (BOS) confirming bullish dominance at that phase. ⚠️ 4. Distribution Begins: Shift in Momentum After reaching the Major BOS area, price failed to hold higher levels. A decline followed, indicating distribution by smart money. The reaction was sharp and consistent, creating lower highs, signaling weakness. 🔄 5. Minor CHoCH Formation – Early Reversal Signal A Minor Change of Character (CHoCH) occurred around the 144.000–143.000 area. This is a key transition, where smart money transitions from bullish intent to potential bearish delivery. 📦 6. Next Target Zone – Bullish POI (Point of Interest) The chart identifies a next target demand zone around 141.800–141.200, marked in green. This zone: Holds unmitigated demand Sits below a recent liquidity pool Aligns with past support This is where Smart Money could re-enter, offering a long opportunity if a bullish CHoCH or BOS forms from that zone. 📊 Trade Scenarios & Forecast: 🔻 Bearish Short-Term Play (Sell Setup): If price respects current resistance (144.500–145), and a lower high forms: Short entry opportunity Target: 142.000–141.200 demand zone Confirmation: Strong bearish candle, CHoCH below minor support 🔺 Bullish Reversal Play (Buy Setup): At the demand zone: Look for bullish reaction + CHoCH or BOS Long entry potential Target: Retest of 144.000 or even 147.000 if liquidity allows 🔐 Smart Money Tactics in Play: Liquidity Engineering: Price trapped both bulls (at highs) and bears (below ellipse zone) Supply into Demand Flip: A classic trap where supply becomes a launchpad for bullish delivery Minor CHoCH: Early signal of intent change Next POI (Point of Interest): Potential reaccumulation zone below major liquidity grab 🧠 Educational Takeaway: This analysis illustrates: Why breakouts are often traps without confirmation How to identify real institutional zones The role of CHoCH/BOS in planning ahead Importance of waiting for price to come to your levels, not chasing ⚠️ Risk & Caution: News catalysts can cause deviation from technical levels Always use stop loss and proper risk management SMC is about patience and precision, not prediction ✅ Summary: USDJPY is showing early signs of a smart money distribution and a potential pullback toward demand. Watch closely for confirmation at the key zone (141.800–141.200) before engaging long. Until then, short setups on rallies may be favorable.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
1