USD/JPY SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD-JPY uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 142.829 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the USD/JPY pair.
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USDJPY
MarketBreakdown | USDJPY, USDCAD, BITCOIN, SILVER
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #USDJPY daily time frame 🇺🇸🇯🇵
The market nicely respected a rising trend line
and bounced from that, forming a high momentum bullish candle.
I think that the pair will continue rising and reach 145.8 level soon.
2️⃣ #USDCAD daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇦
The price is currently approaching an important confluence
zone based on a falling trend line and a horizontal support.
I will expect a pullback from that.
3️⃣ #BITCOIN #BTCUSD daily time frame
The price successfully violated a resistance line of a bullish
flag pattern and closed above that.
It is a critical bullish signal. I believe that the price will test
a current high then and will violate that with a high probability.
4️⃣ #SILVER #XAGUSD daily time frame 🪙
The market broke a resistance line of a bullish flag.
Uptrend is going to continue, and the price is going to reach 37,14 level soon.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
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XAUUSD CHART PATTERN 2\HTrade Setup (Buy Position):
Entry Point: 3330
Target 1: 3380
Target 2: 3420
Stop Loss: 3290
Strategy Insight
You’re targeting a +50 pip move to Target 1 and +90 pip move to Target 2.
Risk is -40 pips from the entry (3330 → 3290).
Risk-Reward Ratio:
To Target 1: 1.25 : 1
To Target 2: 2.25 : 1
This is a moderately aggressive setup with a good reward potential.
USDJPY H1 I Bullish Bounce off the 61.8% FibBased on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling our buy entry level at 144.15, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 145.16, an overlap resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 143.32, a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY has rejected off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 38.2% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 145.22
1st Support: 144.17
1st Resistance: 145.91
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the price drop from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 145.36
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 146.21
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slight above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 144.16
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
XAUUSD : Bull or Bear ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price continued its correction yesterday, dropping to as low as $3327. However, gold rebounded and is currently trading around the $3344 level.
The key condition for further bullish movement is a stable hold above $3338. If this level holds, the next potential upside targets are $3366 and $3399 respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
LONG ON USD/JPYUSD/JPY has given us a CHOC (change of character) from down to up.
It has engineered sell side liquidity right above a demand zone.
I expect price to sweep sell side liquidity, tap into the demand zone then take off to the upside.
looking to catch 150-250 pips on UJ. (Economic News could set this trade on Fire!)
USDJPY previous support, now resistance at 144.80The USDJPY pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the resistance zone, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 144.80, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 144.80 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 142.90, followed by 142.30 and 141.20 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 144.80 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 145.45, then 146.30.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 144.80. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
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USDJPY; Heikin Ashi Trade IdeaOANDA:USDJPY
In this video, I’ll be sharing my analysis of USDJPY, using FXAN's proprietary algo indicators with my unique Heikin Ashi strategy. I’ll walk you through the reasoning behind my trade setup and highlight key areas where I’m anticipating potential opportunities.
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Fundamental Market Analysis for July 3, 2025 USDJPYEvent to pay attention to today:
15:30 EET. USD - Non-Farm Employment Change
15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Rate
15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims
17:00 EET. USD - ISM Services PMI
The Japanese Yen (JPY) traded with a slight positive bias against the bearish US Dollar (USD) during the Asian session on Thursday and remains near the near one-month peak reached earlier this week. Despite the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) hesitation to hike rates, investors seem convinced that the central bank will remain on the path of normalizing monetary policy amid rising inflation in Japan. This is a significant divergence from the stance of other major central banks (including the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed)), which are leaning towards a softer approach, and is favorable for lower JPY yields.
Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump hinted at a possible end to trade talks with Japan, and also threatened new tariffs against Japan over its perceived reluctance to buy American-grown rice. This, along with the overall positive tone towards risk, is a headwind for the safe-haven yen. In addition, traders seem reluctant and prefer to take a wait-and-see approach ahead of today's release of the closely watched US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. The crucial data will play a key role in influencing the US Dollar (USD) and will give a significant boost to the USD/JPY pair.
Trade recommendation: BUY 144.00, SL 143.00, TP 145.40
JPY Steadies, Trade Optimism Counters Dollar WeaknessThe Japanese yen held near 143.7 against the dollar on Thursday, stabilizing after recent losses, supported by improved trade sentiment and a weaker greenback.
Japan reiterated its aim for a fair trade deal with the US, though Trump raised pressure by threatening tariffs up to 35% on Japanese imports over low US rice and car sales. Meanwhile, a finalized US-Vietnam deal added to market optimism.
The yen also found support as investors awaited key US jobs data, which could increase the odds of a Fed rate cut.
Key levels: Resistance at 145.70; support at 143.55.
USDJPY M30 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the M30 chart analysis, the price is falling our buy entry level at 143.61, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 144.15, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 143.32, a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Unlocking the Bull Vault: USD/CAD Heist Setup🕵️♂️💼 The Loonie Vault Raid: USD/CAD Buy Blueprint 💰🔐
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📜 Mission Brief – The Loonie USD/CAD Buy Op:
Using a blend of 🔥strategic market intel🔥 (technical + fundamental), we’re gearing up for a targeted buy operation. The goal? Extract max profits and vanish before the guards show up. 🏃♂️💨
🎯 ENTRY POINT – Authorized Access Only!
🎯 Buy Zone #1: Around 1.37000+
🎯 Buy Zone #2: Around 1.36400 (Caution: This is Market Maker Trap turf – approach wisely)
⏳ Wait for pullback signs & reversal confirmation before execution – The real pros enter when the crowd hesitates.
🛑 STOP LOSS – Backup Plan if Things Go South
🧠 Wise raiders always have an exit route!
🔹 SL Strategy 1: Nearest Swing Low on 2H timeframe (e.g., 1.36000)
🔹 SL Strategy 2: Institutional Buy Zone SL (1.34000 or deeper)
💡 Position sizing and risk tolerance are your call, but don’t skip this shield.
🏴☠️ TARGET – Where the Loot Lies
🎯 Aim for 1.39500 or exit early if the heat rises (volatility spike/consolidation stalls)
💼 Remember, the best thieves know when to grab the bag and bounce.
💹 Scalpers Advisory – Shortcuts to Riches
👀 Only ride the bullish tide.
💰 If you’ve got capital muscle, dive in. If not, roll with the swing crew.
📌 Trail that SL like a pro – don’t get caught slippin’.
📊 Why We Strike Now – The Big Picture
USD/CAD is showing bullish signs backed by:
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⚠️ High Alert: News & Chaos Protocol
🚨 News drops = alarm bells.
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USDJPY: Bearish Trend Remains in ControlUSDJPY continues to follow a clear downtrend on the H4 chart, respecting a descending trendline and forming consistent lower highs. The strong rejection at 144.800 and the presence of multiple FVGs further reinforce the bearish structure.
Price is currently retracing to test the FVG zone. If rejection occurs here, the downtrend could resume towards the 141.900 support level.
Trade Setup:
Sell near 144.700
TP: 141.900
SL: above 145.300
Supporting News:
"Risk-on" sentiment is back after strong manufacturing data from China and rising expectations that U.S. interest rates may soon peak, weakening the USD against the JPY.
Are you watching for a short setup like I am?
Bullish bouncer off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 143.37
1st Support: 142.71
1st Resistance: 144.50
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level too ur take profit.
Entry: 143.79
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 144.52
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 142.79
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 144.200 zone, USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 144.200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Trump threatens tariff on Japan as deadline looms, yen dipsThe Japanese yen is negative ground on Thursday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 144.06, up 0.47%.
The US and Japan are racing to reach a trade deal before a deadline of July 9. There are some serious roadblocks to a deal, including the current US tariff of 25% on Japanese cars and opening Japan's agricultural sector, particularly rice. President Trump has insisted that Japan import American-grown rice, but the Japanese government says that is unacceptable.
Japan's Economy Minister Ryosei Akawaza said earlier this week that Japan would not "sacrifice the agricultural sector", while Farm Minister Shinjiro Koizumi said that foreign rice imports would threaten Japan's food security.
It's a shortened week in the US due to the Fourth of July holiday on Friday. The US will release the June employment report on Thursday, with all eyes on nonfarm payrolls.
Nonfarm payrolls eased slightly in May to 137 thousand from 147 thousand and the downward trend is expected to continue, with a consensus of 110 thousand for June. This would mark the weakest pace of job growth since 2020, with the exception of a meltdown in job growth in Oct. 2024.
The Federal Reserve will also be monitoring the nonfarm payroll report. The US labor market has been weakening and the Fed is concerned that the jobs market could show a sharp deterioration. Currently, the most likely date for the next Fed rare cut is September, but a soft NFP reading south of 90 thousand would boost the case for a cut at the July 30 meeting.
The Fed has maintained a wait-and-see stance since Nov. 2024 but that is expected to change in the fourth quarter, where we could see up three rate cuts.
USD/JPY) Back support level Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY pair using a combination of price action, resistance/support levels, and indicators. Here's a breakdown of the idea behind the analysis:
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Chart Breakdown (2H - USD/JPY)
1. Key Zones:
Resistance Level (Yellow Box at Top):
Price has previously been rejected from this zone multiple times.
Recent bearish wicks and aggressive sell-offs are marked by red arrows—showing strong seller interest.
Support Level / Target Point (Bottom Yellow Box):
Price has found strong buying interest around 142.142.
This zone is the anticipated downside target if the bearish scenario plays out.
2. Bearish Bias Justification:
Liquidity Grab / Fakeout (labeled “fug”):
The price briefly broke above the smaller resistance block but quickly reversed.
This "fake breakout" often traps buyers, strengthening the bearish case.
EMA 200 (Blue Line):
Price is currently near or slightly under the 200 EMA (144.553), suggesting a potential rejection area aligning with resistance.
RSI Indicator:
RSI shows divergence and has not confirmed a bullish breakout.
The values (56.77 and 42.82) indicate loss of bullish momentum.
3. Projection (Black Lines):
The black zig-zag lines represent a forecasted drop to the support level.
Suggests a short setup near 144.50–145.00 with targets near 142.14.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Near resistance area (144.50–145.00)
Target: 142.142 (support zone)
Invalidation: Strong break above 145.00 and hold
Confirmation: Rejection from resistance with bearish candle pattern
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USD/JPY) bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar vs Japanese Yen) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a clear breakdown of the idea presented:
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Overview of the Setup
Current Price: 144.620
EMA 200 (Blue Line): 144.973 – price is trading below the EMA, indicating bearish momentum.
Resistance Zone: Around 145.000 – 145.500
Support/Target Zone: Around 142.799
RSI Indicator: ~51.11 – neutral zone (not overbought or oversold)
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Interpretation of Chart Structure
1. Resistance Level:
Price tested the resistance zone and sharply rejected it.
This zone has held multiple times historically, making it strong.
2. EMA 200 as Resistance:
Price rejected just under the EMA, further confirming downside pressure.
3. Bearish Flag / Rising Wedge Breakdown:
There is a visible bearish continuation pattern (likely a rising wedge or bear flag).
Price is projected to break down from this pattern, continuing the downtrend.
4. Measured Move Projection:
Previous drop of ~230 pips (-1.5%) is mirrored for the next expected move.
The same size move projects the price to reach the target zone around 142.799.
5. Support/Target Zone:
Marked as the final take-profit zone.
Corresponds with historical demand and likely buyer interest.
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Trade Idea Summary
Bias: Bearish
Entry Idea: After breakdown confirmation below wedge structure or rejection from resistance zone.
Target: 142.799
Stop-Loss Consideration: Above the resistance zone (~145.500) or just above the recent swing high.
Confirmation: Breakdown of rising wedge + below EMA + repeated resistance rejections.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Key Considerations
Upcoming News Events (Three Icons):
These symbols signal potential USD or JPY volatility, so watch out for data releases that could disrupt the pattern.
RSI Neutral:
RSI is not yet oversold, allowing room for more downside before hitting exhaustion levels.
False Breakouts Possible:
Price may fake a break upward before continuing lower – wait for strong candle confirmation if entering a trade.
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