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Usdjpyshortsetup

USDJPY Shorts from 149.500 down towards 147.500My bias for USDJPY is bearish due to the fact that price has reacted off the last supply from the whole chart, and has now given a CHOCH and BOS's on the higher time frame. Price has also took all the liquidity that was left above leaving price to now melt downwards and target all the asian lows, trend lines, equal lows, and imbalances that was left previously. Currently, price has reacted nicely off an 8hr supply which we can enter imminent sells to target the (8hr) demand below at 147.500. I am expecting the 8hr demand to cause a retracement back up but from there we can take short term buys up to a premium supply around 150.500. As Wyckoff distribution has been completed we can look for the asian high to get swept in order to enter our sell positions because a CHOCH has already been presented to us on the 15min. My confluences for USDJPY Shorts are as follows: - Price has taken all the magnets that lies above and reacted off the last supply of the chart. - Price has CHOCH'd and BOS on the higher time frame confirming a bearish trend. - Lots of liquidity to the downside in the form of trend line liquidity, asian lows, EQLs and IMB's - Wyckoff distribution has been completed on the Higher time frame and now melting. - A re accumulation has been presented inside our current 8hr supply in which we have got a clean reaction from. - Dollar (DXY) is also temporarily bearish for me so it matches with my sell bias for this market. P.S. even though we are bearish I would also be interested in buying from 147.500 up towards 150.500 or higher to then eventually sell again. For now, we will see if price reaches that demand below as short term buys will be interesting there. Remember being adaptive is very crucial and because I am a day trader, I can counter trend trade up to better POI's to then enter pro trend trades.
Short
by Hassan_fx
3
USDJPY Navigating Retracement&Identifying Short Opportunities!Introduction: The USD/JPY pair has experienced a dynamic week marked by a double top pattern, providing insightful clues for traders. While recent days showcased a retracement and an apparent uptrend tendency, the most recent price action is signaling a potential shift. Retracement Dynamics: The past week witnessed a retracement in the intense and continuous bearish flow of USD/JPY. The retracement is characterized by an uptrend tendency line, suggesting a temporary shift in market sentiment. However, recent hours are indicating a potential reversal, prompting a closer examination of key technical levels. Fibonacci Retracement: Zooming into the 4-hour timeframe, the current movement aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, centered around the price of 0.750.700. This level serves as a critical reference point, providing insights into potential reversal zones. Bearish Order Block on Lower Timeframes: Detailed analysis on smaller timeframes, specifically the 1-hour and 30-minute charts, reveals the formation of a Bearish Order Block. This is a crucial technical pattern signaling a Short Position opportunity. The identified price range of 0.750.600 becomes significant for traders considering a short entry. Break of Uptrend Tendency Line: A pivotal moment in this analysis is the recent break of the uptrend tendency line. The breach of this trendline, coupled with a reaction around the strong high of 0.750, suggests a potential re-establishment of the bearish sentiment. Conclusion: In conclusion, the USD/JPY pair has undergone a retracement in the past week, challenging the prevailing bearish flow. However, with the recent break of the uptrend tendency line and the formation of a Bearish Order Block on lower timeframes, there is a compelling case for a short position opportunity. Traders are encouraged to closely monitor the price action around the 0.750.600 range, as it may serve as a key entry point for those anticipating a continuation of the bearish trend. As always, risk management and vigilant monitoring of price dynamics are essential for traders navigating these evolving market conditions.
Short
by e11p
1
UDS/JPY Falling to 146.000!? Double Top Reversal Signal CompleteUDS/JPY has a double top reversal signal on the Daily candles and a triple top on the 4HR candles with a massive gap to fill. This reversal signal happened at a key level, 152.00 which is the previous high from October 2022. As shown in my previous prediction, a short position is reasonable at this level. The double/triple top is the confirmation of that short, which increases the probability of profit significantly. If there was a time to short in this bull channel, it would be now . Key Points 1. Double Top Reversal Signal on the Daily Chart 2. Triple Top Reversal Signal on the 4HR Chart 3. Gap to bottom of the channel at 146.000 4. The lowest target price is the Previous Channel High of 145.000 5. RSI at 52.00, Plenty of room to fall and supports #1-4 You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk! Let us know what you think in the comment section below!
Short
by TraderEngineering
USD/JPY Daily Analysis - The Pullback has Begun! Fall to 146.000USD/JPY has finally touched the previous high of 152.000 with a strong bull candle that we'll call a Bull Capitulation. Immediately after that price target was hit, we saw a series of bear bars falling to the 30EMA. We have now been above the 30EMA for 69 days and after touching a key price range, have a high probability of falling below down to the bottom of the bull channel at the 145.000-146.000 range. Key Points: 1. We're in a Bull Channel which means we have a better chance of profit longing. 2. Previous High of 152.000 has been touched. 3. Bull Capitulation Candle on Oct 23. 4. DXY Strong Bear Signal Bar of the bottom of the bull channel. 5. JPXY Still at Risk of Bull Reversal, this week's candle may decide. 6. RSI has room to fall and while a weak indicator, supports the previous 5. As always, trade at your own risk, you are responsible for your trades. I hope this analysis was insightful and useful. Trade wisely and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
Short
by TraderEngineering
1
USDJPY Long Term SELLING Trading IdeaHello Traders In This Chart USDJPY DAILY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today USDJPY analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (USDJPY market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDJPY Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Short
by ForexPlanet20
USDJPY NEXT POTENTIAL MOVEAll of fx traders for sure have witnessed how long usd rallies vs jpy. Fed keeps raising interest rate and BOJ on their mode to keep ultra soft policy. As there’s saying there’s nothing permanent. Personally I look forward to the huge downside move of this pair. Currently it is running on 149 level. I’m not interested in buy as sell provides better risk:reward. The invalidation level is 2022 high 151.944. Anyone shares the similar view? May be pips be with u Guys. Trade with care. Risk management is everything.
Short
by HendyHalim
1
USD/JPY Short. Is the dollar done here? And is Japan ascending?I have to give credit to Julian Brigden for this outline. So please look up his recent Blockworks interview on youtube. I am happy to further develop on his observation by pointing out that what he observed as a "crash pattern" is in fact a diamond reversal pattern. I enclose a comparison to what I consider the "classic" manifestation of a diamond reversal which is the Nasdaq100 index during the 2001 recession. We also had recent significant-scale diamond reversals on the SPX in 2021 and on Bitcoin if you would like further references. There is a significant RSI divergence that has been in place since 2022 on the weekly chart. I think that this means that a dollar pullback is imminent and a surprise strengthening on JPY due to them getting close to breaking out of their deflationary depression. This could also coincide with the return of inflation that I have been expecting. I am shorting this outline and I intend to expand my position if the pattern is not violated. I will be more aggressive as the outline develops. For further information on how I discovered this you can google-up Julian Brigden's interview on Blockworks. Happy hunting!
Short
by RogueEconomics
1
USDJPY – What's the intervention threshold? USDJPY – What's the intervention threshold? In September of last year, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) made a move in the market to strengthen its currency when it reached 145 against the USD, marking the first such intervention since 1998. This action was taken following the BOJ's decision to maintain an extremely accommodative policy (a policy that is yet to change still). The BOJ intervened once more in October when the yen further plummeted to its lowest level in 32 years, reaching 151.94 against the dollar. At present, investors hold a substantial short position in the yen, valued at $9.793 billion, representing the largest such position in the USDJPY since May 2022. This value has nearly doubled in just the past three months. Notably, former Japanese Vice Finance Minister Eisuke Sakakibara has suggested that the USDJPY could reach 160 before the BOJ intervenes once again. However, the USDJPY has recently built a bit of a buffer between itself and whatever the intervention threshold is for the BoJ. Over the past two trading days, the US dollar has weakened, largely due to remarks made by Federal Reserve officials. These statements have strengthened the belief that the US central bank is nearing the end of its tightening phase. It is widely anticipated that Fed policymakers will implement a rate increase during their upcoming meeting this month, which would set the policy rate range at 5.25% to 5.50%. However, the timing of any subsequent rate hikes remains uncertain. There are questions whether they will raise rates again in September, delay until November, or maintain the current stance and allow inflation to naturally subside over time. Consequently, the US dollar has experienced a decline against the yen, reaching a low of 141.32 yen, the lowest level observed since June 21. Currently, it is down 0.5% at 141.328. This drop follows a decrease of nearly 1.3% seen last Friday when the US nonfarm payrolls for June fell short of market expectations at 209,000.
by BlackBull_Markets
USDJPY rejected at 4H Lower HighI decided to short UJ here as the 4H shooting star at a re-tested area was a bearish enough signal for me to go short. Price has been making Lower Highs on 4H and daily chart. The bullish candles have been forming with a lot of indecision. This entry was taken based on the 4H close, as well as the 1H presenting a strong evening star at a Evening star re-test. My entry was upon a bearish 15min engulfing at a potential high/re-test of resistance. My stop loss is just Above the high of the shooting star. My target is the next daily Lower Low.
Short
by DesharedPierreJr.
2
USDJPY - CURRENT SENTIMENT , FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#USDJPY - As of last day, the MARKET SENTIMENT for USD was slightly UP SIDE. The main reason for that is the JPY starting to weaken and the short-term POSITIVE SENTIMENT against the dollar. It came with the NFP REPORT. The dollar weakened slightly after the FOMC last time. But the FED can raise the RATE HIKE or their CEILING RATE whenever necessary. Anyway, it was mentioned in the previous MEETING that the FED is still MONITORING INFLATION DATA. - All MARKETS including STOCKS and COMMODITIES are going down slightly due to MARKET RISK OFF. - There is definitely a high possibility that USDJPY will go UP a bit more and move to 137.91 LEVEL. Anyway, USDJPY price can go down to 129.52 level before that. We focus on MARKET UPDATES and MARKET SENTIMENT. Follow the given MARKET STRUCTURE.
by benny_marshall