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Chasing Oil Spikes? How Geopolitics Can Wreck SetupsOil prices surged over 12% in Asia on Middle East headlines, sparking a surge of volatility across safe-haven currencies and stock market futures during thin trade. It felt like a good time to provide food for thought to newer traders looking to chase these moves, highlight the mockery geopolitics can make of technical analysis with recent examples, and provide a filter for when the waters may be safer to reenter. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
NYMEX:CL1!
by CityIndex
A Contrarian View On the US DollarI don't recall the last bullish headline I saw for the US dollar, bearish sentiment may be stretched, and I'm seeing plenty of clues across the US dollar index and all FX majors that we could at least be looking at a minor bounce. Whether it can turn into a larger short-covering rally is likely down to Trump's trade deals. Either way, I'm, on guard for an inflection point for the dollar. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
ICEUS:DX1!Long
by CityIndex
Inflation Leading Indicator Data with Agricultural Commodities Inflation leading indicator data is not derived solely from CPI numbers; more importantly, we must consider what drives these CPI numbers. By understanding this, we can stay ahead of the mass market. Looking at past trends, we can observe that CPI numbers and agricultural commodities tend to move in tandem. In this discussion, we will explore why agricultural commodities are an effective tool for projecting inflation direction and examine where these commodities may be heading. Micro Agriculture Futures: . Corn: MZC . Wheat: MZW . Soybean: MZS . Soybean Oil: MZL . Soybean Meal: MZM Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
ECONOMICS:USIRYYLong
by konhow
4
Nvidia. Analysis and Price Forecast: A Strategic OutlookIntroduction: Nvidia Inc. (NASDAQ: NVDA) continues to be at the forefront of the AI and semiconductor revolution, showcasing robust innovation and a compelling business model. This analysis leverages advanced tools such as TheWaved™ and utilizes VSA Analysis, Technical Indicators, Price Action, and Fundamental Analysis to craft a comprehensive forecast. Recent Price Movements and Key Patterns: 1. Candle Pattern Analysis: From the provided patterns sequence data: January 13, 2025, 14:00: Pattern: "Increased Buy Volumes" Movement: +6.69% from open to close, suggesting strong buyer activity and market confidence. January 10, 2025, 16:00: Pattern: "Buy Volumes Take Over" Movement: -5.7%, indicating potential sell-offs after profit-taking. These patterns highlight the recent tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, creating opportunities for strategic entries and exits. 2. Key Levels and Trend Analysis: From technicals: Current Price: $135.19 Resistance Levels: Short-Term: $139.48 (MA200 on the hourly chart) Mid-Term: $141.15 (MA100) Support Levels: Immediate: $127.30 Key Support Zone: $123.69-$127.30 Nvidia's price is trading below critical moving averages (e.g., MA50 and MA200), suggesting a potential rebound or consolidation phase before further directional movement. Multi-Dimensional Analysis: 1. Volume Spread Analysis (VSA): Analysis: Strong buy patterns are evident, with significant volume upticks near critical support zones. This implies institutional interest in accumulation phases. Prediction: Anticipate continuation of buying pressure if price stabilizes above $135. Resistance at $140 may pose challenges in the short term. 2. Fundamental Insights: Nvidia’s Q4 earnings report showed record revenue driven by AI GPU demand. Major customers in cloud computing and automotive industries continue to bolster growth. However, rising interest rates and potential geopolitical risks (e.g., China’s tech policies) might pressure valuations. 3. Price Action Analysis: Recent bullish engulfing candles near $127 indicate buyer confidence. Price may revisit $130 before testing $140. Breaking $140 could pave the way to retest $150 (January’s absolute high). Projections: Short-Term (1 Week): Target: $138.50 Stop-Loss: $132.00 Rationale: A breakout above MA50 ($136.93) will signal short-term bullish momentum. Mid-Term (1 Month): Target: $145.00 Stop-Loss: $130.00 Rationale: Stabilization above $140 supported by institutional buying and potential macroeconomic support. Long-Term (3-6 Months): Target: $160.00 Stop-Loss: $125.00 Rationale: Continued demand for Nvidia’s GPUs in AI and automotive applications combined with broader tech sector recovery. Strategic Recommendations: Support Levels: - 1. 127.3 2. 123.69 3. 113.9 4. 90.4855 5. 87.88 Resistance Levels: - 1. 127.3 2. 123.69 3. 113.9 4. 90.4855 5. 87.88 Powerful Support Levels: - Powerful Resistance Levels: - 1. 89.599 2. 89.599 3. 63.974 4. 63.974 5. 48.462 Above $160: Consider reducing positions to hedge against potential market corrections. 3. Stop-Loss & Risk Management: Strict stop-loss at $130 for short-term trades. Trail stops to lock profits as price moves favorably. Tools and Insights: Analysis powered by TheWaved™, leveraging decades of professional experience and cutting-edge analytics. Key insights have been shared to align with both retail and institutional perspectives. Call to Action: For personalized queries or deeper insights into Nvidia’s price action, feel free to reach out via direct message. Explore our tools and indicators through the link in our profile. Concept of Rays Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept Core Idea My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns. Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement. Disclaimer: This analysis reflects the author’s perspective based on available data and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risks; ensure proper due diligence. Follow TheWaved for more actionable insights!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by brandlabelden
1
Mastering BTC Levels: Predicting the Next MoveHere's an in-depth look at BTC's key levels 🔍 📍 Bullish and bearish zones mapped out 📈 Using ATR to target potential price ranges Will BTC break out or stay range-bound? Share your thoughts! #BTC Context: Key Levels: The chart highlights major support and resistance zones using green (bullish levels) and red (bearish levels) bands. Bullish Day/Week Levels: Green zones where bullish momentum could sustain or start. Bearish Day/Week Levels: Red zones where bearish sentiment could dominate. ATR (Average True Range): The "Day ATR" and "Week ATR" indicate potential ranges BTC might move within, helping traders set targets or stops. Price Action: BTC seems to be fluctuating within these predefined zones, offering insights for both breakout and range-bound strategies. Directional Arrows: Green and red arrows suggest potential bullish or bearish trajectories from current price levels. Close Day Marker: The "Close Day" line highlights the critical closing price, often serving as a benchmark for future market direction. Insights: The chart is ideal for short-term traders looking for high-probability entries and exits. It emphasizes the importance of respecting these predefined zones to maximize risk-reward.
by BIGonTRADING