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Vision

Fundament and vision over hard data ? NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:TSLA Taking a quick look at the two technological giants, we could say that NVIDIA´s massively beating Tesla in a straight line. Not only Tesla, but the whole market´s badly beaten by this huge company. NVIDIA earned around 186% YTD . On the other hand Tesla is down around 29% YTD. DATA Current biggest company of the world, which NVIDIA has became few days ago, has been reporting amazing data throughout the year. Huge sales, incredible earnings and breathtaking margins ! On the other hand, Tesla´s reported the worst numbers since the meeting held in June 2023. There are many factors that have affected the numbers of these companies. Especially the uncertainty about China, the EV price war in Chinese market and the impact of tariffs imposed by US and EU on EVs. Moreover AI boom and demand for chips helped NVIDIA to rise. RECAP Tesla reported: Revenue: $21.3 billion Net Income: $1.13 billion EPS: $0.34 Tesla's revenue and net income declined significantly compared to Q1 2023 NVIDIA reported: Revenue: $26.0 billion Net Income: $14.88 billion EPS: $0.61 However there are many questions to be answered. Are Nvidia´s margins sustainable in long-term ? What if demand for chips decreases ? What if long-awaited AI bubble bursts one day ? I highlighted with vertical lines on the graph reaction of these two stocks after last earnings reported: 1. Tesla stopped his downward plunge and stabilized between 170 and 190. 2. NVIDIA has rocketed upward Is it all about key numbers ? In my opinion investors still react wisely on incoming data and many of them rely on it. However other factors can move the price such as fundament, management and CEOs and their visions. It´s the vision of Elon Musk that keeps Tesla at its current valuations. He tries to persuade stakeholders and potential investors that company is more than EV maker. He talks about software company aiming wider like building artificial intelligence, robo taxi and AI for all of us and around us. It´s nothing new, Tesla´s basically built entirely on Elon´s vision. So far it´s paying off. Until when ? Don´t take me wrong. I´m a fan of Elon´s visions and hopefully they manage to make it true. It seems to be long run, BUT THAT´S INVESTING ! NVIDIA seems to have less persuasive vision and investors rely more on key financial numbers and definitely some of them just have jumped on trend leading by AI boom. Who will be a winner in long-term ? We could only guess. However proofs speak clear, NVIDIA is one and only winner in battlefield. What´s your strategy in long-term investing ? Are you "fundamental guy" , "vision guy" or "data guy " ? Or do you look at it as a whole thing ? Let us know, feel free to share your opinion in comments Let´s talk about it
NASDAQ:NVDA
by n1performer
What Trading and Business Have in Common 📊💼Hello TradingView Family, Lately, I've been contemplating the fascinating parallels between trading and running a business. 🤔 It's intriguing how both these worlds share common ground, and I wanted to share my thoughts with you. 📜 Trading Plan as the Blueprint: In the business of trading, a well-crafted trading plan serves as the blueprint for success. Just as a business plan outlines goals, strategies, and tactics, a trading plan details entry and exit points, risk tolerance, and overall market approach, providing a structured path to success. 🌐 Risk Management: Just as in business, where risks are inherent, traders need to manage risks effectively. Both environments demand a keen understanding of risk-reward ratios and the ability to make informed decisions to protect assets and investments. 🔄 Adaptability: Businesses must adapt to market changes and evolving customer needs, while traders navigate the dynamic landscape of financial markets. Flexibility and the ability to pivot are critical for success in both arenas. 🔍 Continuous Innovation: Businesses thrive on innovation to stay competitive, and traders constantly seek new strategies and tools to gain an edge in the market. The pursuit of improvement and staying ahead of the curve is a shared ethos. 📊 Performance Evaluation: Both traders and business leaders regularly assess their performance. Whether it's analyzing financial reports or evaluating trading strategies, the commitment to ongoing improvement is a common thread. 📉 Weathering Losses and Low Seasons: Every business faces downtimes, and traders experience losses. The ability to weather these storms, learn from setbacks, and maintain composure during low seasons is a shared challenge. Resilience and a long-term perspective are key to overcoming temporary setbacks. 🌱 Long-Term Sustainability: Just as businesses aim for long-term sustainability, traders seek lasting success in the market. Both require a focus on building a solid foundation, adapting to changes, and navigating challenges with resilience. Reflecting on these similarities, it's clear that trading and business are two sides of the same coin, each requiring strategic thinking, adaptability, and a commitment to continuous improvement. What are your thoughts on this intriguing comparison? 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Education
by TheSignalyst
15
Mitigate Nvidia risk with a value-chain exposure to AIThe recent earnings announcement from Nvidia was historic. It’s not often that a firm shifts revenue guidance for an upcoming quarter from $7 billion to $11 billion. Nvidia’s total market capitalisation touched $1 trillion, something very few companies ever achieve1. An overzealous valuation? Professor Aswath Damodaran of New York University2, well known for his work on valuation, has said he cannot rationalise a $1 trillion valuation. Damodaran estimates Nvidia has a roughly 80% share of the artificial intelligence (AI) semiconductor market, which is around $25 billion today. Using bullish assumptions, which may not prove accurate, he looks to see growth in the AI semiconductor market to reach $350 billion within a decade. If Nvidia captured 100% future market share (a bold assumption), Damodaran’s valuation still resides about 20% below current prices. Nvidia is essentially a hardware company. One can see them try to ramp up software, but that is not the main driver. Other companies that achieved the $1 trillion market capitalisation level have software companies with network effects that draw vast numbers of end users into ecosystems. These software businesses have many ways to earn revenue from new products and services. Professor Damodaran’s valuations do not necessarily lead to share prices that immediately decline—but it may be difficult to keep the return momentum coming with equal fervor. Nvidia’s products do not operate in a vacuum WisdomTree spends a lot of time focusing on the AI megatrend. Nvidia’s products do not exist in a standalone fashion, as they are plugged into cabinets containing other hardware functioning in concert. If the AI semiconductor market grows, as many now expect, a lot of companies will benefit. Nvidia cannot, by itself, manufacture its semiconductors end-to-end. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) is responsible for this part of the puzzle. There is a whole semiconductor value chain, and each element captures a different-sized slice of the economic value pie. There are a range of companies associated with ‘generative AI’ over the period from the release of ChatGPT. Alphabet, Meta and Microsoft represent companies developing large language models (LLMs) to allow users to directly access generative AI. Meta was beaten down in 2022, due to disappointment with the firm’s metaverse efforts, but AI and cost cutting is helping them in 2023. Alphabet and Microsoft are at the centre of the generative AI battleground. Microsoft, so far, is winning on the cloud computing battle front with its Azure platform, whereas Alphabet’s Google is going to be very difficult to fend off in the internet search space. It’s interesting to compare Nvidia to Samsung and SK Hynix. Running AI models, especially large AI models, requires memory, and Samsung and SK Hynix are in the memory chip space. Excitement, at least in recent years, fluctuated in waves across the broad semiconductors market. Right now, during the explosion of generative AI, graphics processing units (GPUs), where Nvidia is the leader, are all the rage. Synopsys and TSMC represent notable, necessary value-chain plays on semiconductors. Nvidia chips cannot be created in a vacuum. Synopsys provides necessary electronic design automation capabilities, whereas TSMC is among the only companies with a manufacturing process advanced enough to fabricate Nvidia’s most advanced chips. Is AI over-hyped? The Gartner Hype cycle characterises one way to view new technologies. In the short term, excitement leads to money flows. Share prices and valuations benefit. At a certain point, a realisation sets in that true success, growth, and adoption takes time, so at this point there is usually a lot of selling and a tougher return environment. Finally, there is a recognition that pessimism is also not quite appropriate as the technology is still important and still being used, so growth rates and returns then tend to be more reasonable. AI is not any one single thing. Today we think of it as ChatGPT, LLMs or generative AI, but other disciplines and functionalities are still there, they just aren’t grabbing headlines in same way. ‘Generative AI’ and ‘foundation models’ might be nearing a peak of inflated expectations. Have you been excited about self-driving vehicles recently? No? Well, that could be part of the reason why ‘autonomous vehicles’ might be near the trough of disillusionment. Computer vision, which has been around for quite some time, is making its way up the so-called ‘slope of enlightenment’. The hype cycle is not an exact science. Any discipline on this graph could generate any sort of return, positive or negative, going forward. It’s simply a tool that helps us place all of these different topics on a broader continuum. The only thing we seem to know for sure is that all of the topics do not generate the same levels of excitement or pessimism all the time. Conclusion: it’s possible to mitigate single company risk by looking across the AI ecosystem The hype cycle illustration points out that the various applications of AI are at different points of adoption, excitement, and development. No one knows the future with certainty, but we believe there is growth occurring in all of these disciplines. The world is enthralled with generative AI now, but the world was similarly excited about autonomous vehicles a few years ago. Progress is occurring, even if we are not seeing it reflected in every headline. WisdomTree has a broad-based AI index to capture these AI trends. While Nvidia’s valuation is getting stretched, according to Professor Damodaran, WisdomTree’s AI index did not change much following the Nvidia surge. The entire ecosystem of AI defined by WisdomTree is not as beholden to the moves of any single company. AI has the potential to impact every industry which is why WisdomTree built a broad-based, ecosystem-oriented approach as opposed to concentrating on any single stock. Sources 1 Source: Bloomberg. 2 Source: Hough, Jack. “Nvidia Is the New Tesla, the ‘Dean of Valuation’ Says. It’s Time to Cash Out.” Barrons. May 31, 2023.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by aneekaguptaWTE
BSV Why Bitcoin SV is a useless forkForked cryptocurrencies, which emerge as a result of splitting from the original blockchain, often face an uphill battle to establish themselves as valuable and distinct entities. One of the primary concerns is that forks are perceived as redundant copies of the original blockchain, lacking the same level of innovation, utility, and market demand. This perception leads some to believe that forks will struggle to gain widespread adoption and maintain significant value. Additionally, forks often encounter difficulties in building and sustaining communities and resources. Divided communities and limited developer support can hinder the progress of forked projects, preventing them from achieving the same level of growth and ecosystem development as the original chain. These challenges can also impact liquidity and network effects, making it harder for forked cryptocurrencies to compete effectively. Furthermore, the original blockchain, from which the forked cryptocurrency originates, usually retains its dominance in terms of market capitalization, brand recognition, and developer activity. This creates a significant hurdle for forks to overcome, as they face strong competition from the established and widely adopted original chain. The success of the original chain can overshadow the forked projects, diminishing their perceived value and hindering their ability to gain traction. In my opinion BSV Satoshi's vision could easily reach $12.10. Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
BShort
by TopgOptions
1
🟥HOW TO GET RICH?🟥 🔳Have A Vision Self-made millionaires have a clear vision of their life. A focus on an idea or business defines their life. Instead of waiting around for the universe to do the work, they put in the hard work and take the steps to make their vision come true. Take a look at your current life and write down what would need to change in order for it to equal your vision. Make small actionable steps every single day to work towards your goal. 🔳Surround Yourself With Supporters Often, we surround ourselves with naysayers and people who keep you down because they’re familiar. But if you’re wanting to become something you aren’t, you need to surround yourself with people who are closer to or on their way there themselves. These people will be supporters to you instead of discouraging your ideas, no matter how improbable they sound right now. Ambitious people feed off each other’s energy and can help drive you to action. If you don’t have anyone in your life or near you who fit this then do the next best thing – read about them. Reading biographies of people who have done something similar to what you hope to accomplish keeps you motivated and in the right mindset. You may even pick up glimpses of their business savvy that gives you ideas of your own. Focus on people who had an average life before their success; not someone who was born into wealth and privilege. 🔳Be Selective With Your Time Stop doing the things that won’t make you rich. It’s simple in theory but so much harder to do in practice. While having hobbies and volunteering is good, if you find that all of your free time goes to these activities, it’s time to reassess. There are only so many hours in a day and if you don’t leave enough time to work towards your goals, you’ll get nowhere. Always have an outlet for relaxing but perhaps you don’t need to spend 4 hrs playing video games or leisurely shopping every weekend. By redirecting even a fraction of that time towards something that makes you money, you’ll be much farther ahead. 🔳Invest In Yourself Investing in yourself can mean a few different things from schooling to mentorship. After you’ve made a plan with the steps you need to take to complete your vision and become rich, assess whether you have any gaps in knowledge. If your vision is to start an online business but you don’t know the first thing about online business, then you’ll need to delve into that realm. While many things can be found for free, it often saves more time and energy to purchase training from an expert in the field. 🔳Don’t Look For Quick Fixes Get rich quick schemes are just that, schemes. If the money was quick to be earned, it’s also probably quick to be lost. Building generational wealth takes time and is more stable when done with a series of tried and true investments. Stay away from unproven startups and investment “opportunities” from your buddies if you’re serious about building wealth. Millionaires who started from nothing often found themselves with a passion and clear goal of what they hoped to accomplish. They focused solely on their goal and weren’t looking to take a shortcut. 🔳Invest Your Earnings Wisely Most millionaires invest in either real estate or the stock market, often both. Now before you start throwing your savings into either of these, it’s important to have a complete understanding of what you’re investing in. Meet with a financial professional or immerse yourself in literature about either of these. Your goal is to gain a complete understanding of the investment vehicle you’re leaning towards. If you don’t understand it, hold off on investing in it until you do. 🔳Always Keep Learning Self-made millionaires never stop learning. Having a true curiosity about life and a desire to learn is what made many millionaires successful. Don’t think this means you have to go to college. In fact, many self-made billionaires dropped out of college before finishing their degree. No matter what field you want to enter, learn everything you can about it. Follow the experts who have proven success and learn from their early mistakes. I Hope you guys learned something new today✅ Wish you all Best Of Luck👍 😇And may the odds be always in your favor😇
Education
by ProSignalsFx
12
[$ETH] Playing with Lagging Span on the Chuvashov ModelHello everyone, We are back now in a range. Times will say if it's accumulation of a distribution one. Well, the second trendline of Chuvashov model will tell us in fact... If we are getting over it, I think we can have this kind of scenario showed in the graph. Otherwise, we will test lower zones. We have also an original impulse starting point between 215€ and 225€. Those levels ned to be kept in mind just in case :) Trade safe, Stay Safe, PEACE!
by NicoDCrypto