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Wave5

Elliott Wave Count for Brazil's IBOVO IBOV parece estar no final de uma onda C Menor, dentro de uma (4) Intermediária, que faz parte de uma onda (I) Primária. O início da onda (5) está iminente e deve levar o IBOV até 55K. A partir dalí, devemos ficar atentos ao final da onda (5) e (I). Essa contagem leva em consideração o humor social bastante negativo que dominou a percepção de investidores e não-investidores sobre o Brasil, especialmente no segundo semestre de 2015. O Fundo de Janeiro de 2016 seria então o final de uma correção(baixista) de uma onda de grau Cíclico(altista). Esta correção teve seu início em Abril/2008! -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Brazilian Stock Index IBOV looks as though it is at the end of a Minor C Wave, which is part of an Intermediary (4)th wave inside a Primary Wave (I). The start of Wave (5) is imminent and should carry the IBOV back to 55k. From then, we should look out for the completion of Waves (5) and (I). This count takes into account the negative mood that took over investors and non-investors perception on Brazil alike, specially in the last semester of 2015. The January 2016 Bottom would then be the end of a (bearish)correction of a long (bullish)Cyclic degree wave. This correction started back in April 2008!
BMFBOVESPA:IBOVLong
by geraldelli
1
Feeder Cattle - The ideally bottom for wave A seen at 130.78In October 2014 I called the top almost to the cent (see the link below). The decline from 244.80 is finally coming to an end near 130.78. Short term I'm looking for the final decline in red wave v of an ending diagonal and once the bottom is in place, a quick return to the origin of the ending diagonal at 169.58 should be seen, within half the time it took to build (that would amount to something like 3 months). That will however, likely be only the first part of wave B, as a continuation higher towards 187.80 and possibly even closer to 201.25 should be expected longer term. The clear divergence seen from the RSI indicator does confirm that, we are approaching the end of wave A and wave B can start soon. It's time to close the long term short position and shift towards a long position. Just a final word. Remember that correction in the commodity complex often is extremely violent. Just look at Soybeans and Soybean Meal.
F
by EWS
EWA. USDJPY - Triangle in Wave [4]Okay, lads. From the middle of February we can see a consolidation model forming on USDJPY chart. Perhaps, it's a triangle - that fits just perfect as the wave 4 in current bearish impulse. Even so, the time to sell hasn't come yet, and that's why: The current price pattern looks like a triangle, but until we can read all 5 waves it's not a triangle Even afterwards, I strongly don't recomend to sell, until the price will form a return from the upper trend line My trading plan: I'll wait until wave (e) will be formed - it can take a pretty long time, but as Jess Livermore said "It never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It always was my sitting. Got that? My sitting tight!". After the price will approach to the upper trend line, I will open a short position. 115 yens for 1 bucks look like a pretty strong ressistance level, that's why I will put my stop-loss order there. The target zone is, at least, the height of the triangle - something around 110,2 yens per bucks. Risk/reward ratio, as you can see, it's ok. Alternative scenario: Wave {4} could take, basically, any other form. If my S/L order will be executed, I'll stay outside the market, because There is also a possibility that current bearish trend is finished yet, and will form a pretty large correction There is also a possibility that there will be no triangle, but just a ABC-flat - but it's not my bussiness, as long as it's too risky to open a trade right now. Of course, if my target zone will be reached, or I'll have to cut my loses, I'll stay outside the market pretty long.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn90040
EWA. EURUSD - An Ending Diagonal (Wedge)And so, after a little break in falling down, in the middle of august '15, EURO continues his journey to the south. Perhaps, now there is forming an ending diagonal in the wave 5 (or c). Why do I think so? As we can see, there are a lot of correction waves (ABC), both up and down. Therefore, there are two possible scenarios: The correction up will continue in the wave C, and the whole model will be a flat (marked with gray color). In this case, wave C can be an ending diagonal as well. There will be formed an endind diagonal, and the current "ABC's" are its wave I and II. After it's finished, the currency will start a major correction, but it'll be not earlier than next year. Why do I think it's the second scenario, even the ending diagonals are not so common? In the wave II, there were formed a beautiful triangle in its wave {B}. As we remember, accordind to the Elliot Wave rules, a triangle could be only a wave 4 or B. Obviously, it cannot be a wave 4, therefore it's a B-wave. The question is, it's a B-wave in the I-st wave of upside diagonal or it is in the II-nd wave of the downside diagonal? My trading plan: March has started with a little correction, and it's a good oportunity to sell. So, I open a short possition, even the correction can go further, with a stop-loss order at the local maximum - 1,137. Once the order is filled, it means I will trade the second scenario. I want to trade wave 3 only (because to trade wave 5 in an ending diagonal is too dangerous), so the target zone is, at least, 1,05, but probably it will be 1,04 or even more. So, the risk/reward ratio is acceptable.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn90040
1
Nov 11 - GOLD - Heading Lower to $970-$1,000 Region in 4-6monthsGold (Weekly) @11 Nov 2015 On the mid-term outlook, Gold is at the final phase of its major downturn from all time high of 1,900 (year2011). Price is forming an Ending Diagonal - typical wave5 pattern following significant downmove or extended wave3. A closer examine of the ending diagonal structure shows that a potential Final Down-Leg (lower degree wave_v) is under progress. Projecting ahead with similar down-angle within the diagonal, expect the final wave to bring price towards the psychological $1,000 mark, or the subsequent 2.618 fibo expansion level of +/- $970. * ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- GOLD (Short-Term Outlook) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- - expect immediate direction = UP in Rebound - recent $100 fall from latest pivot high of 1,190-1,080 warrants an near-term rebound - rebound target, taking the immediate resistance band overhead around 1,130-1,150 zone. - expect price will move in similar angle from previous bounces within the diagonal - shall the bounce materialised, expect the next move to be Down towards the mid-term targets. * * -------------------------------------------------------------------------- GOLD (Mid-Term Summary) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Price Target: 1,000, then 970 region. Time Target: (4-6months from Oct'15) = Feb-Apr 2016
FX:XAUUSDShort
by jeanne_k
3
SLV 21.18 TargetThe daily SLV sold off in a nice 5 wave pattern down, reaching the MTPredictor minimum wave 5 target. A red high volume VSA spike came in at the low in wave 5. When this is followed by a blue buyers candle it is an indication that professionals are stepping in and buying. If, in fact, professionals are buying, then the move up should not be a small one. A DP buy signal was given at this level to take advantage of this and the tendency is that it will correct back , at a minimum, to the wave 4 Decision Point. If the wave 4 DP holds as resistance, then the tendency is that the trend that was in place prior should continue. If, however, the wave 4 DP is exceeded, the tendency is that the whole 5 wave pattern down will be erased to the upside with the target being a DP off of the start of the wave 1. That puts the current target for this continuation move up to 21.18.
AMEX:SLVLong
by MTPredictorUSA