ADAUSD - Possible Correction from Channel ResistanceStructure: Ascending Channel
Indicators: RSI Overbought, Bearish Divergence Forming
📌 Confirmation:
Look for:
A strong bearish candle or
RSI breaking below 60
Volume divergence
Bias: Short-term bearish correction, bullish structure intact as long as price holds the channel.
Wave Analysis
ETHEREUM Roara Map (1D)The previous phase of Ethereum appears to have been a completed diametric, and now it seems we are in a flat pattern.
It can be said that we are currently in wave B of the flat, which itself appears to be a diametric.
This diametric could even extend to the 4300–4800 range.
The green zone is the rebuy area.
A daily candle close below the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
GBPNZD Is Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPNZD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 2.254.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 2.262 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Ethereum UP UP UPThe Perfect Storm: Multiple Technical Indicators Align for ETH's Next Leg Up
With Ethereum currently trading at $3,429, a comprehensive multi-faceted technical analysis reveals compelling evidence for continued bullish momentum through the remainder of 2025. Let's dive into the convergence of powerful technical signals pointing to ETH's next major move.
RSI: Hidden Strength Behind the Momentum
While Ethereum's daily RSI hovers around 72-73, typically considered overbought territory, this actually represents strength rather than exhaustion in a powerful bull trend. Historical analysis shows that during Ethereum's strongest rallies, RSI can maintain readings above 70 for extended periods, often reaching 80-85 before meaningful corrections.
The weekly RSI at 66 is particularly telling—showing robust momentum without reaching extreme levels. This creates the perfect scenario: strong enough to maintain upward pressure, yet not overheated enough to trigger immediate profit-taking. This "Goldilocks zone" for RSI often precedes the most explosive phases of bull markets.
Wyckoff Accumulation: The Smart Money Footprint
The recent price action perfectly aligns with Wyckoff's "Re-accumulation After Spring" pattern:
The May 2025 low represented a classic "Spring" that flushed out weak hands
The subsequent rally formed a textbook "Sign of Strength" (SOS)
We've completed the "Backup" phase with higher lows
Current price action suggests we're at the "Last Point of Support" (LPS)
According to Wyckoff methodology, this LPS typically precedes the most powerful "Mark-Up" phase—where institutional accumulation transitions to public participation and price discovery accelerates dramatically. The completion of this pattern projects a move to the $4,500-$5,000 range within the forecast period.
Order Blocks: Institutional Footprints Reveal the Path Forward
Order block analysis reveals significant institutional buying between $3,000-$3,200, creating a formidable support zone. More importantly, there's a notable absence of major selling order blocks above current levels until approximately $3,800-$4,000.
This "clean air" above current prices suggests minimal resistance and the potential for rapid price appreciation once momentum builds. The most significant buy-side order blocks have been forming during recent consolidations, indicating smart money accumulation before the next leg up.
Volume Profile: The Silent Confirmation
Volume analysis provides the confirmation needed to validate our bullish thesis:
Rising prices accompanied by increasing volume (particularly on up-days)
Volume Profile shows thin areas above $3,500, suggesting potential for rapid price discovery
The Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) continues to slope upward, confirming the strength of the trend
The Volume Point of Control (VPOC) has shifted higher in recent weeks, indicating accumulation at higher prices—a classic sign of institutional confidence.
Fibonacci Projections: Mathematical Roadmap to Higher Targets
Using the recent swing low of $2,150 (May 2025) to the current level as our base measurement:
The 161.8% extension projects a target of approximately $4,200
The 200% extension suggests a move toward $4,700
The 261.8% extension (often reached in strong bull markets) points to $5,400+
What's particularly bullish is that these Fibonacci extensions align perfectly with key psychological price levels and unfilled liquidity pools above the market.
Elliott Wave Structure: The Roadmap to $5,000
The current Elliott Wave count suggests we're in the early stages of a powerful Wave 3 of 5 from the May lows:
Wave 1: $2,150 to $2,800
Wave 2: Pullback to $2,450
Wave 3: Currently underway, targeting $4,200-$4,500 (typical Wave 3 = 1.618 × Wave 1)
Wave 4: Future consolidation likely in the $3,800-$4,000 range
Wave 5: Final push potentially reaching $4,800-$5,200
Wave 3 is typically the longest and most powerful in the Elliott sequence, suggesting we're entering the most explosive phase of this bull cycle.
Price Projection Timeline
July-August 2025:
Initial push through the $3,600 resistance level, followed by accelerating momentum toward $3,800-$4,000. Any pullbacks will find strong support at $3,200, creating ideal entry opportunities for those who missed the initial breakout.
September 2025:
Breakthrough of the psychological $4,000 barrier, triggering increased media attention and retail participation. This phase could see rapid price discovery to $4,200-$4,400 as volume expands dramatically.
October-November 2025:
Final wave extension pushing ETH toward the $4,800-$5,200 range, potentially culminating in a blow-off top characteristic of Wave 5 completions. This represents a 40-50% appreciation from current levels.
The Confluence That Cannot Be Ignored
What makes this analysis particularly compelling is the rare confluence of multiple technical frameworks all pointing to the same conclusion. When Wyckoff accumulation patterns, Elliott Wave projections, Fibonacci extensions, RSI momentum, and order block analysis all align, the probability of the projected outcome increases exponentially.
Smart money is positioning for this move now, as evidenced by the order block formation and volume patterns. For the strategic investor, the current price level—despite being near recent highs—represents an attractive entry point before the next major leg up in Ethereum's journey.
The technical roadmap is clear: Ethereum is poised for a significant appreciation through the remainder of 2025, with multiple technical frameworks projecting targets in the $4,500-$5,200 range by year-end.
BITCOIN SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 118,311.95
Target Level: 111,141.79
Stop Loss: 123,054.98
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GBP/CAD BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the GBP/CAD pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 1.873 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
RIOT / 3hThere is no change in the NASDAQ:RIOT 's trend analysis.
Wave Analysis >> As illustrated in the 3h-frame above, NASDAQ:RIOT may have completed the 3rd wave of the ongoing Minor degree wave 3 at 13.64, its correction in wave iv (circled) is likely in progress sideways.
#CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
NASDAQ:RIOT CRYPTOCAP:BTC MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN
#WLD/USDT Builds Pressure Inside Long-Term Range#WLD
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We have a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 1.00.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upside.
There is a major support area in green at 0.990, which represents a strong basis for the upside.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We have a trend to hold above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 1.01
First target: 1.04
Second target: 1.08
Third target: 1.12
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
DXY Outlook: Bullish Move Fueled by Fundamentals & GeopoliticsTechnical Analysis (4H Chart & Broader Context) 📈🕓
The DXY 4H chart shows a clear bullish trend 🚀, with higher highs and higher lows since early July. DXY has caught a strong bid, breaking above short-term resistance near 98.40 and now eyeing the previous swing high 🎯. This matches the consensus among analysts: DXY remains in a bullish structure, with momentum supported by both technicals and macro factors.
Key resistance: Next upside target is the previous high (around 99.60 on the chart), with further resistance at the psychological 100 level 🏁.
Support: Immediate support at 98.20, then 97.60 🛡️.
Momentum: Strong bullish candles and no major bearish reversal signals on the 4H. Some analysts note positioning is stretched, so a short-term pullback or consolidation is possible before more upside (IG).
Fundamental Analysis 💹🌍
Why is DXY rallying?
Fed Policy & US Data: The US economy is resilient 💪, with robust services data, strong retail sales, and a recent uptick in core inflation. The Fed is less dovish, with markets now expecting a slower pace of rate cuts 🏦.
Interest Rate Differentials: The US keeps a yield advantage as the Fed is less aggressive in cutting rates compared to the ECB and BoJ, especially with Europe and Japan facing weaker growth and possible further easing 🌐.
Geopolitical Factors: Ongoing trade tensions (Trump’s tariff threats) and global uncertainty (including Middle East risks) are driving safe-haven flows into the dollar 🛡️🌏. DXY typically strengthens during periods of geopolitical stress.
Positioning: CFTC data shows USD long positioning at multi-month highs, which could mean the market is crowded and vulnerable to short-term corrections ⚠️ (IG).
Trade Idea (Bullish Bias, Targeting Previous High) 💡💵
Setup:
Bias: Bullish, in line with the prevailing trend and macro backdrop 🟢.
Entry: Consider buying on a minor pullback to the 98.20–98.40 support zone, or on a confirmed breakout above the recent high 🛒.
Target: Previous swing high near 99.60, with a stretch target at 100.00 🎯.
Stop: Below 97.60 (recent swing low/support) ⛔.
Risk Factors:
Overbought positioning could trigger a short-term pullback ⚠️.
Any dovish surprise from the Fed or rapid de-escalation in global tensions could cap further gains 🕊️.
In summary: The DXY’s bullish trend is underpinned by resilient US data, a hawkish Fed, and global risk aversion. Your bullish bias is well-supported, with the previous high as a logical target. Watch for short-term pullbacks, but the broader trend remains up unless key support is lost. 🚦
#ARB/USDT Arbitrum scalp long to $ 0.4451#ARB
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 15-minute frame and is expected to break and continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 Moving Average once again.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator, supporting the upward break.
We have a support area at the lower boundary of the channel at 0.4070, acting as strong support from which the price can rebound.
We have a major support area in green that pushed the price upward at 0.3970.
Entry price: 0.4160.
First target: 0.4300.
Second target: 0.4407.
Third target: 0.4451.
To manage risk, don't forget stop loss and capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some profits and then change the stop order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please comment.
Thank you.
XAUUSD Trade Setup: Buying Opportunity at 3,322 Support ZoneGold (XAUUSD) is currently testing a critical support zone between 3,322 and 3,323 USD. This area represents a confluence of the previous swing low and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which is historically known to trigger technical bullish reactions. If a confirming signal appears on the H1 chart, this may offer a favorable short-term buy opportunity.
Trade setup details:
Entry (Buy limit): 3,323 – 3,322 USD
Stop loss: below 3,318 USD
Take profit: 3,331 – 3,340 USD
Risk-to-reward ratio: approximately 2:1
Technical rationale for the trade:
The 3,322 level has acted as a strong support in recent price structure
Aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, often seen as the last line of defense in bullish setups
RSI on the lower time frame is nearing oversold, signaling potential bullish momentum
Risk management notes:
If price closes below 3,318 USD, the long idea becomes invalid
Best entries should be supported by price action signals such as pin bar, bullish engulfing, or other reversal candles near support
Conclusion: A buy position in the 3,322 – 3,323 USD zone presents a reasonable strategy as long as the support holds. If bullish reaction occurs, price may revisit the 3,340 resistance area in the short term.
Save this strategy if you find it useful, and stay tuned for more real-time trade ideas and insights.
Gold
⸻
1. Trade Setup Summary
✅ Trade Type: Long (Buy)
✅ Entry: 3,322.250
✅ Stop Loss (SL): 3,311.500
✅ Take Profits (TP):
• TP1: 3,341.000
• TP2: 3,358.000
• TP3: 3,378.000
⸻
2. Chart Context Analysis
🔷 Structure:
• The market had a strong bullish push before a correction phase.
• Current candle is aggressively bullish from the zone near your entry, suggesting buyers are reclaiming control.
🔷 Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
• There is an FVG area marked just above TP2 (around 3,358.000) indicating a price imbalance likely to be filled.
• Previous unfilled FVGs below acted as strong demand zones, supporting bullish continuation.
🔷 Trendline Observation:
• A dotted descending trendline was broken and price consolidated above it, suggesting a shift in market structure from bearish to bullish on lower timeframes.
⸻
3. Risk Management
• SL Placement: Below recent structural lows at 3,311.500, providing safety against liquidity sweeps while avoiding premature stop-outs.
• RR Ratio: Approximately 1:2 to 1:5 if all TPs are hit, making the setup favorable.
⸻
4. Overall Probability and Caution
✔️ Strengths:
• Confluence with FVG targeting.
• Strong bullish engulfing candle.
• Multi-TP strategy for secured partial profits.
⚠️ Risks:
• Potential rejection near TP2 due to previous supply reaction.
• High volatility can cause stop-out if market seeks liquidity deeper before continuation.
⸻
5. Conclusion
This setup aligns with smart money concept-based trades focusing on:
• Market structure shift
• FVG imbalance fills
• Clear SL protection with sequential TP levels
If you want, I can:
• Break this down into a daily plan for tomorrow’s session.
• Integrate it with your NAS100, US30, and Forex analysis for the week.
• Prepare similar structured breakdowns for your upcoming charts in your strategy refinement routine tonight.
GOLD is Sideways – Wave 4 in Progress (Daily Chart)Gold is currently moving sideways, reflecting a period of consolidation that appears to be Wave 4 in the Elliott Wave structure on the daily timeframe. This phase often represents a pause before the next impulsive move. Traders should stay patient and watch for clear breakout signals, as Wave 5 could bring strong momentum once the correction completes.
AVAXUSD - Possible Correction from Channel ResistanceStructure: Ascending Channel
Indicators: RSI Overbought, Bearish Divergence Forming
📌 Confirmation:
Look for:
A strong bearish candle or
RSI breaking below 60
Volume divergence
Bias: Short-term bearish correction, bullish structure intact as long as price holds the channel.
ETHUSD – Possible Correction from Channel Resistance!Pair: ETH/USD
Timeframe: 4H
Structure: Ascending Channel
Indicators: RSI Overbought, Bearish Divergence Forming
Volume: Spike into resistance
📉 What’s happening?
Ethereum just tagged the top of its ascending channel, showing early signs of rejection. RSI is hovering near overbought, with weakening momentum on the last push.
⚠️ Caution Zone:
$3,425 acting as upper resistance
Price may retrace to midline or lower channel support ($3,250 → $3,050 range)
📌 Confirmation:
Look for:
A strong bearish candle or
RSI breaking below 60
Volume divergence
Bias: Short-term bearish correction, bullish structure intact as long as price holds the channel.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 17, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July 17, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🇮🇳 India–U.S. Inflation Divergence Dampens Dollar
India’s June retail inflation tumbled to a six-year low, while U.S. CPI hit its fastest pace since February—driven by tariff effects. This divergence is weakening the U.S. dollar against the rupee, pushing down dollar‑rupee forward premiums
📜 Treasury to Ramp Up T-Bill Issuance
Following the recent debt-ceiling increase, the U.S. Treasury plans to issue over $1 trillion in T-bills over the next 18 months. Money-market funds, flush with cash, are expected to absorb the supply, which could influence short-dated yields
💱 Dollar Eases Amid Fed-Related Volatility
Headline news that President Trump “highly unlikely” to fire Fed Chair Powell, coupled with stable PPI data, calmed markets. The dollar dipped slightly after earlier turmoil, while gold and bonds saw modest gains
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Thursday, July 17:
(No major U.S. economic releases)
Markets will track T-bill issuance plans, dollar forward dynamics, and statements from the Treasury and Fed regarding debt and rate strategy.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is for educational purposes only—not financial advice. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #dollar #tbills #inflation #Fed #technicalanalysis
Silver Holds Ground on Fed Inflation WarningsSilver is hovering near $38 during Thursday’s Asian session as markets digest U.S.-EU trade developments and Fed inflation commentary.
President Trump said deals with the EU and India are within reach, softening immediate trade fears. Still, the potential August 1 tariffs and inflationary risks continue to support silver’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Fed officials Williams and Bostic noted that although tariff impacts are modest now, they expect rising inflationary pressure in the coming months.
Resistance is at 38.50, while support holds at 37.20.
FARTCOIN/USDT >>2$FARTCOIN/USDT – One of the strongest-performing memecoins in the current cycle, showing resilience and consistent upside momentum. After consolidating steadily, price has now broken out from the current resistance zone, indicating bullish continuation. Momentum is building, supported by sustained volume and strong community backing.
C98USDT – Potential Impulse Wave 3 in Progress? | Elliott WaveHello traders! 🚀
Sharing a fresh Elliott Wave setup I'm currently monitoring on C98USDT (4H TF). The price structure is unfolding clearly and may be in the early phase of a classic 5-wave impulse.
After an impulsive move up completing Wave (1), the market corrected in a textbook ABC pattern down into a key demand zone, finishing Wave (2). We’re now seeing strong bullish momentum suggesting the beginning of Wave (3) – the longest and most aggressive wave in Elliott theory. ⚡
Trade Setup:
🟢 Entry Zone: 0.043 – 0.046
🔴 Stop Loss: 0.03913
🎯 Target Price: 0.05955
💡 Note: Always manage your risk and confirm with your own analysis before entering any trade.
Let me know your thoughts and wave count below! 👇
Happy trading! 🚀
AUDUSD Bearish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
AUD-USD is trading in a sideways trend
and the pair
Made a breakout of the
Key horizontal level
Of 0.8149 which is now
A resistance and the pair
Is now making a retest
Of the level so as we are
Bearish biased we will
Be expecting a pullback
And a further bearish
Move down !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !