GOLD H1 Technical Analysis🧠 Chart Breakdown & Trade Idea: Symmetrical Triangle Formation
We’re observing a symmetrical triangle formation — a classic consolidation pattern that often precedes a strong breakout move. The price has been making higher lows and lower highs, gradually tightening within two converging trendlines.
This pattern indicates that buyers and sellers are in a temporary equilibrium, with volatility compressing. The market is clearly waiting for a catalyst to decide the next big move.
🔍 Key Observations:
1. Trendlines:
- The upper resistance trendline is sloping downward, connecting several lower highs.
- The lower support trendline is sloping upward, connecting multiple higher lows.
2. Volume Pattern:
- Volume has been tapering off during the consolidation phase — a typical behavior during triangle formation.
- A volume spike at the breakout point would confirm the direction and strength of the move.
3. Price Action:
- The price has bounced cleanly off the lower trendline and is now approaching the upper boundary.
- A strong V-shaped recovery from support indicates buyer dominance at lower levels.
- The market is now testing the triangle’s upper resistance again — a crucial inflection point.
🚀 What the Chart is Saying
The chart is signaling a potential bullish breakout. The consistent formation of higher lows shows increasing demand, and the price is now poised to test — and possibly break — the descending resistance.
If the breakout happens with above-average volume, it would validate the pattern and open the door for a sharp upward rally.
🎯 Trade Setup (When to Buy)
✅ Buy Entry:
- Wait for a confirmed breakout — a candle close above the upper trendline with strong volume.
- Ideally, price should break above the recent swing high to avoid a false breakout.
🛑 Stop Loss:
- Just below the most recent higher low or the triangle’s lower trendline.
🎯 Take Profit:
- Measure the widest part of the triangle and project it upward from the breakout point.
- This gives you a realistic and technical target area.
📌 Conclusion:
This symmetrical triangle is nearing its apex, and the current setup favors the bulls. A breakout above resistance, accompanied by volume, could offer a high-probability long trade. Patience is key — wait for confirmation before entering.
Wave Analysis
It's a time for Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON)-Target 8.20 $The chart analysis for Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON) suggests a potential rise with a target of 8.20 USD. The 4-hour chart indicates a recent downtrend from a peak around 10 USD, with the current price stabilizing near 6.30 USD. A key support level is observed around 6 USD, which could provide a strong base for an upward move. The 50-day and 200-day moving averages are converging, hinting at a possible trend reversal if buying pressure increases.
Breaking through the resistance at 6.50-6.70 USD, a recent consolidation zone, could trigger a rally. With rising volume and bullish candlestick formations, the price may aim for 8.20 USD, a significant resistance level based on prior highs. The RSI, currently in oversold territory, could support this upward movement if it starts to recover, indicating renewed momentum. However, a drop below 6 USD support could invalidate this outlook and lead to further declines.
Potential TP: 8.20 USD
Bitcoin Swing Reinforcement, Strategic Stops Below 115k__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
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Momentum : Strong bullish trend on all timeframes above 1h (MTFTI dark/gray, “Strong Up” confirmed).
Supports/Resistances :
Key supports: $104,000–$110,000 (HTF), $116,000–$118,000 (STF).
Strategic resistances: $120,000–$122,000 (HTF), ATH $125,000.
Volumes : No excess, healthy and regular flows.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : Strong BUY across all higher timeframes, US tech sector momentum is bullish.
ISPD DIV : Neutral across all TFs, no extreme behavioral signals.
Multi-TF behavior : Bullish confirmation down to 1H; neutral/profit-taking mood on 15min–5min.
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Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
Overall bias : Strong bullish as long as the $116,000 zone holds.
Opportunities : Swing entries on pullbacks $116,000–$118,000; first take-profits at $122,000–$125,000. Potential extension up to $130,000 if on-chain momentum persists.
Risk zones : Below $115,000 = invalidation, structural downside risk (swing closure recommended).
Macro catalysts : No imminent major macro event, structurally mild volatility. Geopolitical hand neutral for now.
Risk management : Mandatory stop $114,800–$115,000, current risk/reward >2:1 on the bounce zone.
Action plan : Buy on clean retracement above 116k–118k, actively track STH profit-taking, reactively adjust if major S/R clusters break.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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1D : Supports 104k–110k, major resistance 120k–125k. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator STRONG BUY. ISPD DIV neutral, volumes regular. MTFTI Strong Up.
12H : S/R 117.5k–119.3k, strong support 115k–116k. Risk-on sectorial momentum active. Volumes unaltered, confirmed uptrend.
6H : Resistance 119.3k, support 116k. Still strong buy, healthy flows, technical uptrend confirmed. Bounce ops 116k–117k.
4H : Support 117.5k–118.2k. Resistance 120k–121k. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator only buy, general up. No abnormal volume.
2H : Support 118k/116k, resistance 120k. Sectorial momentum intact, uptrend solid, best scalping/retest at 118k.
1H : Support 118k, res. at 119.5k then 120k. Sectorial momentum strong, no volume/ISPD excess.
30min : Support 118k, resistance 119k/119.8k. Slight momentum drop, context healthy. Fast entries on rebounds.
15min : Support 118.2k, resistance 119.3k. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator neutral. MTFTI micro-volatile. Volumes steady.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Decision Synthesis
__________________________________________________________________________________
Confluences : Bullish alignment across HTFs, strong sector momentum, healthy volumes, no behavioral excess.
Divergences : Slight short-term fading on lower TFs. Adjustment signal, not a trend reversal.
On-chain : All holders in profit, early STH profit-taking but no structural top. Potential extension 122–130k$ before local exhaustion zone.
Risks : Drop below 115k would invalidate the swing dynamic. Geopolitical stress to be monitored, but little short-term transmission.
Strategy : Buyers to reinforce between 116k–118k, secure partials above 122k. Strict stop below 115k.
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BTC wave structure analysis on 4 hour and daily timeframe- Daily time frame, after price gave stop hunting signal, price increased again.
- On the 4-hour time frame, the price broke through the strong peak and gave a bullish reversal signal.
- So there is a high possibility that BTC will continue to rise and break the previous top.
Litecoin Continues Its Bullish Cycle As ExpectedLitecoin Continues Its Bullish Cycle As Expected, which can send the price even higher from technical point of view and by Elliott wave theory.
We talked about Litecoin back on May 30, when we spotted a bullish setup formation with waves (1) and (2) that can extend the rally within wave (3) of a five-wave bullish impulse.
As you can see today on July 18, Litecoin with ticker LTCUSD is now breaking strongly back above May highs after we noticed a complex W-X-Y correction in wave (2). Now that ALTcoin dominance is stepping strongly in, we may easily see more gains within a projected five-wave bullish cycle during the ALTseason, just be aware of short-term pullbacks.
Copper looking good an upmoveKey Observations
Channel Pattern & Elliott Wave Count:
Price action is moving within a well-defined upward-sloping channel (yellow lines).
An Elliott Wave structure is marked (① to ⑤). The price just completed wave ④, suggesting the next move may attempt to form wave ⑤ towards the upper channel boundary, targeting roughly the 920 level.
Price Support & Resistance:
Support: The lower channel boundary, recently tested during the wave ④ dip (~880 area), acts as a dynamic support.
Resistance: The upper channel line, which coincides with the projected wave ⑤, serves as resistance near 920.
RSI & Momentum:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at the bottom oscillates between 43.81 (current), with a recent bounce upward.
The yellow MA of RSI is at 57.07, showing the RSI is crossing its MA from below, which is typically a bullish signal.
RSI is neither overbought nor oversold, offering room for upward movement if momentum sustains.
Trend Context:
The overall trend is upward within the channel.
Recent price action after the wave ④ low suggests a renewed attempt at bullish momentum.
Summary & Implications:
The chart implies a bullish bias as long as the lower channel (support) holds. There is a technical setup for a move toward the upper trendline and wave ⑤ target (~920).
Watch for price reactions near the lower channel support—if broken, it would invalidate the immediate bullish thesis.
RSI is supportive of further upside, but needs confirmation from increasing volume and a sustained move above the 890 mark.
AUD-NZD Rebound Expected! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-NZD is making a retest
Of the horizontal support
Level of 1.0909 and as the
Pair is trading in an uptrend
We will be expecting a
Local bullish rebound
Buy!
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FX Setup of the Day: EURAUD SELL ZONEHey traders 👋
📌 SELL / EURAUD – Technical Breakdown
🟢 Entry: 1.78579
🎯 Target 1: 1.78304
🎯 Target 2: 1.78026
🎯 Target 3: 1.77636
🔴 Stop Loss: 1.79039
📈 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.00
I’ve carefully validated these levels and crafted a clean, focused analysis for you.
Every like seriously fuels my drive to produce more top-tier content 📈
Your support genuinely means a lot to me.
Thanks from the heart to everyone showing love 💙
🎯 Clear targets, solid strategy.
🤝 Let’s move forward with logic and discipline.
Starbucks: Sideways Trend Continues Starbucks shares have remained in a sideways range over the past two weeks. This does not alter our primary outlook: We continue to see the stock in the dark green wave , which is expected to peak near the resistance level at $117.46. After reaching this high, we anticipate a move lower, with the stock dropping below the support at $71.53. However, since the intermediate high has not yet been established, an alternative scenario remains on the table: With a 31% probability, the dark green wave alt. could take hold first, driving the price below the $71.53 mark ahead of schedule.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do (for more: look to the right).
$XRP All time high! Time to sell or...?CRYPTOCAP:XRP appear to have completed wave 3 with a poke above all time high, typically this os behaviour of a wave 5.
The daily R5 pivot point has been breached so there is a significant chance of a decent pullback now but I wouldn't bet against the trend!
Wave 4 could be shallow, targeting the previous all time high, High Volume Node with waver 5 completing near $4.
Daily RSI is overbought but no bearish divergence yet which will likely emerge during wave 5.
Safe trading
Bullish XAUUSD 4H Update
Price is holding above the key liquidity zone and bouncing near the 61.8% Fib retracement. Watching closely for a continuation toward 3,377 (0% Fib level) if structure holds. EMA alignment suggests potential short-term bullish momentum, but a break below 3,322 invalidates this bias.
📌 Key Levels:
• Entry Zone: 50%-61.8% Fib
• Target: 3,377
• Invalidation: 3,322
XAUUSD ANALYSIS – JULY 18XAUUSD ANALYSIS – JULY 18: STRATEGY BASED ON FIBONACCI, TRENDLINE & STRUCTURE
1. XAUUSD Technical Overview (4H Chart)
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 3,343 USD, showing signs of a slight rebound from key support. On the 4H timeframe, the price structure is forming higher lows, maintaining above a short-term rising trendline – a technically bullish signal.
2. Key Support & Resistance Zones
Immediate Supports:
3,338 USD: aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement – a zone tested multiple times.
3,333 – 3,335 USD: strong support, overlapping with EMA and rising trendline.
3,327 USD: previous swing low – last defense for the bullish structure.
Immediate Resistances:
3,345 – 3,346 USD: frequently rejected zone in recent sessions.
3,350 USD: psychological and technical resistance.
3,358 USD: recent swing high – breakout confirmation level.
3. Price Action & Fibonacci Confluence
Price is currently hovering between Fibo 0.5 (3,343 USD) and Fibo 0.618 (3,338 USD) – a potential bounce zone if bullish momentum holds.
The pullback from 3,358 to 3,286 has respected standard Fibonacci retracement levels, confirming technical price behavior.
4. Trendline Analysis
The ascending trendline from the 3,275 USD low remains intact, providing solid dynamic support.
If the price continues to bounce from this trendline, it may form a bullish continuation pattern (flag/pennant).
5. Suggested Trading Strategies
Long
Entry: 3,338 – 3,340 USD
SL: 3,327 USD
TP: 3,345 – 3,350 – 3,358 USD
Note: Buying the dip near Fib & trendline
Short
Entry: Below 3,327 USD (breakdown)
SL: Above 3,340 USD
TP: 3,310 – 3,298 USD
Notes: Only if price breaks trendline & support
6. Supporting Technical Indicators
EMA20/EMA50 show slight upward momentum – early bullish bias.
RSI (14) hovers near 50 – neutral zone, awaiting breakout confirmation.
Conclusion:
Gold is consolidating around a critical support zone. The short-term bias leans bullish if the 3,338 – 3,333 USD region holds and price breaks above 3,346 – 3,350 USD.
This is a key moment to position early using Fibonacci and trendline confluence.
👉 Follow for more strategies in upcoming sessions. Save this if you find it useful!
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Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 18, 2025📈 Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 18, 2025
🔍 Momentum Analysis
D1 Timeframe: Momentum is showing signs of a bullish reversal. While we need to wait for today's D1 candle to close for confirmation, it's likely that yesterday’s upward move marks Wave 1, signaling the beginning of a new bullish trend.
H4 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing for a bearish reversal → suggesting a potential corrective pullback, likely forming Wave 2.
H1 Timeframe: Momentum is about to reverse upward → supporting the expectation of a short-term bullish move during the current session.
🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Update
On the H4 chart, the abcde triangle correction structure remains largely unchanged.
However, a strong H4 bullish candle appeared yesterday, indicating unusual market behavior that deserves attention.
There are two main scenarios:
- Wave 1 (black) has already completed, and the market is now entering Wave 2 correction.
- Alternatively, the current movement could be Wave 4 within Wave 1 (black).
🔎 Combining Momentum & Wave Structure
- With D1 momentum signaling a potential uptrend lasting the next 4–5 days, it suggests that Wave e (blue) may have completed.
- This opens the door for an impulsive 5-wave advance. Specifically:
+ If H1 continues its bullish reversal, the current move could be Wave 5 of Wave 1 (black), targeting the 3358 level.
+ Afterwards, a retracement toward the 3330–3323 zone would form Wave 2 (black).
+ Alternatively, price might drop directly to 3330–3323, implying Wave 1 has already finished and the current move is Wave 2.
🎯 => Both scenarios converge at the 3330–3323 price zone, making it a high-probability BUY ZONE.
🧭 Trade Plan
BUY ZONE: 3330 – 3327
Stop Loss: 3320
Take Profits:
TP1: 3342
TP2: 3358
TP3: 3402
📌 Note: Since this is a relatively wide entry zone, it's best to wait for price action confirmation at this level before entering.
EURUSD Will Go Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.161.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.155 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZDUSD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.594.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.592 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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AUD/CAD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
AUD/CAD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.893
Target Level: 0.890
Stop Loss: 0.894
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Fibonacci Retracement: The Hidden Key to Better EntriesIf you’ve ever wondered how professional traders predict where price might pull back before continuing... the secret lies in Fibonacci Retracement.
In this post, you’ll learn:
What Fibonacci retracement is
Why it works
How to use it on your charts (step-by-step)
Pro tips to increase accuracy in the market
🧠 What Is Fibonacci Retracement?:
Fibonacci Retracement is a technical analysis tool that helps traders identify potential support or resistance zones where price is likely to pause or reverse during a pullback.
It’s based on a mathematical sequence called the Fibonacci Sequence, found everywhere in nature — from galaxies to sunflowers — and yes, even in the markets.
The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones, starting with 0 and 1. The sequence typically begins with 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, and so on. This pattern can be expressed as a formula: F(n) = F(n-1) + F(n-2), where F(n) is the nth Fibonacci number.
The key Fibonacci levels traders use are:
23.6%
38.2%
50%
61.8%
78.6%
These levels represent percentages of a previous price move, and they give us reference points for where price might pull back before resuming its trend and where we can anticipate price to move before showing support or resistance to the trend you are following.
💡Breakdown of Each Fib Level:
💎 0.236 (23.6%) – Shallow Pullback
What it indicates:
Weak retracement, often signals strong trend momentum.
Buyers/sellers are aggressively holding the trend.
Best action:
Aggressive entry zone for continuation traders.
Look for momentum signals (break of minor structure, bullish/bearish candles). Stay out of the market until you see more confirmation.
💎 0.382 (38.2%) – First Strong Area of Interest
What it indicates:
Healthy pullback in a trending market.
Seen as a key area for trend followers to step in.
Best action:
Look for entry confirmation: bullish/bearish engulfing, pin bars, Elliott Waves, or break/retest setups.
Ideal for setting up trend continuation trades.
Stop Loss 0.618 Level
💎 0.500 (50.0%) – Neutral Ground
What it indicates:
Often marks the midpoint of a significant price move.
Market is undecided, can go either way.
Best action:
Wait for additional confirmation before entering.
Combine with support/resistance or a confluence zone.
Useful for re-entry on strong trends with good risk/reward.
Stop Loss 1.1 Fib Levels
💎 0.618 (61.8%) – The “Golden Ratio”
What it indicates:
Deep pullback, often seen as the last line of defense before trend reversal.
High-probability area for big players to enter or add to positions.
Best action:
Look for strong reversal patterns (double bottoms/tops, engulfing candles).
Excellent area for entering swing trades with tight risk and high reward.
Use confluence (structure zones, moving averages, psychological levels, Elliott Waves).
Wait for close above or below depending on the momentum of the market.
Stop Loss 1.1 Fib Level
💎 0.786 (78.6%) – Deep Correction Zone
What it indicates:
Very deep retracement. Often a final “trap” zone before price reverses.
Risk of trend failure is higher.
Best action:
Only trade if there's strong reversal evidence.
Use smaller position size or avoid unless other confluences are aligned.
Can act as an entry for counter-trend trades in weaker markets.
Stop Loss around 1.1 and 1.2 Fib Levels
⏱️Best Timeframe to Use Fibs for Day Traders and Swing Traders:
Day trading:
Day traders, focused on capturing short-term price movements and making quick decisions within a single day, typically utilize shorter timeframes for Fibonacci retracement analysis, such as 15-minute through hourly charts.
They may also use tighter Fibonacci levels (like 23.6%, 38.2%, and 50%) to identify more frequent signals and exploit short-term fluctuations.
Combining Fibonacci levels with other indicators such as moving averages, RSI, or MACD, and focusing on shorter timeframes (e.g., 5-minute or 15-minute charts) can enhance signal confirmation for day traders.
However, relying on very short timeframes for Fibonacci can lead to less reliable retracement levels due to increased volatility and potential for false signals.
Swing trading:
Swing traders aim to capture intermediate trends, which necessitates giving trades more room to fluctuate over several days or weeks.
They typically prefer utilizing broader Fibonacci levels (like 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%) to identify significant retracement points for entering and exiting trades.
Swing traders often focus on 4-hour and daily charts for their analysis, and may even consult weekly charts for a broader market perspective.
🎯 Why Does Fibonacci Work?:
Fibonacci levels work because of:
Mass psychology – many traders use them
Natural rhythm – markets move in waves, not straight lines
Institutional footprint – smart money often scales in around key retracement zones
It's not magic — it's structure, and it's surprisingly reliable when used correctly.
🛠 How to Draw Fibonacci Retracement (Step-by-Step):
Let’s say you want to trade XAU/USD (Gold), and price just had a strong bullish run.
✏️ Follow These Steps:
Identify the swing low (start of move)
Identify the swing high (end of move)
Use your Fibonacci tool to draw from low to high (for a bullish move)
The tool will automatically mark levels like 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, etc.
These levels act as pullback zones, and your job is to look for entry confirmation around them.
🔁 For bearish moves, draw from high to low. (I will show a bearish example later)
Now let’s throw some examples and pictures into play to get a better understanding.
📈 XAU/USD BULLISH Example:
1.First we Identify the direction of the market:
2.Now we set our fibs by looking for confirmations to get possible entry point:
Lets zoom in a bit:
Now that we have a break of the trendline we wait for confirmation and look for confluence:
Now we set our fibs from the last low to the last high:
This will act as our entry point for the trade.
3. Now we can look for our stop loss and take profit levels:
Stop Loss:
For the stop loss I like to use the fib levels 1.1 and 1.2 when I make an entry based upon the 0.618 level. These levels to me typically indicate that the trade idea is invalid once crossed because it will usually violate the prior confirmations
Take Profit:
For the take profit I like to use the Fib levels 0.236, 0, -0.27, and -0.618. This is based upon your personal risk tolerance and overall analysis. You can use 0.236 and 0 level as areas to take partial profits.
Re-Entry Point Using Elliott Waves as Confluence Example:
This is an example of how I used Elliott Waves to enter the trade again from the prior entry point. If you don’t know what Elliott Waves are I will link my other educational post so you can read up on it and have a better understanding my explanation to follow.
After seeing all of our prior confirmations I am now confident that our trend is still strongly bullish so I will mark my Waves and look for an entry point.
As we can see price dipped into the 0.38-0.5 Fib level and rejected it nicely which is also in confluence with the Elliott Wave Theory for the creation of wave 5 which is the last impulse leg before correction.
🔻 In a downtrend:
Same steps, but reverse the direction — draw from high to low and look to short the pullback.
XAU/USD Example:
As you can see the same basic principles applied for bearish movement as well.
⚠️ Pro Tips for Accuracy:
✅ Always use Fib in confluence with:
Market structure (higher highs/lows or lower highs/lows)
Key support/resistance zones
Volume or momentum indicators
Candle Patterns
Elliott Waves, etc.
❌ Don’t trade Fib levels blindly — they are zones, not guarantees.
📊 Use higher timeframes for cleaner levels (4H, Daily)
💡 Final Thought
Fibonacci retracement doesn’t predict the future — it reveals probability zones where price is likely to react.
When combined with structure and confirmation, it becomes one of the most reliable tools for new and experienced traders alike.
🔥 Drop a comment if this helped — or if you want a Part 2 where I break down Fibonacci Extensions and how to use them for take-profit targets.
💬 Tag or share with a beginner who needs to see this!