Wave Analysis
SHIBUSD – Handle or Hype?SHIB had a strong trend from $0.00001150 to $0.00001480, then saw a healthy pullback into $0.00001330 before bouncing back to retest highs. A potential cup and handle formation is playing out here. Immediate support sits at $0.00001420 — bulls must defend this to confirm bullish continuation.
Bullish momentum holding, accumulation zones in focus__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
➤ Strong bullish momentum across all timeframes.
➤ Key supports: 104–110k$ and 110–115k$; pivot resistance: 124k$.
➤ Normal volumes, no panic or exhaustion phases detected.
➤ The Risk On / Risk Off Indicator consistently supports the bullish trend, with minor short-term slowing.
➤ No behavioral alerts (ISPD DIV), multi-timeframe structure fully aligned.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
➤ Structurally bullish bias as long as supports above 104–110k$ hold.
➤ Tactically seek long entries on retracements to 110–115k$ (preferred swing bias).
➤ Fast profit-taking zone above 124k$ or on loss of key support clusters.
➤ Macro environment neutral to slightly positive, no urgent negative catalysts.
➤ Action: prioritize long trades on pullback, strict stops below 104k$, reduce sizing before major news releases.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
1D:
- Strong 124k$ resistance, major supports at 104.5k$ & 108–110k$ (technical and on-chain clusters).
- Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: strong buy, balanced volumes.
- Buy zone = pullback to 108–110k$; rapid profit-taking on break of 124k$ without macro confirmation.
12H:
- Distribution below 124k$ resistance, optimal support at 110–115k$.
- Risk On / Risk Off Indicator bullish, clear bullish confluence.
- Wait for confirmed break to extend; buy dips.
6H / 4H:
- Failed breakout at 124k$, solid supports at 110–115k$.
- Momentum intact, stable volumes, healthy structure.
- Dip accumulation recommended as long as supports hold.
2H / 1H:
- Active defense of 110–115k$ support and pivots at 115–118k$.
- Risk On / Risk Off Indicator very favorable (swing pullback entries).
- Stable volumes, no exuberance.
30min / 15min:
- Moderated momentum, micro-range below 120k$.
- Treat every dip as an opportunity to join the main trend.
Cross-summary: As long as >110k$ holds, each pullback is an accumulation opportunity. Only a persistent break below 104k$ invalidates the bias.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Fundamental & On-chain Analysis
Macro: US CPI above expectations, no Fed rate cut expected, neutral to risk-on environment. No immediate negative news, volatility under control.
Calendar: increase caution before key macro releases, reduce swing exposure ahead of FOMC/high-vol days.
On-chain: major accumulation supports 104–110k$; watch for loss of STH in profit momentum.
Strong coherence between technical and on-chain clusters, but remain watchful for euphoric tops >124–130k$.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic conclusion and action plan
Trend: Bullish unless crash below 104k$.
Action: Prioritize buying pullbacks at 110–115k$, strict stops under key pivots.
Swing window possible up to 130k$ if no on-chain/macro overheating.
Increase prudence if break >124k$ occurs without macro/sector momentum.
As long as the multi-timeframe structure holds and on-chain support clusters are respected, every pullback to 110–115k$ should be seen as a buy opportunity. Key watch: breakouts above 124k$ without macro confirmation and on-chain STH/profit stress signals.
__________________________________________________________________________________
ZROUSDT lets sing a song 🎧
📌 Key Elements on Chart:
🔴 Resistance Zones (Red Boxes):
Marked from approx 2.35 to 2.50 USDT
Multiple red boxes stacked → showing layered resistance
Price is nearing the upper edge, suggesting rejection likely
🟡 Gann-Like Fan Lines (Yellow):
Multiple ascending support/resistance lines
Price is currently near the upper boundary, testing this zone
🔵 Vertical Time Lines (Cycle Dates):
Marked important time zones where reversal might occur
Noted dates:
July 18, 2025
July 20, 2025
July 21, 2025
Possibly July 22, 2025
🔽 Bearish Arrows:
Arrows indicate expected movement:
Price touches upper resistance
Breaks below fan supports
Heads toward 1.90 – 1.60 USDT range
🧠 Interpretation of This Idea:
You’re expecting a trend reversal after hitting the resistance zone near 2.40–2.50.
Time-based Gann or cycle analysis suggests mid-late July 2025 as a potential trend change window.
The fan lines act as temporary support, but if broken, sharp drop is expected.
This is a counter-trend short setup based on price + time confluence.
USDCAD Analysis – July 16, 2025
Following the ceasefire between Iran and Israel, oil prices have weakened, reducing support for the Canadian dollar, which is closely tied to crude. As a result, CAD could remain among the weaker currencies over the next two weeks.
Meanwhile, the US dollar may gain strength following the CPI data released on July 15, 2025, potentially setting up a favorable swing opportunity for USDCAD bulls.
🟥 High-Risk Setup – R:R 7.0
This aggressive setup targets a sharp upside move with a tight stop loss, aiming for a high reward relative to the risk. It's suitable for traders comfortable with volatility and willing to accept a lower probability for a higher payout.
🟦 Moderate-Risk Setup – R:R 2.5
A more balanced scenario with a wider stop and a closer target, offering a higher probability of success and smoother trade management. This setup aligns well with swing trading strategies seeking consistent results.
Both setups are based on the current price action structure visible on the chart.
Trade safe, manage your risk, and follow your plan. ✅
AUDCHF Will Grow! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDCHF.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 0.519.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 0.534 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBPAUD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPAUD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 2.071.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 2.058 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AL RAMZ CORPORATION -DFM-LongAL RAMZ CORPORATION (2H chart)
ALRAMZ just threw down a textbook bounce off the demand zone, broke the daily downtrend line, and momentum's lit. That 1.57 level? That’s the kill zone. Could be Wave A or 1 — either way, bulls are cookin'.
Looks like we’ve completed a **corrective structure** post-Wave 5 top near 1.70.
The impulsive drop into the **Demand Zone (0.97–1.01)** has been met with strong buying — potential by breaking the daily trendline and start of a new motive wave or large corrective rally.
* **Demand Zone:** 0.97–1.01 (key support that triggered this bounce)
* **Supply Zone (Target):** 1.57–1.60 (prior consolidation & resistance)
RSI Recently triggered a **Bullish Divergence**
RSI has spiked above 80, suggesting **strong bullish momentum**
🧠 **Trade Setup**
* **Entry:** 1.12 (post-breakout retest)
* **Stop Loss:** 0.97 (below Last Low)
* **Take Profit:** 1.57 (major supply resistance zone)
**Risk/Reward:**
* **R/R = 3:1**
"In trading, it's not about prediction, it's about preparation." – Mark Douglas
### ⚠️ **Disclaimer:**
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves risk, so manage position size accordingly and always use stops.
PARKIN-DFM (long setup)PARKIN had Impulsive breakout, confirmed by price piercing the descending Daily trendline (Daily DT)
Double confirmation from the demand zone bounce and RSI bulls waking up. Trendline’s toast. If Wave 5 is truly kicking off, that 6.76 zone’s gonna be the magnet. Let it rip.
Demand Zone :** 6.08–6.15 (held strong multiple times)
Supply Zone:** 6.71–6.79
RSI signaling strong momentum with bullish divergence supports upside continuation
🎯 **Trade Plan**
* **Entry:** 6.26 (confirmation candle post-breakout)
* **Stop Loss:** 6.08 (below demand zone structure)
* **Target 1:** 6.76 (supply zone near prior highs)
**Risk/Reward:**
* **R/R = 3:1**
"It’s not about being right or wrong. It’s about how much you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong." – George Soros
### ⚠️ **Disclaimer:**
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own due diligence.
Gold (XAU/USD) - Elliott Wave Suggests Wave 5 Upside Starting!📊 Current Wave Count:
Wave 1 (Complete): Rally from to .
Wave 2 (Corrective): Pullback to (held 50%/61.8% Fib).
Wave 3 (Extended): Strong impulse to .
Wave 4 (Corrective): ABC pattern ending near (e.g., 38.2% Fib of Wave 3).
🎯 Wave 5 Projection:
Target: Typical 0.618–1.0 extension of Wave 1-3 → $ .
Invalidation: Break below Wave 4 low ($ ).
📈 Why Now?
Wave 4 completed as a shallow correction (flat/triangle).
MACD/RSI shows bullish divergence on lower timeframes.
Fundamental drivers (e.g., Fed dovishness, inflation) align.
⚡ Trading Plan:
Entry: Near current pullback (~$ ).
Stop Loss: Below Wave 4 low.
Take Profit: Scale out at 0.618 and 1.0 extensions.
CAD/JPY BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
CAD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 108.259
Target Level: 106.600
Stop Loss: 109.355
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
AUD/JPY SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the AUD/JPY with the target of 92.517 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
EUR/USD Bearish Wave Outlook Into September 2025EUR/USD Bearish Wave Outlook Into September 2025
Technical + Elliott Wave + Macro View
EUR/USD has likely completed a major top at 1.18300, which aligns with the 1.0 Fibonacci extension. This level acted as a liquidity sweep before reversing sharply, marking the top of Wave (1) in the current Elliott sequence. We're now entering Wave (3) to the downside—a high-momentum leg often driven by macro confirmation.
Price has broken the ascending channel and rejected the 0.786 and 0.886 retracement zones. With lower highs forming, the structure is weakening. The next likely target sits around 1.10223, a key Fibonacci and order block confluence. If momentum accelerates, EUR/USD could continue toward 1.08289, completing the full Wave (2).
From a macro lens, the divergence between the Fed and ECB continues to widen. The U.S. economy remains resilient with sticky inflation and strong yields supporting the dollar. In contrast, Europe is showing signs of stagnation, with Germany and France struggling to post meaningful growth. This favors continued downside on the pair.
Expect potential relief rallies into 1.1400–1.1550, but these are likely to be sold unless a fundamental catalyst shifts sentiment.
Bias: Bearish
Targets: 1.1022 > 1.0828
Invalidation: Clean break and close above 1.1700
—
🔔 Watch for volume spikes and failed reclaims of structure as confirmation. DSS signals aligned.
#EURUSD #Forex #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcepts #MacroTrading #WaverVanir #VolanX #DollarStrength #FXForecast #TechnicalAnalysis
ORDI/USDTKey Level Zone: 9.800 - 9.930
LMT v2.0 detected.
The setup looks promising—price previously trended upward with rising volume and momentum, then retested this zone cleanly. This presents an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity if momentum continues to align.
Introducing LMT (Levels & Momentum Trading)
- Over the past 3 years, I’ve refined my approach to focus more sharply on the single most important element in any trade: the KEY LEVEL.
- While HMT (High Momentum Trading) served me well—combining trend, momentum, volume, and structure across multiple timeframes—I realized that consistently identifying and respecting these critical price zones is what truly separates good trades from great ones.
- That insight led to the evolution of HMT into LMT – Levels & Momentum Trading.
Why the Change? (From HMT to LMT)
Switching from High Momentum Trading (HMT) to Levels & Momentum Trading (LMT) improves precision, risk control, and confidence by:
- Clearer Entries & Stops: Defined key levels make it easier to plan entries, stop-losses, and position sizing—no more guesswork.
- Better Signal Quality: Momentum is now always checked against a support or resistance zone—if it aligns, it's a stronger setup.
- Improved Reward-to-Risk: All trades are anchored to key levels, making it easier to calculate and manage risk effectively.
- Stronger Confidence: With clear invalidation points beyond key levels, it's easier to trust the plan and stay disciplined—even in tough markets.
Whenever I share a signal, it’s because:
- A high‐probability key level has been identified on a higher timeframe.
- Lower‐timeframe momentum, market structure and volume suggest continuation or reversal is imminent.
- The reward‐to‐risk (based on that key level) meets my criteria for a disciplined entry.
***Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note: The Role of Key Levels
- Holding a key level zone: If price respects the key level zone, momentum often carries the trend in the expected direction. That’s when we look to enter, with stop-loss placed just beyond the zone with some buffer.
- Breaking a key level zone: A definitive break signals a potential stop‐out for trend traders. For reversal traders, it’s a cue to consider switching direction—price often retests broken zones as new support or resistance.
My Trading Rules (Unchanged)
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%
- Leverage: 5x
Exit Strategy / Profit Taking
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically sell 50% during a high‐volume spike.
- Move stop‐loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 R:R.
- Exit at breakeven if momentum fades or divergence appears.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. LMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
Sharing this with love!
From HMT to LMT: A Brief Version History
HM Signal :
Date: 17/08/2023
- Early concept identifying high momentum pullbacks within strong uptrends
- Triggered after a prior wave up with rising volume and momentum
- Focused on healthy retracements into support for optimal reward-to-risk setups
HMT v1.0:
Date: 18/10/2024
- Initial release of the High Momentum Trading framework
- Combined multi-timeframe trend, volume, and momentum analysis.
- Focused on identifying strong trending moves high momentum
HMT v2.0:
Date: 17/12/2024
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
Date: 23/12/2024
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
Date: 31/12/2024
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
Date: 05/01/2025
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
Date: 06/01/2025
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
HMT v5 :
Date: 23/01/2025
- Refined wave analysis for trending conditions
- Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability
- Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
HMT v6 :
Date : 15/02/2025
- Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis
HMT v7 :
Date : 20/03/2025
- Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment
HMT v8 :
Date : 16/04/2025
- Fully restructured strategy logic
HMT v8.1 :
Date : 18/04/2025
- Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency
LMT v1.0 :
Date : 06/06/2025
- Rebranded to emphasize key levels + momentum as the core framework
LMT v2.0
Date: 11/06/2025
- Fully restructured lower timeframe (LTF) momentum logic
#MYRO/USDT myro road map (HI)#MYRO
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We have a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 0.02400.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upside.
There is a key support area (in green) at 0.02350, which represents a strong basis for the upside.
Don't forget one simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We have a trend of stability above the Moving Average 100.
Entry price: 0.02476
First target: 0.02532
Second target: 0.02656
Third target: 0.02780
Don't forget one simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
#PEOPLE/USDT Breakout in Action !#PEOPLE
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We have a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 0.02200.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward move.
There is a key support area (in green) at 0.02200, which represents a strong basis for the upward move.
Don't forget one simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We have a trend of stability above the Moving Average 100.
Entry price: 0.02254
First target: 0.02340
Second target: 0.02401
Third target: 0.02470
Don't forget one simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
SEIZE THE OPPORTUNITY: IS GOLD POSITIONED FOR A DOWNSIDE MOVE?FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Current Price: $3341
Target Range: $3310 - $3320
While gold has enjoyed a recent run-up, the technical landscape suggests that this upward momentum is encountering significant resistance. Multiple indicators point to a potential short-term pullback, offering a compelling selling opportunity for astute traders.
Key Resistance Holds Strong: Gold has consistently met stern resistance around the $3345-$3375 area. This zone has proven to be a formidable barrier for further upside, with recent attempts to break through being met with decisive selling pressure.
Decisive Pullback from Highs: After touching recent highs, gold has already shown a sharp pullback from $3354, indicating that buyers are losing conviction at these elevated levels. This suggests that the current price around $3341 is vulnerable to a continuation of this corrective move.
US Dollar Strength on the Rise: The US Dollar is gaining traction following recent economic data. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for international buyers, naturally dampening demand and exerting downward pressure on prices.
Technical Signals Align for a Decline:
Some analyses indicate that gold has entered a short-term range-bound consolidation phase, with the upper boundary around $3345-$3350, making it an ideal "shorting at highs" scenario.
Bearish momentum is emerging below the $3340 resistance level, with some technical indicators potentially signaling a shift in trend.
The 50-day moving average could be acting as dynamic resistance overhead, further capping upside potential.
The smart money is recognizing that gold's current valuation may be unsustainable in the immediate term. Don't chase the rally; instead, capitalize on the impending correction.
Consider initiating sell positions from $3341 down to $3310 as gold tests and potentially breaks key support levels. Prudent risk management suggests placing a tight stop-loss above the immediate resistance, protecting your capital while aiming for a profitable downside.
TARGET 1 (3325)
TARGET 2 (3310)
STOP LOSS ( 3352)
WIPRO CAN STILL FACE SOME PRESSUREWIPRO LTD.
Wave Structure:
The chart depicts a well-defined Elliott Wave pattern, illustrating a completed five-wave impulse sequence succeeded by a classic ABC corrective phase.
Wave B retracement appears to be underway, with resistance anticipated around the ₹275–₹285 zone.
Support & Resistance:
Key resistance levels are established at ₹275–₹285, which historically coincided with selling pressure and reversal zones.
Major support zones are highlighted between ₹210–₹225, a region with repeated buying interest and robust price recovery in the past.
Technical Outlook:
The current price structure suggests continued corrective bias, with a probable move towards the lower support band (₹210–₹225), barring any decisive reversal above the key resistance.
Unless momentum breaks out above ₹285 with conviction, the base scenario remains cautious to bearish.
My analysis is anchored in classical price action and Elliott Wave theory to identify potential market inflection points.
Sentiment:
The prevailing market sentiment remains neutral to negative as the price fails to breach significant resistance and is trading below the Wave B peak.
A shift in momentum can only be confirmed if there is sustained price action above resistance with increased volume.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is strictly for educational and informational purposes, not intended as trading or investment advice.
TECH MAHINDRA POISED FOR AN UPMOVE#TECHMAHINDRA
Support and Resistance:
A support zone is identified near ₹1,500 (lower yellow horizontal line).
The resistance zone is marked around ₹1,800 (indicated by the upper yellow horizontal line).
Trend Analysis:
Following a significant decline, the stock has shown a sharp recovery and is now consolidating.
A possible bullish scenario is depicted, anticipating a move towards the resistance zone, subject to price confirmation.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Currently, RSI is around 43.56, suggesting mild bearishness.
The RSI previously formed a bearish divergence (lower highs on RSI while price made higher highs), and has since declined.
The yellow moving average line on RSI indicates the momentum trend is still down.
Chart Pattern:
The recent pattern suggests that the stock has pulled back after a failed attempt to break higher, possibly setting up for another upward move.
Summary: Tech Mahindra is at an important technical juncture, consolidating after a recent decline. If it holds above support and momentum improves, a move towards ₹1,800 is possible; however, the current RSI weakness suggests caution until clear strength emerges.