Wave Analysis
GBPCHF → Retest of resistance to the global downtrendFX:GBPCHF is facing resistance from the local trend, which is aligned with the global bearish trend. The trend may continue...
A retest of resistance is forming within the global downtrend. As part of the correction, the price is testing the zone of interest and, after a false breakout of 1.7935, is returning to the selling zone.
The currency pair is rebounding from the resistance of the local trend, which coincides with the global trend. Consolidation of the price below 1.078 may trigger a continuation of the decline
Resistance levels: 1.07932, 1.0823
Support levels: 1.07744, 1.07255
Price consolidation in the selling zone followed by a break of the local structure could strengthen the bearish sentiment, which could trigger a further decline overall.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XRP → ATH retest. Reversal or continued growth?BINANCE:XRPUSDT.P is rallying and ready to test the resistance zone - ATH. Against this backdrop, Bitcoin is consolidating after a bull run. The liquidity pool may hold back growth.
Fundamentally, there is excitement across the entire cryptocurrency market. Altcoins are rallying after Bitcoin hit a new high and entered consolidation. The BTC.D index is declining, which generally provides a good opportunity for altcoins to grow. However, the index is approaching technical support, which may affect market sentiment overall...
As for XRP, there is a fairly strong liquidity pool ahead — the ATH resistance zone. The price is in a distribution phase after a change in character and a breakout of the downtrend resistance in the 2.33 zone. The momentum may exhaust its potential to break through the 3.35-3.34 zone, and growth may be halted for correction or reversal (in correlation with Bitcoin's dominance in the market).
Resistance levels: 3.35-3.40
Support levels: 3.0, 2.64
A breakout of resistance without the possibility of further growth, a return of the price below the level (i.e., inside the global flat) will confirm the fact of a false breakout of resistance, which may trigger a correction or even a reversal.
Best regards, R. Linda!
AUDUSD: Bearish Flag Retest Within Macro HeadwindsAUDUSD is developing a clean bearish technical setup just as macro fundamentals increasingly weigh on the Australian dollar. The pair recently completed a rising wedge breakout and is now retesting broken structure within a larger downtrend. With risk sentiment shaky due to U.S. tariff threats and dovish repricing of the RBA’s outlook, Aussie bulls may struggle to sustain momentum. A confirmed breakdown below 0.6458 could open the door toward June’s swing low near 0.6390.
🧠 Technical Breakdown:
✅ Bearish Flag Structure:
The chart shows a sequence of bearish flags and rising wedges, all of which have historically broken lower. The latest breakout to the downside was sharp, and the current rally appears corrective.
✅ Fib Levels & Confluence:
Price is hovering near the 38.2% retracement (0.6510) from the last leg down. The invalidation zone around 0.6565 aligns with a supply zone, making it an ideal SL area.
✅ Target Zones:
First support: 0.6458
Measured move: 0.6390 - 0.6370
These coincide with Fib 61.8% & 100%, adding technical confluence.
📉 Fundamental Drivers:
Dovish RBA Signals: Labour data missed expectations, and June inflation slowed (4.8% vs. 4.9% expected), softening the RBA’s hawkish stance.
Stronger USD Outlook: Powell’s reappointment risk and rate-cut delay pricing have supported the dollar. U.S. data (Retail Sales, CPI) still signal sticky inflation and strong labor.
Tariff Risk from Trump: With the U.S. floating global 10% tariffs, risk assets like AUD (a high-beta currency) face downside pressure.
⚠️ Risks to Bearish Bias:
Stronger-than-expected China stimulus could support AUD as a proxy.
A dovish Fed pivot or soft U.S. data might undercut USD strength.
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for July 18Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance: 3382, support: 3310
Four-hour chart resistance: 3375, support: 3332
One-hour chart resistance: 3365, support: 3345.
From a technical perspective, the price of gold has recently formed a wide range of fluctuations in the range of 3310-3365 US dollars, reflecting the unclear market direction. At present, the short-term moving average of gold is supported at 3332, and other periodic indicators are also in a bullish arrangement. The overall decline at the hourly level is limited, and the bulls still have the momentum to rebound.
3310 on the daily chart constitutes a key support. If it falls below, it may fall to the July low of 3287-3282. On the upside, if the resistance level of 3366 US dollars is effectively broken, it may trigger short stop losses and push the gold price back to the 3400 US dollar mark. Pay attention to the resistance of 3366-3377 above and the support of 3345/3332 below
BUY: 3345near
SELL: 3365near
EURUSD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1663
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1632
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
LINK to $230 - $1,087 ALT EW Count Stablecoin Supercycle Part 6!Genius Stablecoin Act just got passed! LETS GO! STABLECOIN SUPERCYCLE!
A few months ago I presented a Primary Elliott Wave Count that suggested Chainlink would top out between $60-$100. Here is the Alternative Elliott Wave Count that suggests that Chainlink will easily hit $230 this market cycle and possibly even 4 digits!
In this alternate wave count, Chainlink is trading in a series of nested 1-2, 1-2, 1-2, 1-2 structures, and the Wave 3 expansions that are about to occur aren't going to send Chainlink to the moon, they are going to send Chainlink to Pluto and beyond. Chainlink will easily hit the 1.618 fibbonaci retracement from the 2021 Bull Market Top to the 2023 Bear Market Bottom which results in a $230 Chainlink. The 2.272 fibbonaci retracement lands Chainlink at $1,087. LOL!
Is this a high probability trade setup? No. Nested 1-2 structures are prone to failing because if one single 1-2 setup fails, it becomes a domino effect where the next 1-2 wave structures are prone to failing. As stated before, I am still expecting the primary wave count to take place with Chainlink topping between $60-$100.
Why did I make this post? Because... everyone is still very underweight alt coins lmao. As stated in previous Ethereum posts, DISBELIEF RALLY happening before your very eyes.
Gold continues to be weak, but be careful about operations📣Gold prices fell 2% last Friday, hitting a near one-month low. Optimistic trade-related agreements boosted risk appetite and weakened the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset. This week, the market will usher in a group meeting of major central bank governors around the world (Fed Chairman Powell, European Central Bank President Lagarde, Bank of England Governor Bailey, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, and Bank of Korea Governor Lee Chang-yong). The market will also usher in non-agricultural data. In addition, Powell's remarks on whether to resign may ignite the market this week. Gold prices may fluctuate more around the lower track of the Bollinger Band at $3,270/ounce this week.
Technical analysis:
Last Friday, the K-line had a lower shadow, and the Bollinger Band did not diverge. It is not easy to go short directly in operation, but wait for the rebound to confirm 3295 and the key resistance of ma5 to be short.
💰 Operation strategy: Rebound to 3280-3283 to go short, target 3270-3265, stop loss 3288-3290
If you are a beginner, I suggest you first understand what trading is.
FDAX Today 1. Wave (3) likely near completion:
Price hit the 1.618 extension of Wave 1, which is textbook for a Wave 3 target.
There’s also confluence with the 23.6% retracement from the previous swing high (24,703), and we're near a Bearish FVG + Order Block zone.
High-probability zone for a short-term rejection or distribution top.
2. Wave (4) could start today
If Wave 3 is topping into OpEx, dealers might unwind long gamma hedges, contributing to volatility + pullback.
Altcoins Psychological analysisAs I’ve said many times, altseason began in 2024 . After a significant correction, we entered the second bullish wave in April 2025 .
As shown in the chart, the orange zone represents the break-even prices for most retail investors. FOMO will begin as we enter this zone, which will encourage whales to dump their coins, since liquidity will be returning to the market. Retail investors may then struggle to exit their positions as theire positions are not so profitable.
To take advantage of this wave, you should reassess your break-even prices and begin selling gradually throughout this ongoing trend.
BINANCE:ETHUSDT BINANCE:SOLUSDT BINANCE:XRPUSDT BINANCE:ADAUSDT
GOLD POSSIBLE SELLPossible Scenarios:
🔻 Bearish Bias (Primary Scenario)
Price is currently reacting from the 30-min supply zone.
Under the descending trendline, maintaining lower highs.
If rejection confirms, we may see a move down toward the 3310 level, and possibly into the 4H Demand Zone.
Price Levels:
Daily Swing Decision Level: 3365 — Sell below / Buy above level.
Current price: 3336.80, just under this swing level, indicating bearish pressure.
Immediate support: 3310, critical for buyer interest.
Lower support: 3296.62, likely the next demand area if 3310 fails.
GBPAUD Long Trade OANDA:GBPAUD Long Trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Note: Manage your risk yourself, its risky trade, see how much your can risk yourself on this trade.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
CHFJPY: It's getting the value of a toilet paperCHFJPY: It's getting the value of a toilet paper
The all-time high for CHFJPY was reached on July 10, 2024 and has been moving lower ever since.
However, over the past month for no apparent reason, CHFJPY broke above the top of this area, reaching a new all-time high for the time being at 186, pushing the price up by almost +600 pips above the previous high.
The only reason is that the SNB continues to manipulate the Forex market by keeping the CHF stronger for no reason. The big trade has to fall and it will fall one day, but it definitely won’t fall unless the SNB stops this crazy manipulation.
All eyes are on the SNB to change its monetary policy approach and also on the BOJ to stop manipulating the yen’s weakness because they want to increase their exports. So both banks are playing a dirty game and it is unclear when the downtrend might start, but even the bullish move is highly overvalued. It is very dangerous both ways.
However, the big trade must fall as it is becoming like toilet paper.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
$HBAR Pull Back Started, What is the target?CRYPTOCAP:HBAR doing extremely well, the R5 daily pivot point has been hit and a pull back should be expected before continuation!
It appears wave 3 is now complete and wav4 i expected to pull back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement which adds confluence to the High Volume Node in the same place at $0.22 our previous take profit #2 target.
Daily RSI is overbought but no bearish divergence yet! Price behaviour can often pop above the swing high just made to trap new buyers before dumping hard! Watch out for that, that would be the bearish divergence print also.
The next take profit is $0.39
Safe trading
One Shot, Clear Strategy – Silver Buy Zone in SightHey everyone 👋
📌 BUY LIMIT ORDER / XAGUSD-SILVER Key Levels
🟢 Entry: 36,892
🎯 Target 1: 37,409
🎯 Target 2: 38,189
🎯 Target 3: 39,246
🔴 Stop: 36,052
📈 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2,79
I double-checked the levels and put together a clean, focused analysis just for you. Every single like seriously boosts my motivation to keep sharing 📈 Your support means the world to me! Huge thanks to everyone who likes and backs this work 💙 Our goals are crystal clear, our strategy is solid. Let’s keep moving forward with confidence and smart execution!