Wave Analysis
July 16, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
As long as 3332 holds as resistance, the early session plan is to sell on pullbacks into resistance.
An update will follow before the Asian session opens to confirm or adjust the plan.
Stay flexible and watch price behavior at key levels — follow the trend and manage risk carefully.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3366 – Previous high resistance
• 3357 – Resistance
• 3350 – Midpoint resistance
• 3341 – Resistance
• 3332 – Key resistance
• 3320 – Intraday key support
• 3310 – Support
• 3300 – Psychological support
• 3285 – Critical support
• 3275 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy
• SELL if price breaks below 3320 → target 3315, then 3310, 3300, 3285
• BUY if price holds above 3332 → target 3335, then 3341, 3346, 3350
👉 If you’d like to learn how I time my entries and place stop-losses, give this post a like — if enough people are interested, I’ll update this post to include more details soon!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 16, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July 16, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📈 Record Bullish Sentiment Signals Rotation
Bank of America reports the most bullish fund-manager sentiment since February. With 81% expecting one or two Fed rate cuts this year, the group sees a rotation strategy replacing outright selling, with investors tipping toward sector shifts over wholesale exits
⚠️ Trump’s Fed Attacks Stir Policy Concerns
President Trump’s public criticism of Fed Chair Powell—calling for steep rate cuts and threatening removal—has raised market alarms over the central bank’s independence. Analysts warn such interference could destabilize confidence in U.S. monetary policy
🏦 Banks Prepare for Earnings Surge
Major U.S. banks are expected to report strong Q2 results this week. Enhanced trading and investment banking revenues are forecasted to offset economic uncertainties tied to tariffs
📡 Nvidia CEO to Visit Beijing
Jensen Huang is set to hold a high-profile media briefing in Beijing on July 16, signaling continued emphasis on China for Nvidia despite U.S. export restrictions—potentially a key narrative for tech markets
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Wednesday, July 16:
8:30 AM ET – Producer Price Index (June)
Gauges wholesale inflation pressures; June expected +0.2% MoM vs May’s +0.1%
9:15 AM ET – Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization (June)
Monitors factory and utilities output and usage rates—key for industrial-sector health
Jensen Huang in Beijing
Nvidia CEO to lead media briefing in Beijing—a potential market mover for chipmaking and AI sectors
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This info is for educational purposes only—not financial advice. Consult a licensed professional before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #inflation #Fed #tech #industrial #PPI
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends,
>> Thank you for joining me in my analysis. I think we have started the Yellow wave B as a micro correction. In my opinion, we will watch three waves wxy as in pink color, or it will extend to be an Irregular flat pattern where x will cross 123250
>> Till now, I am waiting to cross 118500 and stay above it after crossing for double the same time frame (my strategy).
keep like and support me to continue, See you soon!
Thanks, Bros
NeoWave Structure: Flat–X–Triangle Combination - break outThis chart illustrates a possible NeoWave-style corrective combination: a Flat–X–Triangle structure, likely completed and followed by a breakout.
W Wave: A well-structured Flat correction (labeled A–B–C) with a clean internal 5-wave impulse in C. Balanced time and volume across subcomponents suggest structural completion.
X Wave: A simple, proportionally shallow X connector, in line with NeoWave time and price minimums.
Y Wave: A textbook contracting triangle (labeled a–b–c–d–e), with near-perfect Fibonacci relationships between legs:
• Wave b retraces approximately 61.8% of wave a
• Wave d retraces approximately 78.6% of wave c
• Time symmetry is preserved
• Volume compresses into the apex, a classic triangle behavior
Breakout Observed:
• Price has moved above triangle resistance
• Volume increased at breakout
• MACD shows positive crossover and rising momentum
Interpretation:
This may mark the end of a prolonged corrective structure and the beginning of a new impulsive sequence. Triangle projection targets suggest the $77–80 area as a minimum, with higher Fibonacci extensions possible (e.g., 1.618 or 2.618 of prior moves) if this evolves into a 3rd wave.
Technical Approach:
This analysis follows NeoWave principles (Glenn Neely), emphasizing structural clarity, wave proportion, time-price balance, and breakout behavior.
HIVE / 4hAccording to the prior analysis, NASDAQ:HIVE may have developed a sequence of Minor degree waves, in which the waves of 1 and 2 both were completed, and impulse 3 has remained in progress.
Wave Analysis >> The correction in wave iv (circled) may have been thoroughly done in a flat formation. An impulsive wave v(circled) of the Minor degree wave 3 might be extended towards the Fib-extension target >> 3.84
NASDAQ:HIVE CRYPTOCAP:BTC MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN
#CryptoStocks #HIVE #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
WULF / 3hAs a second alternative, NASDAQ:WULF may have developed a five-wave impulsive sequence as the Minor degree wave C, in which its 4th wave correction in a triangle appears to be over at 4.82.
So, the final advance by 15% in the same degree wave v(circled) lies ahead to conclude the Minor degree wave C of the entire correction in an A-B-C zigzag as a countertrend advance in Intermediate degree wave (B).
Trend Analysis >> The countertrend advance as Intermediate degree wave (B) will probably change to decline in the same degree wave (C) very soon!! And it'll likely last until the end of the year.
#CryptoStocks #WULF #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
NASDAQ:WULF CRYPTOCAP:BTC MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN
XAUUSD – M15 Buy Setup⚡️XAUUSD – M15 Buy Setup
We’re back to business at a key decision point! Here’s what makes this a compelling opportunity:
📍Buy Setup on M15:
1️⃣ Price tapped into a strong support zone around 3333 – a level with proven reaction history
2️⃣ Third touch of the descending channel – possible breakout setup / bullish flag on HTF
3️⃣ A strong bullish engulfing candle closed above the previous daily close, showing buyer strength
4️⃣ Supported by the H4 MA zone acting as dynamic demand
🔥 Everything aligns technically for a high-probability bounce – but remember:
Strong setup ≠ guaranteed outcome.
We trade probabilities, not certainties.
🚀 Go for it guys... but manage your risk like a pro!
#XAUUSD #Gold #BuySetup #PriceAction #ChannelBreakout #SmartMoney #ChartDesigner #MJTrading #Forex #TradeIdea
DAX Wave Analysis – 15 July 2025
- DAX reversed from the resistance area
- Likely to fall to support level 23675.00.
DAX index recently reversed down the resistance area between the pivotal resistance level 24500.00 (former top of wave 3 from June) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the earlier short-term ABC correction B.
Given the strength of the resistance level 24500.00, DAX index can be expected to fall further to the next support level 23675.00.
Gold 30Min Engaged ( 3355 Bearish Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Reversal 3355 Zone
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
PROMPT/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.1580 - 0.1630
LMT v2.0 detected.
The setup looks promising—price previously trended upward with rising volume and momentum, then retested this zone cleanly. This presents an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity if momentum continues to align.
Introducing LMT (Levels & Momentum Trading)
- Over the past 3 years, I’ve refined my approach to focus more sharply on the single most important element in any trade: the KEY LEVEL.
- While HMT (High Momentum Trading) served me well—combining trend, momentum, volume, and structure across multiple timeframes—I realized that consistently identifying and respecting these critical price zones is what truly separates good trades from great ones.
- That insight led to the evolution of HMT into LMT – Levels & Momentum Trading.
Why the Change? (From HMT to LMT)
Switching from High Momentum Trading (HMT) to Levels & Momentum Trading (LMT) improves precision, risk control, and confidence by:
- Clearer Entries & Stops: Defined key levels make it easier to plan entries, stop-losses, and position sizing—no more guesswork.
- Better Signal Quality: Momentum is now always checked against a support or resistance zone—if it aligns, it's a stronger setup.
- Improved Reward-to-Risk: All trades are anchored to key levels, making it easier to calculate and manage risk effectively.
- Stronger Confidence: With clear invalidation points beyond key levels, it's easier to trust the plan and stay disciplined—even in tough markets.
Whenever I share a signal, it’s because:
- A high‐probability key level has been identified on a higher timeframe.
- Lower‐timeframe momentum, market structure and volume suggest continuation or reversal is imminent.
- The reward‐to‐risk (based on that key level) meets my criteria for a disciplined entry.
***Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note: The Role of Key Levels
- Holding a key level zone: If price respects the key level zone, momentum often carries the trend in the expected direction. That’s when we look to enter, with stop-loss placed just beyond the zone with some buffer.
- Breaking a key level zone: A definitive break signals a potential stop‐out for trend traders. For reversal traders, it’s a cue to consider switching direction—price often retests broken zones as new support or resistance.
My Trading Rules (Unchanged)
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%
- Leverage: 5x
Exit Strategy / Profit Taking
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically sell 50% during a high‐volume spike.
- Move stop‐loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 R:R.
- Exit at breakeven if momentum fades or divergence appears.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. LMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
Sharing this with love!
From HMT to LMT: A Brief Version History
HM Signal :
Date: 17/08/2023
- Early concept identifying high momentum pullbacks within strong uptrends
- Triggered after a prior wave up with rising volume and momentum
- Focused on healthy retracements into support for optimal reward-to-risk setups
HMT v1.0:
Date: 18/10/2024
- Initial release of the High Momentum Trading framework
- Combined multi-timeframe trend, volume, and momentum analysis.
- Focused on identifying strong trending moves high momentum
HMT v2.0:
Date: 17/12/2024
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
Date: 23/12/2024
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
Date: 31/12/2024
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
Date: 05/01/2025
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
Date: 06/01/2025
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
HMT v5 :
Date: 23/01/2025
- Refined wave analysis for trending conditions
- Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability
- Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
HMT v6 :
Date : 15/02/2025
- Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis
HMT v7 :
Date : 20/03/2025
- Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment
HMT v8 :
Date : 16/04/2025
- Fully restructured strategy logic
HMT v8.1 :
Date : 18/04/2025
- Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency
LMT v1.0 :
Date : 06/06/2025
- Rebranded to emphasize key levels + momentum as the core framework
LMT v2.0
Date: 11/06/2025
- Fully restructured lower timeframe (LTF) momentum logic
- Enhanced entry timing for better precision and alignment with key levels