XAUUSD NEW OUTLOOKXauusd buy from 3352
tp1 3360
tp2 3370
tp3 3380
Stope lose 3342
TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK
Wave Analysis
NAIUSDT - BULLISHthe price is currently at the end of a descending triangle and has likely completed wave E . A clear regular bullish divergence is visible, and we’ve seen an increase in trading volume over the past few days.
With a breakout from the triangle, the price appears ready to move toward the specified targets.
AI-related projects are expected to be among the leading narratives of this altseason
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 19, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July 19, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🏢 U.S. Corp Buybacks Set to Propel Stocks
Citadel Securities expects U.S. companies to repurchase roughly $1 trillion of stock in 2025. With the blackout period ending in August, buybacks—historically strong in July, the stock market’s best month—could bolster valuations
⚖️ Fed Independence Debate Intensifies
President Trump’s continued criticism of Chair Powell has already weakened confidence in Federal Reserve autonomy. The fallout shows up in a weaker dollar, elevated Treasury yields, and rising inflation expectations—though stocks have remained resilient
🇺🇸 Immigration Rollback Sparks Economic Concern
The rescinding of Temporary Protected Status for ~900,000 immigrants could remove up to 1.1 million workers from the labor force. Analysts warn of potential stagflation risks, with GDP growth potentially down 0.3–0.4 percentage points and labor-market tightening ahead
💵 Massive T-Bill Issuance Incoming
Following the debt-ceiling deal, the Treasury plans over $1 trillion in T-bill issuance in the next 18 months. Money-market funds are expected to absorb much of it, influencing short-term rates and cash-market dynamics
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Friday, July 19:
8:30 AM ET – Initial Jobless Claims
Weekly figure on new unemployment filings—a real-time indicator of labor-market resilience.
8:30 AM ET – Existing Home Sales (June)
Measures signed contracts on previously owned homes; key for gauging housing-market health.
All Day Events:
Ongoing corporate buybacks entering open window
Treasury auctions and T-bill issuance updates
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #monetarypolicy #debt #housing #labor #technicalanalysis
Gold elliot wave countMarket Structure – Corrective Wave 2 Still in Progress
We're currently in a Wave 2 correction, unfolding as a classic ABC structure – labeled with Circle A → Circle B → Circle C.
✅ Circle A and Circle B are already complete.
We're now in the move from Circle B → Circle C, which itself is unfolding as a:
→ (A) → (B) → (C) (in parentheses)
Currently, we are in the move from (B) to (C), which again is breaking down as a smaller A → B → C move.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
📈 We might now be completing Wave A of (C) around the 3362 level.
🔁 A pullback to around 3322 could follow as Wave B,
➡️ leading to a final Wave C (of (C), of Circle C, completing Wave 2) targeting around 3405.
⏳ What’s Next?
Once we hit the 3405 zone, that would potentially complete the entire Wave 2 correction.
From there, I expect a trend reversal to the downside, beginning the next impulsive wave down.
Potential BEARSOn a 1D TF, looks like we having a wedge/ending diagonal after a long bullish trade. On a 1H TF, we're having a bearish BAT Pattern which On completion will result into breaking out of the wedge. So we're looking to go down for more oil 🛢 .
DONT MISS OUT: BITCOIN'S PATH TO NEW HIGHS FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Bitcoin has a fixed supply cap of 21 million coins. Approximately every four years, the reward miners receive for verifying new blocks (and thus introducing new Bitcoin into circulation) is cut in half in an event known as "halving." The most recent halving occurred in April 2024, reducing the block reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC.
Why it supports $122,000: Historically, every halving event has been followed by a significant bull run in the months to a year (or more) afterward. This is a classic supply and demand principle: reduced supply with consistent or increasing demand tends to drive prices up. The 2024 halving has further tightened the supply of newly minted Bitcoin, creating a scarcity effect that proponents believe will inevitably push the price higher.
Macroeconomic Tailwinds and "Digital Gold" Narrative:
Argument: In times of economic uncertainty, inflation, or devaluing fiat currencies, investors often seek "safe-haven" assets. Bitcoin has increasingly been viewed as "digital gold" due to its decentralized nature, scarcity, and resistance to censorship.
Why it supports $122,000: If global economic conditions continue to be volatile, with concerns about inflation and government spending, more investors may turn to Bitcoin as a store of value. This growing narrative, coupled with increasing accessibility, could lead to a substantial influx of capital from those looking to preserve wealth, further driving up the price.
Important Caveats:
Volatility: Bitcoin is notoriously volatile. While these arguments support an upward trend, significant pullbacks and corrections are always possible.
Regulatory Risk: Shifting regulatory landscapes in various countries could impact Bitcoin's price.
Competition: The broader crypto market is constantly evolving, with new technologies and competitors emerging.
Black Swan Events: Unforeseen global events or major security breaches could negatively affect the market.
Always conduct your own thorough research and consider your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
NZD/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/JPY pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 4H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 88.126 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
XRP: 100% Gain in couple of weeks!Get ready for 100% surge in the coming weeks, but before that another low to grab liquidity is essential.
Place your buy order around 2$ mark and enjoy.
Will gold return to 3500?XAU/USD Head and Shoulders Breakdown Analysis
The chart shows a classic Head and Shoulders pattern forming on the 4H timeframe, indicating a potential bearish reversal setup.
Left Shoulder: Formed mid-May with a local high followed by a dip.
Head: A higher peak formed in mid-June.
Right Shoulder: Formed recently at a lower high compared to the head, completing the structure.
The neckline has been clearly defined, and price is currently hovering just above it. If the price breaks and closes below the neckline with strong bearish momentum, it would confirm the pattern.
Target: The projected target from the breakdown is around 3163, calculated by measuring the height from the head to the neckline and projecting it downward.
Outlook:
A confirmed break below the neckline would open the door for further downside toward the target zone.
Bears will be in control if price sustains below the neckline with increasing volume.
Wait for confirmation on the neckline break before considering short entries.
If you are a newbie or your account is burning, don't trust any advice easily. Contact me. I will give you free advice.
WHY DO YOU KEEP ASKING ABOUT PRICE SO MUCH?WHY DO YOU KEEP ASKING ABOUT PRICE SO MUCH?
The problem lies in the wrong frame of reference when you first enter the market. Faulty input leads to flawed thinking, resulting in poor actions and bad outcomes.
I constantly receive questions like:
“Can I buy at this price yet?”
“Should I wait for a lower price?”
“Is this the bottom?”
“BTC is at 108k, is it still good to LONG?”
“It’s at 123k now, will it go to 180k?”
All of these revolve around PRICE, but in reality, price isn't what you should focus on. What's important is understanding market movements and trends.
Many of you DCA blindly at resistance, support, or based on on-chain data, thinking the price will reverse or bounce… but it doesn’t. So why?
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Let me give you an analogy:
Imagine you're hiking the Alps.
You start early in the morning. When you're tired, you rest. When the scenery is beautiful, you stop and enjoy it. When you're thirsty or hungry, you take a break. Eventually, you reach the top (PEAK).
Did you ever ask your friend along the way:
"How many meters have we climbed?"
"How many meters left to the top?"
Of course not.
You just know you're ascending, and when you reach the peak, you’ll know.
Uptrend is like climbing up, downtrend is climbing down.
You don’t need to know your exact altitude — you just need to know whether you’re going up or down, and when you’re at the top, you’ll feel it.
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The market is the same.
When it goes up, you know it’s going up.
When it goes down, you know it’s going down.
When it’s the peak, you’ll know.
When it’s the bottom, you’ll feel it.
There's no need to obsess over:
“Is this the top?”
“Is this the bottom?”
Why?
Because when you're fixated on the real-time price, without understanding market movement, you’re being led by price — not leading your trades.
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In summary:
Stop letting price control your mind.
Focus on trends and market movement, and you’ll know where you are.
When climbing, you know you’re climbing. When peaking, you’ll know it’s time to pause. Simple as that.
GOLD - Wave 2 Bullish Towards $3,406 (1H UPDATE)I see a possible buy opportunity towards $3,406 on Gold, as part of its bigger Wave 2 correction, before we can consider selling again.
Confluences👇
⭕️Wave 2 Correction Not Complete (2 Sub-Waves So Far).
⭕️Distribution Schematic Forming.
⭕️Early Sellers ($3,377) & Buyers ($3,310) Liquidated In Past 2 Days.
Now we've seen both buyers & sellers liquidated, we can expect to see a cleaner move back towards $3,400 where there is a lot of pending liquidity.
Optimism OP price analysisCurrently, the price of #OP does not look very optimistic (a little pun to start with )))
🟢 An optimistic forecast would be for the price of OKX:OPUSDT to rise to $1.40
🟡 But it looks like this growth will not happen now, but after a correction.
🔴 Correction: only to $0.57 or again to $0.45 — this is also an open question.
👌 Patience to holders and fans of the #Optimism project, the “microclimate” in the crypto market is improving — the time will come, and this coin will also be pumping...
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USDT DOMINANCE New Update (2H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
According to the previous analysis, the price dropped nicely, which helped turn the market green.
Now the structure appears clearer, and we have a zigzag diamond pattern on the chart.
To complete wave F of this pattern, the price might move slightly higher toward the areas marked with yellow circles.
The price still hasn't reached the strong support zone and remains at a distance from it.
Let’s wait and see what happens.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy for July 17.Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance: 3382, support below 3300
Four-hour chart resistance: 3375, support below 3320
One-hour chart resistance: 3352, support below 3320.
Trump's remarks in the NY market on Wednesday ignited the market. First, it was reported that Powell would be fired, and then it was reported that Trump denied the news. Gold quickly rose to 3375 and then quickly fell back. Under the impact of the news, the price fluctuated very quickly, jumping up and down quickly.
From the current market trend, the day before yesterday, it fell to 3319 and stopped falling and rebounded. Yesterday, it tested 3319 again and quickly pulled up. Yesterday, the price hit the high point of this week near 3375 again and fell back quickly. There is support below and resistance above. If it approaches the 3320 support for the third time today, it is likely to fall below, and then trigger a long stop loss, and it may fall rapidly at that time.
If it falls below 3319, it will look at the 3280~3300 range.
SELL:3319 SL:3324
SELL:3352 SL:3357
SOXL — Buying on a Strong Uptrend with 30%+ Profit PotentialDirexion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares (SOXL) continues to move in a clear uptrend after breaking long-term resistance. Price is consolidating above the breakout level, indicating sustained interest from major market participants.
Long positions remain valid.
Profit targets:
First target — 39.85
Second target — 60.42
The setup offers over 30 percent profit potential. The semiconductor sector continues to lead the broader market higher.
Focus on trading with the trend. Adding on pullbacks is reasonable with proper risk management in place.
This is altcoin season"The altcoin season has likely begun! We're currently witnessing Bitcoin's dominance chart breaking down at a critical juncture, and this cycle may surpass even our most optimistic expectations. The technical signals are remarkably clear and verifiable for most seasoned traders. In these market conditions, the wisest strategy is to hold strong with conviction – maintain your positions and trust in the assets you've carefully accumulated. This could very well be the start of an extended altcoin rally that rewards patience and strategic positioning. #AltSeason #CryptoMarket #BTCDominance #HODLStrategy"
Is it a time for GAMESTOP? 30 $ in the sightAnalysis of the GameStop (GME) chart suggests a potential rise to 30 USD, based on current trends and technical levels. The 4-hour chart shows a recent decline following a sharp increase, with the price currently fluctuating around 23-24 USD. Key support is located at approximately 22 USD, which could act as a floor if the price starts to drop. The moving averages (e.g., 50-day and 200-day) indicate a previous upward trend, and current levels may represent a consolidation phase before the next upward move.
Breaking through resistance around 25-26 USD, which aligns with a previous peak, could pave the way for further growth. If demand increases and trading volume rises, the price could head toward 30 USD, a psychological and technical resistance level. Additional bullish signals, such as green candles or an increase in the oscillator (e.g., RSI) from current levels, could support this scenario. However, the risk of a sudden reversal should be monitored, especially if support at 22 USD is breached.
Potential TP: 30 USD
XAUUSD – Summer Triangle ConsolidationGold (XAUUSD) is unfolding a textbook contracting triangle on the 4H chart, currently developing leg D of the pattern. This structure has been forming over the past few months and reflects classic market behavior during the summer — slow, sideways consolidation as many participants are away for the season.
Given the current structure, I expect one more leg down to form wave E, completing the triangle. Once this leg is in place and the support trendline holds, we could see a significant breakout to the upside in line with the broader bullish outlook on higher timeframes.
This setup remains valid as long as price continues respecting the triangle boundaries. I’m watching for a clean rejection at the lower trendline near point E to validate the bullish breakout scenario.
📌 Seasonality, structure, and market tempo suggest patience as the consolidation plays out. The breakout opportunity may follow shortly after leg E concludes.
USDJPY SWING SHORTUSDJPY potential sell to fill downside liquidity following economic activities between the us and also the yen currency ,, target 140000
AIN/USDT AIN/USDT has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern over the past 7 days on the 4H timeframe, signaling consolidation and reduced volatility. As of now, we can see a clean breakout to the upside, confirming the structure and hinting at the beginning of a new upward move.
Ready for 80 USD? Time to grow for MKCThe chart analysis for this stock suggests a potential rise to 80 USD based on current technical patterns. The 4-hour chart shows a recent downtrend following a significant peak, with the price currently hovering around 71-72 USD. A key support level is evident near 70 USD, which could serve as a foundation for a potential rebound. The moving averages, including the 50-day and 200-day, indicate a prior bullish trend, and the current consolidation phase might precede another upward move.
Breaking through the resistance at 75-76 USD, a previous high, could signal the start of a new upward trend. With increased buying volume and bullish candlestick patterns, the price could target 80 USD, a notable psychological and technical resistance level. The RSI, currently in a neutral zone, could support this scenario if it begins to rise, indicating growing momentum. However, caution is advised, as a break below 70 USD support could negate this outlook and lead to further declines.
Potential TP: 80 USD
