Crypto Market Update – July 14th🔷Market Update – July 14th: Another Winning Move 🧠🔥
Another week, another breakout – and we’ve been tracking it every step of the way.
💸 Entries? Perfect.
✅ Targets? Hit.
🧠 Psychology? Nailed.
Today, we reached 122,795 , hitting a key target with precision. From there, we took partial profits — and are now watching the next leg toward 127K+ .
We’ve had 4 amazing entries lately, all executed with structure, risk control, and vision.
Today’s move? Just the latest in a series of well-calculated trades.
📉 Support now rests at 120,500 , with deeper support still valid around 114,921 .
This isn’t just a lucky guess — it’s the outcome of following levels, structure, and behavior.
But if you want to go deeper into what’s really happening beneath the surface ...
📊💸 Read the NEW Deep Dive Part III:
The Next BIG Whale Play Unfolds →
Inside it:
🐳 How the bear trap is being set
🧠 Why this is a disbelief rally
⚠️ Why shorting now = adding fuel to the fire
💥 And why this may be the first leg of a much bigger run...
Stay sharp. Stay structured. Stay ahead.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
📊💸 And don’t miss Deep Dive Part III – The Next BIG Whale Play Unfolds:
Whales
Deep Dive Part III – The Next BIG Whale Play UnfoldsDeep Dive Part III – The Next BIG Whale Play Unfolds
📍In Parts I & II of this Deep Dive, we broke down the psychology of whale behavior — from “Buy the Rumors, Sell the News” to the critical breakout zones that echoed historical patterns.
🐋 Back then, we spotted the whales' playbook early. The strategy was simple:
Buy the Rumors – Sell the News.
🧠 But now, the script has changed.
“The trap is where you’re most bored… 🌴📵
Their exit — on your liquidity — comes when you’re least ready. 💰🏄♂️💼”
Let’s break this moment down into what’s really unfolding.
We are officially entering the next stage of the cycle — not just in price, but in psychology.
This is no longer just about charts.
This is about human behavior on autopilot.
Here’s what I see happening right now — broken into three truths:
1️⃣ People Are On Holiday 🌞
From my community to the broader market, the energy is low.
People are either sunbathing on a beach or mentally checked out.
The focus is not there. The reflex to take action is dulled.
📉 The trap is where you’re most bored… 🌴📵
💰 Their exit — on your liquidity — comes when you’re least ready. 🏄♂️💼🚀
We’re seeing it unfold now:
1. Set the Bear Trap
2. Trigger the FOMO (will be down the road, yes)
3. Exit on Liquidity (the closing act of the play)
🕶️ But when everyone is away or asleep, that’s when the trap is laid.
It’s during these quiet, lazy days that the big moves get built.
2️⃣ This is a Disbelief Rally 🎢
The market trained everyone with a rhythm:
pump ➝ dump, pump ➝ dump, pump ➝ dump…
So what happens now?
People don’t trust the breakout. They’re frozen.
“We’ll dump again,” they say.
Except… what if this time, we don’t?
That disbelief becomes fuel.
It becomes hesitation — and hesitation becomes missed opportunity.
3️⃣ Bears Are Shorting Into Strength 🧨
This is key. While retail is confused, the bears are pressing in hard.
Their shorts are adding fuel to the pump they don’t see coming.
That’s why I posted recently:
“Shorting isn’t the problem. Being a psycho bear is.”
It’s not about being bullish or bearish —
It’s about timing , discipline , and narrative awareness .
Whales love this moment.
They lure in shorts, set the trap, then ignite the breakout straight into FOMO.
🧠 The Game:
Set the Trap → Trigger the FOMO → Exit on Liquidity 💥
This is what you’re seeing on the chart.
Not just price action — psychological choreography.
🕰️ In 2020–2021, we saw the exact same structure.
Part I warned about early accumulation and baiting behavior.
Part II showed how whales manipulated expectations with layered waves of doubt.
Now in Part III — the explosion few are ready for.
Zoom into the chart and it’s all there:
The curve, the trap, the trigger… and yes — the Final Boss.
🎯 The Final Boss: 6.51T
That’s the ultimate liquidity zone.
If this cycle plays out, we’re headed toward it.
“Sell the Rate Cuts” will be the new “Sell the News.”
It’s not the headlines that matter — it’s who’s left holding the bag.
🔚 Final Thought
The real exit — the one that traps most of retail — will come not when you’re euphoric,
but when you’re still saying:
“Surely we must dump now…”
So stay sharp.
Trade the chart — but don’t forget to read the behavior.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Part1:
Part2:https://www.tradingview.website/chart/idea/VgMBPsp3/
The Bear Trap:
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
🐋 Deep Dive Part II: Whale Behavior & Market Mastery! 🌊📚Hey Crypto Enthusiasts! 🚀
In a recent analysis, I not only nailed Bitcoin's (BTC) movement but also illuminated the subsequent altcoin surge, driven by insightful whale behavior observations. Let's merge these insights with a focus on ADA (Cardano), OP (Optimism), SOL (Solana), and BTC. 📊
Cardano's (ADA) Meteoric Rise 🌟
ADA's journey began with a break above a pivotal support-resistance level. My entry point at 0.256 turned into a remarkable rally, hitting 52 cents. This movement was a classic case of altcoin buoyancy following Bitcoin's pause.
Optimism (OP) and the Altcoin Breakouts 🌈
In the shadow of Bitcoin's stagnation, altcoins like OP exhibited significant breakouts, showcasing the shifting focus of market whales from Bitcoin to promising altcoins.
Bitcoin (BTC) and Whale Dynamics 📉
Bitcoin's behavior provided a crystal ball into the whale activities. As BTC approached a major resistance level, it signaled a strategic move by whales to divert funds towards altcoins, catalyzing their surge.
Solana (SOL) and Market Trends ☀️
Solana's chart also mirrored this trend, highlighting the broader market dynamics influenced by these significant players.
🔍 Insight on Whale Behavior:
My analysis delved deep into the whale behavior, highlighting how Bitcoin's rally and subsequent pause was a precursor to altcoin dominance. This strategic pause in Bitcoin's ascent was a clear signal for the whales to redistribute their focus and capital, sparking a remarkable rise in altcoins like ADA, OP, and SOL. 🔄
The Bigger Picture - Understanding Market Shifts: What this trend teaches us is the importance of reading between the lines. Whale movements often precede major market shifts, and by understanding these patterns, we position ourselves to make informed decisions. 🧠
Future Outlook: As we continue to monitor these market dynamics, it's crucial to stay vigilant. The crypto market is known for its volatility, and while the current trend favors altcoins, it's essential to be prepared for any shifts that may arise. Always keep an eye on key resistance and support levels, market sentiment, and global economic factors that could influence the next big move. 🌐
Together, let's stay ahead of the curve in this fascinating and ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency. Your insights and engagement are what make this journey exciting and rewarding!
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
part 1:
BTC HIGH DATA SHOW BREAKDOWN TO 85K FOR BITCOIN SOON.Bitcoin Market Update
BTC SEEMS TO ENTER A NEW CORRECTION PHASE SOON.
Recent data suggests that the current Bitcoin (BTC) cycle is coming to an end. As a result, we may soon see a downward move in BTC's price. The key target in this potential drop is around $85,000, with expectations that BTC will fall below $100,000.
This week, Bitcoin completed its cycle trend and is now entering a processing or transitional phase. Once this phase ends, we anticipate another decline in price.
This outlook is based on recurring patterns seen in previous BTC cycles, which have shown similar behavior in the past.
BTC can play on the low time frame with uptrends and downtrends, but if we will choice a side, then it will be the red trend.. since BTC cycle is ending.
UNEXPECTED RISK CRASH FREE FALL AFTER TREND DATA FOR TH NEXT 48HDepending on our study, BTC has a high chance of a new crash below 100K.
The next 48 hours are important for the trend change of BTC, which can allow the trend to free-fall below 100K
BTC is at a top, and it did recovery always recovered on the M volume top., We are now again on the same trend.
BTC can return below 100K as this update shows, with the possibility of targeting the main target 85K - This is the trend zone for new interest.
The reason for this crash is that BTC has not confirmed the cycle, which means the end of the cycle. There is always possibility that the market can act green, but we expect it can show an unexpected breakdown.
Market SIGNALS SHOW THAT BTC CAN FALL TO 85K USDMarket follow-up study shows that there is a good chance BTC can fall to 85K in the coming time period. The market cycle seems to end the green trend and to enter a new red zone.
Time will show what really can happen with BTC.
The market can make a fake trend, with a trend fall on a high time frame.
The crash can also happen on the main markets.
This is not trading advice, trade always only depending on your plan.
EUR/USD Weekly Bias technical analysis appears well-reasoned. EUR/USD Weekly Bias Analysis
Technical analysis appears well-reasoned:
1. Short-term bearish bias: You anticipate a decline towards the previous week's low, indicating a potential short-term downtrend.
2. Bullish reversal zone: You've identified a critical area, marked by the weekly Fibonacci Volume Zone (FVG), where a potential bullish reversal could occur.
3. Upside target: Your analysis suggests a move towards the weekly high, offering a clear profit target.
# Key Confirmation Factors:
To validate your bias and adjust your strategy, consider the following:
- Candlestick patterns: Monitor for bullish reversal patterns, such as hammer or engulfing candles, to confirm a potential trend change.
- Momentum indicators: Keep an eye on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and other momentum indicators to gauge the strength of the potential reversal.
- Volume analysis: Analyze trading volumes to ensure they support your bias, with increasing volumes on up days and decreasing volumes on down days.
By carefully monitoring these factors, you'll be well-positioned to adjust your strategy and capitalize on potential trading opportunities in the EUR/USD market.
What happens if you give a TikTok trader a billion dollars?In this video, I covered the topic of accumulation and distribution of large positions.
I explained why big market players prefer using limit orders when building and offloading their positions.
I also talked about how retail traders — who I often call TikTok traders — tend to rely on market orders, and why the price is more likely to move against the masses of TikTok traders.
Understanding this is crucial when analyzing what’s really going on "under the hood" of the market. I’ll dive deeper into this in my upcoming posts.
So don’t miss out! Subscribe!
The Whales in Action on XRPAs I have been telling everyone who invests in CRYPTOCAP:XRP , the Financial institutions are trying to shake out retail traders, now we've got proof they're serious. When NY came online this morning (February 12, 2025) at 8:30 am ⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️ we can see that these major institutions quickly dropped the market to take out all of the traders leveraged in XRP.
We have been seeing XRP stagnate between $2.50 and $1.79 for a while even though dozens of large announcements are happening every month. One day we will wake up and find XRP trading at $10.00. Buy low and sell high. Hold some of your XRP without trading it in a cold wallet because I know that we will see $100,000 XRP tokens in a few years. There is just too much momentum and too many Financial institutions, governments (CBDCs), corporations, and tokenization happening with the XRP Ledger (XRPL).
Stay strong and don't let the whales discourage you!
BTC - Just Thinking about Volume and Price relation As my other active posts recently have been about the downward trend and BTC finding liquidity before a trend reversal and the second strong upward momentum of this market cycle.
I surmised that the smart money wanted to test the bull market support moving average, 200ema on daily. ~84,500 - 82,500 .
A large Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the Weekly Chart was created from the rapid price increase due to speculators and other investors FOMO'ing in on the rising assset.
Large orders were left unfilled due to areas of support and resistance, trend and moving averages which are usually oscillated through during price movement while market trend leads the direction, speculators drive price increases and smart money attempts to drive price down to areas where they can profit, selling into the momentum during speculator price drives.
I'm just thinking out loud here and really I only post these little updates while im interested in something and like to document it. I could be all wrong with how I am seeing this and perhaps if anyone ever does read this and can share some insight into price/volume relationships with the smart money institutional investors and whales I would be interested to heart their thoughts.
However to continue , I see a discrepancy , Large Selling Volume, Negative Delta and it appears that there are some blocks where Sell volume cuts upward momentum abruptly and consistently
The Chart should Show the areas that I am referring , I would be interested to hear what others think
SWFTC/USDT PRICE PREDICTION 2025 $0,12 (Blockchain swift)SWFTC/USDT PRICE PREDICTION 2025
Means for long-term follow, and where the possibility is for this coin 2025
The best way of volume entering is in steps.
Depending on the 2025 protection for this coin, we expect this is a good chance this swift system for blockchain can gain over $0,12
We already know the real swift where billions of transactions going, this one means for the blockchain tech.
How more time the coin stays stable and holding levels, how better it is for the coming volume spike.
This update will stay a prediction, do always your study and manage the risk.
Expect nothing from the market, but more see the possibilities.
HolderStat | BTC bulls leaving the ship?Over the last 3 days, $2.5 billion has been liquidated in the futures market, 83% of which is longs. The BTC price dropped to $96,613 (-4.6% for the week), the fear index dropped 7 points, and outflows from spot ETFs totaled an impressive $680 million.
❌ Is this a signal? No, it's a pattern. Corrections like this “drop off the tourists,” opening up new opportunities for those who know how to act strategically.
Even El Salvador did not flinch under IMF pressure and bought 11 BTC. Their wallet is usually replenished by 1 BTC per day - something is clearly brewing. What have you done?
💡 What to do?
1️⃣ Analyze key support levels.
2️⃣ Watch liquidity: BTC dominance remains high (59%), which confirms interest in the asset.
3️⃣ Evaluate trading volumes on pullbacks.
⚡️ Correction is not a time for panic, but a moment for cold-blooded analysis and precise actions.
_____________________
📊 Want more useful analytics? Like and subscribe to stay up to date with the most relevant trading ideas!
Always DYOR! 🔬
Aave | whales accumulating?The price of EURONEXT:AAVE suddenly skyrocketed by ~30 % in the past 10 hours, which seems to be related to the whale"0x5a80". Whale"0x5a80" has accumulated 182,152 EURONEXT:AAVE ($ 13.2M) from exchanges through multiple addresses in the past 10 hours. and currently holds 399,585 EURONEXT:AAVE ( FWB:30M ).
The price of Aave is $ 75 today with a 24hour trading volume of 520 million dollar. This represents a 32% price increase in the last 24 hours and a 50% price increase in the past 7 days. With a circulating supply of 14 Million AAVE, Aave is valued at a market cap of 1.1 billion dollar.
Aave is a decentralized money market protocol where users can lend and borrow cryptocurrency across 20 different assets as collateral.the protocol has a native token called AAVE, which is also a governance token that lets the community decide the direction of the protocol in a collective manner.
if whales keep buying and breaks the down trend then 77 and 79$ are next targets
many alts pumping now thanks to BTC jump
HolderStat | whales are withdrawing BTC from exchanges📊 According to Glassnode analytical service, whales have been actively withdrawing BTC from exchanges for a week.
💡 Such behavior of large wallets may mean expectations of further market movement before the beginning of liquidity overflow from BTC to altcoins.
Head and SouldersXRP retraced, settling itself at a lower low and a new resistance. A head and shoulders formed, signaling a rally short trade. I believe XRP will bounce and retrace, possibly dropping below $0.50. The previous head and shoulders from Nov 23 to Jan 24 caused XRP to dip below $0.50, and then it rallied after the dip. The previous head and shoulders formed in a 3-month window, identical to its recent head and shoulders that started at the beginning of July 2024.
Support - 0.50
Resistance - 0.57
Momentum - Selling
Fear & Greed Index (Binance) - Neutral 50
Bear vs Bull - Bearish
Fundamental analysis: A major factor in the dip was a whale selloff at approximately 32% volume. Market sentiment appears mixed, with some analysts indicating that the current price movements reflect manipulation and uncertainty in the market.
DreamAnalysis | CRVUSDT Whales Exiting Positions👋 Welcome back to DreamAnalysis! Today, we’re analyzing CRV (Curve), a major player in the DeFi space, and exploring its future potential.
🔍 What is Curve (CRV)? Curve is a decentralized finance (DeFi) platform specifically designed for the efficient exchange of stablecoins and similar low-volatility assets. Using liquidity pools and automated market-making (AMM) algorithms, Curve allows users to trade their digital assets with lower transaction fees and minimal price slippage.
📊 Weekly Timeframe Analysis: Key Support Lost
In the weekly timeframe, we lost a crucial support level at 0.4070, resulting in a massive 40% drop. After this steep decline, a new support has formed. This drop occurred with significant volume, and it’s clear that most whales have exited their CRV positions, leading to a sharp reduction in total value locked (TVL) on the Curve platform. Many of these whales seem to have migrated to AAVE.
⚠️ Selling Strategy: If you haven’t sold your CRV yet, it’s recommended to sell after a break below 0.2441. Until CRV recovers above 0.4070, it’s too risky to consider buying.
📈 Daily Timeframe Analysis: Sellers in Control
On the daily timeframe, the downtrend continues. We were unable to break above the previous high at 0.3517, highlighting the strength of sellers.
We are currently sitting on a significant support level, but if it breaks, further declines are likely. Given the lack of support from whales and major holders, a further drop seems more probable.
📉 RSI Watch: If this support is broken and RSI enters the oversold zone, crossing below 26.28, we could see an even more severe decline.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis: Short-Term Range
In the 4-hour timeframe, after getting rejected at the 0.3193 resistance, CRV has now dropped into a short-term range between 0.2496 and 0.2650.
📉 Short Position:
Our trigger for a short position is clear. After a break below 0.2496, you can open a short position with a target of 0.2245.
📈 Long Position:
For long positions, better coins are available, like SUI. However, if necessary, you can consider opening a long position after breaking above 0.2650, but only if a higher high and higher low form. Be warned—this is a highly risky move.
🔍 Conclusion: At the moment, CRV shows more bearish potential. It’s crucial to manage risk, wait for confirmed signals, and keep an eye on market developments before taking any action.
💬 This wraps up today’s analysis. If you found this helpful, feel free to share it with your friends and leave a comment with your thoughts or any other pairs or coins you’d like us to analyze.
📌 These analyses are merely our ideas based on a chart that doesn’t follow strict rules. Technical analysis is an art, and these insights are not financial advice.
You are a Fish - LaPlaces Demon Will Help You Escape BTC-WhalesHey Future Demons
Lets jump right into the TA.
1. We are in a huge liquidity zone (50k-65k), where the whales have been stop hunting retailers fish for many months.
2. For the above mentioned reason it is normally a good idea to stay out of the market. We don't want to gamble. It's all about money protection and the right mindset.
3. When that is said we are right now in an expanding descending wedge, which is a bullish pattern. I know it's not the perfect example according to classical charting, but since the market is heavily manipulated, it's still a bullish structure.
4. Also the last 24 hours we saw BTC increase with around 3 %, and The Global Market Cap a little bit less. We saw an increase in volume with around 34 %, which also is a bullish sign.
5. Most people are bearish at the moment, but I believe it's a good time to be a contrarian, and go Long. But be careful in this market. Its extremely hard atm.
Kind Regards
LaPlaces Demon
PS. Like and follow. Im here to help you from Wall Street, the Elite and big whales, who will try to outsmart you.
The Ultimate Bitcoin Guide - All You Need to Know Right Now!Welcome Future Demons
Let me start by telling you about my mission. I'm here to serve you. I'm here to make you a better trader.
I will do so by exploiting the grim secrets in the markets, the plausible movements, the market psychology and all the whale-manipulation.
I will all the time remind you about the importance of mindset and money protection.
The Beginning
I will start making some predictions about the market first. I will use Bayesian Reasoning/Statistics to put credence on the different scenarios.
I get the output numbers after weighing my TA combined with geopolitics, and market- and whale psychology.
I want to make it clear, that I never make any trades alone from these Bayesian Scenarios, nor should you, but they will always serve as a fundament for my trades.
The Predictions
The 2 most important mid term scenarios to be aware of:
1. We will go up around 85k in this cycle, but we will not surpass 100,000 USD. Hereafter we will go below 30k. Bayesian 62 %.
2. We will not get a new ATH, and we will go down below 30k now. Bayesian 38 %.
"Long" Term Prediction:
3. After we hit 30k USD, not only crypto, but also stocks will go into a hard bear market, and we will see a Depression similar to in the 1930s.
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Why?
Mid-term:
1. The crypto market has been behind the stock market for a long time. In fact it has been pretty much ignored due to all the money, whales have been making in especially AI, pharma and war (E.g. Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Lockheed, Novo Nordisk). Both Apple, Microsoft and NVIDIA have market caps above 3 T USD compared to cryptos total Global Market Cap at 2 T USD.
Therefore when the stock market soon will collapse it's not unlikely that some of the money will enter especially BTC. I will predict that most will go into Gold though.
2. 100k in this cycle is unlikely due to the psychological nature of the number 100k. Bitcoin is simply not ripe enough for such a high price. Ask your self, your friends or any retailer if they are ready to buy BTC at 100k?
Exactly. Remember that whales don't make money by pushing the price as high as possible. To make money, they need to sell at a price which requires buyers.
What most likely will happen is, that the whales will try to push the price to squeeze the last money out of retailers. Retailers will FOMO in all the way below 100k hoping for a miracle to occur, but around 85k-90kish, boom, the whales will start to schock mass sell.
3. That we will go below 30k in this cycle is super likely. History repeats it self, and Bitcoin usually drops at least 80 % every cycle.
"Long" Term
1. We haven't had a real bear market for 15 years in stocks. Usually we have one every 7 years. We have never before seen such a rise. FED has been printing money like crazy just to give them out to private banks and hedge funds, so they can buy more stocks, and bait retailers into buying more and more.
Soon the same whales will mass sell, and become even more rich while the poor will be more poor. The gap between rich and poor is now even bigger than before, which is a catastrophe for all low- and mid-income people, since it will lead to hyperinflation, and eventually a depression for at least a couple of years.
That is also why you need to be aware of it, and if you are in the markets atm you should consider to secure some of your money asap. Then you just wait for the depression phase, where you slowly can start to accumulate again. Don't be greedy, my friends.
What should You do now?
Right now the best thing is to stay out of the market. The price is dancing around 57k, and we are in a big liquidity zone, where we can expect a lot of fluctuation.
Whales love these zones, and will always try to steer the market towards them, cause they only are able to make money here. It requires zones of lots of money to make lots of money - remember that. They will continue to go up and down as long as they can to liquidate retailers.
If we make a higher high at 70k, you can go long.
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I will soon also give you concrete trading ideas too. Please follow me - it will make me happy.
Kind Regards
Laplace's Demon
PS. Remember to be grateful for the small things in life, and strive not to focus on what you don't have.